What Rush TD is

Rushing touchdowns: scoring runs. Mostly short-yardage and goal-line production, so it leans on red-zone chances as much as on the running game.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2024 the Bills led at 1.88; the league average was 0.94.

League snapshot — 2024

League leader

BUF · 1.88

League average

0.94

Best to worst

1.53

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BUF	1.88	17
2	DET	1.71	17
3	PHI	1.71	17
4	WAS	1.47	17
5	GB	1.35	17
6	BAL	1.24	17
7	IND	1.18	17
8	ARI	1.06	17
9	ATL	1.06	17
10	CAR	1.06	17
11	LAC	1	17
12	SEA	1	17
13	SF	1	17
14	TB	0.94	17
15	HOU	0.88	17
16	KC	0.88	17
17	LAR	0.88	17
18	NO	0.88	17
19	PIT	0.82	17
20	CHI	0.76	17
21	JAX	0.76	17
22	NYG	0.76	17
23	DEN	0.71	17
24	MIA	0.71	17
25	CIN	0.65	17
26	NE	0.65	17
27	TEN	0.65	17
28	LV	0.59	17
29	MIN	0.53	17
30	CLE	0.47	17
31	NYJ	0.47	17
32	DAL	0.35	17

At a glance — 2024

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BUF · 1.88

League laggard

DAL · 0.35

League average

0.94

Spread (max − min)

1.53

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BUF	1.88	0.94	100%
2	DET	1.71	0.77	96.8%
3	PHI	1.71	0.77	93.5%
4	WAS	1.47	0.53	90.3%
5	GB	1.35	0.41	87.1%
6	BAL	1.24	0.30	83.9%
7	IND	1.18	0.24	80.6%
8	ARI	1.06	0.12	77.4%
9	ATL	1.06	0.12	74.2%
10	CAR	1.06	0.12	71%
11	LAC	1	0.06	67.7%
12	SEA	1	0.06	64.5%
13	SF	1	0.06	61.3%
14	TB	0.94	0.00	58.1%
15	HOU	0.88	-0.06	54.8%
16	KC	0.88	-0.06	51.6%
17	LAR	0.88	-0.06	48.4%
18	NO	0.88	-0.06	45.2%
19	PIT	0.82	-0.12	41.9%
20	CHI	0.76	-0.17	38.7%
21	JAX	0.76	-0.17	35.5%
22	NYG	0.76	-0.17	32.3%
23	DEN	0.71	-0.23	29%
24	MIA	0.71	-0.23	25.8%
25	CIN	0.65	-0.29	22.6%
26	NE	0.65	-0.29	19.4%
27	TEN	0.65	-0.29	16.1%
28	LV	0.59	-0.35	12.9%
29	MIN	0.53	-0.41	9.7%
30	CLE	0.47	-0.47	6.5%
31	NYJ	0.47	-0.47	3.2%
32	DAL	0.35	-0.59	0%

Does Rush TD matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 847–731–37 ATS (53.7%) across 2020–2025, #113 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (156–108, 59.1%); its worst 2021 (136–134, 50.4%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	135–119–2	53.1%
2021	272	136–134–2	50.4%
2022	271	156–108–7	59.1%
2023	272	142–116–14	55.0%
2024	272	139–124–9	52.9%
2025	272	139–130–3	51.7%

Rush TD in 2024 vs 2023

Bills lead at 1.88 — they ranked #5 last year. Cowboys are last at 0.35 — #16 last year.

The league average is 0.94, up 0.08 from 0.86 last year.

Biggest riser: Panthers, #30 → #10. Biggest faller: Dolphins, #2 → #24.

Spread between first and last: 1.53; 23 teams are within 0.37 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2024 vs 2023

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

GB · +0.76

Biggest faller

MIA · −0.88

Most consistent

ARI · +0.06

League trend 2024 vs 2023

▲ 0.08

Rank	Team	2024	2023	Δ
1	GB	1.35	0.59	+0.76
2	WAS	1.47	0.82	+0.65
3	CAR	1.06	0.41	+0.65
4	BUF	1.88	1.29	+0.59
5	TB	0.94	0.47	+0.47
6	PHI	1.71	1.29	+0.41
7	KC	0.88	0.53	+0.35
8	LAC	1	0.65	+0.35
9	SEA	1	0.65	+0.35
10	HOU	0.88	0.59	+0.29
11	ATL	1.06	0.82	+0.24
12	DEN	0.71	0.47	+0.24
13	NYG	0.76	0.59	+0.18
14	DET	1.71	1.59	+0.12
15	MIN	0.53	0.41	+0.12
16	NE	0.65	0.53	+0.12
17	NO	0.88	0.76	+0.12
18	ARI	1.06	1	+0.06
19	IND	1.18	1.12	+0.06
20	NYJ	0.47	0.41	+0.06
21	CIN	0.65	0.71	−0.06
22	LV	0.59	0.65	−0.06
23	PIT	0.82	0.94	−0.12
24	CHI	0.76	0.94	−0.18
25	LAR	0.88	1.06	−0.18
26	JAX	0.76	1	−0.24
27	BAL	1.24	1.53	−0.29
28	TEN	0.65	0.94	−0.29
29	CLE	0.47	0.88	−0.41
30	DAL	0.35	0.82	−0.47
31	SF	1	1.59	−0.59
32	MIA	0.71	1.59	−0.88

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 1.52

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · 0.64

Biggest improver

BUF · +0.25/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −0.18/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	1.52	+0.25	1	1.18	0.94	1.29	1.88	1.76	2.60
2	BAL	1.33	+0.07	1.50	1.06	0.82	1.53	1.24	1.35	1.80
3	DET	1.32	+0.11	1.06	0.71	1.35	1.59	1.71	1.24	1.60
4	PHI	1.28	−0.08	1	1.47	1.88	1.29	1.71	1	0.60
5	IND	1.21	+0.08	1.25	1.29	0.47	1.12	1.18	1.59	1.60
6	SF	1.19	−0.03	1.19	1.29	1.18	1.59	1	0.88	1.20
7	CHI	1.07	+0.14	0.75	0.82	1.06	0.94	0.76	1.12	2
8	ATL	0.99	+0.11	0.81	0.65	1	0.82	1.06	1	1.60
9	DAL	0.97	+0.03	0.88	0.88	1.41	0.82	0.35	1.06	1.40
10	LAR	0.97	+0.03	1.19	0.59	0.88	1.06	0.88	1	1.20
11	ARI	0.97	−0.14	1.38	1.35	0.88	1	1.06	0.53	0.60
12	WAS	0.96	+0.03	1.13	0.76	0.53	0.82	1.47	1.18	0.80
13	NE	0.95	−0.06	1.25	1.41	0.71	0.53	0.65	1.29	0.80
14	TEN	0.95	−0.18	1.63	1.35	0.94	0.94	0.65	0.53	0.60
15	MIA	0.92	+0.02	0.94	0.71	0.71	1.59	0.71	0.82	1
16	NO	0.92	−0.10	1.88	0.71	0.71	0.76	0.88	0.53	1
17	KC	0.91	+0.04	0.81	0.94	1.06	0.53	0.88	0.88	1.25
18	SEA	0.90	−0.00	0.94	1.06	0.71	0.65	1	1.12	0.80
19	CAR	0.88	−0.05	1.19	1	0.94	0.41	1.06	0.53	1
20	JAX	0.88	+0.06	0.56	0.76	0.94	1	0.76	1.29	0.80
21	CLE	0.85	−0.16	1.31	1.18	1.12	0.88	0.47	0.59	0.40
22	GB	0.84	−0.02	1	0.76	0.71	0.59	1.35	1.06	0.40
23	LAC	0.82	−0.02	0.75	1.06	0.88	0.65	1	0.59	0.80
24	TB	0.79	+0.00	1	1.06	0.29	0.47	0.94	0.76	1
25	NYG	0.77	−0.02	0.81	0.47	1.24	0.59	0.76	1.29	0.20
26	MIN	0.76	−0.07	1.25	0.59	1.06	0.41	0.53	0.88	0.60
27	DEN	0.75	−0.01	0.81	0.94	0.65	0.47	0.71	1.06	0.60
28	PIT	0.74	−0.04	0.75	0.59	0.94	0.94	0.82	0.94	0.20
29	CIN	0.72	−0.07	0.81	0.94	0.88	0.71	0.65	0.65	0.40
30	LV	0.67	−0.13	1.25	0.82	0.71	0.65	0.59	0.29	0.40
31	HOU	0.64	+0.06	0.63	0.47	0.41	0.59	0.88	0.53	1
32	NYJ	0.64	+0.00	0.56	0.82	0.76	0.41	0.47	0.65	0.80

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BUF	1	1.18	0.94	1.29	1.88	1.76	2.60
DET	1.06	0.71	1.35	1.59	1.71	1.24	1.60
PHI	1	1.47	1.88	1.29	1.71	1	0.60
WAS	1.13	0.76	0.53	0.82	1.47	1.18	0.80
GB	1	0.76	0.71	0.59	1.35	1.06	0.40
BAL	1.50	1.06	0.82	1.53	1.24	1.35	1.80
IND	1.25	1.29	0.47	1.12	1.18	1.59	1.60
ARI	1.38	1.35	0.88	1	1.06	0.53	0.60
ATL	0.81	0.65	1	0.82	1.06	1	1.60
CAR	1.19	1	0.94	0.41	1.06	0.53	1
LAC	0.75	1.06	0.88	0.65	1	0.59	0.80
SF	1.19	1.29	1.18	1.59	1	0.88	1.20
SEA	0.94	1.06	0.71	0.65	1	1.12	0.80
TB	1	1.06	0.29	0.47	0.94	0.76	1
HOU	0.63	0.47	0.41	0.59	0.88	0.53	1
KC	0.81	0.94	1.06	0.53	0.88	0.88	1.25
LAR	1.19	0.59	0.88	1.06	0.88	1	1.20
NO	1.88	0.71	0.71	0.76	0.88	0.53	1
PIT	0.75	0.59	0.94	0.94	0.82	0.94	0.20
CHI	0.75	0.82	1.06	0.94	0.76	1.12	2
JAX	0.56	0.76	0.94	1	0.76	1.29	0.80
NYG	0.81	0.47	1.24	0.59	0.76	1.29	0.20
DEN	0.81	0.94	0.65	0.47	0.71	1.06	0.60
MIA	0.94	0.71	0.71	1.59	0.71	0.82	1
CIN	0.81	0.94	0.88	0.71	0.65	0.65	0.40
NE	1.25	1.41	0.71	0.53	0.65	1.29	0.80
TEN	1.63	1.35	0.94	0.94	0.65	0.53	0.60
LV	1.25	0.82	0.71	0.65	0.59	0.29	0.40
MIN	1.25	0.59	1.06	0.41	0.53	0.88	0.60
CLE	1.31	1.18	1.12	0.88	0.47	0.59	0.40
NYJ	0.56	0.82	0.76	0.41	0.47	0.65	0.80
DAL	0.88	0.88	1.41	0.82	0.35	1.06	1.40

Rush TD since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Saints (1.63), 2019 49ers (1.44), 2020 Saints (1.88), 2021 Eagles (1.47), 2022 Eagles (1.88), 2023 Lions (1.59), 2024 Bills (1.88).

Saints have led this stat 2 of 7 seasons.

The best season on record is Eagles 2022 at 1.88; the worst Jaguars 2019 at 0.19.

The league average has risen from 0.86 in 2018 to 0.94 in 2024.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2024.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_rushing_rush_td
Side: offensive
Family: Rushing
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.