Offensive: Scoring · Two pt md
What Two pt md is
Two-point conversions made. Small counts and large variance; a team's rate here says little about it.
Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2022 the Cardinals led at 0.29; the league average was 0.10.
League snapshot — 2022
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | 0.29 | 17 |
| 2 | DET | 0.24 | 17 |
| 3 | JAX | 0.24 | 17 |
| 4 | CIN | 0.19 | 16 |
| 5 | ATL | 0.18 | 17 |
| 6 | KC | 0.18 | 17 |
| 7 | MIN | 0.18 | 17 |
| 8 | NO | 0.18 | 17 |
| 9 | NYG | 0.18 | 17 |
| 10 | PIT | 0.18 | 17 |
| 11 | BUF | 0.13 | 16 |
| 12 | BAL | 0.12 | 17 |
| 13 | GB | 0.12 | 17 |
| 14 | LAC | 0.12 | 17 |
| 15 | PHI | 0.12 | 17 |
| 16 | TB | 0.12 | 17 |
| 17 | WAS | 0.12 | 17 |
| 18 | CAR | 0.06 | 17 |
| 19 | CHI | 0.06 | 17 |
| 20 | CLE | 0.06 | 17 |
| 21 | DEN | 0.06 | 17 |
| 22 | HOU | 0.06 | 17 |
| 23 | IND | 0.06 | 17 |
| 24 | NE | 0.06 | 17 |
| 25 | TEN | 0.06 | 17 |
| 26 | DAL | 0 | 17 |
| 27 | LAR | 0 | 17 |
| 28 | LV | 0 | 17 |
| 29 | MIA | 0 | 17 |
| 30 | NYJ | 0 | 17 |
| 31 | SEA | 0 | 17 |
| 32 | SF | 0 | 17 |
At a glance — 2022
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2022
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | 0.29 | 0.19 | 100% |
| 2 | DET | 0.24 | 0.13 | 96.8% |
| 3 | JAX | 0.24 | 0.13 | 93.5% |
| 4 | CIN | 0.19 | 0.08 | 90.3% |
| 5 | ATL | 0.18 | 0.07 | 87.1% |
| 6 | KC | 0.18 | 0.07 | 83.9% |
| 7 | MIN | 0.18 | 0.07 | 80.6% |
| 8 | NO | 0.18 | 0.07 | 77.4% |
| 9 | NYG | 0.18 | 0.07 | 74.2% |
| 10 | PIT | 0.18 | 0.07 | 71% |
| 11 | BUF | 0.13 | 0.02 | 67.7% |
| 12 | BAL | 0.12 | 0.01 | 64.5% |
| 13 | GB | 0.12 | 0.01 | 61.3% |
| 14 | LAC | 0.12 | 0.01 | 58.1% |
| 15 | PHI | 0.12 | 0.01 | 54.8% |
| 16 | TB | 0.12 | 0.01 | 51.6% |
| 17 | WAS | 0.12 | 0.01 | 48.4% |
| 18 | CAR | 0.06 | -0.04 | 45.2% |
| 19 | CHI | 0.06 | -0.04 | 41.9% |
| 20 | CLE | 0.06 | -0.04 | 38.7% |
| 21 | DEN | 0.06 | -0.04 | 35.5% |
| 22 | HOU | 0.06 | -0.04 | 32.3% |
| 23 | IND | 0.06 | -0.04 | 29% |
| 24 | NE | 0.06 | -0.04 | 25.8% |
| 25 | TEN | 0.06 | -0.04 | 22.6% |
| 26 | DAL | 0 | -0.10 | 19.4% |
| 27 | LAR | 0 | -0.10 | 16.1% |
| 28 | LV | 0 | -0.10 | 12.9% |
| 29 | MIA | 0 | -0.10 | 9.7% |
| 30 | NYJ | 0 | -0.10 | 6.5% |
| 31 | SEA | 0 | -0.10 | 3.2% |
| 32 | SF | 0 | -0.10 | 0% |
Does Two pt md matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 805–773–37 ATS (51.0%) across 2020–2025, #223 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (149–115, 56.4%); its worst 2024 (127–136, 48.3%).
For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 123–131–2 | 48.4% |
| 2021 | 272 | 136–134–2 | 50.4% |
| 2022 | 271 | 149–115–7 | 56.4% |
| 2023 | 272 | 132–126–14 | 51.2% |
| 2024 | 272 | 127–136–9 | 48.3% |
| 2025 | 272 | 138–131–3 | 51.3% |
Two pt md in 2022 vs 2021
Cardinals lead at 0.29 — they ranked #30 last year. 49ers are last at 0 — #20 last year.
The league average is 0.10, down 0.03 from 0.14 last year.
Biggest riser: Cardinals, #30 → #1. Biggest faller: Cowboys, #2 → #26.
Spread between first and last: 0.29; 21 teams are within 0.08 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2022 vs 2021
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2022 vs 2021
| Rank | Team | 2022 | 2021 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARI | 0.29 | 0 | +0.29 |
| 2 | NO | 0.18 | 0 | +0.18 |
| 3 | CIN | 0.19 | 0.06 | +0.13 |
| 4 | ATL | 0.18 | 0.06 | +0.12 |
| 5 | MIN | 0.18 | 0.06 | +0.12 |
| 6 | JAX | 0.24 | 0.12 | +0.12 |
| 7 | KC | 0.18 | 0.12 | +0.06 |
| 8 | PIT | 0.18 | 0.12 | +0.06 |
| 9 | GB | 0.12 | 0.06 | +0.06 |
| 10 | TB | 0.12 | 0.06 | +0.06 |
| 11 | BAL | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 12 | DEN | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 13 | LV | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | WAS | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 15 | BUF | 0.13 | 0.18 | −0.05 |
| 16 | NYG | 0.18 | 0.24 | −0.06 |
| 17 | HOU | 0.06 | 0.12 | −0.06 |
| 18 | IND | 0.06 | 0.12 | −0.06 |
| 19 | SEA | 0 | 0.06 | −0.06 |
| 20 | TEN | 0.06 | 0.12 | −0.06 |
| 21 | DET | 0.24 | 0.29 | −0.06 |
| 22 | LAR | 0 | 0.12 | −0.12 |
| 23 | MIA | 0 | 0.12 | −0.12 |
| 24 | SF | 0 | 0.12 | −0.12 |
| 25 | CAR | 0.06 | 0.18 | −0.12 |
| 26 | CHI | 0.06 | 0.18 | −0.12 |
| 27 | CLE | 0.06 | 0.18 | −0.12 |
| 28 | NE | 0.06 | 0.18 | −0.12 |
| 29 | PHI | 0.12 | 0.29 | −0.18 |
| 30 | NYJ | 0 | 0.24 | −0.24 |
| 31 | LAC | 0.12 | 0.41 | −0.29 |
| 32 | DAL | 0 | 0.35 | −0.35 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 0.19 | +0.03 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| 2 | DEN | 0.19 | +0.06 | 0.13 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.60 |
| 3 | DAL | 0.18 | −0.02 | 0.25 | 0.35 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| 4 | CLE | 0.18 | +0.01 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| 5 | PHI | 0.16 | −0.06 | 0.44 | 0.29 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 6 | MIN | 0.16 | −0.03 | 0.50 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| 7 | NYG | 0.15 | −0.00 | 0.13 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| 8 | WAS | 0.15 | +0.03 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| 9 | JAX | 0.14 | −0.02 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 10 | DET | 0.14 | −0.04 | 0.13 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 11 | LAC | 0.14 | −0.04 | 0.13 | 0.41 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 12 | GB | 0.13 | +0.01 | 0.13 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| 13 | TEN | 0.12 | −0.01 | 0.25 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.20 |
| 14 | BUF | 0.12 | +0.01 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| 15 | ATL | 0.12 | +0.02 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| 16 | NE | 0.12 | +0.02 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| 17 | BAL | 0.11 | +0.00 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| 18 | IND | 0.11 | −0.02 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 19 | CHI | 0.11 | −0.01 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0 |
| 20 | ARI | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 21 | MIA | 0.11 | −0.01 | 0.25 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| 22 | PIT | 0.11 | −0.00 | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| 23 | NO | 0.10 | +0.02 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| 24 | KC | 0.09 | −0.03 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 25 | CAR | 0.08 | −0.02 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 26 | LV | 0.08 | +0.02 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| 27 | SF | 0.07 | +0.01 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| 28 | CIN | 0.07 | −0.00 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.19 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 29 | TB | 0.07 | +0.00 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 30 | HOU | 0.06 | −0.01 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.06 | 0 |
| 31 | LAR | 0.06 | −0.02 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 32 | SEA | 0.06 | +0.00 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0 |
| DET | 0.13 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| JAX | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0 |
| CIN | 0 | 0.06 | 0.19 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0 |
| ATL | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| KC | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 |
| MIN | 0.50 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| NO | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| NYG | 0.13 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| PIT | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| BUF | 0 | 0.18 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| BAL | 0.13 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| GB | 0.13 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| LAC | 0.13 | 0.41 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0 |
| PHI | 0.44 | 0.29 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0 |
| TB | 0 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0 |
| WAS | 0 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| CAR | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 |
| CHI | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0 |
| CLE | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| DEN | 0.13 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.60 |
| HOU | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.06 | 0 |
| IND | 0.19 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0 |
| NE | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| TEN | 0.25 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.20 |
| DAL | 0.25 | 0.35 | 0 | 0.24 | 0.06 | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| LV | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| LAR | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MIA | 0.25 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.20 |
| NYJ | 0.06 | 0.24 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.20 |
| SF | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.20 |
| SEA | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 |
Two pt md since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chargers (0.38), 2019 Buccaneers (0.31), 2020 Vikings (0.50), 2021 Chargers (0.41), 2022 Cardinals (0.29).
Chargers have led this stat 2 of 5 seasons.
The best season on record is Vikings 2020 at 0.50; the worst Titans 2018 at 0.
The league average has fallen from 0.13 in 2018 to 0.10 in 2022.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2022.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- off_team_scoring_two_pt_md
- Side
- offensive
- Family
- Scoring
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.