What Pass td perc (Off − Def) is

Touchdown rate thrown minus the touchdown rate allowed.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the 49ers led at 3.53; the league average was 0.00.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

SF · 3.53

League average

0.00

Best to worst

6.62

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	SF	3.53	17
2	BAL	2.65	17
3	DAL	1.75	17
4	BUF	1.74	17
5	HOU	1.55	17
6	GB	1.48	17
7	TB	1.17	17
8	KC	0.99	17
9	MIN	0.95	17
10	NO	0.70	17
11	MIA	0.54	17
12	LAR	0.49	17
13	SEA	0.40	17
14	DEN	0.38	17
15	CIN	0.25	17
16	DET	0.17	17
17	LV	-0.14	17
18	NE	-0.41	17
19	CLE	-0.44	17
20	LAC	-0.55	17
21	IND	-0.59	17
22	TEN	-0.66	17
23	NYG	-0.73	17
24	JAX	-0.84	17
25	PHI	-1.08	17
26	ATL	-1.17	17
27	CHI	-1.31	17
28	PIT	-1.43	17
29	CAR	-1.72	17
30	NYJ	-1.80	17
31	WAS	-2.73	17
32	ARI	-3.10	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

SF · 3.53

League laggard

ARI · -3.10

League average

0.00

Spread (max − min)

6.62

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	SF	3.53	3.52	100%
2	BAL	2.65	2.65	96.8%
3	DAL	1.75	1.75	93.5%
4	BUF	1.74	1.74	90.3%
5	HOU	1.55	1.54	87.1%
6	GB	1.48	1.48	83.9%
7	TB	1.17	1.17	80.6%
8	KC	0.99	0.99	77.4%
9	MIN	0.95	0.95	74.2%
10	NO	0.70	0.70	71%
11	MIA	0.54	0.54	67.7%
12	LAR	0.49	0.49	64.5%
13	SEA	0.40	0.39	61.3%
14	DEN	0.38	0.38	58.1%
15	CIN	0.25	0.25	54.8%
16	DET	0.17	0.17	51.6%
17	LV	-0.14	-0.14	48.4%
18	NE	-0.41	-0.41	45.2%
19	CLE	-0.44	-0.44	41.9%
20	LAC	-0.55	-0.55	38.7%
21	IND	-0.59	-0.59	35.5%
22	TEN	-0.66	-0.66	32.3%
23	NYG	-0.73	-0.73	29%
24	JAX	-0.84	-0.84	25.8%
25	PHI	-1.08	-1.08	22.6%
26	ATL	-1.17	-1.17	19.4%
27	CHI	-1.31	-1.31	16.1%
28	PIT	-1.43	-1.44	12.9%
29	CAR	-1.72	-1.72	9.7%
30	NYJ	-1.80	-1.80	6.5%
31	WAS	-2.73	-2.73	3.2%
32	ARI	-3.10	-3.10	0%

Does Pass td perc (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 911–667–37 ATS (57.7%) across 2020–2025, #20 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2024 (159–104, 60.5%); its worst 2023 (144–114, 55.8%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	145–109–2	57.1%
2021	272	153–117–2	56.7%
2022	271	153–111–7	58.0%
2023	272	144–114–14	55.8%
2024	272	159–104–9	60.5%
2025	272	157–112–3	58.4%

Pass td perc (Off − Def) in 2023 vs 2022

49ers lead at 3.53 — they ranked #2 last year. Cardinals are last at -3.10 — #31 last year.

The league average is 0.00, down 0.01 from 0.01 last year.

Biggest riser: Buccaneers, #29 → #7. Biggest faller: Eagles, #10 → #25.

Spread between first and last: 6.62; 22 teams are within 1.45 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

TB · +2.78

Biggest faller

CIN · −2.41

Most consistent

KC · +0.04

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▼ -0.01

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	TB	1.17	-1.61	+2.78
2	BAL	2.65	0.52	+2.12
3	PIT	-1.43	-3.24	+1.81
4	LAR	0.49	-1.12	+1.60
5	GB	1.48	0.18	+1.30
6	IND	-0.59	-1.80	+1.21
7	SF	3.53	2.50	+1.03
8	HOU	1.55	0.56	+0.98
9	DAL	1.75	0.88	+0.87
10	NE	-0.41	-1.18	+0.77
11	LAC	-0.55	-1.09	+0.54
12	DEN	0.38	-0.15	+0.53
13	MIN	0.95	0.75	+0.21
14	TEN	-0.66	-0.79	+0.13
15	KC	0.99	0.96	+0.04
16	CLE	-0.44	-0.33	−0.11
17	DET	0.17	0.33	−0.16
18	MIA	0.54	0.81	−0.27
19	NYG	-0.73	-0.45	−0.28
20	ATL	-1.17	-0.54	−0.62
21	SEA	0.40	1.03	−0.63
22	BUF	1.74	2.42	−0.69
23	LV	-0.14	0.55	−0.69
24	ARI	-3.10	-2.34	−0.76
25	NO	0.70	1.52	−0.82
26	JAX	-0.84	0.03	−0.87
27	CAR	-1.72	-0.79	−0.92
28	NYJ	-1.80	-0.30	−1.50
29	CHI	-1.31	0.44	−1.75
30	PHI	-1.08	0.73	−1.81
31	WAS	-2.73	-0.77	−1.96
32	CIN	0.25	2.66	−2.41

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BAL · 1.94

Multi-year laggard

ARI · -1.77

Biggest improver

JAX · +0.96/yr

Biggest decliner

MIA · −0.76/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BAL	1.94	+0.37	2.96	-1.55	0.52	2.65	4.29	1.77	2.91
2	SF	1.81	+0.61	-0.28	0.49	2.50	3.53	-0.50	0.76	6.22
3	GB	1.75	−0.33	4.85	1.46	0.18	1.48	1.75	0.95	1.60
4	BUF	1.62	−0.61	2.73	3.22	2.42	1.74	0.95	1.70	-1.44
5	SEA	1.52	−0.26	3.69	2.41	1.03	0.40	-1.03	1.86	2.29
6	KC	1.28	+0.26	1.15	1.07	0.96	0.99	0.11	0.40	4.29
7	MIN	1.21	+0.07	1.18	1.01	0.75	0.95	2.64	0.34	1.62
8	CIN	0.90	+0.34	-2.61	2.33	2.66	0.25	1.36	-0.54	2.88
9	TB	0.62	−0.41	2.01	2.06	-1.61	1.17	2.86	-0.63	-1.54
10	LAR	0.61	−0.23	0.28	4.01	-1.12	0.49	-1.42	3.31	-1.28
11	PHI	0.47	+0.61	-1.45	-0.71	0.73	-1.08	1.33	2.65	1.81
12	NO	0.41	−0.46	0.37	2.34	1.52	0.70	0.60	-1.87	-0.79
13	DEN	0.31	+0.08	0.05	-0.22	-0.15	0.38	1.64	1.02	-0.58
14	DET	0.13	+0.51	-2.18	-1.82	0.33	0.17	4.13	0.49	-0.20
15	HOU	-0.04	−0.06	0.51	-1.08	0.56	1.55	-2.06	0.41	-0.14
16	LAC	-0.15	−0.03	-0.38	0.78	-1.09	-0.55	0.26	1.41	-1.49
17	JAX	-0.17	+0.96	-2.36	-2.44	0.03	-0.84	-1.53	1.23	4.71
18	NE	-0.22	+0.38	-1.72	0.58	-1.18	-0.41	-1.66	1.45	1.38
19	PIT	-0.29	+0.29	1.14	-0.81	-3.24	-1.43	0.29	-0.14	2.18
20	LV	-0.47	−0.11	0.29	-1.11	0.55	-0.14	-2.15	-0.48	-0.27
21	DAL	-0.49	−0.33	-2.65	2.25	0.88	1.75	-1.84	-1.29	-2.50
22	MIA	-0.81	−0.76	0.40	-0.38	0.81	0.54	-0.14	-0.84	-6.06
23	TEN	-0.90	−0.56	1.10	0.31	-0.79	-0.66	-1.56	-3.18	-1.50
24	IND	-0.93	−0.31	0.06	-0.18	-1.80	-0.59	-1.04	0.71	-3.68
25	CAR	-0.97	+0.60	-1.86	-2.66	-0.79	-1.72	-2.56	0.69	2.10
26	CLE	-1.02	−0.28	0.12	-0.97	-0.33	-0.44	-2.24	-2.26	-1.02
27	NYG	-1.05	+0.18	-1.50	-1.89	-0.45	-0.73	-2.04	-0.54	-0.17
28	NYJ	-1.14	+0.18	-2.42	-1.45	-0.30	-1.80	1.64	-3.96	0.28
29	CHI	-1.22	+0.02	-0.89	-3.53	0.44	-1.31	0.11	-1.10	-2.25
30	ATL	-1.38	−0.06	-1.14	-1.84	-0.54	-1.17	-2.12	-1.59	-1.30
31	WAS	-1.53	−0.10	-1.31	-1.86	-0.77	-2.73	0.52	-2.07	-2.49
32	ARI	-1.77	−0.53	0.13	-0.76	-2.34	-3.10	0.16	-0.96	-5.50

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	-0.28	0.49	2.50	3.53	-0.50	0.76	6.22
BAL	2.96	-1.55	0.52	2.65	4.29	1.77	2.91
DAL	-2.65	2.25	0.88	1.75	-1.84	-1.29	-2.50
BUF	2.73	3.22	2.42	1.74	0.95	1.70	-1.44
HOU	0.51	-1.08	0.56	1.55	-2.06	0.41	-0.14
GB	4.85	1.46	0.18	1.48	1.75	0.95	1.60
TB	2.01	2.06	-1.61	1.17	2.86	-0.63	-1.54
KC	1.15	1.07	0.96	0.99	0.11	0.40	4.29
MIN	1.18	1.01	0.75	0.95	2.64	0.34	1.62
NO	0.37	2.34	1.52	0.70	0.60	-1.87	-0.79
MIA	0.40	-0.38	0.81	0.54	-0.14	-0.84	-6.06
LAR	0.28	4.01	-1.12	0.49	-1.42	3.31	-1.28
SEA	3.69	2.41	1.03	0.40	-1.03	1.86	2.29
DEN	0.05	-0.22	-0.15	0.38	1.64	1.02	-0.58
CIN	-2.61	2.33	2.66	0.25	1.36	-0.54	2.88
DET	-2.18	-1.82	0.33	0.17	4.13	0.49	-0.20
LV	0.29	-1.11	0.55	-0.14	-2.15	-0.48	-0.27
NE	-1.72	0.58	-1.18	-0.41	-1.66	1.45	1.38
CLE	0.12	-0.97	-0.33	-0.44	-2.24	-2.26	-1.02
LAC	-0.38	0.78	-1.09	-0.55	0.26	1.41	-1.49
IND	0.06	-0.18	-1.80	-0.59	-1.04	0.71	-3.68
TEN	1.10	0.31	-0.79	-0.66	-1.56	-3.18	-1.50
NYG	-1.50	-1.89	-0.45	-0.73	-2.04	-0.54	-0.17
JAX	-2.36	-2.44	0.03	-0.84	-1.53	1.23	4.71
PHI	-1.45	-0.71	0.73	-1.08	1.33	2.65	1.81
ATL	-1.14	-1.84	-0.54	-1.17	-2.12	-1.59	-1.30
CHI	-0.89	-3.53	0.44	-1.31	0.11	-1.10	-2.25
PIT	1.14	-0.81	-3.24	-1.43	0.29	-0.14	2.18
CAR	-1.86	-2.66	-0.79	-1.72	-2.56	0.69	2.10
NYJ	-2.42	-1.45	-0.30	-1.80	1.64	-3.96	0.28
WAS	-1.31	-1.86	-0.77	-2.73	0.52	-2.07	-2.49
ARI	0.13	-0.76	-2.34	-3.10	0.16	-0.96	-5.50

Pass td perc (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (3.87), 2019 Ravens (5.66), 2020 Packers (4.85), 2021 Rams (4.01), 2022 Bengals (2.66), 2023 49ers (3.53).

The best season on record is Ravens 2019 at 5.66; the worst Raiders 2018 at -4.06.

The league average has risen from -0.03 in 2018 to 0.00 in 2023.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_pass_td_perc
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.