What Rush TD (allowed) is

Rushing touchdowns allowed: opponent scoring runs. Mostly goal-line and short-yardage defense.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2025 the Rams led at 0.47; the league average was 0.94.

League snapshot — 2025

League leader

LAR · 0.47

League average

0.94

Best to worst

0.94

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	LAR	0.47	17
2	SEA	0.53	17
3	PIT	0.59	17
4	DEN	0.65	17
5	NE	0.65	17
6	ATL	0.71	17
7	NO	0.71	17
8	HOU	0.76	17
9	JAX	0.76	17
10	MIN	0.76	17
11	SF	0.76	17
12	CLE	0.82	17
13	KC	0.82	17
14	CHI	0.88	17
15	GB	0.88	17
16	DET	0.94	17
17	IND	0.94	17
18	LAC	0.94	17
19	TB	0.94	17
20	BAL	1.06	17
21	CIN	1.06	17
22	MIA	1.06	17
23	WAS	1.06	17
24	ARI	1.12	17
25	CAR	1.18	17
26	NYJ	1.18	17
27	PHI	1.18	17
28	NYG	1.24	17
29	TEN	1.24	17
30	LV	1.29	17
31	BUF	1.41	17
32	DAL	1.41	17

At a glance — 2025

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

LAR · 0.47

League laggard

BUF · 1.41

League average

0.94

Spread (max − min)

0.94

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	LAR	0.47	-0.47	100%
2	SEA	0.53	-0.41	96.8%
3	PIT	0.59	-0.35	93.5%
4	DEN	0.65	-0.29	90.3%
5	NE	0.65	-0.29	87.1%
6	ATL	0.71	-0.23	83.9%
7	NO	0.71	-0.23	80.6%
8	HOU	0.76	-0.17	77.4%
9	JAX	0.76	-0.17	74.2%
10	MIN	0.76	-0.17	71%
11	SF	0.76	-0.17	67.7%
12	CLE	0.82	-0.11	64.5%
13	KC	0.82	-0.11	61.3%
14	CHI	0.88	-0.06	58.1%
15	GB	0.88	-0.06	54.8%
16	DET	0.94	0.00	51.6%
17	IND	0.94	0.00	48.4%
18	LAC	0.94	0.00	45.2%
19	TB	0.94	0.00	41.9%
20	BAL	1.06	0.12	38.7%
21	CIN	1.06	0.12	35.5%
22	MIA	1.06	0.12	32.3%
23	WAS	1.06	0.12	29%
24	ARI	1.12	0.18	25.8%
25	CAR	1.18	0.24	22.6%
26	NYJ	1.18	0.24	19.4%
27	PHI	1.18	0.24	16.1%
28	NYG	1.24	0.30	12.9%
29	TEN	1.24	0.30	9.7%
30	LV	1.29	0.36	6.5%
31	BUF	1.41	0.47	3.2%
32	DAL	1.41	0.47	0%

Does Rush TD (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 853–725–37 ATS (54.1%) across 2020–2025, #94 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (146–108, 57.5%); its worst 2023 (128–130, 49.6%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	146–108–2	57.5%
2021	272	145–125–2	53.7%
2022	271	143–121–7	54.2%
2023	272	128–130–14	49.6%
2024	272	145–118–9	55.1%
2025	272	146–123–3	54.3%

Rush TD (allowed) in 2025 vs 2024

Rams lead at 0.47 — they ranked #13 last year. Cowboys are last at 1.41 — #32 last year.

The league average is 0.94, down 0.00 from 0.94 last year.

Biggest riser: 49ers, #31 → #11. Biggest faller: Eagles, #2 → #27.

Spread between first and last: 0.94; 22 teams are within 0.25 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

BUF · +0.65

Biggest faller

SF · −0.65

Most consistent

TEN · 0

League trend 2025 vs 2024

▼ 0.00

Rank	Team	2025	2024	Δ
1	BUF	1.41	0.76	+0.65
2	PHI	1.18	0.53	+0.65
3	LAC	0.94	0.41	+0.53
4	LV	1.29	0.82	+0.47
5	BAL	1.06	0.71	+0.35
6	MIA	1.06	0.71	+0.35
7	NYG	1.24	1.06	+0.18
8	TB	0.94	0.76	+0.18
9	GB	0.88	0.76	+0.12
10	HOU	0.76	0.65	+0.12
11	ARI	1.12	1.06	+0.06
12	ATL	0.71	0.65	+0.06
13	DEN	0.65	0.59	+0.06
14	KC	0.82	0.76	+0.06
15	MIN	0.76	0.71	+0.06
16	TEN	1.24	1.24	0
17	WAS	1.06	1.06	0
18	DAL	1.41	1.47	−0.06
19	CIN	1.06	1.18	−0.12
20	DET	0.94	1.06	−0.12
21	IND	0.94	1.06	−0.12
22	NYJ	1.18	1.29	−0.12
23	SEA	0.53	0.65	−0.12
24	PIT	0.59	0.82	−0.24
25	CAR	1.18	1.41	−0.24
26	LAR	0.47	0.76	−0.29
27	NE	0.65	0.94	−0.29
28	CHI	0.88	1.18	−0.29
29	JAX	0.76	1.12	−0.35
30	NO	0.71	1.18	−0.47
31	CLE	0.82	1.29	−0.47
32	SF	0.76	1.41	−0.65

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

TB · 0.68

Multi-year laggard

CAR · 1.26

Biggest improver

HOU · −0.13/yr

Biggest decliner

NO · +0.15/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	TB	0.68	−0.00	0.63	0.65	0.71	0.65	0.76	0.94	0.40
2	PIT	0.71	−0.02	0.81	1	0.41	0.53	0.82	0.59	0.80
3	KC	0.75	−0.01	0.88	0.88	0.59	0.59	0.76	0.82	0.75
4	LAR	0.77	−0.03	0.75	1.06	0.71	0.82	0.76	0.47	0.80
5	NE	0.77	+0.02	1.06	0.53	0.41	0.82	0.94	0.65	1
6	BAL	0.78	+0.07	0.75	0.76	0.65	0.35	0.71	1.06	1.20
7	ATL	0.79	−0.07	0.94	1.12	0.88	0.65	0.65	0.71	0.60
8	DEN	0.82	−0.04	1.38	0.53	0.71	0.88	0.59	0.65	1
9	SF	0.82	−0.01	0.75	1	0.65	0.59	1.41	0.76	0.60
10	MIN	0.83	−0.11	1.19	0.88	1.06	0.82	0.71	0.76	0.40
11	WAS	0.84	+0.00	0.88	0.82	0.59	0.88	1.06	1.06	0.60
12	CLE	0.89	−0.08	1	0.76	1.29	0.88	1.29	0.82	0.20
13	SEA	0.90	−0.13	1.13	0.94	1.24	1.41	0.65	0.53	0.40
14	MIA	0.90	−0.03	1.06	0.94	0.88	0.88	0.71	1.06	0.80
15	TEN	0.93	+0.04	1.13	0.82	0.53	0.59	1.24	1.24	1
16	CIN	0.95	+0.05	0.81	0.88	0.75	1	1.18	1.06	1
17	NO	0.96	+0.15	0.69	0.71	0.82	0.59	1.18	0.71	2
18	CHI	0.98	+0.01	0.69	0.82	1.82	0.47	1.18	0.88	1
19	JAX	0.99	−0.12	1.44	1.29	0.82	0.88	1.12	0.76	0.60
20	GB	0.99	+0.06	1	0.76	1.06	0.88	0.76	0.88	1.60
21	BUF	1.01	−0.01	1.31	1.12	0.63	0.82	0.76	1.41	1
22	PHI	1.01	+0.01	1.25	1.06	0.88	0.76	0.53	1.18	1.40
23	ARI	1.02	+0.07	0.81	0.59	1.24	1.12	1.06	1.12	1.20
24	LAC	1.02	−0.01	1.06	1.29	1	1.06	0.41	0.94	1.40
25	IND	1.04	+0.04	1	0.59	1.18	1.29	1.06	0.94	1.20
26	NYG	1.06	+0.04	0.88	0.88	0.94	1.41	1.06	1.24	1
27	DAL	1.06	+0.07	1.25	0.76	0.53	0.82	1.47	1.41	1.20
28	NYJ	1.08	−0.04	1	1.65	0.82	0.82	1.29	1.18	0.80
29	LV	1.13	−0.03	1.50	1.06	1.18	0.88	0.82	1.29	1.20
30	HOU	1.14	−0.13	1.50	1.47	1.47	1.12	0.65	0.76	1
31	DET	1.17	−0.07	1.69	1.12	1.29	0.88	1.06	0.94	1.20
32	CAR	1.26	+0.11	1.06	0.94	1	1.47	1.41	1.18	1.75

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
LAR	0.75	1.06	0.71	0.82	0.76	0.47	0.80
SEA	1.13	0.94	1.24	1.41	0.65	0.53	0.40
PIT	0.81	1	0.41	0.53	0.82	0.59	0.80
DEN	1.38	0.53	0.71	0.88	0.59	0.65	1
NE	1.06	0.53	0.41	0.82	0.94	0.65	1
ATL	0.94	1.12	0.88	0.65	0.65	0.71	0.60
NO	0.69	0.71	0.82	0.59	1.18	0.71	2
HOU	1.50	1.47	1.47	1.12	0.65	0.76	1
JAX	1.44	1.29	0.82	0.88	1.12	0.76	0.60
MIN	1.19	0.88	1.06	0.82	0.71	0.76	0.40
SF	0.75	1	0.65	0.59	1.41	0.76	0.60
CLE	1	0.76	1.29	0.88	1.29	0.82	0.20
KC	0.88	0.88	0.59	0.59	0.76	0.82	0.75
CHI	0.69	0.82	1.82	0.47	1.18	0.88	1
GB	1	0.76	1.06	0.88	0.76	0.88	1.60
DET	1.69	1.12	1.29	0.88	1.06	0.94	1.20
IND	1	0.59	1.18	1.29	1.06	0.94	1.20
LAC	1.06	1.29	1	1.06	0.41	0.94	1.40
TB	0.63	0.65	0.71	0.65	0.76	0.94	0.40
BAL	0.75	0.76	0.65	0.35	0.71	1.06	1.20
CIN	0.81	0.88	0.75	1	1.18	1.06	1
MIA	1.06	0.94	0.88	0.88	0.71	1.06	0.80
WAS	0.88	0.82	0.59	0.88	1.06	1.06	0.60
ARI	0.81	0.59	1.24	1.12	1.06	1.12	1.20
CAR	1.06	0.94	1	1.47	1.41	1.18	1.75
NYJ	1	1.65	0.82	0.82	1.29	1.18	0.80
PHI	1.25	1.06	0.88	0.76	0.53	1.18	1.40
NYG	0.88	0.88	0.94	1.41	1.06	1.24	1
TEN	1.13	0.82	0.53	0.59	1.24	1.24	1
LV	1.50	1.06	1.18	0.88	0.82	1.29	1.20
BUF	1.31	1.12	0.63	0.82	0.76	1.41	1
DAL	1.25	0.76	0.53	0.82	1.47	1.41	1.20

Rush TD (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (0.31), 2019 Patriots (0.44), 2020 Buccaneers (0.63), 2021 Broncos (0.53), 2022 Patriots (0.41), 2023 Ravens (0.35), 2024 Chargers (0.41), 2025 Rams (0.47).

Patriots have led this stat 2 of 8 seasons.

The best season on record is Bears 2018 at 0.31; the worst Panthers 2019 at 1.94.

The league average has risen from 0.86 in 2018 to 0.94 in 2025.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_rushing_rush_td
Side: defensive
Family: Rushing
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.