What Rush TD (allowed) is

Rushing touchdowns allowed: opponent scoring runs. Mostly goal-line and short-yardage defense.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2022 the Patriots led at 0.41; the league average was 0.90.

League snapshot — 2022

League leader

NE · 0.41

League average

0.90

Best to worst

1.41

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	NE	0.41	17
2	PIT	0.41	17
3	DAL	0.53	17
4	TEN	0.53	17
5	KC	0.59	17
6	WAS	0.59	17
7	BUF	0.63	16
8	BAL	0.65	17
9	SF	0.65	17
10	DEN	0.71	17
11	LAR	0.71	17
12	TB	0.71	17
13	CIN	0.75	16
14	JAX	0.82	17
15	NO	0.82	17
16	NYJ	0.82	17
17	ATL	0.88	17
18	MIA	0.88	17
19	PHI	0.88	17
20	NYG	0.94	17
21	CAR	1	17
22	LAC	1	17
23	GB	1.06	17
24	MIN	1.06	17
25	IND	1.18	17
26	LV	1.18	17
27	ARI	1.24	17
28	SEA	1.24	17
29	CLE	1.29	17
30	DET	1.29	17
31	HOU	1.47	17
32	CHI	1.82	17

At a glance — 2022

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

PIT · 0.41

League laggard

CHI · 1.82

League average

0.90

Spread (max − min)

1.41

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	NE	0.41	-0.49	100%
2	PIT	0.41	-0.49	96.8%
3	DAL	0.53	-0.37	93.5%
4	TEN	0.53	-0.37	90.3%
5	KC	0.59	-0.31	87.1%
6	WAS	0.59	-0.31	83.9%
7	BUF	0.63	-0.27	80.6%
8	BAL	0.65	-0.25	77.4%
9	SF	0.65	-0.25	74.2%
10	DEN	0.71	-0.19	71%
11	LAR	0.71	-0.19	67.7%
12	TB	0.71	-0.19	64.5%
13	CIN	0.75	-0.15	61.3%
14	JAX	0.82	-0.07	58.1%
15	NO	0.82	-0.07	54.8%
16	NYJ	0.82	-0.07	51.6%
17	ATL	0.88	-0.02	48.4%
18	MIA	0.88	-0.02	45.2%
19	PHI	0.88	-0.02	41.9%
20	NYG	0.94	0.04	38.7%
21	CAR	1	0.10	35.5%
22	LAC	1	0.10	32.3%
23	GB	1.06	0.16	29%
24	MIN	1.06	0.16	25.8%
25	IND	1.18	0.28	22.6%
26	LV	1.18	0.28	19.4%
27	ARI	1.24	0.34	16.1%
28	SEA	1.24	0.34	12.9%
29	CLE	1.29	0.40	9.7%
30	DET	1.29	0.40	6.5%
31	HOU	1.47	0.57	3.2%
32	CHI	1.82	0.93	0%

Does Rush TD (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 853–725–37 ATS (54.1%) across 2020–2025, #94 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (146–108, 57.5%); its worst 2023 (128–130, 49.6%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	146–108–2	57.5%
2021	272	145–125–2	53.7%
2022	271	143–121–7	54.2%
2023	272	128–130–14	49.6%
2024	272	145–118–9	55.1%
2025	272	146–123–3	54.3%

Rush TD (allowed) in 2022 vs 2021

Patriots lead at 0.41 — they ranked #2 last year. Bears are last at 1.82 — #11 last year.

The league average is 0.90, down 0.03 from 0.93 last year.

Biggest riser: Bills, #27 → #7. Biggest faller: Cardinals, #3 → #27.

Spread between first and last: 1.41; 22 teams are within 0.32 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2022 vs 2021

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

CHI · +1

Biggest faller

NYJ · −0.82

Most consistent

HOU · 0

League trend 2022 vs 2021

▼ -0.03

Rank	Team	2022	2021	Δ
1	CHI	1.82	0.82	+1
2	ARI	1.24	0.59	+0.65
3	IND	1.18	0.59	+0.59
4	CLE	1.29	0.76	+0.53
5	GB	1.06	0.76	+0.29
6	SEA	1.24	0.94	+0.29
7	DEN	0.71	0.53	+0.18
8	DET	1.29	1.12	+0.18
9	MIN	1.06	0.88	+0.18
10	LV	1.18	1.06	+0.12
11	NO	0.82	0.71	+0.12
12	CAR	1	0.94	+0.06
13	NYG	0.94	0.88	+0.06
14	TB	0.71	0.65	+0.06
15	HOU	1.47	1.47	0
16	MIA	0.88	0.94	−0.06
17	BAL	0.65	0.76	−0.12
18	NE	0.41	0.53	−0.12
19	CIN	0.75	0.88	−0.13
20	PHI	0.88	1.06	−0.18
21	DAL	0.53	0.76	−0.24
22	WAS	0.59	0.82	−0.24
23	ATL	0.88	1.12	−0.24
24	KC	0.59	0.88	−0.29
25	TEN	0.53	0.82	−0.29
26	LAC	1	1.29	−0.29
27	LAR	0.71	1.06	−0.35
28	SF	0.65	1	−0.35
29	JAX	0.82	1.29	−0.47
30	BUF	0.63	1.12	−0.49
31	PIT	0.41	1	−0.59
32	NYJ	0.82	1.65	−0.82

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

TB · 0.68

Multi-year laggard

CAR · 1.26

Biggest improver

HOU · −0.13/yr

Biggest decliner

NO · +0.15/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	TB	0.68	−0.00	0.63	0.65	0.71	0.65	0.76	0.94	0.40
2	PIT	0.71	−0.02	0.81	1	0.41	0.53	0.82	0.59	0.80
3	KC	0.75	−0.01	0.88	0.88	0.59	0.59	0.76	0.82	0.75
4	LAR	0.77	−0.03	0.75	1.06	0.71	0.82	0.76	0.47	0.80
5	NE	0.77	+0.02	1.06	0.53	0.41	0.82	0.94	0.65	1
6	BAL	0.78	+0.07	0.75	0.76	0.65	0.35	0.71	1.06	1.20
7	ATL	0.79	−0.07	0.94	1.12	0.88	0.65	0.65	0.71	0.60
8	DEN	0.82	−0.04	1.38	0.53	0.71	0.88	0.59	0.65	1
9	SF	0.82	−0.01	0.75	1	0.65	0.59	1.41	0.76	0.60
10	MIN	0.83	−0.11	1.19	0.88	1.06	0.82	0.71	0.76	0.40
11	WAS	0.84	+0.00	0.88	0.82	0.59	0.88	1.06	1.06	0.60
12	CLE	0.89	−0.08	1	0.76	1.29	0.88	1.29	0.82	0.20
13	SEA	0.90	−0.13	1.13	0.94	1.24	1.41	0.65	0.53	0.40
14	MIA	0.90	−0.03	1.06	0.94	0.88	0.88	0.71	1.06	0.80
15	TEN	0.93	+0.04	1.13	0.82	0.53	0.59	1.24	1.24	1
16	CIN	0.95	+0.05	0.81	0.88	0.75	1	1.18	1.06	1
17	NO	0.96	+0.15	0.69	0.71	0.82	0.59	1.18	0.71	2
18	CHI	0.98	+0.01	0.69	0.82	1.82	0.47	1.18	0.88	1
19	JAX	0.99	−0.12	1.44	1.29	0.82	0.88	1.12	0.76	0.60
20	GB	0.99	+0.06	1	0.76	1.06	0.88	0.76	0.88	1.60
21	BUF	1.01	−0.01	1.31	1.12	0.63	0.82	0.76	1.41	1
22	PHI	1.01	+0.01	1.25	1.06	0.88	0.76	0.53	1.18	1.40
23	ARI	1.02	+0.07	0.81	0.59	1.24	1.12	1.06	1.12	1.20
24	LAC	1.02	−0.01	1.06	1.29	1	1.06	0.41	0.94	1.40
25	IND	1.04	+0.04	1	0.59	1.18	1.29	1.06	0.94	1.20
26	NYG	1.06	+0.04	0.88	0.88	0.94	1.41	1.06	1.24	1
27	DAL	1.06	+0.07	1.25	0.76	0.53	0.82	1.47	1.41	1.20
28	NYJ	1.08	−0.04	1	1.65	0.82	0.82	1.29	1.18	0.80
29	LV	1.13	−0.03	1.50	1.06	1.18	0.88	0.82	1.29	1.20
30	HOU	1.14	−0.13	1.50	1.47	1.47	1.12	0.65	0.76	1
31	DET	1.17	−0.07	1.69	1.12	1.29	0.88	1.06	0.94	1.20
32	CAR	1.26	+0.11	1.06	0.94	1	1.47	1.41	1.18	1.75

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
NE	1.06	0.53	0.41	0.82	0.94	0.65	1
PIT	0.81	1	0.41	0.53	0.82	0.59	0.80
DAL	1.25	0.76	0.53	0.82	1.47	1.41	1.20
TEN	1.13	0.82	0.53	0.59	1.24	1.24	1
KC	0.88	0.88	0.59	0.59	0.76	0.82	0.75
WAS	0.88	0.82	0.59	0.88	1.06	1.06	0.60
BUF	1.31	1.12	0.63	0.82	0.76	1.41	1
BAL	0.75	0.76	0.65	0.35	0.71	1.06	1.20
SF	0.75	1	0.65	0.59	1.41	0.76	0.60
DEN	1.38	0.53	0.71	0.88	0.59	0.65	1
LAR	0.75	1.06	0.71	0.82	0.76	0.47	0.80
TB	0.63	0.65	0.71	0.65	0.76	0.94	0.40
CIN	0.81	0.88	0.75	1	1.18	1.06	1
JAX	1.44	1.29	0.82	0.88	1.12	0.76	0.60
NO	0.69	0.71	0.82	0.59	1.18	0.71	2
NYJ	1	1.65	0.82	0.82	1.29	1.18	0.80
ATL	0.94	1.12	0.88	0.65	0.65	0.71	0.60
MIA	1.06	0.94	0.88	0.88	0.71	1.06	0.80
PHI	1.25	1.06	0.88	0.76	0.53	1.18	1.40
NYG	0.88	0.88	0.94	1.41	1.06	1.24	1
CAR	1.06	0.94	1	1.47	1.41	1.18	1.75
LAC	1.06	1.29	1	1.06	0.41	0.94	1.40
GB	1	0.76	1.06	0.88	0.76	0.88	1.60
MIN	1.19	0.88	1.06	0.82	0.71	0.76	0.40
IND	1	0.59	1.18	1.29	1.06	0.94	1.20
LV	1.50	1.06	1.18	0.88	0.82	1.29	1.20
ARI	0.81	0.59	1.24	1.12	1.06	1.12	1.20
SEA	1.13	0.94	1.24	1.41	0.65	0.53	0.40
CLE	1	0.76	1.29	0.88	1.29	0.82	0.20
DET	1.69	1.12	1.29	0.88	1.06	0.94	1.20
HOU	1.50	1.47	1.47	1.12	0.65	0.76	1
CHI	0.69	0.82	1.82	0.47	1.18	0.88	1

Rush TD (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (0.31), 2019 Patriots (0.44), 2020 Buccaneers (0.63), 2021 Broncos (0.53), 2022 Patriots (0.41).

Patriots have led this stat 2 of 5 seasons.

The best season on record is Bears 2018 at 0.31; the worst Panthers 2019 at 1.94.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2022.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_rushing_rush_td
Side: defensive
Family: Rushing
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.