What Turnover pct (Off − Def) is

Share of the offense's drives that ended in a turnover, minus the share of opponent drives this defense ended with one. Lower is better.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2020 the Buccaneers led at -5.58; the league average was 0.09.

League snapshot — 2020

League leader

TB · -5.58

League average

0.09

Best to worst

13.13

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	TB	-5.58	16
2	TEN	-5.12	16
3	GB	-4.40	16
4	PIT	-4.29	16
5	MIA	-4.10	16
6	IND	-3.96	16
7	NO	-3.26	16
8	KC	-2.46	16
9	CLE	-2.33	16
10	BUF	-2.09	16
11	SEA	-1.86	16
12	NE	-1.69	16
13	ATL	-1.57	16
14	BAL	-1.30	16
15	NYJ	-0.99	16
16	MIN	-0.14	16
17	ARI	-0.07	16
18	LAC	0.13	16
19	NYG	0.96	16
20	LAR	1.46	16
21	CAR	1.92	16
22	DAL	1.94	16
23	WAS	2.19	16
24	CIN	2.34	16
25	CHI	2.45	16
26	DET	3.01	16
27	SF	3.26	16
28	HOU	3.90	16
29	LV	5.12	16
30	JAX	5.19	16
31	PHI	6.69	16
32	DEN	7.55	16

At a glance — 2020

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

TB · -5.58

League laggard

DEN · 7.55

League average

0.09

Spread (max − min)

13.13

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	TB	-5.58	-5.67	100%
2	TEN	-5.12	-5.21	96.8%
3	GB	-4.40	-4.49	93.5%
4	PIT	-4.29	-4.38	90.3%
5	MIA	-4.10	-4.19	87.1%
6	IND	-3.96	-4.05	83.9%
7	NO	-3.26	-3.35	80.6%
8	KC	-2.46	-2.55	77.4%
9	CLE	-2.33	-2.42	74.2%
10	BUF	-2.09	-2.18	71%
11	SEA	-1.86	-1.95	67.7%
12	NE	-1.69	-1.78	64.5%
13	ATL	-1.57	-1.66	61.3%
14	BAL	-1.30	-1.39	58.1%
15	NYJ	-0.99	-1.08	54.8%
16	MIN	-0.14	-0.23	51.6%
17	ARI	-0.07	-0.16	48.4%
18	LAC	0.13	0.04	45.2%
19	NYG	0.96	0.87	41.9%
20	LAR	1.46	1.37	38.7%
21	CAR	1.92	1.83	35.5%
22	DAL	1.94	1.85	32.3%
23	WAS	2.19	2.10	29%
24	CIN	2.34	2.25	25.8%
25	CHI	2.45	2.36	22.6%
26	DET	3.01	2.92	19.4%
27	SF	3.26	3.17	16.1%
28	HOU	3.90	3.80	12.9%
29	LV	5.12	5.03	9.7%
30	JAX	5.19	5.10	6.5%
31	PHI	6.69	6.60	3.2%
32	DEN	7.55	7.46	0%

Does Turnover pct (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 879–699–37 ATS (55.7%) across 2020–2025, #48 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (155–109, 58.7%); its worst 2023 (129–129, 50.0%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	148–106–2	58.3%
2021	272	151–119–2	55.9%
2022	271	155–109–7	58.7%
2023	272	129–129–14	50.0%
2024	272	153–110–9	58.2%
2025	272	143–126–3	53.2%

Turnover pct (Off − Def) in 2020 vs 2019

Buccaneers lead at -5.58 — they ranked #30 last year. Broncos are last at 7.55 — #18 last year.

The league average is 0.09, down 0.09 from 0.18 last year.

Biggest riser: Buccaneers, #30 → #1. Biggest faller: Texans, #14 → #28.

Spread between first and last: 13.13; 21 teams are within 3.45 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2020 vs 2019

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

NE · +7.01

Biggest faller

TB · −12.71

Most consistent

ARI · +0.36

League trend 2020 vs 2019

▼ -0.09

Rank	Team	2020	2019	Δ
1	NE	-1.69	-8.70	+7.01
2	DEN	7.55	0.57	+6.98
3	PHI	6.69	1.70	+4.99
4	MIN	-0.14	-5.01	+4.87
5	JAX	5.19	0.61	+4.58
6	SEA	-1.86	-6.06	+4.20
7	HOU	3.90	-0.26	+4.16
8	NO	-3.26	-7.00	+3.73
9	SF	3.26	-0.24	+3.50
10	WAS	2.19	-0.69	+2.88
11	GB	-4.40	-7.22	+2.83
12	LV	5.12	2.52	+2.60
13	CHI	2.45	0.43	+2.03
14	DET	3.01	1.92	+1.09
15	LAR	1.46	0.38	+1.08
16	KC	-2.46	-3.49	+1.03
17	BAL	-1.30	-2.29	+0.99
18	DAL	1.94	1.20	+0.75
19	ARI	-0.07	-0.43	+0.36
20	BUF	-2.09	-1.72	−0.37
21	IND	-3.96	-2.47	−1.49
22	PIT	-4.29	-2.76	−1.53
23	CIN	2.34	4.22	−1.88
24	TEN	-5.12	-1.75	−3.36
25	NYJ	-0.99	2.97	−3.95
26	CAR	1.92	6.09	−4.17
27	ATL	-1.57	3.02	−4.59
28	CLE	-2.33	3.34	−5.67
29	LAC	0.13	7.37	−7.25
30	NYG	0.96	8.45	−7.49
31	MIA	-4.10	4.05	−8.16
32	TB	-5.58	7.13	−12.71

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

PIT · -4.25

Multi-year laggard

CLE · 3.24

Biggest improver

JAX · −2.44/yr

Biggest decliner

NO · +2.17/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	PIT	-4.25	−0.14	-4.29	-1.72	-3.46	-5.45	-7.92	-4.89	-2.01
2	GB	-3.25	+0.15	-4.40	-5.55	-1.76	0.63	-6.50	-0.19	-4.99
3	CIN	-2.53	−0.80	2.34	-1.32	-4.27	-4.71	-2.37	-2.33	-5.06
4	HOU	-2.34	−1.53	3.90	-0.59	-0.62	-3.90	-3.04	-6.52	-5.62
5	DET	-2.22	−1.39	3.01	1.50	-4.28	-1.52	-4.87	-2.03	-7.37
6	BAL	-1.51	−0.79	-1.30	4.68	-2.52	-4.55	-1.98	2.49	-7.37
7	MIN	-1.38	−0.78	-0.14	-4.04	-0.82	7.97	-4.86	2.93	-10.71
8	KC	-1.21	−0.80	-2.46	-0.30	0.85	4.71	-2.42	0.59	-9.41
9	BUF	-1.03	+0.81	-2.09	-2.65	0.58	0.28	-10.88	0.13	7.41
10	TB	-0.82	+1.49	-5.58	-4.69	0.67	-3.67	4.48	-2.66	5.71
11	LAR	-0.81	−0.07	1.46	-3.54	0.00	0.85	-1.03	-6.54	3.13
12	SEA	-0.63	+0.31	-1.86	-2.48	-1.38	-0.21	2.58	2.78	-3.82
13	ARI	-0.47	+0.10	-0.07	-6.49	3.63	-0.06	1.90	1.79	-4.03
14	LAC	-0.47	+0.39	0.13	0.49	-1.52	-0.98	-6.62	-1.90	7.10
15	CHI	-0.12	−0.70	2.45	5.82	0.07	-2.16	-4.61	-11.29	8.90
16	DEN	0.39	−0.54	7.55	-2.52	-1.37	-2.17	0.51	1.69	-0.96
17	SF	0.43	−0.32	3.26	3.69	-4.75	-5.39	5.30	4.62	-3.70
18	NYG	0.46	+0.09	0.96	2.56	-0.32	-4.61	1.20	1.26	2.13
19	DAL	0.53	+1.34	1.94	-4.37	-5.11	-2.76	3.04	6.25	4.70
20	PHI	0.56	−0.83	6.69	2.71	-4.56	6.03	-7.36	-3.64	4.08
21	IND	0.87	+2.02	-3.96	-7.82	5.50	-0.44	2.03	-0.20	10.97
22	NO	0.93	+2.17	-3.26	-4.47	4.49	-5.96	-1.39	3.38	13.74
23	JAX	1.47	−2.44	5.19	9.36	0.16	2.70	9.15	-5.73	-10.54
24	WAS	1.86	−0.83	2.19	2.90	4.15	3.79	0.00	6.75	-6.78
25	MIA	1.92	+1.30	-4.10	1.51	4.29	0.07	0.66	2.33	8.69
26	TEN	2.01	+1.26	-5.12	4.07	-0.46	2.16	5.64	1.41	6.36
27	CAR	2.36	−0.78	1.92	5.90	2.32	4.27	2.78	2.62	-3.30
28	NE	2.49	+1.89	-1.69	-4.06	0.92	4.17	7.22	-0.64	11.53
29	ATL	2.64	+0.50	-1.57	3.49	2.41	6.09	4.44	-3.40	7.02
30	NYJ	2.75	−0.28	-0.99	7.56	3.64	2.76	0.74	9.30	-3.77
31	LV	3.01	−1.57	5.12	4.60	5.72	4.44	7.29	2.69	-8.77
32	CLE	3.24	+0.67	-2.33	2.95	2.68	3.93	9.94	6.03	-0.53

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
TB	-5.58	-4.69	0.67	-3.67	4.48	-2.66	5.71
TEN	-5.12	4.07	-0.46	2.16	5.64	1.41	6.36
GB	-4.40	-5.55	-1.76	0.63	-6.50	-0.19	-4.99
PIT	-4.29	-1.72	-3.46	-5.45	-7.92	-4.89	-2.01
MIA	-4.10	1.51	4.29	0.07	0.66	2.33	8.69
IND	-3.96	-7.82	5.50	-0.44	2.03	-0.20	10.97
NO	-3.26	-4.47	4.49	-5.96	-1.39	3.38	13.74
KC	-2.46	-0.30	0.85	4.71	-2.42	0.59	-9.41
CLE	-2.33	2.95	2.68	3.93	9.94	6.03	-0.53
BUF	-2.09	-2.65	0.58	0.28	-10.88	0.13	7.41
SEA	-1.86	-2.48	-1.38	-0.21	2.58	2.78	-3.82
NE	-1.69	-4.06	0.92	4.17	7.22	-0.64	11.53
ATL	-1.57	3.49	2.41	6.09	4.44	-3.40	7.02
BAL	-1.30	4.68	-2.52	-4.55	-1.98	2.49	-7.37
NYJ	-0.99	7.56	3.64	2.76	0.74	9.30	-3.77
MIN	-0.14	-4.04	-0.82	7.97	-4.86	2.93	-10.71
ARI	-0.07	-6.49	3.63	-0.06	1.90	1.79	-4.03
LAC	0.13	0.49	-1.52	-0.98	-6.62	-1.90	7.10
NYG	0.96	2.56	-0.32	-4.61	1.20	1.26	2.13
LAR	1.46	-3.54	0.00	0.85	-1.03	-6.54	3.13
CAR	1.92	5.90	2.32	4.27	2.78	2.62	-3.30
DAL	1.94	-4.37	-5.11	-2.76	3.04	6.25	4.70
WAS	2.19	2.90	4.15	3.79	0.00	6.75	-6.78
CIN	2.34	-1.32	-4.27	-4.71	-2.37	-2.33	-5.06
CHI	2.45	5.82	0.07	-2.16	-4.61	-11.29	8.90
DET	3.01	1.50	-4.28	-1.52	-4.87	-2.03	-7.37
SF	3.26	3.69	-4.75	-5.39	5.30	4.62	-3.70
HOU	3.90	-0.59	-0.62	-3.90	-3.04	-6.52	-5.62
LV	5.12	4.60	5.72	4.44	7.29	2.69	-8.77
JAX	5.19	9.36	0.16	2.70	9.15	-5.73	-10.54
PHI	6.69	2.71	-4.56	6.03	-7.36	-3.64	4.08
DEN	7.55	-2.52	-1.37	-2.17	0.51	1.69	-0.96

Turnover pct (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Seahawks (-7.10), 2019 Patriots (-8.70), 2020 Buccaneers (-5.58).

The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at -8.70; the worst 49ers 2018 at 11.03.

The league average has fallen from 0.16 in 2018 to 0.09 in 2020.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2020.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_turnover_pct
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.