NET: Turnover pct (Off − Def)
P + N
About this stat ↓What Turnover pct (Off − Def) is
Share of the offense's drives that ended in a turnover, minus the share of opponent drives this defense ended with one. Lower is better.
Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
In 2018 the Seahawks led at -7.10; the league average was 0.16.
League snapshot — 2018
League leader
SEA · -7.10
League average
0.16
Best to worst
18.13
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | -7.10 | 16 |
| 2 | NE | -5.24 | 16 |
| 3 | NO | -4.91 | 16 |
| 4 | CLE | -4.90 | 16 |
| 5 | LAR | -4.80 | 16 |
| 6 | WAS | -3.98 | 16 |
| 7 | KC | -3.37 | 16 |
| 8 | IND | -3.32 | 16 |
| 9 | HOU | -3.29 | 16 |
| 10 | CHI | -2.11 | 16 |
| 11 | GB | -1.97 | 16 |
| 12 | CAR | -1.88 | 16 |
| 13 | DEN | -1.83 | 16 |
| 14 | DAL | -1.76 | 16 |
| 15 | MIA | -1.46 | 16 |
| 16 | LAC | -1.43 | 16 |
| 17 | BUF | -0.87 | 16 |
| 18 | NYG | -0.85 | 16 |
| 19 | MIN | -0.39 | 16 |
| 20 | ATL | -0.03 | 16 |
| 21 | TEN | 1.16 | 16 |
| 22 | CIN | 1.75 | 16 |
| 23 | BAL | 2.54 | 16 |
| 24 | PHI | 2.88 | 16 |
| 25 | DET | 2.94 | 16 |
| 26 | LV | 3.51 | 16 |
| 27 | NYJ | 4.92 | 16 |
| 28 | ARI | 5.49 | 16 |
| 29 | JAX | 7.07 | 16 |
| 30 | PIT | 7.88 | 16 |
| 31 | TB | 9.30 | 16 |
| 32 | SF | 11.03 | 16 |
At a glance — 2018
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
League leader
SEA · -7.10
League laggard
SF · 11.03
League average
0.16
Spread (max − min)
18.13
All teams — 2018
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | -7.10 | -7.26 | 100% |
| 2 | NE | -5.24 | -5.39 | 96.8% |
| 3 | NO | -4.91 | -5.07 | 93.5% |
| 4 | CLE | -4.90 | -5.06 | 90.3% |
| 5 | LAR | -4.80 | -4.96 | 87.1% |
| 6 | WAS | -3.98 | -4.13 | 83.9% |
| 7 | KC | -3.37 | -3.53 | 80.6% |
| 8 | IND | -3.32 | -3.48 | 77.4% |
| 9 | HOU | -3.29 | -3.44 | 74.2% |
| 10 | CHI | -2.11 | -2.26 | 71% |
| 11 | GB | -1.97 | -2.12 | 67.7% |
| 12 | CAR | -1.88 | -2.03 | 64.5% |
| 13 | DEN | -1.83 | -1.99 | 61.3% |
| 14 | DAL | -1.76 | -1.92 | 58.1% |
| 15 | MIA | -1.46 | -1.61 | 54.8% |
| 16 | LAC | -1.43 | -1.58 | 51.6% |
| 17 | BUF | -0.87 | -1.03 | 48.4% |
| 18 | NYG | -0.85 | -1.00 | 45.2% |
| 19 | MIN | -0.39 | -0.55 | 41.9% |
| 20 | ATL | -0.03 | -0.19 | 38.7% |
| 21 | TEN | 1.16 | 1.00 | 35.5% |
| 22 | CIN | 1.75 | 1.60 | 32.3% |
| 23 | BAL | 2.54 | 2.38 | 29% |
| 24 | PHI | 2.88 | 2.72 | 25.8% |
| 25 | DET | 2.94 | 2.79 | 22.6% |
| 26 | LV | 3.51 | 3.35 | 19.4% |
| 27 | NYJ | 4.92 | 4.76 | 16.1% |
| 28 | ARI | 5.49 | 5.34 | 12.9% |
| 29 | JAX | 7.07 | 6.92 | 9.7% |
| 30 | PIT | 7.88 | 7.73 | 6.5% |
| 31 | TB | 9.30 | 9.14 | 3.2% |
| 32 | SF | 11.03 | 10.87 | 0% |
Does Turnover pct (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 879–699–37 ATS (55.7%) across 2020–2025, #48 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (155–109, 58.7%); its worst 2023 (129–129, 50.0%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 148–106–2 | 58.3% |
| 2021 | 272 | 151–119–2 | 55.9% |
| 2022 | 271 | 155–109–7 | 58.7% |
| 2023 | 272 | 129–129–14 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 272 | 153–110–9 | 58.2% |
| 2025 | 272 | 143–126–3 | 53.2% |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year leader
PIT · -4.25
Multi-year laggard
CLE · 3.24
Biggest improver
JAX · −2.44/yr
Biggest decliner
NO · +2.17/yr
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | -4.25 | −0.14 | -4.29 | -1.72 | -3.46 | -5.45 | -7.92 | -4.89 | -2.01 |
| 2 | GB | -3.25 | +0.15 | -4.40 | -5.55 | -1.76 | 0.63 | -6.50 | -0.19 | -4.99 |
| 3 | CIN | -2.53 | −0.80 | 2.34 | -1.32 | -4.27 | -4.71 | -2.37 | -2.33 | -5.06 |
| 4 | HOU | -2.34 | −1.53 | 3.90 | -0.59 | -0.62 | -3.90 | -3.04 | -6.52 | -5.62 |
| 5 | DET | -2.22 | −1.39 | 3.01 | 1.50 | -4.28 | -1.52 | -4.87 | -2.03 | -7.37 |
| 6 | BAL | -1.51 | −0.79 | -1.30 | 4.68 | -2.52 | -4.55 | -1.98 | 2.49 | -7.37 |
| 7 | MIN | -1.38 | −0.78 | -0.14 | -4.04 | -0.82 | 7.97 | -4.86 | 2.93 | -10.71 |
| 8 | KC | -1.21 | −0.80 | -2.46 | -0.30 | 0.85 | 4.71 | -2.42 | 0.59 | -9.41 |
| 9 | BUF | -1.03 | +0.81 | -2.09 | -2.65 | 0.58 | 0.28 | -10.88 | 0.13 | 7.41 |
| 10 | TB | -0.82 | +1.49 | -5.58 | -4.69 | 0.67 | -3.67 | 4.48 | -2.66 | 5.71 |
| 11 | LAR | -0.81 | −0.07 | 1.46 | -3.54 | 0.00 | 0.85 | -1.03 | -6.54 | 3.13 |
| 12 | SEA | -0.63 | +0.31 | -1.86 | -2.48 | -1.38 | -0.21 | 2.58 | 2.78 | -3.82 |
| 13 | ARI | -0.47 | +0.10 | -0.07 | -6.49 | 3.63 | -0.06 | 1.90 | 1.79 | -4.03 |
| 14 | LAC | -0.47 | +0.39 | 0.13 | 0.49 | -1.52 | -0.98 | -6.62 | -1.90 | 7.10 |
| 15 | CHI | -0.12 | −0.70 | 2.45 | 5.82 | 0.07 | -2.16 | -4.61 | -11.29 | 8.90 |
| 16 | DEN | 0.39 | −0.54 | 7.55 | -2.52 | -1.37 | -2.17 | 0.51 | 1.69 | -0.96 |
| 17 | SF | 0.43 | −0.32 | 3.26 | 3.69 | -4.75 | -5.39 | 5.30 | 4.62 | -3.70 |
| 18 | NYG | 0.46 | +0.09 | 0.96 | 2.56 | -0.32 | -4.61 | 1.20 | 1.26 | 2.13 |
| 19 | DAL | 0.53 | +1.34 | 1.94 | -4.37 | -5.11 | -2.76 | 3.04 | 6.25 | 4.70 |
| 20 | PHI | 0.56 | −0.83 | 6.69 | 2.71 | -4.56 | 6.03 | -7.36 | -3.64 | 4.08 |
| 21 | IND | 0.87 | +2.02 | -3.96 | -7.82 | 5.50 | -0.44 | 2.03 | -0.20 | 10.97 |
| 22 | NO | 0.93 | +2.17 | -3.26 | -4.47 | 4.49 | -5.96 | -1.39 | 3.38 | 13.74 |
| 23 | JAX | 1.47 | −2.44 | 5.19 | 9.36 | 0.16 | 2.70 | 9.15 | -5.73 | -10.54 |
| 24 | WAS | 1.86 | −0.83 | 2.19 | 2.90 | 4.15 | 3.79 | 0.00 | 6.75 | -6.78 |
| 25 | MIA | 1.92 | +1.30 | -4.10 | 1.51 | 4.29 | 0.07 | 0.66 | 2.33 | 8.69 |
| 26 | TEN | 2.01 | +1.26 | -5.12 | 4.07 | -0.46 | 2.16 | 5.64 | 1.41 | 6.36 |
| 27 | CAR | 2.36 | −0.78 | 1.92 | 5.90 | 2.32 | 4.27 | 2.78 | 2.62 | -3.30 |
| 28 | NE | 2.49 | +1.89 | -1.69 | -4.06 | 0.92 | 4.17 | 7.22 | -0.64 | 11.53 |
| 29 | ATL | 2.64 | +0.50 | -1.57 | 3.49 | 2.41 | 6.09 | 4.44 | -3.40 | 7.02 |
| 30 | NYJ | 2.75 | −0.28 | -0.99 | 7.56 | 3.64 | 2.76 | 0.74 | 9.30 | -3.77 |
| 31 | LV | 3.01 | −1.57 | 5.12 | 4.60 | 5.72 | 4.44 | 7.29 | 2.69 | -8.77 |
| 32 | CLE | 3.24 | +0.67 | -2.33 | 2.95 | 2.68 | 3.93 | 9.94 | 6.03 | -0.53 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | -0.14 | -4.04 | -0.82 | 7.97 | -4.86 | 2.93 | -10.71 |
| JAX | 5.19 | 9.36 | 0.16 | 2.70 | 9.15 | -5.73 | -10.54 |
| KC | -2.46 | -0.30 | 0.85 | 4.71 | -2.42 | 0.59 | -9.41 |
| LV | 5.12 | 4.60 | 5.72 | 4.44 | 7.29 | 2.69 | -8.77 |
| DET | 3.01 | 1.50 | -4.28 | -1.52 | -4.87 | -2.03 | -7.37 |
| BAL | -1.30 | 4.68 | -2.52 | -4.55 | -1.98 | 2.49 | -7.37 |
| WAS | 2.19 | 2.90 | 4.15 | 3.79 | 0.00 | 6.75 | -6.78 |
| HOU | 3.90 | -0.59 | -0.62 | -3.90 | -3.04 | -6.52 | -5.62 |
| CIN | 2.34 | -1.32 | -4.27 | -4.71 | -2.37 | -2.33 | -5.06 |
| GB | -4.40 | -5.55 | -1.76 | 0.63 | -6.50 | -0.19 | -4.99 |
| ARI | -0.07 | -6.49 | 3.63 | -0.06 | 1.90 | 1.79 | -4.03 |
| SEA | -1.86 | -2.48 | -1.38 | -0.21 | 2.58 | 2.78 | -3.82 |
| NYJ | -0.99 | 7.56 | 3.64 | 2.76 | 0.74 | 9.30 | -3.77 |
| SF | 3.26 | 3.69 | -4.75 | -5.39 | 5.30 | 4.62 | -3.70 |
| CAR | 1.92 | 5.90 | 2.32 | 4.27 | 2.78 | 2.62 | -3.30 |
| PIT | -4.29 | -1.72 | -3.46 | -5.45 | -7.92 | -4.89 | -2.01 |
| DEN | 7.55 | -2.52 | -1.37 | -2.17 | 0.51 | 1.69 | -0.96 |
| CLE | -2.33 | 2.95 | 2.68 | 3.93 | 9.94 | 6.03 | -0.53 |
| NYG | 0.96 | 2.56 | -0.32 | -4.61 | 1.20 | 1.26 | 2.13 |
| LAR | 1.46 | -3.54 | 0.00 | 0.85 | -1.03 | -6.54 | 3.13 |
| PHI | 6.69 | 2.71 | -4.56 | 6.03 | -7.36 | -3.64 | 4.08 |
| DAL | 1.94 | -4.37 | -5.11 | -2.76 | 3.04 | 6.25 | 4.70 |
| TB | -5.58 | -4.69 | 0.67 | -3.67 | 4.48 | -2.66 | 5.71 |
| TEN | -5.12 | 4.07 | -0.46 | 2.16 | 5.64 | 1.41 | 6.36 |
| ATL | -1.57 | 3.49 | 2.41 | 6.09 | 4.44 | -3.40 | 7.02 |
| LAC | 0.13 | 0.49 | -1.52 | -0.98 | -6.62 | -1.90 | 7.10 |
| BUF | -2.09 | -2.65 | 0.58 | 0.28 | -10.88 | 0.13 | 7.41 |
| MIA | -4.10 | 1.51 | 4.29 | 0.07 | 0.66 | 2.33 | 8.69 |
| CHI | 2.45 | 5.82 | 0.07 | -2.16 | -4.61 | -11.29 | 8.90 |
| IND | -3.96 | -7.82 | 5.50 | -0.44 | 2.03 | -0.20 | 10.97 |
| NE | -1.69 | -4.06 | 0.92 | 4.17 | 7.22 | -0.64 | 11.53 |
| NO | -3.26 | -4.47 | 4.49 | -5.96 | -1.39 | 3.38 | 13.74 |
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_turnover_pct
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.