What Rush TD is

Rushing touchdowns: scoring runs. Mostly short-yardage and goal-line production, so it leans on red-zone chances as much as on the running game.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the Lions led at 1.59; the league average was 0.86.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

DET · 1.59

League average

0.86

Best to worst

1.18

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	DET	1.59	17
2	MIA	1.59	17
3	SF	1.59	17
4	BAL	1.53	17
5	BUF	1.29	17
6	PHI	1.29	17
7	IND	1.12	17
8	LAR	1.06	17
9	ARI	1	17
10	JAX	1	17
11	CHI	0.94	17
12	PIT	0.94	17
13	TEN	0.94	17
14	CLE	0.88	17
15	ATL	0.82	17
16	DAL	0.82	17
17	WAS	0.82	17
18	NO	0.76	17
19	CIN	0.71	17
20	LAC	0.65	17
21	LV	0.65	17
22	SEA	0.65	17
23	GB	0.59	17
24	HOU	0.59	17
25	NYG	0.59	17
26	KC	0.53	17
27	NE	0.53	17
28	DEN	0.47	17
29	TB	0.47	17
30	CAR	0.41	17
31	MIN	0.41	17
32	NYJ	0.41	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

DET · 1.59

League laggard

NYJ · 0.41

League average

0.86

Spread (max − min)

1.18

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	DET	1.59	0.72	100%
2	MIA	1.59	0.72	96.8%
3	SF	1.59	0.72	93.5%
4	BAL	1.53	0.67	90.3%
5	BUF	1.29	0.43	87.1%
6	PHI	1.29	0.43	83.9%
7	IND	1.12	0.25	80.6%
8	LAR	1.06	0.19	77.4%
9	ARI	1	0.14	74.2%
10	JAX	1	0.14	71%
11	CHI	0.94	0.08	67.7%
12	PIT	0.94	0.08	64.5%
13	TEN	0.94	0.08	61.3%
14	CLE	0.88	0.02	58.1%
15	ATL	0.82	-0.04	54.8%
16	DAL	0.82	-0.04	51.6%
17	WAS	0.82	-0.04	48.4%
18	NO	0.76	-0.10	45.2%
19	CIN	0.71	-0.16	41.9%
20	LAC	0.65	-0.22	38.7%
21	LV	0.65	-0.22	35.5%
22	SEA	0.65	-0.22	32.3%
23	GB	0.59	-0.28	29%
24	HOU	0.59	-0.28	25.8%
25	NYG	0.59	-0.28	22.6%
26	KC	0.53	-0.33	19.4%
27	NE	0.53	-0.33	16.1%
28	DEN	0.47	-0.39	12.9%
29	TB	0.47	-0.39	9.7%
30	CAR	0.41	-0.45	6.5%
31	MIN	0.41	-0.45	3.2%
32	NYJ	0.41	-0.45	0%

Does Rush TD matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 847–731–37 ATS (53.7%) across 2020–2025, #113 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (156–108, 59.1%); its worst 2021 (136–134, 50.4%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	135–119–2	53.1%
2021	272	136–134–2	50.4%
2022	271	156–108–7	59.1%
2023	272	142–116–14	55.0%
2024	272	139–124–9	52.9%
2025	272	139–130–3	51.7%

Rush TD in 2023 vs 2022

Lions lead at 1.59 — they ranked #3 last year. Jets are last at 0.41 — #21 last year.

The league average is 0.86, down 0.03 from 0.90 last year.

Biggest riser: Colts, #30 → #7. Biggest faller: Vikings, #9 → #31.

Spread between first and last: 1.18; 21 teams are within 0.36 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

MIA · +0.88

Biggest faller

NYG · −0.65

Most consistent

PIT · 0

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▼ -0.03

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	MIA	1.59	0.71	+0.88
2	BAL	1.53	0.82	+0.71
3	IND	1.12	0.47	+0.65
4	SF	1.59	1.18	+0.41
5	BUF	1.29	0.94	+0.36
6	WAS	0.82	0.53	+0.29
7	DET	1.59	1.35	+0.24
8	HOU	0.59	0.41	+0.18
9	LAR	1.06	0.88	+0.18
10	TB	0.47	0.29	+0.18
11	ARI	1	0.88	+0.12
12	JAX	1	0.94	+0.06
13	NO	0.76	0.71	+0.06
14	PIT	0.94	0.94	0
15	TEN	0.94	0.94	0
16	LV	0.65	0.71	−0.06
17	SEA	0.65	0.71	−0.06
18	CHI	0.94	1.06	−0.12
19	GB	0.59	0.71	−0.12
20	CIN	0.71	0.88	−0.17
21	ATL	0.82	1	−0.18
22	DEN	0.47	0.65	−0.18
23	NE	0.53	0.71	−0.18
24	LAC	0.65	0.88	−0.24
25	CLE	0.88	1.12	−0.24
26	NYJ	0.41	0.76	−0.35
27	CAR	0.41	0.94	−0.53
28	KC	0.53	1.06	−0.53
29	PHI	1.29	1.88	−0.59
30	DAL	0.82	1.41	−0.59
31	MIN	0.41	1.06	−0.65
32	NYG	0.59	1.24	−0.65

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 1.52

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · 0.64

Biggest improver

BUF · +0.25/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −0.18/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	1.52	+0.25	1	1.18	0.94	1.29	1.88	1.76	2.60
2	BAL	1.33	+0.07	1.50	1.06	0.82	1.53	1.24	1.35	1.80
3	DET	1.32	+0.11	1.06	0.71	1.35	1.59	1.71	1.24	1.60
4	PHI	1.28	−0.08	1	1.47	1.88	1.29	1.71	1	0.60
5	IND	1.21	+0.08	1.25	1.29	0.47	1.12	1.18	1.59	1.60
6	SF	1.19	−0.03	1.19	1.29	1.18	1.59	1	0.88	1.20
7	CHI	1.07	+0.14	0.75	0.82	1.06	0.94	0.76	1.12	2
8	ATL	0.99	+0.11	0.81	0.65	1	0.82	1.06	1	1.60
9	DAL	0.97	+0.03	0.88	0.88	1.41	0.82	0.35	1.06	1.40
10	LAR	0.97	+0.03	1.19	0.59	0.88	1.06	0.88	1	1.20
11	ARI	0.97	−0.14	1.38	1.35	0.88	1	1.06	0.53	0.60
12	WAS	0.96	+0.03	1.13	0.76	0.53	0.82	1.47	1.18	0.80
13	NE	0.95	−0.06	1.25	1.41	0.71	0.53	0.65	1.29	0.80
14	TEN	0.95	−0.18	1.63	1.35	0.94	0.94	0.65	0.53	0.60
15	MIA	0.92	+0.02	0.94	0.71	0.71	1.59	0.71	0.82	1
16	NO	0.92	−0.10	1.88	0.71	0.71	0.76	0.88	0.53	1
17	KC	0.91	+0.04	0.81	0.94	1.06	0.53	0.88	0.88	1.25
18	SEA	0.90	−0.00	0.94	1.06	0.71	0.65	1	1.12	0.80
19	CAR	0.88	−0.05	1.19	1	0.94	0.41	1.06	0.53	1
20	JAX	0.88	+0.06	0.56	0.76	0.94	1	0.76	1.29	0.80
21	CLE	0.85	−0.16	1.31	1.18	1.12	0.88	0.47	0.59	0.40
22	GB	0.84	−0.02	1	0.76	0.71	0.59	1.35	1.06	0.40
23	LAC	0.82	−0.02	0.75	1.06	0.88	0.65	1	0.59	0.80
24	TB	0.79	+0.00	1	1.06	0.29	0.47	0.94	0.76	1
25	NYG	0.77	−0.02	0.81	0.47	1.24	0.59	0.76	1.29	0.20
26	MIN	0.76	−0.07	1.25	0.59	1.06	0.41	0.53	0.88	0.60
27	DEN	0.75	−0.01	0.81	0.94	0.65	0.47	0.71	1.06	0.60
28	PIT	0.74	−0.04	0.75	0.59	0.94	0.94	0.82	0.94	0.20
29	CIN	0.72	−0.07	0.81	0.94	0.88	0.71	0.65	0.65	0.40
30	LV	0.67	−0.13	1.25	0.82	0.71	0.65	0.59	0.29	0.40
31	HOU	0.64	+0.06	0.63	0.47	0.41	0.59	0.88	0.53	1
32	NYJ	0.64	+0.00	0.56	0.82	0.76	0.41	0.47	0.65	0.80

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
DET	1.06	0.71	1.35	1.59	1.71	1.24	1.60
MIA	0.94	0.71	0.71	1.59	0.71	0.82	1
SF	1.19	1.29	1.18	1.59	1	0.88	1.20
BAL	1.50	1.06	0.82	1.53	1.24	1.35	1.80
BUF	1	1.18	0.94	1.29	1.88	1.76	2.60
PHI	1	1.47	1.88	1.29	1.71	1	0.60
IND	1.25	1.29	0.47	1.12	1.18	1.59	1.60
LAR	1.19	0.59	0.88	1.06	0.88	1	1.20
ARI	1.38	1.35	0.88	1	1.06	0.53	0.60
JAX	0.56	0.76	0.94	1	0.76	1.29	0.80
CHI	0.75	0.82	1.06	0.94	0.76	1.12	2
PIT	0.75	0.59	0.94	0.94	0.82	0.94	0.20
TEN	1.63	1.35	0.94	0.94	0.65	0.53	0.60
CLE	1.31	1.18	1.12	0.88	0.47	0.59	0.40
ATL	0.81	0.65	1	0.82	1.06	1	1.60
DAL	0.88	0.88	1.41	0.82	0.35	1.06	1.40
WAS	1.13	0.76	0.53	0.82	1.47	1.18	0.80
NO	1.88	0.71	0.71	0.76	0.88	0.53	1
CIN	0.81	0.94	0.88	0.71	0.65	0.65	0.40
LV	1.25	0.82	0.71	0.65	0.59	0.29	0.40
LAC	0.75	1.06	0.88	0.65	1	0.59	0.80
SEA	0.94	1.06	0.71	0.65	1	1.12	0.80
GB	1	0.76	0.71	0.59	1.35	1.06	0.40
HOU	0.63	0.47	0.41	0.59	0.88	0.53	1
NYG	0.81	0.47	1.24	0.59	0.76	1.29	0.20
KC	0.81	0.94	1.06	0.53	0.88	0.88	1.25
NE	1.25	1.41	0.71	0.53	0.65	1.29	0.80
DEN	0.81	0.94	0.65	0.47	0.71	1.06	0.60
TB	1	1.06	0.29	0.47	0.94	0.76	1
CAR	1.19	1	0.94	0.41	1.06	0.53	1
MIN	1.25	0.59	1.06	0.41	0.53	0.88	0.60
NYJ	0.56	0.82	0.76	0.41	0.47	0.65	0.80

Rush TD since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Saints (1.63), 2019 49ers (1.44), 2020 Saints (1.88), 2021 Eagles (1.47), 2022 Eagles (1.88), 2023 Lions (1.59).

Saints have led this stat 2 of 6 seasons.

The best season on record is Eagles 2022 at 1.88; the worst Jaguars 2019 at 0.19.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_rushing_rush_td
Side: offensive
Family: Rushing
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.