What Turnover pct (Off − Def) is

Share of the offense's drives that ended in a turnover, minus the share of opponent drives this defense ended with one. Lower is better.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 8 of 2026, the Vikings lead at -9.21; the league average is 0.10.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

MIN · -9.21

League average

0.10

Best to worst

20.45

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	MIN	-9.21	7
2	JAX	-8.22	7
3	LV	-8.01	8
4	WAS	-7.50	7
5	KC	-6.59	7
6	GB	-5.25	8
7	PIT	-4.77	8
8	DEN	-4.25	8
9	DET	-3.93	7
10	HOU	-3.89	7
11	CIN	-2.09	7
12	BAL	-1.22	8
13	NYJ	-1.10	8
14	TB	-0.72	8
15	CLE	-0.47	8
16	TEN	-0.23	8
17	ARI	0.10	8
18	DAL	0.38	8
19	CAR	0.52	7
20	SEA	1.04	7
21	BUF	2.60	7
22	LAR	3.14	8
23	ATL	3.44	8
24	NYG	3.87	7
25	CHI	4.64	7
26	SF	4.71	7
27	MIA	4.81	7
28	PHI	4.87	8
29	LAC	7.37	7
30	NO	8.58	7
31	NE	9.41	8
32	IND	11.24	8

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

MIN · -9.21

League laggard

IND · 11.24

League average

0.10

Spread (max − min)

20.45

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	MIN	-9.21	-9.31	100%
2	JAX	-8.22	-8.32	96.8%
3	LV	-8.01	-8.11	93.5%
4	WAS	-7.50	-7.60	90.3%
5	KC	-6.59	-6.70	87.1%
6	GB	-5.25	-5.35	83.9%
7	PIT	-4.77	-4.87	80.6%
8	DEN	-4.25	-4.35	77.4%
9	DET	-3.93	-4.03	74.2%
10	HOU	-3.89	-4.00	71%
11	CIN	-2.09	-2.19	67.7%
12	BAL	-1.22	-1.33	64.5%
13	NYJ	-1.10	-1.21	61.3%
14	TB	-0.72	-0.82	58.1%
15	CLE	-0.47	-0.57	54.8%
16	TEN	-0.23	-0.33	51.6%
17	ARI	0.10	0.00	48.4%
18	DAL	0.38	0.27	45.2%
19	CAR	0.52	0.42	41.9%
20	SEA	1.04	0.94	38.7%
21	BUF	2.60	2.50	35.5%
22	LAR	3.14	3.04	32.3%
23	ATL	3.44	3.34	29%
24	NYG	3.87	3.77	25.8%
25	CHI	4.64	4.54	22.6%
26	SF	4.71	4.61	19.4%
27	MIA	4.81	4.71	16.1%
28	PHI	4.87	4.76	12.9%
29	LAC	7.37	7.27	9.7%
30	NO	8.58	8.48	6.5%
31	NE	9.41	9.31	3.2%
32	IND	11.24	11.13	0%

Does Turnover pct (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 879–699–37 ATS (55.7%) across 2020–2025, #48 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (155–109, 58.7%); its worst 2023 (129–129, 50.0%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	148–106–2	58.3%
2021	272	151–119–2	55.9%
2022	271	155–109–7	58.7%
2023	272	129–129–14	50.0%
2024	272	153–110–9	58.2%
2025	272	143–126–3	53.2%

Turnover pct (Off − Def) in 2026 vs 2025

Vikings lead at -9.21 — they ranked #26 last year. Colts are last at 11.24 — #13 last year.

The league average is 0.10, down 0.12 from 0.22 last year.

Biggest riser: Commanders, #31 → #4. Biggest faller: Bears, #1 → #25.

Spread between first and last: 20.45; 22 teams are within 5.31 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

CHI · +15.93

Biggest faller

WAS · −14.25

Most consistent

SF · +0.09

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▼ -0.12

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	CHI	4.64	-11.29	+15.93
2	IND	11.24	-0.20	+11.44
3	NE	9.41	-0.64	+10.05
4	LAR	3.14	-6.54	+9.67
5	LAC	7.37	-1.90	+9.27
6	PHI	4.87	-3.64	+8.51
7	ATL	3.44	-3.40	+6.84
8	NO	8.58	3.38	+5.20
9	HOU	-3.89	-6.52	+2.63
10	NYG	3.87	1.26	+2.61
11	MIA	4.81	2.33	+2.49
12	BUF	2.60	0.13	+2.47
13	TB	-0.72	-2.66	+1.94
14	CIN	-2.09	-2.33	+0.24
15	PIT	-4.77	-4.89	+0.11
16	SF	4.71	4.62	+0.09
17	TEN	-0.23	1.41	−1.64
18	ARI	0.10	1.79	−1.69
19	SEA	1.04	2.78	−1.74
20	DET	-3.93	-2.03	−1.90
21	CAR	0.52	2.62	−2.09
22	JAX	-8.22	-5.73	−2.49
23	BAL	-1.22	2.49	−3.72
24	GB	-5.25	-0.19	−5.06
25	DAL	0.38	6.25	−5.88
26	DEN	-4.25	1.69	−5.94
27	CLE	-0.47	6.03	−6.50
28	KC	-6.59	0.59	−7.18
29	NYJ	-1.10	9.30	−10.40
30	LV	-8.01	2.69	−10.70
31	MIN	-9.21	2.93	−12.14
32	WAS	-7.50	6.75	−14.25

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

PIT · -4.64

Multi-year laggard

CLE · 3.25

Biggest improver

JAX · −2.19/yr

Biggest decliner

IND · +2.05/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	PIT	-4.64	−0.44	-4.29	-1.72	-3.46	-5.45	-7.92	-4.89	-4.77
2	GB	-3.29	+0.12	-4.40	-5.55	-1.76	0.63	-6.50	-0.19	-5.25
3	CIN	-2.11	−0.48	2.34	-1.32	-4.27	-4.71	-2.37	-2.33	-2.09
4	HOU	-2.10	−1.34	3.90	-0.59	-0.62	-3.90	-3.04	-6.52	-3.89
5	TB	-1.74	+0.80	-5.58	-4.69	0.67	-3.67	4.48	-2.66	-0.72
6	DET	-1.73	−1.02	3.01	1.50	-4.28	-1.52	-4.87	-2.03	-3.93
7	BUF	-1.72	+0.29	-2.09	-2.65	0.58	0.28	-10.88	0.13	2.60
8	MIN	-1.17	−0.62	-0.14	-4.04	-0.82	7.97	-4.86	2.93	-9.21
9	LAR	-0.81	−0.07	1.46	-3.54	0.00	0.85	-1.03	-6.54	3.14
10	KC	-0.80	−0.50	-2.46	-0.30	0.85	4.71	-2.42	0.59	-6.59
11	CHI	-0.72	−1.15	2.45	5.82	0.07	-2.16	-4.61	-11.29	4.64
12	BAL	-0.63	−0.13	-1.30	4.68	-2.52	-4.55	-1.98	2.49	-1.22
13	LAC	-0.43	+0.42	0.13	0.49	-1.52	-0.98	-6.62	-1.90	7.37
14	DAL	-0.09	+0.88	1.94	-4.37	-5.11	-2.76	3.04	6.25	0.38
15	DEN	-0.08	−0.90	7.55	-2.52	-1.37	-2.17	0.51	1.69	-4.25
16	SEA	0.06	+0.83	-1.86	-2.48	-1.38	-0.21	2.58	2.78	1.04
17	ARI	0.12	+0.55	-0.07	-6.49	3.63	-0.06	1.90	1.79	0.10
18	NO	0.20	+1.62	-3.26	-4.47	4.49	-5.96	-1.39	3.38	8.58
19	PHI	0.68	−0.75	6.69	2.71	-4.56	6.03	-7.36	-3.64	4.87
20	NYG	0.70	+0.27	0.96	2.56	-0.32	-4.61	1.20	1.26	3.87
21	IND	0.91	+2.05	-3.96	-7.82	5.50	-0.44	2.03	-0.20	11.24
22	TEN	1.07	+0.55	-5.12	4.07	-0.46	2.16	5.64	1.41	-0.23
23	MIA	1.37	+0.88	-4.10	1.51	4.29	0.07	0.66	2.33	4.81
24	SF	1.64	+0.58	3.26	3.69	-4.75	-5.39	5.30	4.62	4.71
25	WAS	1.75	−0.91	2.19	2.90	4.15	3.79	0.00	6.75	-7.50
26	JAX	1.80	−2.19	5.19	9.36	0.16	2.70	9.15	-5.73	-8.22
27	ATL	2.13	+0.12	-1.57	3.49	2.41	6.09	4.44	-3.40	3.44
28	NE	2.19	+1.66	-1.69	-4.06	0.92	4.17	7.22	-0.64	9.41
29	CAR	2.90	−0.37	1.92	5.90	2.32	4.27	2.78	2.62	0.52
30	LV	3.12	−1.49	5.12	4.60	5.72	4.44	7.29	2.69	-8.01
31	NYJ	3.13	+0.01	-0.99	7.56	3.64	2.76	0.74	9.30	-1.10
32	CLE	3.25	+0.68	-2.33	2.95	2.68	3.93	9.94	6.03	-0.47

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
MIN	-0.14	-4.04	-0.82	7.97	-4.86	2.93	-9.21
JAX	5.19	9.36	0.16	2.70	9.15	-5.73	-8.22
LV	5.12	4.60	5.72	4.44	7.29	2.69	-8.01
WAS	2.19	2.90	4.15	3.79	0.00	6.75	-7.50
KC	-2.46	-0.30	0.85	4.71	-2.42	0.59	-6.59
GB	-4.40	-5.55	-1.76	0.63	-6.50	-0.19	-5.25
PIT	-4.29	-1.72	-3.46	-5.45	-7.92	-4.89	-4.77
DEN	7.55	-2.52	-1.37	-2.17	0.51	1.69	-4.25
DET	3.01	1.50	-4.28	-1.52	-4.87	-2.03	-3.93
HOU	3.90	-0.59	-0.62	-3.90	-3.04	-6.52	-3.89
CIN	2.34	-1.32	-4.27	-4.71	-2.37	-2.33	-2.09
BAL	-1.30	4.68	-2.52	-4.55	-1.98	2.49	-1.22
NYJ	-0.99	7.56	3.64	2.76	0.74	9.30	-1.10
TB	-5.58	-4.69	0.67	-3.67	4.48	-2.66	-0.72
CLE	-2.33	2.95	2.68	3.93	9.94	6.03	-0.47
TEN	-5.12	4.07	-0.46	2.16	5.64	1.41	-0.23
ARI	-0.07	-6.49	3.63	-0.06	1.90	1.79	0.10
DAL	1.94	-4.37	-5.11	-2.76	3.04	6.25	0.38
CAR	1.92	5.90	2.32	4.27	2.78	2.62	0.52
SEA	-1.86	-2.48	-1.38	-0.21	2.58	2.78	1.04
BUF	-2.09	-2.65	0.58	0.28	-10.88	0.13	2.60
LAR	1.46	-3.54	0.00	0.85	-1.03	-6.54	3.14
ATL	-1.57	3.49	2.41	6.09	4.44	-3.40	3.44
NYG	0.96	2.56	-0.32	-4.61	1.20	1.26	3.87
CHI	2.45	5.82	0.07	-2.16	-4.61	-11.29	4.64
SF	3.26	3.69	-4.75	-5.39	5.30	4.62	4.71
MIA	-4.10	1.51	4.29	0.07	0.66	2.33	4.81
PHI	6.69	2.71	-4.56	6.03	-7.36	-3.64	4.87
LAC	0.13	0.49	-1.52	-0.98	-6.62	-1.90	7.37
NO	-3.26	-4.47	4.49	-5.96	-1.39	3.38	8.58
NE	-1.69	-4.06	0.92	4.17	7.22	-0.64	9.41
IND	-3.96	-7.82	5.50	-0.44	2.03	-0.20	11.24

Turnover pct (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Seahawks (-7.10), 2019 Patriots (-8.70), 2020 Buccaneers (-5.58), 2021 Colts (-7.82), 2022 Cowboys (-5.11), 2023 Saints (-5.96), 2024 Bills (-10.88), 2025 Bears (-11.29), 2026 Vikings (-9.21).

The best season on record is Bears 2025 at -11.29; the worst Colts 2026 at 11.24.

The league average has fallen from 0.16 in 2018 to 0.10 in 2026.

Week to week — Week 6 to Week 7

Since Week 6: Falcons up 9 (#25 → #16), Buccaneers up 6 (#26 → #20), Steelers up 4 (#14 → #10); 49ers down 9 (#17 → #26), Rams down 7 (#20 → #27), Lions down 4 (#5 → #9).

24 teams moved by two places or fewer.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_turnover_pct
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.