What Turnover pct (Off − Def) is

Share of the offense's drives that ended in a turnover, minus the share of opponent drives this defense ended with one. Lower is better.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2024 the Bills led at -10.88; the league average was 0.10.

League snapshot — 2024

League leader

BUF · -10.88

League average

0.10

Best to worst

20.82

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BUF	-10.88	17
2	PIT	-7.92	17
3	PHI	-7.36	17
4	LAC	-6.62	17
5	GB	-6.50	17
6	DET	-4.87	17
7	MIN	-4.86	17
8	CHI	-4.61	17
9	HOU	-3.04	17
10	KC	-2.42	17
11	CIN	-2.37	17
12	BAL	-1.98	17
13	NO	-1.39	17
14	LAR	-1.03	17
15	WAS	0.00	17
16	DEN	0.51	17
17	MIA	0.66	17
18	NYJ	0.74	17
19	NYG	1.20	17
20	ARI	1.90	17
21	IND	2.03	17
22	SEA	2.58	17
23	CAR	2.78	17
24	DAL	3.04	17
25	ATL	4.44	17
26	TB	4.48	17
27	SF	5.30	17
28	TEN	5.64	17
29	NE	7.22	17
30	LV	7.29	17
31	JAX	9.15	17
32	CLE	9.94	17

At a glance — 2024

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BUF · -10.88

League laggard

CLE · 9.94

League average

0.10

Spread (max − min)

20.82

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BUF	-10.88	-10.97	100%
2	PIT	-7.92	-8.01	96.8%
3	PHI	-7.36	-7.45	93.5%
4	LAC	-6.62	-6.72	90.3%
5	GB	-6.50	-6.59	87.1%
6	DET	-4.87	-4.96	83.9%
7	MIN	-4.86	-4.96	80.6%
8	CHI	-4.61	-4.71	77.4%
9	HOU	-3.04	-3.13	74.2%
10	KC	-2.42	-2.51	71%
11	CIN	-2.37	-2.46	67.7%
12	BAL	-1.98	-2.07	64.5%
13	NO	-1.39	-1.49	61.3%
14	LAR	-1.03	-1.13	58.1%
15	WAS	0.00	-0.10	54.8%
16	DEN	0.51	0.42	51.6%
17	MIA	0.66	0.56	48.4%
18	NYJ	0.74	0.64	45.2%
19	NYG	1.20	1.11	41.9%
20	ARI	1.90	1.80	38.7%
21	IND	2.03	1.94	35.5%
22	SEA	2.58	2.49	32.3%
23	CAR	2.78	2.68	29%
24	DAL	3.04	2.95	25.8%
25	ATL	4.44	4.35	22.6%
26	TB	4.48	4.38	19.4%
27	SF	5.30	5.20	16.1%
28	TEN	5.64	5.54	12.9%
29	NE	7.22	7.13	9.7%
30	LV	7.29	7.19	6.5%
31	JAX	9.15	9.06	3.2%
32	CLE	9.94	9.84	0%

Does Turnover pct (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 879–699–37 ATS (55.7%) across 2020–2025, #48 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (155–109, 58.7%); its worst 2023 (129–129, 50.0%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	148–106–2	58.3%
2021	272	151–119–2	55.9%
2022	271	155–109–7	58.7%
2023	272	129–129–14	50.0%
2024	272	153–110–9	58.2%
2025	272	143–126–3	53.2%

Turnover pct (Off − Def) in 2024 vs 2023

Bills lead at -10.88 — they ranked #18 last year. Browns are last at 9.94 — #25 last year.

The league average is 0.10, down 0.10 from 0.20 last year.

Biggest riser: Eagles, #30 → #3. Biggest faller: 49ers, #3 → #27.

Spread between first and last: 20.82; 21 teams are within 5.12 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2024 vs 2023

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

SF · +10.68

Biggest faller

PHI · −13.38

Most consistent

MIA · +0.59

League trend 2024 vs 2023

▼ -0.10

Rank	Team	2024	2023	Δ
1	SF	5.30	-5.39	+10.68
2	TB	4.48	-3.67	+8.15
3	JAX	9.15	2.70	+6.45
4	CLE	9.94	3.93	+6.00
5	NYG	1.20	-4.61	+5.81
6	DAL	3.04	-2.76	+5.81
7	NO	-1.39	-5.96	+4.57
8	TEN	5.64	2.16	+3.47
9	NE	7.22	4.17	+3.06
10	LV	7.29	4.44	+2.85
11	SEA	2.58	-0.21	+2.80
12	DEN	0.51	-2.17	+2.69
13	BAL	-1.98	-4.55	+2.57
14	IND	2.03	-0.44	+2.47
15	CIN	-2.37	-4.71	+2.35
16	ARI	1.90	-0.06	+1.95
17	HOU	-3.04	-3.90	+0.87
18	MIA	0.66	0.07	+0.59
19	CAR	2.78	4.27	−1.49
20	ATL	4.44	6.09	−1.65
21	LAR	-1.03	0.85	−1.88
22	NYJ	0.74	2.76	−2.03
23	CHI	-4.61	-2.16	−2.45
24	PIT	-7.92	-5.45	−2.47
25	DET	-4.87	-1.52	−3.34
26	WAS	0.00	3.79	−3.79
27	LAC	-6.62	-0.98	−5.64
28	GB	-6.50	0.63	−7.13
29	KC	-2.42	4.71	−7.13
30	BUF	-10.88	0.28	−11.16
31	MIN	-4.86	7.97	−12.84
32	PHI	-7.36	6.03	−13.38

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

PIT · -4.25

Multi-year laggard

CLE · 3.24

Biggest improver

JAX · −2.44/yr

Biggest decliner

NO · +2.17/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	PIT	-4.25	−0.14	-4.29	-1.72	-3.46	-5.45	-7.92	-4.89	-2.01
2	GB	-3.25	+0.15	-4.40	-5.55	-1.76	0.63	-6.50	-0.19	-4.99
3	CIN	-2.53	−0.80	2.34	-1.32	-4.27	-4.71	-2.37	-2.33	-5.06
4	HOU	-2.34	−1.53	3.90	-0.59	-0.62	-3.90	-3.04	-6.52	-5.62
5	DET	-2.22	−1.39	3.01	1.50	-4.28	-1.52	-4.87	-2.03	-7.37
6	BAL	-1.51	−0.79	-1.30	4.68	-2.52	-4.55	-1.98	2.49	-7.37
7	MIN	-1.38	−0.78	-0.14	-4.04	-0.82	7.97	-4.86	2.93	-10.71
8	KC	-1.21	−0.80	-2.46	-0.30	0.85	4.71	-2.42	0.59	-9.41
9	BUF	-1.03	+0.81	-2.09	-2.65	0.58	0.28	-10.88	0.13	7.41
10	TB	-0.82	+1.49	-5.58	-4.69	0.67	-3.67	4.48	-2.66	5.71
11	LAR	-0.81	−0.07	1.46	-3.54	0.00	0.85	-1.03	-6.54	3.13
12	SEA	-0.63	+0.31	-1.86	-2.48	-1.38	-0.21	2.58	2.78	-3.82
13	ARI	-0.47	+0.10	-0.07	-6.49	3.63	-0.06	1.90	1.79	-4.03
14	LAC	-0.47	+0.39	0.13	0.49	-1.52	-0.98	-6.62	-1.90	7.10
15	CHI	-0.12	−0.70	2.45	5.82	0.07	-2.16	-4.61	-11.29	8.90
16	DEN	0.39	−0.54	7.55	-2.52	-1.37	-2.17	0.51	1.69	-0.96
17	SF	0.43	−0.32	3.26	3.69	-4.75	-5.39	5.30	4.62	-3.70
18	NYG	0.46	+0.09	0.96	2.56	-0.32	-4.61	1.20	1.26	2.13
19	DAL	0.53	+1.34	1.94	-4.37	-5.11	-2.76	3.04	6.25	4.70
20	PHI	0.56	−0.83	6.69	2.71	-4.56	6.03	-7.36	-3.64	4.08
21	IND	0.87	+2.02	-3.96	-7.82	5.50	-0.44	2.03	-0.20	10.97
22	NO	0.93	+2.17	-3.26	-4.47	4.49	-5.96	-1.39	3.38	13.74
23	JAX	1.47	−2.44	5.19	9.36	0.16	2.70	9.15	-5.73	-10.54
24	WAS	1.86	−0.83	2.19	2.90	4.15	3.79	0.00	6.75	-6.78
25	MIA	1.92	+1.30	-4.10	1.51	4.29	0.07	0.66	2.33	8.69
26	TEN	2.01	+1.26	-5.12	4.07	-0.46	2.16	5.64	1.41	6.36
27	CAR	2.36	−0.78	1.92	5.90	2.32	4.27	2.78	2.62	-3.30
28	NE	2.49	+1.89	-1.69	-4.06	0.92	4.17	7.22	-0.64	11.53
29	ATL	2.64	+0.50	-1.57	3.49	2.41	6.09	4.44	-3.40	7.02
30	NYJ	2.75	−0.28	-0.99	7.56	3.64	2.76	0.74	9.30	-3.77
31	LV	3.01	−1.57	5.12	4.60	5.72	4.44	7.29	2.69	-8.77
32	CLE	3.24	+0.67	-2.33	2.95	2.68	3.93	9.94	6.03	-0.53

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BUF	-2.09	-2.65	0.58	0.28	-10.88	0.13	7.41
PIT	-4.29	-1.72	-3.46	-5.45	-7.92	-4.89	-2.01
PHI	6.69	2.71	-4.56	6.03	-7.36	-3.64	4.08
LAC	0.13	0.49	-1.52	-0.98	-6.62	-1.90	7.10
GB	-4.40	-5.55	-1.76	0.63	-6.50	-0.19	-4.99
DET	3.01	1.50	-4.28	-1.52	-4.87	-2.03	-7.37
MIN	-0.14	-4.04	-0.82	7.97	-4.86	2.93	-10.71
CHI	2.45	5.82	0.07	-2.16	-4.61	-11.29	8.90
HOU	3.90	-0.59	-0.62	-3.90	-3.04	-6.52	-5.62
KC	-2.46	-0.30	0.85	4.71	-2.42	0.59	-9.41
CIN	2.34	-1.32	-4.27	-4.71	-2.37	-2.33	-5.06
BAL	-1.30	4.68	-2.52	-4.55	-1.98	2.49	-7.37
NO	-3.26	-4.47	4.49	-5.96	-1.39	3.38	13.74
LAR	1.46	-3.54	0.00	0.85	-1.03	-6.54	3.13
WAS	2.19	2.90	4.15	3.79	0.00	6.75	-6.78
DEN	7.55	-2.52	-1.37	-2.17	0.51	1.69	-0.96
MIA	-4.10	1.51	4.29	0.07	0.66	2.33	8.69
NYJ	-0.99	7.56	3.64	2.76	0.74	9.30	-3.77
NYG	0.96	2.56	-0.32	-4.61	1.20	1.26	2.13
ARI	-0.07	-6.49	3.63	-0.06	1.90	1.79	-4.03
IND	-3.96	-7.82	5.50	-0.44	2.03	-0.20	10.97
SEA	-1.86	-2.48	-1.38	-0.21	2.58	2.78	-3.82
CAR	1.92	5.90	2.32	4.27	2.78	2.62	-3.30
DAL	1.94	-4.37	-5.11	-2.76	3.04	6.25	4.70
ATL	-1.57	3.49	2.41	6.09	4.44	-3.40	7.02
TB	-5.58	-4.69	0.67	-3.67	4.48	-2.66	5.71
SF	3.26	3.69	-4.75	-5.39	5.30	4.62	-3.70
TEN	-5.12	4.07	-0.46	2.16	5.64	1.41	6.36
NE	-1.69	-4.06	0.92	4.17	7.22	-0.64	11.53
LV	5.12	4.60	5.72	4.44	7.29	2.69	-8.77
JAX	5.19	9.36	0.16	2.70	9.15	-5.73	-10.54
CLE	-2.33	2.95	2.68	3.93	9.94	6.03	-0.53

Turnover pct (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Seahawks (-7.10), 2019 Patriots (-8.70), 2020 Buccaneers (-5.58), 2021 Colts (-7.82), 2022 Cowboys (-5.11), 2023 Saints (-5.96), 2024 Bills (-10.88).

The best season on record is Bills 2024 at -10.88; the worst 49ers 2018 at 11.03.

The league average has fallen from 0.16 in 2018 to 0.10 in 2024.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2024.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_turnover_pct
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.