What Turnover pct (allowed) is

Turnover rate forced: opponent drives that ended in a turnover divided by all opponent drives, as a percentage. How often this defense ended a possession by taking the ball.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2018 the Bears led at 19.05; the league average was 12.93.

League snapshot — 2018

League leader

CHI · 19.05

League average

12.93

Best to worst

13.13

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	CHI	19.05	16
2	LAR	17.78	16
3	KC	16.67	16
4	WAS	16.48	16
5	IND	16.29	16
6	CLE	16.18	16
7	MIA	16.13	16
8	BUF	15.90	16
9	NE	15.51	16
10	NO	14.97	16
11	SEA	14.84	16
12	DEN	14.74	16
13	LAC	14.37	16
14	HOU	13.76	16
15	CAR	13.37	16
16	MIN	13.09	16
17	DAL	12.35	16
18	LV	12.22	16
19	NYG	11.96	16
20	ATL	11.86	16
21	NYJ	11.17	16
22	CIN	11.11	16
23	ARI	10.99	16
24	BAL	10.38	16
25	TEN	10.29	16
26	TB	10.16	16
27	JAX	10.05	16
28	PHI	9.55	16
29	GB	9.19	16
30	DET	8.99	16
31	PIT	8.51	16
32	SF	5.91	16

At a glance — 2018

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

CHI · 19.05

League laggard

SF · 5.91

League average

12.93

Spread (max − min)

13.13

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	CHI	19.05	6.12	100%
2	LAR	17.78	4.85	96.8%
3	KC	16.67	3.74	93.5%
4	WAS	16.48	3.55	90.3%
5	IND	16.29	3.36	87.1%
6	CLE	16.18	3.25	83.9%
7	MIA	16.13	3.20	80.6%
8	BUF	15.90	2.97	77.4%
9	NE	15.51	2.58	74.2%
10	NO	14.97	2.04	71%
11	SEA	14.84	1.90	67.7%
12	DEN	14.74	1.81	64.5%
13	LAC	14.37	1.44	61.3%
14	HOU	13.76	0.83	58.1%
15	CAR	13.37	0.44	54.8%
16	MIN	13.09	0.16	51.6%
17	DAL	12.35	-0.58	48.4%
18	LV	12.22	-0.71	45.2%
19	NYG	11.96	-0.97	41.9%
20	ATL	11.86	-1.07	38.7%
21	NYJ	11.17	-1.77	35.5%
22	CIN	11.11	-1.82	32.3%
23	ARI	10.99	-1.94	29%
24	BAL	10.38	-2.55	25.8%
25	TEN	10.29	-2.65	22.6%
26	TB	10.16	-2.77	19.4%
27	JAX	10.05	-2.88	16.1%
28	PHI	9.55	-3.38	12.9%
29	GB	9.19	-3.74	9.7%
30	DET	8.99	-3.94	6.5%
31	PIT	8.51	-4.42	3.2%
32	SF	5.91	-7.02	0%

Does Turnover pct (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 864–714–37 ATS (54.8%) across 2020–2025, #79 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (150–104, 59.1%); its worst 2023 (132–126, 51.2%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	150–104–2	59.1%
2021	272	146–124–2	54.1%
2022	271	151–113–7	57.2%
2023	272	132–126–14	51.2%
2024	272	136–127–9	51.7%
2025	272	149–120–3	55.4%

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 14.42

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · 9.34

Biggest improver

JAX · +1.05/yr

Biggest decliner

DAL · −2.03/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	14.42	−0.86	15.88	14.81	15.03	16.85	17.82	11.30	9.26
2	PIT	14.31	+0.38	14.29	11.62	13.41	14.21	17.39	15.00	14.29
3	MIN	14.18	+0.90	12.57	12.63	13.20	11.58	16.84	12.83	19.64
4	CIN	14.14	+0.99	10.44	12.37	14.44	14.29	13.90	16.22	17.31
5	GB	13.27	−0.05	12.88	14.12	14.61	10.29	17.49	7.98	15.52
6	LAR	13.26	−0.33	13.76	16.04	14.12	9.42	11.56	17.03	10.91
7	TB	13.24	−0.27	15.47	15.46	10.10	14.05	9.73	13.59	14.29
8	CHI	13.14	+0.57	9.84	10.38	13.19	16.75	13.90	18.28	9.62
9	NE	12.98	−1.31	16.25	18.92	15.23	10.05	6.74	12.57	11.11
10	IND	12.76	−1.65	15.52	18.38	12.87	12.62	13.43	12.92	3.57
11	SEA	12.70	+0.91	12.36	9.33	13.68	10.27	10.05	14.87	18.33
12	DAL	12.51	−2.03	13.44	18.36	17.41	15.56	12.06	6.74	4.00
13	MIA	12.40	−1.14	17.84	13.92	9.04	16.06	9.78	11.80	8.33
14	NYG	12.17	−0.14	12.65	13.76	8.70	15.61	11.70	9.78	12.96
15	BAL	12.14	−0.11	13.37	9.09	14.12	15.66	9.04	10.99	12.73
16	LAC	12.13	+0.23	11.24	12.50	11.52	11.98	11.54	13.26	12.90
17	KC	12.10	−0.49	13.37	16.18	10.75	10.93	11.24	8.24	13.95
18	JAX	12.08	+1.05	10.33	7.30	14.75	13.20	4.97	17.37	16.67
19	SF	11.94	−0.27	12.04	9.14	16.04	16.00	9.39	9.41	11.54
20	HOU	11.93	+0.44	6.47	12.11	15.27	11.68	13.92	14.81	9.26
21	ARI	11.93	−0.26	11.80	15.93	11.34	10.00	10.53	10.93	12.96
22	DET	11.75	−0.04	9.20	11.35	13.89	13.76	14.21	10.58	9.26
23	NO	11.66	−0.68	12.71	14.07	8.95	15.66	11.23	11.96	7.02
24	DEN	11.34	−0.13	10.00	12.64	11.82	13.23	12.12	7.25	12.28
25	PHI	11.28	−0.33	10.15	9.29	15.85	10.73	15.56	12.02	5.36
26	ATL	11.24	−0.16	12.43	12.71	10.53	8.63	10.67	13.19	10.53
27	CLE	10.71	−0.47	13.17	10.38	10.58	13.48	7.48	9.36	10.53
28	LV	10.66	+0.92	10.00	8.56	8.15	11.76	8.42	10.50	17.24
29	CAR	10.62	+0.10	12.80	10.00	9.14	8.51	9.52	12.35	12.00
30	WAS	10.33	−0.41	12.57	12.02	8.54	11.28	9.04	7.02	11.86
31	TEN	9.87	−1.08	13.45	10.53	11.46	8.33	11.98	9.52	3.85
32	NYJ	9.34	−0.56	12.22	7.33	9.69	13.43	9.55	3.74	9.43

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
MIN	12.57	12.63	13.20	11.58	16.84	12.83	19.64
SEA	12.36	9.33	13.68	10.27	10.05	14.87	18.33
CIN	10.44	12.37	14.44	14.29	13.90	16.22	17.31
LV	10.00	8.56	8.15	11.76	8.42	10.50	17.24
JAX	10.33	7.30	14.75	13.20	4.97	17.37	16.67
GB	12.88	14.12	14.61	10.29	17.49	7.98	15.52
PIT	14.29	11.62	13.41	14.21	17.39	15.00	14.29
TB	15.47	15.46	10.10	14.05	9.73	13.59	14.29
KC	13.37	16.18	10.75	10.93	11.24	8.24	13.95
ARI	11.80	15.93	11.34	10.00	10.53	10.93	12.96
NYG	12.65	13.76	8.70	15.61	11.70	9.78	12.96
LAC	11.24	12.50	11.52	11.98	11.54	13.26	12.90
BAL	13.37	9.09	14.12	15.66	9.04	10.99	12.73
DEN	10.00	12.64	11.82	13.23	12.12	7.25	12.28
CAR	12.80	10.00	9.14	8.51	9.52	12.35	12.00
WAS	12.57	12.02	8.54	11.28	9.04	7.02	11.86
SF	12.04	9.14	16.04	16.00	9.39	9.41	11.54
NE	16.25	18.92	15.23	10.05	6.74	12.57	11.11
LAR	13.76	16.04	14.12	9.42	11.56	17.03	10.91
ATL	12.43	12.71	10.53	8.63	10.67	13.19	10.53
CLE	13.17	10.38	10.58	13.48	7.48	9.36	10.53
CHI	9.84	10.38	13.19	16.75	13.90	18.28	9.62
NYJ	12.22	7.33	9.69	13.43	9.55	3.74	9.43
BUF	15.88	14.81	15.03	16.85	17.82	11.30	9.26
DET	9.20	11.35	13.89	13.76	14.21	10.58	9.26
HOU	6.47	12.11	15.27	11.68	13.92	14.81	9.26
MIA	17.84	13.92	9.04	16.06	9.78	11.80	8.33
NO	12.71	14.07	8.95	15.66	11.23	11.96	7.02
PHI	10.15	9.29	15.85	10.73	15.56	12.02	5.36
DAL	13.44	18.36	17.41	15.56	12.06	6.74	4.00
TEN	13.45	10.53	11.46	8.33	11.98	9.52	3.85
IND	15.52	18.38	12.87	12.62	13.43	12.92	3.57

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_drives_turnover_pct
Side: defensive
Family: Drive Averages
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.