What Turnover pct (allowed) is

Turnover rate forced: opponent drives that ended in a turnover divided by all opponent drives, as a percentage. How often this defense ended a possession by taking the ball.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2024 the Bills led at 17.82; the league average was 11.65.

League snapshot — 2024

League leader

BUF · 17.82

League average

11.65

Best to worst

12.84

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BUF	17.82	17
2	GB	17.49	17
3	PIT	17.39	17
4	MIN	16.84	17
5	PHI	15.56	17
6	DET	14.21	17
7	HOU	13.92	17
8	CHI	13.90	17
9	CIN	13.90	17
10	IND	13.43	17
11	DEN	12.12	17
12	DAL	12.06	17
13	TEN	11.98	17
14	NYG	11.70	17
15	LAR	11.56	17
16	LAC	11.54	17
17	KC	11.24	17
18	NO	11.23	17
19	ATL	10.67	17
20	ARI	10.53	17
21	SEA	10.05	17
22	MIA	9.78	17
23	TB	9.73	17
24	NYJ	9.55	17
25	CAR	9.52	17
26	SF	9.39	17
27	BAL	9.04	17
28	WAS	9.04	17
29	LV	8.42	17
30	CLE	7.48	17
31	NE	6.74	17
32	JAX	4.97	17

At a glance — 2024

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BUF · 17.82

League laggard

JAX · 4.97

League average

11.65

Spread (max − min)

12.84

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BUF	17.82	6.17	100%
2	GB	17.49	5.84	96.8%
3	PIT	17.39	5.74	93.5%
4	MIN	16.84	5.19	90.3%
5	PHI	15.56	3.91	87.1%
6	DET	14.21	2.56	83.9%
7	HOU	13.92	2.27	80.6%
8	CHI	13.90	2.25	77.4%
9	CIN	13.90	2.25	74.2%
10	IND	13.43	1.78	71%
11	DEN	12.12	0.47	67.7%
12	DAL	12.06	0.41	64.5%
13	TEN	11.98	0.33	61.3%
14	NYG	11.70	0.05	58.1%
15	LAR	11.56	-0.09	54.8%
16	LAC	11.54	-0.11	51.6%
17	KC	11.24	-0.41	48.4%
18	NO	11.23	-0.42	45.2%
19	ATL	10.67	-0.98	41.9%
20	ARI	10.53	-1.12	38.7%
21	SEA	10.05	-1.60	35.5%
22	MIA	9.78	-1.87	32.3%
23	TB	9.73	-1.92	29%
24	NYJ	9.55	-2.10	25.8%
25	CAR	9.52	-2.13	22.6%
26	SF	9.39	-2.26	19.4%
27	BAL	9.04	-2.61	16.1%
28	WAS	9.04	-2.61	12.9%
29	LV	8.42	-3.23	9.7%
30	CLE	7.48	-4.17	6.5%
31	NE	6.74	-4.91	3.2%
32	JAX	4.97	-6.68	0%

Does Turnover pct (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 864–714–37 ATS (54.8%) across 2020–2025, #79 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (150–104, 59.1%); its worst 2023 (132–126, 51.2%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	150–104–2	59.1%
2021	272	146–124–2	54.1%
2022	271	151–113–7	57.2%
2023	272	132–126–14	51.2%
2024	272	136–127–9	51.7%
2025	272	149–120–3	55.4%

Turnover pct (allowed) in 2024 vs 2023

Bills lead at 17.82 — they ranked #1 last year. Jaguars are last at 4.97 — #16 last year.

The league average is 11.65, down 1.03 from 12.68 last year.

Biggest riser: Packers, #25 → #2. Biggest faller: 49ers, #4 → #26.

Spread between first and last: 12.84; 23 teams are within 3.11 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2024 vs 2023

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

GB · +7.20

Biggest faller

JAX · −8.23

Most consistent

SEA · −0.22

League trend 2024 vs 2023

▼ -1.03

Rank	Team	2024	2023	Δ
1	GB	17.49	10.29	+7.20
2	MIN	16.84	11.58	+5.26
3	PHI	15.56	10.73	+4.82
4	TEN	11.98	8.33	+3.65
5	PIT	17.39	14.21	+3.18
6	HOU	13.92	11.68	+2.24
7	LAR	11.56	9.42	+2.14
8	ATL	10.67	8.63	+2.04
9	CAR	9.52	8.51	+1.01
10	BUF	17.82	16.85	+0.97
11	IND	13.43	12.62	+0.81
12	ARI	10.53	10.00	+0.53
13	DET	14.21	13.76	+0.45
14	KC	11.24	10.93	+0.31
15	SEA	10.05	10.27	−0.22
16	CIN	13.90	14.29	−0.38
17	LAC	11.54	11.98	−0.44
18	DEN	12.12	13.23	−1.11
19	WAS	9.04	11.28	−2.24
20	CHI	13.90	16.75	−2.85
21	NE	6.74	10.05	−3.31
22	LV	8.42	11.76	−3.34
23	DAL	12.06	15.56	−3.50
24	NYJ	9.55	13.43	−3.88
25	NYG	11.70	15.61	−3.91
26	TB	9.73	14.05	−4.32
27	NO	11.23	15.66	−4.43
28	CLE	7.48	13.48	−6.00
29	MIA	9.78	16.06	−6.28
30	SF	9.39	16.00	−6.61
31	BAL	9.04	15.66	−6.61
32	JAX	4.97	13.20	−8.23

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 14.42

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · 9.34

Biggest improver

JAX · +1.05/yr

Biggest decliner

DAL · −2.03/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	14.42	−0.86	15.88	14.81	15.03	16.85	17.82	11.30	9.26
2	PIT	14.31	+0.38	14.29	11.62	13.41	14.21	17.39	15.00	14.29
3	MIN	14.18	+0.90	12.57	12.63	13.20	11.58	16.84	12.83	19.64
4	CIN	14.14	+0.99	10.44	12.37	14.44	14.29	13.90	16.22	17.31
5	GB	13.27	−0.05	12.88	14.12	14.61	10.29	17.49	7.98	15.52
6	LAR	13.26	−0.33	13.76	16.04	14.12	9.42	11.56	17.03	10.91
7	TB	13.24	−0.27	15.47	15.46	10.10	14.05	9.73	13.59	14.29
8	CHI	13.14	+0.57	9.84	10.38	13.19	16.75	13.90	18.28	9.62
9	NE	12.98	−1.31	16.25	18.92	15.23	10.05	6.74	12.57	11.11
10	IND	12.76	−1.65	15.52	18.38	12.87	12.62	13.43	12.92	3.57
11	SEA	12.70	+0.91	12.36	9.33	13.68	10.27	10.05	14.87	18.33
12	DAL	12.51	−2.03	13.44	18.36	17.41	15.56	12.06	6.74	4.00
13	MIA	12.40	−1.14	17.84	13.92	9.04	16.06	9.78	11.80	8.33
14	NYG	12.17	−0.14	12.65	13.76	8.70	15.61	11.70	9.78	12.96
15	BAL	12.14	−0.11	13.37	9.09	14.12	15.66	9.04	10.99	12.73
16	LAC	12.13	+0.23	11.24	12.50	11.52	11.98	11.54	13.26	12.90
17	KC	12.10	−0.49	13.37	16.18	10.75	10.93	11.24	8.24	13.95
18	JAX	12.08	+1.05	10.33	7.30	14.75	13.20	4.97	17.37	16.67
19	SF	11.94	−0.27	12.04	9.14	16.04	16.00	9.39	9.41	11.54
20	HOU	11.93	+0.44	6.47	12.11	15.27	11.68	13.92	14.81	9.26
21	ARI	11.93	−0.26	11.80	15.93	11.34	10.00	10.53	10.93	12.96
22	DET	11.75	−0.04	9.20	11.35	13.89	13.76	14.21	10.58	9.26
23	NO	11.66	−0.68	12.71	14.07	8.95	15.66	11.23	11.96	7.02
24	DEN	11.34	−0.13	10.00	12.64	11.82	13.23	12.12	7.25	12.28
25	PHI	11.28	−0.33	10.15	9.29	15.85	10.73	15.56	12.02	5.36
26	ATL	11.24	−0.16	12.43	12.71	10.53	8.63	10.67	13.19	10.53
27	CLE	10.71	−0.47	13.17	10.38	10.58	13.48	7.48	9.36	10.53
28	LV	10.66	+0.92	10.00	8.56	8.15	11.76	8.42	10.50	17.24
29	CAR	10.62	+0.10	12.80	10.00	9.14	8.51	9.52	12.35	12.00
30	WAS	10.33	−0.41	12.57	12.02	8.54	11.28	9.04	7.02	11.86
31	TEN	9.87	−1.08	13.45	10.53	11.46	8.33	11.98	9.52	3.85
32	NYJ	9.34	−0.56	12.22	7.33	9.69	13.43	9.55	3.74	9.43

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BUF	15.88	14.81	15.03	16.85	17.82	11.30	9.26
GB	12.88	14.12	14.61	10.29	17.49	7.98	15.52
PIT	14.29	11.62	13.41	14.21	17.39	15.00	14.29
MIN	12.57	12.63	13.20	11.58	16.84	12.83	19.64
PHI	10.15	9.29	15.85	10.73	15.56	12.02	5.36
DET	9.20	11.35	13.89	13.76	14.21	10.58	9.26
HOU	6.47	12.11	15.27	11.68	13.92	14.81	9.26
CHI	9.84	10.38	13.19	16.75	13.90	18.28	9.62
CIN	10.44	12.37	14.44	14.29	13.90	16.22	17.31
IND	15.52	18.38	12.87	12.62	13.43	12.92	3.57
DEN	10.00	12.64	11.82	13.23	12.12	7.25	12.28
DAL	13.44	18.36	17.41	15.56	12.06	6.74	4.00
TEN	13.45	10.53	11.46	8.33	11.98	9.52	3.85
NYG	12.65	13.76	8.70	15.61	11.70	9.78	12.96
LAR	13.76	16.04	14.12	9.42	11.56	17.03	10.91
LAC	11.24	12.50	11.52	11.98	11.54	13.26	12.90
KC	13.37	16.18	10.75	10.93	11.24	8.24	13.95
NO	12.71	14.07	8.95	15.66	11.23	11.96	7.02
ATL	12.43	12.71	10.53	8.63	10.67	13.19	10.53
ARI	11.80	15.93	11.34	10.00	10.53	10.93	12.96
SEA	12.36	9.33	13.68	10.27	10.05	14.87	18.33
MIA	17.84	13.92	9.04	16.06	9.78	11.80	8.33
TB	15.47	15.46	10.10	14.05	9.73	13.59	14.29
NYJ	12.22	7.33	9.69	13.43	9.55	3.74	9.43
CAR	12.80	10.00	9.14	8.51	9.52	12.35	12.00
SF	12.04	9.14	16.04	16.00	9.39	9.41	11.54
BAL	13.37	9.09	14.12	15.66	9.04	10.99	12.73
WAS	12.57	12.02	8.54	11.28	9.04	7.02	11.86
LV	10.00	8.56	8.15	11.76	8.42	10.50	17.24
CLE	13.17	10.38	10.58	13.48	7.48	9.36	10.53
NE	16.25	18.92	15.23	10.05	6.74	12.57	11.11
JAX	10.33	7.30	14.75	13.20	4.97	17.37	16.67

Turnover pct (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (19.05), 2019 Steelers (20.94), 2020 Dolphins (17.84), 2021 Patriots (18.92), 2022 Cowboys (17.41), 2023 Bills (16.85), 2024 Bills (17.82).

Bills have led this stat 2 of 7 seasons.

The best season on record is Steelers 2019 at 20.94; the worst Jaguars 2024 at 4.97.

The league average has fallen from 12.93 in 2018 to 11.65 in 2024.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2024.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_drives_turnover_pct
Side: defensive
Family: Drive Averages
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.