What Rush TD is

Rushing touchdowns: scoring runs. Mostly short-yardage and goal-line production, so it leans on red-zone chances as much as on the running game.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2019 the 49ers led at 1.44; the league average was 0.87.

League snapshot — 2019

League leader

SF · 1.44

League average

0.87

Best to worst

1.25

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	SF	1.44	16
2	BAL	1.31	16
3	TEN	1.31	16
4	CAR	1.25	16
5	LAR	1.25	16
6	MIN	1.19	16
7	ARI	1.13	16
8	DAL	1.13	16
9	GB	1.13	16
10	HOU	1.06	16
11	IND	1.06	16
12	NE	1.06	16
13	KC	1	16
14	PHI	1	16
15	CLE	0.94	16
16	SEA	0.94	16
17	TB	0.94	16
18	BUF	0.81	16
19	LV	0.81	16
20	LAC	0.75	16
21	NO	0.75	16
22	DEN	0.69	16
23	NYG	0.69	16
24	ATL	0.63	16
25	MIA	0.63	16
26	CIN	0.56	16
27	WAS	0.56	16
28	CHI	0.50	16
29	DET	0.44	16
30	PIT	0.44	16
31	NYJ	0.38	16
32	JAX	0.19	16

At a glance — 2019

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

SF · 1.44

League laggard

JAX · 0.19

League average

0.87

Spread (max − min)

1.25

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	SF	1.44	0.56	100%
2	BAL	1.31	0.44	96.8%
3	TEN	1.31	0.44	93.5%
4	CAR	1.25	0.38	90.3%
5	LAR	1.25	0.38	87.1%
6	MIN	1.19	0.31	83.9%
7	ARI	1.13	0.25	80.6%
8	DAL	1.13	0.25	77.4%
9	GB	1.13	0.25	74.2%
10	HOU	1.06	0.19	71%
11	IND	1.06	0.19	67.7%
12	NE	1.06	0.19	64.5%
13	KC	1	0.13	61.3%
14	PHI	1	0.13	58.1%
15	CLE	0.94	0.06	54.8%
16	SEA	0.94	0.06	51.6%
17	TB	0.94	0.06	48.4%
18	BUF	0.81	-0.06	45.2%
19	LV	0.81	-0.06	41.9%
20	LAC	0.75	-0.12	38.7%
21	NO	0.75	-0.12	35.5%
22	DEN	0.69	-0.19	32.3%
23	NYG	0.69	-0.19	29%
24	ATL	0.63	-0.25	25.8%
25	MIA	0.63	-0.25	22.6%
26	CIN	0.56	-0.31	19.4%
27	WAS	0.56	-0.31	16.1%
28	CHI	0.50	-0.37	12.9%
29	DET	0.44	-0.44	9.7%
30	PIT	0.44	-0.44	6.5%
31	NYJ	0.38	-0.50	3.2%
32	JAX	0.19	-0.69	0%

Does Rush TD matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 847–731–37 ATS (53.7%) across 2020–2025, #113 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (156–108, 59.1%); its worst 2021 (136–134, 50.4%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	135–119–2	53.1%
2021	272	136–134–2	50.4%
2022	271	156–108–7	59.1%
2023	272	142–116–14	55.0%
2024	272	139–124–9	52.9%
2025	272	139–130–3	51.7%

Rush TD in 2019 vs 2018

49ers lead at 1.44 — they ranked #32 last year. Jaguars are last at 0.19 — #30 last year.

The league average is 0.87, up 0.02 from 0.86 last year.

Biggest riser: 49ers, #32 → #1. Biggest faller: Bears, #7 → #28.

Spread between first and last: 1.25; 21 teams are within 0.31 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

SF · +1

Biggest faller

NO · −0.88

Most consistent

CLE · 0

League trend 2019 vs 2018

▲ 0.02

Rank	Team	2019	2018	Δ
1	SF	1.44	0.44	+1
2	MIN	1.19	0.56	+0.63
3	ARI	1.13	0.56	+0.56
4	TEN	1.31	0.94	+0.38
5	DAL	1.13	0.81	+0.31
6	HOU	1.06	0.75	+0.31
7	GB	1.13	0.88	+0.25
8	IND	1.06	0.81	+0.25
9	LV	0.81	0.56	+0.25
10	PHI	1	0.75	+0.25
11	TB	0.94	0.69	+0.25
12	CAR	1.25	1.06	+0.19
13	MIA	0.63	0.44	+0.19
14	BAL	1.31	1.19	+0.13
15	CLE	0.94	0.94	0
16	KC	1	1	0
17	SEA	0.94	0.94	0
18	ATL	0.63	0.69	−0.06
19	NE	1.06	1.13	−0.06
20	BUF	0.81	0.94	−0.13
21	NYG	0.69	0.81	−0.13
22	LAR	1.25	1.44	−0.19
23	WAS	0.56	0.75	−0.19
24	CIN	0.56	0.81	−0.25
25	DET	0.44	0.69	−0.25
26	JAX	0.19	0.44	−0.25
27	LAC	0.75	1	−0.25
28	NYJ	0.38	0.69	−0.31
29	DEN	0.69	1.13	−0.44
30	CHI	0.50	1	−0.50
31	PIT	0.44	1	−0.56
32	NO	0.75	1.63	−0.88

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 1.52

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · 0.64

Biggest improver

BUF · +0.25/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −0.18/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	1.52	+0.25	1	1.18	0.94	1.29	1.88	1.76	2.60
2	BAL	1.33	+0.07	1.50	1.06	0.82	1.53	1.24	1.35	1.80
3	DET	1.32	+0.11	1.06	0.71	1.35	1.59	1.71	1.24	1.60
4	PHI	1.28	−0.08	1	1.47	1.88	1.29	1.71	1	0.60
5	IND	1.21	+0.08	1.25	1.29	0.47	1.12	1.18	1.59	1.60
6	SF	1.19	−0.03	1.19	1.29	1.18	1.59	1	0.88	1.20
7	CHI	1.07	+0.14	0.75	0.82	1.06	0.94	0.76	1.12	2
8	ATL	0.99	+0.11	0.81	0.65	1	0.82	1.06	1	1.60
9	DAL	0.97	+0.03	0.88	0.88	1.41	0.82	0.35	1.06	1.40
10	LAR	0.97	+0.03	1.19	0.59	0.88	1.06	0.88	1	1.20
11	ARI	0.97	−0.14	1.38	1.35	0.88	1	1.06	0.53	0.60
12	WAS	0.96	+0.03	1.13	0.76	0.53	0.82	1.47	1.18	0.80
13	NE	0.95	−0.06	1.25	1.41	0.71	0.53	0.65	1.29	0.80
14	TEN	0.95	−0.18	1.63	1.35	0.94	0.94	0.65	0.53	0.60
15	MIA	0.92	+0.02	0.94	0.71	0.71	1.59	0.71	0.82	1
16	NO	0.92	−0.10	1.88	0.71	0.71	0.76	0.88	0.53	1
17	KC	0.91	+0.04	0.81	0.94	1.06	0.53	0.88	0.88	1.25
18	SEA	0.90	−0.00	0.94	1.06	0.71	0.65	1	1.12	0.80
19	CAR	0.88	−0.05	1.19	1	0.94	0.41	1.06	0.53	1
20	JAX	0.88	+0.06	0.56	0.76	0.94	1	0.76	1.29	0.80
21	CLE	0.85	−0.16	1.31	1.18	1.12	0.88	0.47	0.59	0.40
22	GB	0.84	−0.02	1	0.76	0.71	0.59	1.35	1.06	0.40
23	LAC	0.82	−0.02	0.75	1.06	0.88	0.65	1	0.59	0.80
24	TB	0.79	+0.00	1	1.06	0.29	0.47	0.94	0.76	1
25	NYG	0.77	−0.02	0.81	0.47	1.24	0.59	0.76	1.29	0.20
26	MIN	0.76	−0.07	1.25	0.59	1.06	0.41	0.53	0.88	0.60
27	DEN	0.75	−0.01	0.81	0.94	0.65	0.47	0.71	1.06	0.60
28	PIT	0.74	−0.04	0.75	0.59	0.94	0.94	0.82	0.94	0.20
29	CIN	0.72	−0.07	0.81	0.94	0.88	0.71	0.65	0.65	0.40
30	LV	0.67	−0.13	1.25	0.82	0.71	0.65	0.59	0.29	0.40
31	HOU	0.64	+0.06	0.63	0.47	0.41	0.59	0.88	0.53	1
32	NYJ	0.64	+0.00	0.56	0.82	0.76	0.41	0.47	0.65	0.80

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BUF	1	1.18	0.94	1.29	1.88	1.76	2.60
CHI	0.75	0.82	1.06	0.94	0.76	1.12	2
BAL	1.50	1.06	0.82	1.53	1.24	1.35	1.80
ATL	0.81	0.65	1	0.82	1.06	1	1.60
DET	1.06	0.71	1.35	1.59	1.71	1.24	1.60
IND	1.25	1.29	0.47	1.12	1.18	1.59	1.60
DAL	0.88	0.88	1.41	0.82	0.35	1.06	1.40
KC	0.81	0.94	1.06	0.53	0.88	0.88	1.25
LAR	1.19	0.59	0.88	1.06	0.88	1	1.20
SF	1.19	1.29	1.18	1.59	1	0.88	1.20
CAR	1.19	1	0.94	0.41	1.06	0.53	1
HOU	0.63	0.47	0.41	0.59	0.88	0.53	1
MIA	0.94	0.71	0.71	1.59	0.71	0.82	1
NO	1.88	0.71	0.71	0.76	0.88	0.53	1
TB	1	1.06	0.29	0.47	0.94	0.76	1
JAX	0.56	0.76	0.94	1	0.76	1.29	0.80
LAC	0.75	1.06	0.88	0.65	1	0.59	0.80
NE	1.25	1.41	0.71	0.53	0.65	1.29	0.80
NYJ	0.56	0.82	0.76	0.41	0.47	0.65	0.80
SEA	0.94	1.06	0.71	0.65	1	1.12	0.80
WAS	1.13	0.76	0.53	0.82	1.47	1.18	0.80
ARI	1.38	1.35	0.88	1	1.06	0.53	0.60
DEN	0.81	0.94	0.65	0.47	0.71	1.06	0.60
MIN	1.25	0.59	1.06	0.41	0.53	0.88	0.60
PHI	1	1.47	1.88	1.29	1.71	1	0.60
TEN	1.63	1.35	0.94	0.94	0.65	0.53	0.60
CIN	0.81	0.94	0.88	0.71	0.65	0.65	0.40
CLE	1.31	1.18	1.12	0.88	0.47	0.59	0.40
GB	1	0.76	0.71	0.59	1.35	1.06	0.40
LV	1.25	0.82	0.71	0.65	0.59	0.29	0.40
NYG	0.81	0.47	1.24	0.59	0.76	1.29	0.20
PIT	0.75	0.59	0.94	0.94	0.82	0.94	0.20

Rush TD since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Saints (1.63), 2019 49ers (1.44).

The best season on record is Saints 2018 at 1.63; the worst Jaguars 2019 at 0.19.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_rushing_rush_td
Side: offensive
Family: Rushing
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.