What Pass td perc (Off − Def) is

Touchdown rate thrown minus the touchdown rate allowed.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2018 the Chiefs led at 3.87; the league average was -0.03.

League snapshot — 2018

League leader

KC · 3.87

League average

-0.03

Best to worst

7.93

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	KC	3.87	16
2	SEA	3.45	16
3	IND	2.15	16
4	LAC	2.00	16
5	MIN	1.95	16
6	CHI	1.88	16
7	CLE	1.64	16
8	PHI	1.33	16
9	NO	1.15	16
10	HOU	0.45	16
11	PIT	0.31	16
12	NE	0.26	16
13	ATL	0.19	16
14	DAL	0.12	16
15	LAR	-0.19	16
16	TEN	-0.29	16
17	NYG	-0.34	16
18	MIA	-0.38	16
19	BAL	-0.39	16
20	CIN	-0.50	16
21	JAX	-0.61	16
22	TB	-0.63	16
23	CAR	-1.08	16
24	ARI	-1.09	16
25	DEN	-1.51	16
26	NYJ	-1.53	16
27	SF	-1.57	16
28	GB	-1.76	16
29	BUF	-1.84	16
30	WAS	-1.88	16
31	DET	-1.98	16
32	LV	-4.06	16

At a glance — 2018

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

KC · 3.87

League laggard

LV · -4.06

League average

-0.03

Spread (max − min)

7.93

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	KC	3.87	3.90	100%
2	SEA	3.45	3.48	96.8%
3	IND	2.15	2.18	93.5%
4	LAC	2.00	2.03	90.3%
5	MIN	1.95	1.98	87.1%
6	CHI	1.88	1.91	83.9%
7	CLE	1.64	1.67	80.6%
8	PHI	1.33	1.35	77.4%
9	NO	1.15	1.18	74.2%
10	HOU	0.45	0.47	71%
11	PIT	0.31	0.33	67.7%
12	NE	0.26	0.29	64.5%
13	ATL	0.19	0.21	61.3%
14	DAL	0.12	0.14	58.1%
15	LAR	-0.19	-0.16	54.8%
16	TEN	-0.29	-0.26	51.6%
17	NYG	-0.34	-0.32	48.4%
18	MIA	-0.38	-0.35	45.2%
19	BAL	-0.39	-0.36	41.9%
20	CIN	-0.50	-0.47	38.7%
21	JAX	-0.61	-0.58	35.5%
22	TB	-0.63	-0.60	32.3%
23	CAR	-1.08	-1.05	29%
24	ARI	-1.09	-1.06	25.8%
25	DEN	-1.51	-1.48	22.6%
26	NYJ	-1.53	-1.50	19.4%
27	SF	-1.57	-1.54	16.1%
28	GB	-1.76	-1.73	12.9%
29	BUF	-1.84	-1.81	9.7%
30	WAS	-1.88	-1.85	6.5%
31	DET	-1.98	-1.96	3.2%
32	LV	-4.06	-4.03	0%

Does Pass td perc (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 911–667–37 ATS (57.7%) across 2020–2025, #20 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2024 (159–104, 60.5%); its worst 2023 (144–114, 55.8%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	145–109–2	57.1%
2021	272	153–117–2	56.7%
2022	271	153–111–7	58.0%
2023	272	144–114–14	55.8%
2024	272	159–104–9	60.5%
2025	272	157–112–3	58.4%

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BAL · 1.94

Multi-year laggard

ARI · -1.77

Biggest improver

JAX · +0.96/yr

Biggest decliner

MIA · −0.76/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BAL	1.94	+0.37	2.96	-1.55	0.52	2.65	4.29	1.77	2.91
2	SF	1.81	+0.61	-0.28	0.49	2.50	3.53	-0.50	0.76	6.22
3	GB	1.75	−0.33	4.85	1.46	0.18	1.48	1.75	0.95	1.60
4	BUF	1.62	−0.61	2.73	3.22	2.42	1.74	0.95	1.70	-1.44
5	SEA	1.52	−0.26	3.69	2.41	1.03	0.40	-1.03	1.86	2.29
6	KC	1.28	+0.26	1.15	1.07	0.96	0.99	0.11	0.40	4.29
7	MIN	1.21	+0.07	1.18	1.01	0.75	0.95	2.64	0.34	1.62
8	CIN	0.90	+0.34	-2.61	2.33	2.66	0.25	1.36	-0.54	2.88
9	TB	0.62	−0.41	2.01	2.06	-1.61	1.17	2.86	-0.63	-1.54
10	LAR	0.61	−0.23	0.28	4.01	-1.12	0.49	-1.42	3.31	-1.28
11	PHI	0.47	+0.61	-1.45	-0.71	0.73	-1.08	1.33	2.65	1.81
12	NO	0.41	−0.46	0.37	2.34	1.52	0.70	0.60	-1.87	-0.79
13	DEN	0.31	+0.08	0.05	-0.22	-0.15	0.38	1.64	1.02	-0.58
14	DET	0.13	+0.51	-2.18	-1.82	0.33	0.17	4.13	0.49	-0.20
15	HOU	-0.04	−0.06	0.51	-1.08	0.56	1.55	-2.06	0.41	-0.14
16	LAC	-0.15	−0.03	-0.38	0.78	-1.09	-0.55	0.26	1.41	-1.49
17	JAX	-0.17	+0.96	-2.36	-2.44	0.03	-0.84	-1.53	1.23	4.71
18	NE	-0.22	+0.38	-1.72	0.58	-1.18	-0.41	-1.66	1.45	1.38
19	PIT	-0.29	+0.29	1.14	-0.81	-3.24	-1.43	0.29	-0.14	2.18
20	LV	-0.47	−0.11	0.29	-1.11	0.55	-0.14	-2.15	-0.48	-0.27
21	DAL	-0.49	−0.33	-2.65	2.25	0.88	1.75	-1.84	-1.29	-2.50
22	MIA	-0.81	−0.76	0.40	-0.38	0.81	0.54	-0.14	-0.84	-6.06
23	TEN	-0.90	−0.56	1.10	0.31	-0.79	-0.66	-1.56	-3.18	-1.50
24	IND	-0.93	−0.31	0.06	-0.18	-1.80	-0.59	-1.04	0.71	-3.68
25	CAR	-0.97	+0.60	-1.86	-2.66	-0.79	-1.72	-2.56	0.69	2.10
26	CLE	-1.02	−0.28	0.12	-0.97	-0.33	-0.44	-2.24	-2.26	-1.02
27	NYG	-1.05	+0.18	-1.50	-1.89	-0.45	-0.73	-2.04	-0.54	-0.17
28	NYJ	-1.14	+0.18	-2.42	-1.45	-0.30	-1.80	1.64	-3.96	0.28
29	CHI	-1.22	+0.02	-0.89	-3.53	0.44	-1.31	0.11	-1.10	-2.25
30	ATL	-1.38	−0.06	-1.14	-1.84	-0.54	-1.17	-2.12	-1.59	-1.30
31	WAS	-1.53	−0.10	-1.31	-1.86	-0.77	-2.73	0.52	-2.07	-2.49
32	ARI	-1.77	−0.53	0.13	-0.76	-2.34	-3.10	0.16	-0.96	-5.50

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	-0.28	0.49	2.50	3.53	-0.50	0.76	6.22
JAX	-2.36	-2.44	0.03	-0.84	-1.53	1.23	4.71
KC	1.15	1.07	0.96	0.99	0.11	0.40	4.29
BAL	2.96	-1.55	0.52	2.65	4.29	1.77	2.91
CIN	-2.61	2.33	2.66	0.25	1.36	-0.54	2.88
SEA	3.69	2.41	1.03	0.40	-1.03	1.86	2.29
PIT	1.14	-0.81	-3.24	-1.43	0.29	-0.14	2.18
CAR	-1.86	-2.66	-0.79	-1.72	-2.56	0.69	2.10
PHI	-1.45	-0.71	0.73	-1.08	1.33	2.65	1.81
MIN	1.18	1.01	0.75	0.95	2.64	0.34	1.62
GB	4.85	1.46	0.18	1.48	1.75	0.95	1.60
NE	-1.72	0.58	-1.18	-0.41	-1.66	1.45	1.38
NYJ	-2.42	-1.45	-0.30	-1.80	1.64	-3.96	0.28
HOU	0.51	-1.08	0.56	1.55	-2.06	0.41	-0.14
NYG	-1.50	-1.89	-0.45	-0.73	-2.04	-0.54	-0.17
DET	-2.18	-1.82	0.33	0.17	4.13	0.49	-0.20
LV	0.29	-1.11	0.55	-0.14	-2.15	-0.48	-0.27
DEN	0.05	-0.22	-0.15	0.38	1.64	1.02	-0.58
NO	0.37	2.34	1.52	0.70	0.60	-1.87	-0.79
CLE	0.12	-0.97	-0.33	-0.44	-2.24	-2.26	-1.02
LAR	0.28	4.01	-1.12	0.49	-1.42	3.31	-1.28
ATL	-1.14	-1.84	-0.54	-1.17	-2.12	-1.59	-1.30
BUF	2.73	3.22	2.42	1.74	0.95	1.70	-1.44
LAC	-0.38	0.78	-1.09	-0.55	0.26	1.41	-1.49
TEN	1.10	0.31	-0.79	-0.66	-1.56	-3.18	-1.50
TB	2.01	2.06	-1.61	1.17	2.86	-0.63	-1.54
CHI	-0.89	-3.53	0.44	-1.31	0.11	-1.10	-2.25
WAS	-1.31	-1.86	-0.77	-2.73	0.52	-2.07	-2.49
DAL	-2.65	2.25	0.88	1.75	-1.84	-1.29	-2.50
IND	0.06	-0.18	-1.80	-0.59	-1.04	0.71	-3.68
ARI	0.13	-0.76	-2.34	-3.10	0.16	-0.96	-5.50
MIA	0.40	-0.38	0.81	0.54	-0.14	-0.84	-6.06

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_pass_td_perc
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.