Defensive: Drive Averages · Turnover pct (allowed)
What Turnover pct (allowed) is
Turnover rate forced: opponent drives that ended in a turnover divided by all opponent drives, as a percentage. How often this defense ended a possession by taking the ball.
Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
In 2019 the Steelers led at 20.94; the league average was 13.15.
League snapshot — 2019
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | 20.94 | 16 |
| 2 | NE | 19.70 | 16 |
| 3 | SEA | 19.15 | 16 |
| 4 | MIN | 17.51 | 16 |
| 5 | TB | 16.10 | 16 |
| 6 | IND | 16.00 | 16 |
| 7 | SF | 14.84 | 16 |
| 8 | BAL | 14.79 | 16 |
| 9 | LAR | 14.21 | 16 |
| 10 | GB | 13.97 | 16 |
| 11 | HOU | 13.87 | 16 |
| 12 | KC | 13.61 | 16 |
| 13 | NO | 13.14 | 16 |
| 14 | WAS | 12.85 | 16 |
| 15 | BUF | 12.83 | 16 |
| 16 | TEN | 12.57 | 16 |
| 17 | CAR | 12.38 | 16 |
| 18 | CLE | 11.96 | 16 |
| 19 | ARI | 11.67 | 16 |
| 20 | LAC | 11.38 | 16 |
| 21 | NYG | 11.34 | 16 |
| 22 | NYJ | 11.17 | 16 |
| 23 | DET | 11.05 | 16 |
| 24 | CIN | 10.99 | 16 |
| 25 | DEN | 10.86 | 16 |
| 26 | CHI | 10.81 | 16 |
| 27 | ATL | 10.61 | 16 |
| 28 | PHI | 10.47 | 16 |
| 29 | JAX | 10.38 | 16 |
| 30 | LV | 10.06 | 16 |
| 31 | MIA | 10.00 | 16 |
| 32 | DAL | 9.66 | 16 |
At a glance — 2019
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2019
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | 20.94 | 7.79 | 100% |
| 2 | NE | 19.70 | 6.54 | 96.8% |
| 3 | SEA | 19.15 | 6.00 | 93.5% |
| 4 | MIN | 17.51 | 4.36 | 90.3% |
| 5 | TB | 16.10 | 2.95 | 87.1% |
| 6 | IND | 16.00 | 2.85 | 83.9% |
| 7 | SF | 14.84 | 1.68 | 80.6% |
| 8 | BAL | 14.79 | 1.64 | 77.4% |
| 9 | LAR | 14.21 | 1.06 | 74.2% |
| 10 | GB | 13.97 | 0.81 | 71% |
| 11 | HOU | 13.87 | 0.72 | 67.7% |
| 12 | KC | 13.61 | 0.46 | 64.5% |
| 13 | NO | 13.14 | -0.01 | 61.3% |
| 14 | WAS | 12.85 | -0.30 | 58.1% |
| 15 | BUF | 12.83 | -0.32 | 54.8% |
| 16 | TEN | 12.57 | -0.59 | 51.6% |
| 17 | CAR | 12.38 | -0.78 | 48.4% |
| 18 | CLE | 11.96 | -1.20 | 45.2% |
| 19 | ARI | 11.67 | -1.49 | 41.9% |
| 20 | LAC | 11.38 | -1.77 | 38.7% |
| 21 | NYG | 11.34 | -1.81 | 35.5% |
| 22 | NYJ | 11.17 | -1.98 | 32.3% |
| 23 | DET | 11.05 | -2.10 | 29% |
| 24 | CIN | 10.99 | -2.16 | 25.8% |
| 25 | DEN | 10.86 | -2.29 | 22.6% |
| 26 | CHI | 10.81 | -2.34 | 19.4% |
| 27 | ATL | 10.61 | -2.54 | 16.1% |
| 28 | PHI | 10.47 | -2.68 | 12.9% |
| 29 | JAX | 10.38 | -2.77 | 9.7% |
| 30 | LV | 10.06 | -3.09 | 6.5% |
| 31 | MIA | 10.00 | -3.15 | 3.2% |
| 32 | DAL | 9.66 | -3.49 | 0% |
Does Turnover pct (allowed) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 864–714–37 ATS (54.8%) across 2020–2025, #79 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (150–104, 59.1%); its worst 2023 (132–126, 51.2%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 150–104–2 | 59.1% |
| 2021 | 272 | 146–124–2 | 54.1% |
| 2022 | 271 | 151–113–7 | 57.2% |
| 2023 | 272 | 132–126–14 | 51.2% |
| 2024 | 272 | 136–127–9 | 51.7% |
| 2025 | 272 | 149–120–3 | 55.4% |
Turnover pct (allowed) in 2019 vs 2018
Steelers lead at 20.94 — they ranked #31 last year. Cowboys are last at 9.66 — #17 last year.
The league average is 13.15, up 0.22 from 12.93 last year.
Biggest riser: Steelers, #31 → #1. Biggest faller: Bears, #1 → #26.
Spread between first and last: 11.28; 24 teams are within 2.91 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2019 vs 2018
| Rank | Team | 2019 | 2018 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | 20.94 | 8.51 | +12.43 |
| 2 | SF | 14.84 | 5.91 | +8.92 |
| 3 | TB | 16.10 | 10.16 | +5.94 |
| 4 | GB | 13.97 | 9.19 | +4.78 |
| 5 | MIN | 17.51 | 13.09 | +4.43 |
| 6 | BAL | 14.79 | 10.38 | +4.41 |
| 7 | SEA | 19.15 | 14.84 | +4.31 |
| 8 | NE | 19.70 | 15.51 | +4.19 |
| 9 | TEN | 12.57 | 10.29 | +2.28 |
| 10 | DET | 11.05 | 8.99 | +2.06 |
| 11 | PHI | 10.47 | 9.55 | +0.92 |
| 12 | ARI | 11.67 | 10.99 | +0.67 |
| 13 | JAX | 10.38 | 10.05 | +0.33 |
| 14 | HOU | 13.87 | 13.76 | +0.12 |
| 15 | NYJ | 11.17 | 11.17 | +0.00 |
| 16 | CIN | 10.99 | 11.11 | −0.12 |
| 17 | IND | 16.00 | 16.29 | −0.29 |
| 18 | NYG | 11.34 | 11.96 | −0.62 |
| 19 | CAR | 12.38 | 13.37 | −1.00 |
| 20 | ATL | 10.61 | 11.86 | −1.25 |
| 21 | NO | 13.14 | 14.97 | −1.83 |
| 22 | LV | 10.06 | 12.22 | −2.16 |
| 23 | DAL | 9.66 | 12.35 | −2.69 |
| 24 | LAC | 11.38 | 14.37 | −2.99 |
| 25 | KC | 13.61 | 16.67 | −3.06 |
| 26 | BUF | 12.83 | 15.90 | −3.06 |
| 27 | LAR | 14.21 | 17.78 | −3.57 |
| 28 | WAS | 12.85 | 16.48 | −3.63 |
| 29 | DEN | 10.86 | 14.74 | −3.88 |
| 30 | CLE | 11.96 | 16.18 | −4.22 |
| 31 | MIA | 10.00 | 16.13 | −6.13 |
| 32 | CHI | 10.81 | 19.05 | −8.24 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 14.42 | −0.86 | 15.88 | 14.81 | 15.03 | 16.85 | 17.82 | 11.30 | 9.26 |
| 2 | PIT | 14.31 | +0.38 | 14.29 | 11.62 | 13.41 | 14.21 | 17.39 | 15.00 | 14.29 |
| 3 | MIN | 14.18 | +0.90 | 12.57 | 12.63 | 13.20 | 11.58 | 16.84 | 12.83 | 19.64 |
| 4 | CIN | 14.14 | +0.99 | 10.44 | 12.37 | 14.44 | 14.29 | 13.90 | 16.22 | 17.31 |
| 5 | GB | 13.27 | −0.05 | 12.88 | 14.12 | 14.61 | 10.29 | 17.49 | 7.98 | 15.52 |
| 6 | LAR | 13.26 | −0.33 | 13.76 | 16.04 | 14.12 | 9.42 | 11.56 | 17.03 | 10.91 |
| 7 | TB | 13.24 | −0.27 | 15.47 | 15.46 | 10.10 | 14.05 | 9.73 | 13.59 | 14.29 |
| 8 | CHI | 13.14 | +0.57 | 9.84 | 10.38 | 13.19 | 16.75 | 13.90 | 18.28 | 9.62 |
| 9 | NE | 12.98 | −1.31 | 16.25 | 18.92 | 15.23 | 10.05 | 6.74 | 12.57 | 11.11 |
| 10 | IND | 12.76 | −1.65 | 15.52 | 18.38 | 12.87 | 12.62 | 13.43 | 12.92 | 3.57 |
| 11 | SEA | 12.70 | +0.91 | 12.36 | 9.33 | 13.68 | 10.27 | 10.05 | 14.87 | 18.33 |
| 12 | DAL | 12.51 | −2.03 | 13.44 | 18.36 | 17.41 | 15.56 | 12.06 | 6.74 | 4.00 |
| 13 | MIA | 12.40 | −1.14 | 17.84 | 13.92 | 9.04 | 16.06 | 9.78 | 11.80 | 8.33 |
| 14 | NYG | 12.17 | −0.14 | 12.65 | 13.76 | 8.70 | 15.61 | 11.70 | 9.78 | 12.96 |
| 15 | BAL | 12.14 | −0.11 | 13.37 | 9.09 | 14.12 | 15.66 | 9.04 | 10.99 | 12.73 |
| 16 | LAC | 12.13 | +0.23 | 11.24 | 12.50 | 11.52 | 11.98 | 11.54 | 13.26 | 12.90 |
| 17 | KC | 12.10 | −0.49 | 13.37 | 16.18 | 10.75 | 10.93 | 11.24 | 8.24 | 13.95 |
| 18 | JAX | 12.08 | +1.05 | 10.33 | 7.30 | 14.75 | 13.20 | 4.97 | 17.37 | 16.67 |
| 19 | SF | 11.94 | −0.27 | 12.04 | 9.14 | 16.04 | 16.00 | 9.39 | 9.41 | 11.54 |
| 20 | HOU | 11.93 | +0.44 | 6.47 | 12.11 | 15.27 | 11.68 | 13.92 | 14.81 | 9.26 |
| 21 | ARI | 11.93 | −0.26 | 11.80 | 15.93 | 11.34 | 10.00 | 10.53 | 10.93 | 12.96 |
| 22 | DET | 11.75 | −0.04 | 9.20 | 11.35 | 13.89 | 13.76 | 14.21 | 10.58 | 9.26 |
| 23 | NO | 11.66 | −0.68 | 12.71 | 14.07 | 8.95 | 15.66 | 11.23 | 11.96 | 7.02 |
| 24 | DEN | 11.34 | −0.13 | 10.00 | 12.64 | 11.82 | 13.23 | 12.12 | 7.25 | 12.28 |
| 25 | PHI | 11.28 | −0.33 | 10.15 | 9.29 | 15.85 | 10.73 | 15.56 | 12.02 | 5.36 |
| 26 | ATL | 11.24 | −0.16 | 12.43 | 12.71 | 10.53 | 8.63 | 10.67 | 13.19 | 10.53 |
| 27 | CLE | 10.71 | −0.47 | 13.17 | 10.38 | 10.58 | 13.48 | 7.48 | 9.36 | 10.53 |
| 28 | LV | 10.66 | +0.92 | 10.00 | 8.56 | 8.15 | 11.76 | 8.42 | 10.50 | 17.24 |
| 29 | CAR | 10.62 | +0.10 | 12.80 | 10.00 | 9.14 | 8.51 | 9.52 | 12.35 | 12.00 |
| 30 | WAS | 10.33 | −0.41 | 12.57 | 12.02 | 8.54 | 11.28 | 9.04 | 7.02 | 11.86 |
| 31 | TEN | 9.87 | −1.08 | 13.45 | 10.53 | 11.46 | 8.33 | 11.98 | 9.52 | 3.85 |
| 32 | NYJ | 9.34 | −0.56 | 12.22 | 7.33 | 9.69 | 13.43 | 9.55 | 3.74 | 9.43 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 12.57 | 12.63 | 13.20 | 11.58 | 16.84 | 12.83 | 19.64 |
| SEA | 12.36 | 9.33 | 13.68 | 10.27 | 10.05 | 14.87 | 18.33 |
| CIN | 10.44 | 12.37 | 14.44 | 14.29 | 13.90 | 16.22 | 17.31 |
| LV | 10.00 | 8.56 | 8.15 | 11.76 | 8.42 | 10.50 | 17.24 |
| JAX | 10.33 | 7.30 | 14.75 | 13.20 | 4.97 | 17.37 | 16.67 |
| GB | 12.88 | 14.12 | 14.61 | 10.29 | 17.49 | 7.98 | 15.52 |
| PIT | 14.29 | 11.62 | 13.41 | 14.21 | 17.39 | 15.00 | 14.29 |
| TB | 15.47 | 15.46 | 10.10 | 14.05 | 9.73 | 13.59 | 14.29 |
| KC | 13.37 | 16.18 | 10.75 | 10.93 | 11.24 | 8.24 | 13.95 |
| ARI | 11.80 | 15.93 | 11.34 | 10.00 | 10.53 | 10.93 | 12.96 |
| NYG | 12.65 | 13.76 | 8.70 | 15.61 | 11.70 | 9.78 | 12.96 |
| LAC | 11.24 | 12.50 | 11.52 | 11.98 | 11.54 | 13.26 | 12.90 |
| BAL | 13.37 | 9.09 | 14.12 | 15.66 | 9.04 | 10.99 | 12.73 |
| DEN | 10.00 | 12.64 | 11.82 | 13.23 | 12.12 | 7.25 | 12.28 |
| CAR | 12.80 | 10.00 | 9.14 | 8.51 | 9.52 | 12.35 | 12.00 |
| WAS | 12.57 | 12.02 | 8.54 | 11.28 | 9.04 | 7.02 | 11.86 |
| SF | 12.04 | 9.14 | 16.04 | 16.00 | 9.39 | 9.41 | 11.54 |
| NE | 16.25 | 18.92 | 15.23 | 10.05 | 6.74 | 12.57 | 11.11 |
| LAR | 13.76 | 16.04 | 14.12 | 9.42 | 11.56 | 17.03 | 10.91 |
| ATL | 12.43 | 12.71 | 10.53 | 8.63 | 10.67 | 13.19 | 10.53 |
| CLE | 13.17 | 10.38 | 10.58 | 13.48 | 7.48 | 9.36 | 10.53 |
| CHI | 9.84 | 10.38 | 13.19 | 16.75 | 13.90 | 18.28 | 9.62 |
| NYJ | 12.22 | 7.33 | 9.69 | 13.43 | 9.55 | 3.74 | 9.43 |
| BUF | 15.88 | 14.81 | 15.03 | 16.85 | 17.82 | 11.30 | 9.26 |
| DET | 9.20 | 11.35 | 13.89 | 13.76 | 14.21 | 10.58 | 9.26 |
| HOU | 6.47 | 12.11 | 15.27 | 11.68 | 13.92 | 14.81 | 9.26 |
| MIA | 17.84 | 13.92 | 9.04 | 16.06 | 9.78 | 11.80 | 8.33 |
| NO | 12.71 | 14.07 | 8.95 | 15.66 | 11.23 | 11.96 | 7.02 |
| PHI | 10.15 | 9.29 | 15.85 | 10.73 | 15.56 | 12.02 | 5.36 |
| DAL | 13.44 | 18.36 | 17.41 | 15.56 | 12.06 | 6.74 | 4.00 |
| TEN | 13.45 | 10.53 | 11.46 | 8.33 | 11.98 | 9.52 | 3.85 |
| IND | 15.52 | 18.38 | 12.87 | 12.62 | 13.43 | 12.92 | 3.57 |
Turnover pct (allowed) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (19.05), 2019 Steelers (20.94).
The best season on record is Steelers 2019 at 20.94; the worst 49ers 2018 at 5.91.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_drives_turnover_pct
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Drive Averages
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.