What Turnover pct (allowed) is

Turnover rate forced: opponent drives that ended in a turnover divided by all opponent drives, as a percentage. How often this defense ended a possession by taking the ball.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2025 the Bears led at 18.28; the league average was 11.67.

League snapshot — 2025

League leader

CHI · 18.28

League average

11.67

Best to worst

14.54

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	CHI	18.28	17
2	JAX	17.37	17
3	LAR	17.03	17
4	CIN	16.22	17
5	PIT	15.00	17
6	SEA	14.87	17
7	HOU	14.81	17
8	TB	13.59	17
9	LAC	13.26	17
10	ATL	13.19	17
11	IND	12.92	17
12	MIN	12.83	17
13	NE	12.57	17
14	CAR	12.35	17
15	PHI	12.02	17
16	NO	11.96	17
17	MIA	11.80	17
18	BUF	11.30	17
19	BAL	10.99	17
20	ARI	10.93	17
21	DET	10.58	17
22	LV	10.50	17
23	NYG	9.78	17
24	TEN	9.52	17
25	SF	9.41	17
26	CLE	9.36	17
27	KC	8.24	17
28	GB	7.98	17
29	DEN	7.25	17
30	WAS	7.02	17
31	DAL	6.74	17
32	NYJ	3.74	17

At a glance — 2025

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

CHI · 18.28

League laggard

NYJ · 3.74

League average

11.67

Spread (max − min)

14.54

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	CHI	18.28	6.61	100%
2	JAX	17.37	5.70	96.8%
3	LAR	17.03	5.36	93.5%
4	CIN	16.22	4.55	90.3%
5	PIT	15.00	3.33	87.1%
6	SEA	14.87	3.20	83.9%
7	HOU	14.81	3.15	80.6%
8	TB	13.59	1.92	77.4%
9	LAC	13.26	1.59	74.2%
10	ATL	13.19	1.52	71%
11	IND	12.92	1.25	67.7%
12	MIN	12.83	1.17	64.5%
13	NE	12.57	0.90	61.3%
14	CAR	12.35	0.68	58.1%
15	PHI	12.02	0.35	54.8%
16	NO	11.96	0.29	51.6%
17	MIA	11.80	0.13	48.4%
18	BUF	11.30	-0.37	45.2%
19	BAL	10.99	-0.68	41.9%
20	ARI	10.93	-0.74	38.7%
21	DET	10.58	-1.09	35.5%
22	LV	10.50	-1.17	32.3%
23	NYG	9.78	-1.89	29%
24	TEN	9.52	-2.15	25.8%
25	SF	9.41	-2.26	22.6%
26	CLE	9.36	-2.31	19.4%
27	KC	8.24	-3.43	16.1%
28	GB	7.98	-3.69	12.9%
29	DEN	7.25	-4.42	9.7%
30	WAS	7.02	-4.65	6.5%
31	DAL	6.74	-4.93	3.2%
32	NYJ	3.74	-7.93	0%

Does Turnover pct (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 864–714–37 ATS (54.8%) across 2020–2025, #79 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (150–104, 59.1%); its worst 2023 (132–126, 51.2%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	150–104–2	59.1%
2021	272	146–124–2	54.1%
2022	271	151–113–7	57.2%
2023	272	132–126–14	51.2%
2024	272	136–127–9	51.7%
2025	272	149–120–3	55.4%

Turnover pct (allowed) in 2025 vs 2024

Bears lead at 18.28 — they ranked #8 last year. Jets are last at 3.74 — #24 last year.

The league average is 11.67, up 0.02 from 11.65 last year.

Biggest riser: Jaguars, #32 → #2. Biggest faller: Packers, #2 → #28.

Spread between first and last: 14.54; 21 teams are within 3.29 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

JAX · +12.40

Biggest faller

GB · −9.51

Most consistent

SF · +0.02

League trend 2025 vs 2024

▲ 0.02

Rank	Team	2025	2024	Δ
1	JAX	17.37	4.97	+12.40
2	NE	12.57	6.74	+5.83
3	LAR	17.03	11.56	+5.47
4	SEA	14.87	10.05	+4.82
5	CHI	18.28	13.90	+4.38
6	TB	13.59	9.73	+3.86
7	CAR	12.35	9.52	+2.83
8	ATL	13.19	10.67	+2.51
9	CIN	16.22	13.90	+2.31
10	LV	10.50	8.42	+2.08
11	MIA	11.80	9.78	+2.02
12	BAL	10.99	9.04	+1.95
13	CLE	9.36	7.48	+1.88
14	LAC	13.26	11.54	+1.72
15	HOU	14.81	13.92	+0.90
16	NO	11.96	11.23	+0.73
17	ARI	10.93	10.53	+0.40
18	SF	9.41	9.39	+0.02
19	IND	12.92	13.43	−0.51
20	NYG	9.78	11.70	−1.92
21	WAS	7.02	9.04	−2.02
22	PIT	15.00	17.39	−2.39
23	TEN	9.52	11.98	−2.46
24	KC	8.24	11.24	−3.01
25	PHI	12.02	15.56	−3.53
26	DET	10.58	14.21	−3.63
27	MIN	12.83	16.84	−4.01
28	DEN	7.25	12.12	−4.87
29	DAL	6.74	12.06	−5.32
30	NYJ	3.74	9.55	−5.81
31	BUF	11.30	17.82	−6.52
32	GB	7.98	17.49	−9.51

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 14.42

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · 9.34

Biggest improver

JAX · +1.05/yr

Biggest decliner

DAL · −2.03/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	14.42	−0.86	15.88	14.81	15.03	16.85	17.82	11.30	9.26
2	PIT	14.31	+0.38	14.29	11.62	13.41	14.21	17.39	15.00	14.29
3	MIN	14.18	+0.90	12.57	12.63	13.20	11.58	16.84	12.83	19.64
4	CIN	14.14	+0.99	10.44	12.37	14.44	14.29	13.90	16.22	17.31
5	GB	13.27	−0.05	12.88	14.12	14.61	10.29	17.49	7.98	15.52
6	LAR	13.26	−0.33	13.76	16.04	14.12	9.42	11.56	17.03	10.91
7	TB	13.24	−0.27	15.47	15.46	10.10	14.05	9.73	13.59	14.29
8	CHI	13.14	+0.57	9.84	10.38	13.19	16.75	13.90	18.28	9.62
9	NE	12.98	−1.31	16.25	18.92	15.23	10.05	6.74	12.57	11.11
10	IND	12.76	−1.65	15.52	18.38	12.87	12.62	13.43	12.92	3.57
11	SEA	12.70	+0.91	12.36	9.33	13.68	10.27	10.05	14.87	18.33
12	DAL	12.51	−2.03	13.44	18.36	17.41	15.56	12.06	6.74	4.00
13	MIA	12.40	−1.14	17.84	13.92	9.04	16.06	9.78	11.80	8.33
14	NYG	12.17	−0.14	12.65	13.76	8.70	15.61	11.70	9.78	12.96
15	BAL	12.14	−0.11	13.37	9.09	14.12	15.66	9.04	10.99	12.73
16	LAC	12.13	+0.23	11.24	12.50	11.52	11.98	11.54	13.26	12.90
17	KC	12.10	−0.49	13.37	16.18	10.75	10.93	11.24	8.24	13.95
18	JAX	12.08	+1.05	10.33	7.30	14.75	13.20	4.97	17.37	16.67
19	SF	11.94	−0.27	12.04	9.14	16.04	16.00	9.39	9.41	11.54
20	HOU	11.93	+0.44	6.47	12.11	15.27	11.68	13.92	14.81	9.26
21	ARI	11.93	−0.26	11.80	15.93	11.34	10.00	10.53	10.93	12.96
22	DET	11.75	−0.04	9.20	11.35	13.89	13.76	14.21	10.58	9.26
23	NO	11.66	−0.68	12.71	14.07	8.95	15.66	11.23	11.96	7.02
24	DEN	11.34	−0.13	10.00	12.64	11.82	13.23	12.12	7.25	12.28
25	PHI	11.28	−0.33	10.15	9.29	15.85	10.73	15.56	12.02	5.36
26	ATL	11.24	−0.16	12.43	12.71	10.53	8.63	10.67	13.19	10.53
27	CLE	10.71	−0.47	13.17	10.38	10.58	13.48	7.48	9.36	10.53
28	LV	10.66	+0.92	10.00	8.56	8.15	11.76	8.42	10.50	17.24
29	CAR	10.62	+0.10	12.80	10.00	9.14	8.51	9.52	12.35	12.00
30	WAS	10.33	−0.41	12.57	12.02	8.54	11.28	9.04	7.02	11.86
31	TEN	9.87	−1.08	13.45	10.53	11.46	8.33	11.98	9.52	3.85
32	NYJ	9.34	−0.56	12.22	7.33	9.69	13.43	9.55	3.74	9.43

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
CHI	9.84	10.38	13.19	16.75	13.90	18.28	9.62
JAX	10.33	7.30	14.75	13.20	4.97	17.37	16.67
LAR	13.76	16.04	14.12	9.42	11.56	17.03	10.91
CIN	10.44	12.37	14.44	14.29	13.90	16.22	17.31
PIT	14.29	11.62	13.41	14.21	17.39	15.00	14.29
SEA	12.36	9.33	13.68	10.27	10.05	14.87	18.33
HOU	6.47	12.11	15.27	11.68	13.92	14.81	9.26
TB	15.47	15.46	10.10	14.05	9.73	13.59	14.29
LAC	11.24	12.50	11.52	11.98	11.54	13.26	12.90
ATL	12.43	12.71	10.53	8.63	10.67	13.19	10.53
IND	15.52	18.38	12.87	12.62	13.43	12.92	3.57
MIN	12.57	12.63	13.20	11.58	16.84	12.83	19.64
NE	16.25	18.92	15.23	10.05	6.74	12.57	11.11
CAR	12.80	10.00	9.14	8.51	9.52	12.35	12.00
PHI	10.15	9.29	15.85	10.73	15.56	12.02	5.36
NO	12.71	14.07	8.95	15.66	11.23	11.96	7.02
MIA	17.84	13.92	9.04	16.06	9.78	11.80	8.33
BUF	15.88	14.81	15.03	16.85	17.82	11.30	9.26
BAL	13.37	9.09	14.12	15.66	9.04	10.99	12.73
ARI	11.80	15.93	11.34	10.00	10.53	10.93	12.96
DET	9.20	11.35	13.89	13.76	14.21	10.58	9.26
LV	10.00	8.56	8.15	11.76	8.42	10.50	17.24
NYG	12.65	13.76	8.70	15.61	11.70	9.78	12.96
TEN	13.45	10.53	11.46	8.33	11.98	9.52	3.85
SF	12.04	9.14	16.04	16.00	9.39	9.41	11.54
CLE	13.17	10.38	10.58	13.48	7.48	9.36	10.53
KC	13.37	16.18	10.75	10.93	11.24	8.24	13.95
GB	12.88	14.12	14.61	10.29	17.49	7.98	15.52
DEN	10.00	12.64	11.82	13.23	12.12	7.25	12.28
WAS	12.57	12.02	8.54	11.28	9.04	7.02	11.86
DAL	13.44	18.36	17.41	15.56	12.06	6.74	4.00
NYJ	12.22	7.33	9.69	13.43	9.55	3.74	9.43

Turnover pct (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (19.05), 2019 Steelers (20.94), 2020 Dolphins (17.84), 2021 Patriots (18.92), 2022 Cowboys (17.41), 2023 Bills (16.85), 2024 Bills (17.82), 2025 Bears (18.28).

Bears have led this stat 2 of 8 seasons.

The best season on record is Steelers 2019 at 20.94; the worst Jets 2025 at 3.74.

The league average has fallen from 12.93 in 2018 to 11.67 in 2025.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_drives_turnover_pct
Side: defensive
Family: Drive Averages
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.