NET: Pass td perc (Off − Def)
What Pass td perc (Off − Def) is
Touchdown rate thrown minus the touchdown rate allowed.
Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
In 2025 the Rams led at 3.31; the league average was -0.01.
League snapshot — 2025
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAR | 3.31 | 17 |
| 2 | PHI | 2.65 | 17 |
| 3 | SEA | 1.86 | 17 |
| 4 | BAL | 1.77 | 17 |
| 5 | BUF | 1.70 | 17 |
| 6 | NE | 1.45 | 17 |
| 7 | LAC | 1.41 | 17 |
| 8 | JAX | 1.23 | 17 |
| 9 | DEN | 1.02 | 17 |
| 10 | GB | 0.95 | 17 |
| 11 | SF | 0.76 | 17 |
| 12 | IND | 0.71 | 17 |
| 13 | CAR | 0.69 | 17 |
| 14 | DET | 0.49 | 17 |
| 15 | HOU | 0.41 | 17 |
| 16 | KC | 0.40 | 17 |
| 17 | MIN | 0.34 | 17 |
| 18 | PIT | -0.14 | 17 |
| 19 | LV | -0.48 | 17 |
| 20 | NYG | -0.54 | 17 |
| 21 | CIN | -0.54 | 17 |
| 22 | TB | -0.63 | 17 |
| 23 | MIA | -0.84 | 17 |
| 24 | ARI | -0.96 | 17 |
| 25 | CHI | -1.10 | 17 |
| 26 | DAL | -1.29 | 17 |
| 27 | ATL | -1.59 | 17 |
| 28 | NO | -1.87 | 17 |
| 29 | WAS | -2.07 | 17 |
| 30 | CLE | -2.26 | 17 |
| 31 | TEN | -3.18 | 17 |
| 32 | NYJ | -3.96 | 17 |
At a glance — 2025
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2025
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAR | 3.31 | 3.32 | 100% |
| 2 | PHI | 2.65 | 2.66 | 96.8% |
| 3 | SEA | 1.86 | 1.87 | 93.5% |
| 4 | BAL | 1.77 | 1.78 | 90.3% |
| 5 | BUF | 1.70 | 1.71 | 87.1% |
| 6 | NE | 1.45 | 1.46 | 83.9% |
| 7 | LAC | 1.41 | 1.42 | 80.6% |
| 8 | JAX | 1.23 | 1.24 | 77.4% |
| 9 | DEN | 1.02 | 1.03 | 74.2% |
| 10 | GB | 0.95 | 0.96 | 71% |
| 11 | SF | 0.76 | 0.77 | 67.7% |
| 12 | IND | 0.71 | 0.72 | 64.5% |
| 13 | CAR | 0.69 | 0.70 | 61.3% |
| 14 | DET | 0.49 | 0.50 | 58.1% |
| 15 | HOU | 0.41 | 0.42 | 54.8% |
| 16 | KC | 0.40 | 0.41 | 51.6% |
| 17 | MIN | 0.34 | 0.35 | 48.4% |
| 18 | PIT | -0.14 | -0.13 | 45.2% |
| 19 | LV | -0.48 | -0.47 | 41.9% |
| 20 | NYG | -0.54 | -0.53 | 38.7% |
| 21 | CIN | -0.54 | -0.53 | 35.5% |
| 22 | TB | -0.63 | -0.62 | 32.3% |
| 23 | MIA | -0.84 | -0.83 | 29% |
| 24 | ARI | -0.96 | -0.95 | 25.8% |
| 25 | CHI | -1.10 | -1.09 | 22.6% |
| 26 | DAL | -1.29 | -1.28 | 19.4% |
| 27 | ATL | -1.59 | -1.58 | 16.1% |
| 28 | NO | -1.87 | -1.86 | 12.9% |
| 29 | WAS | -2.07 | -2.06 | 9.7% |
| 30 | CLE | -2.26 | -2.25 | 6.5% |
| 31 | TEN | -3.18 | -3.17 | 3.2% |
| 32 | NYJ | -3.96 | -3.95 | 0% |
Does Pass td perc (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 911–667–37 ATS (57.7%) across 2020–2025, #20 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2024 (159–104, 60.5%); its worst 2023 (144–114, 55.8%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 145–109–2 | 57.1% |
| 2021 | 272 | 153–117–2 | 56.7% |
| 2022 | 271 | 153–111–7 | 58.0% |
| 2023 | 272 | 144–114–14 | 55.8% |
| 2024 | 272 | 159–104–9 | 60.5% |
| 2025 | 272 | 157–112–3 | 58.4% |
Pass td perc (Off − Def) in 2025 vs 2024
Rams lead at 3.31 — they ranked #22 last year. Jets are last at -3.96 — #7 last year.
The league average is -0.01, down 0.03 from 0.02 last year.
Biggest riser: Rams, #22 → #1. Biggest faller: Jets, #7 → #32.
Spread between first and last: 7.27; 22 teams are within 1.62 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2025 vs 2024
| Rank | Team | 2025 | 2024 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAR | 3.31 | -1.42 | +4.72 |
| 2 | CAR | 0.69 | -2.56 | +3.25 |
| 3 | NE | 1.45 | -1.66 | +3.11 |
| 4 | SEA | 1.86 | -1.03 | +2.89 |
| 5 | JAX | 1.23 | -1.53 | +2.76 |
| 6 | HOU | 0.41 | -2.06 | +2.46 |
| 7 | IND | 0.71 | -1.04 | +1.75 |
| 8 | LV | -0.48 | -2.15 | +1.68 |
| 9 | NYG | -0.54 | -2.04 | +1.50 |
| 10 | PHI | 2.65 | 1.33 | +1.32 |
| 11 | SF | 0.76 | -0.50 | +1.26 |
| 12 | LAC | 1.41 | 0.26 | +1.16 |
| 13 | BUF | 1.70 | 0.95 | +0.76 |
| 14 | DAL | -1.29 | -1.84 | +0.55 |
| 15 | ATL | -1.59 | -2.12 | +0.53 |
| 16 | KC | 0.40 | 0.11 | +0.29 |
| 17 | CLE | -2.26 | -2.24 | −0.02 |
| 18 | PIT | -0.14 | 0.29 | −0.43 |
| 19 | DEN | 1.02 | 1.64 | −0.62 |
| 20 | MIA | -0.84 | -0.14 | −0.70 |
| 21 | GB | 0.95 | 1.75 | −0.80 |
| 22 | ARI | -0.96 | 0.16 | −1.13 |
| 23 | CHI | -1.10 | 0.11 | −1.22 |
| 24 | TEN | -3.18 | -1.56 | −1.63 |
| 25 | CIN | -0.54 | 1.36 | −1.90 |
| 26 | MIN | 0.34 | 2.64 | −2.30 |
| 27 | NO | -1.87 | 0.60 | −2.47 |
| 28 | BAL | 1.77 | 4.29 | −2.51 |
| 29 | WAS | -2.07 | 0.52 | −2.59 |
| 30 | TB | -0.63 | 2.86 | −3.50 |
| 31 | DET | 0.49 | 4.13 | −3.65 |
| 32 | NYJ | -3.96 | 1.64 | −5.59 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 1.94 | +0.37 | 2.96 | -1.55 | 0.52 | 2.65 | 4.29 | 1.77 | 2.91 |
| 2 | SF | 1.81 | +0.61 | -0.28 | 0.49 | 2.50 | 3.53 | -0.50 | 0.76 | 6.22 |
| 3 | GB | 1.75 | −0.33 | 4.85 | 1.46 | 0.18 | 1.48 | 1.75 | 0.95 | 1.60 |
| 4 | BUF | 1.62 | −0.61 | 2.73 | 3.22 | 2.42 | 1.74 | 0.95 | 1.70 | -1.44 |
| 5 | SEA | 1.52 | −0.26 | 3.69 | 2.41 | 1.03 | 0.40 | -1.03 | 1.86 | 2.29 |
| 6 | KC | 1.28 | +0.26 | 1.15 | 1.07 | 0.96 | 0.99 | 0.11 | 0.40 | 4.29 |
| 7 | MIN | 1.21 | +0.07 | 1.18 | 1.01 | 0.75 | 0.95 | 2.64 | 0.34 | 1.62 |
| 8 | CIN | 0.90 | +0.34 | -2.61 | 2.33 | 2.66 | 0.25 | 1.36 | -0.54 | 2.88 |
| 9 | TB | 0.62 | −0.41 | 2.01 | 2.06 | -1.61 | 1.17 | 2.86 | -0.63 | -1.54 |
| 10 | LAR | 0.61 | −0.23 | 0.28 | 4.01 | -1.12 | 0.49 | -1.42 | 3.31 | -1.28 |
| 11 | PHI | 0.47 | +0.61 | -1.45 | -0.71 | 0.73 | -1.08 | 1.33 | 2.65 | 1.81 |
| 12 | NO | 0.41 | −0.46 | 0.37 | 2.34 | 1.52 | 0.70 | 0.60 | -1.87 | -0.79 |
| 13 | DEN | 0.31 | +0.08 | 0.05 | -0.22 | -0.15 | 0.38 | 1.64 | 1.02 | -0.58 |
| 14 | DET | 0.13 | +0.51 | -2.18 | -1.82 | 0.33 | 0.17 | 4.13 | 0.49 | -0.20 |
| 15 | HOU | -0.04 | −0.06 | 0.51 | -1.08 | 0.56 | 1.55 | -2.06 | 0.41 | -0.14 |
| 16 | LAC | -0.15 | −0.03 | -0.38 | 0.78 | -1.09 | -0.55 | 0.26 | 1.41 | -1.49 |
| 17 | JAX | -0.17 | +0.96 | -2.36 | -2.44 | 0.03 | -0.84 | -1.53 | 1.23 | 4.71 |
| 18 | NE | -0.22 | +0.38 | -1.72 | 0.58 | -1.18 | -0.41 | -1.66 | 1.45 | 1.38 |
| 19 | PIT | -0.29 | +0.29 | 1.14 | -0.81 | -3.24 | -1.43 | 0.29 | -0.14 | 2.18 |
| 20 | LV | -0.47 | −0.11 | 0.29 | -1.11 | 0.55 | -0.14 | -2.15 | -0.48 | -0.27 |
| 21 | DAL | -0.49 | −0.33 | -2.65 | 2.25 | 0.88 | 1.75 | -1.84 | -1.29 | -2.50 |
| 22 | MIA | -0.81 | −0.76 | 0.40 | -0.38 | 0.81 | 0.54 | -0.14 | -0.84 | -6.06 |
| 23 | TEN | -0.90 | −0.56 | 1.10 | 0.31 | -0.79 | -0.66 | -1.56 | -3.18 | -1.50 |
| 24 | IND | -0.93 | −0.31 | 0.06 | -0.18 | -1.80 | -0.59 | -1.04 | 0.71 | -3.68 |
| 25 | CAR | -0.97 | +0.60 | -1.86 | -2.66 | -0.79 | -1.72 | -2.56 | 0.69 | 2.10 |
| 26 | CLE | -1.02 | −0.28 | 0.12 | -0.97 | -0.33 | -0.44 | -2.24 | -2.26 | -1.02 |
| 27 | NYG | -1.05 | +0.18 | -1.50 | -1.89 | -0.45 | -0.73 | -2.04 | -0.54 | -0.17 |
| 28 | NYJ | -1.14 | +0.18 | -2.42 | -1.45 | -0.30 | -1.80 | 1.64 | -3.96 | 0.28 |
| 29 | CHI | -1.22 | +0.02 | -0.89 | -3.53 | 0.44 | -1.31 | 0.11 | -1.10 | -2.25 |
| 30 | ATL | -1.38 | −0.06 | -1.14 | -1.84 | -0.54 | -1.17 | -2.12 | -1.59 | -1.30 |
| 31 | WAS | -1.53 | −0.10 | -1.31 | -1.86 | -0.77 | -2.73 | 0.52 | -2.07 | -2.49 |
| 32 | ARI | -1.77 | −0.53 | 0.13 | -0.76 | -2.34 | -3.10 | 0.16 | -0.96 | -5.50 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAR | 0.28 | 4.01 | -1.12 | 0.49 | -1.42 | 3.31 | -1.28 |
| PHI | -1.45 | -0.71 | 0.73 | -1.08 | 1.33 | 2.65 | 1.81 |
| SEA | 3.69 | 2.41 | 1.03 | 0.40 | -1.03 | 1.86 | 2.29 |
| BAL | 2.96 | -1.55 | 0.52 | 2.65 | 4.29 | 1.77 | 2.91 |
| BUF | 2.73 | 3.22 | 2.42 | 1.74 | 0.95 | 1.70 | -1.44 |
| NE | -1.72 | 0.58 | -1.18 | -0.41 | -1.66 | 1.45 | 1.38 |
| LAC | -0.38 | 0.78 | -1.09 | -0.55 | 0.26 | 1.41 | -1.49 |
| JAX | -2.36 | -2.44 | 0.03 | -0.84 | -1.53 | 1.23 | 4.71 |
| DEN | 0.05 | -0.22 | -0.15 | 0.38 | 1.64 | 1.02 | -0.58 |
| GB | 4.85 | 1.46 | 0.18 | 1.48 | 1.75 | 0.95 | 1.60 |
| SF | -0.28 | 0.49 | 2.50 | 3.53 | -0.50 | 0.76 | 6.22 |
| IND | 0.06 | -0.18 | -1.80 | -0.59 | -1.04 | 0.71 | -3.68 |
| CAR | -1.86 | -2.66 | -0.79 | -1.72 | -2.56 | 0.69 | 2.10 |
| DET | -2.18 | -1.82 | 0.33 | 0.17 | 4.13 | 0.49 | -0.20 |
| HOU | 0.51 | -1.08 | 0.56 | 1.55 | -2.06 | 0.41 | -0.14 |
| KC | 1.15 | 1.07 | 0.96 | 0.99 | 0.11 | 0.40 | 4.29 |
| MIN | 1.18 | 1.01 | 0.75 | 0.95 | 2.64 | 0.34 | 1.62 |
| PIT | 1.14 | -0.81 | -3.24 | -1.43 | 0.29 | -0.14 | 2.18 |
| LV | 0.29 | -1.11 | 0.55 | -0.14 | -2.15 | -0.48 | -0.27 |
| NYG | -1.50 | -1.89 | -0.45 | -0.73 | -2.04 | -0.54 | -0.17 |
| CIN | -2.61 | 2.33 | 2.66 | 0.25 | 1.36 | -0.54 | 2.88 |
| TB | 2.01 | 2.06 | -1.61 | 1.17 | 2.86 | -0.63 | -1.54 |
| MIA | 0.40 | -0.38 | 0.81 | 0.54 | -0.14 | -0.84 | -6.06 |
| ARI | 0.13 | -0.76 | -2.34 | -3.10 | 0.16 | -0.96 | -5.50 |
| CHI | -0.89 | -3.53 | 0.44 | -1.31 | 0.11 | -1.10 | -2.25 |
| DAL | -2.65 | 2.25 | 0.88 | 1.75 | -1.84 | -1.29 | -2.50 |
| ATL | -1.14 | -1.84 | -0.54 | -1.17 | -2.12 | -1.59 | -1.30 |
| NO | 0.37 | 2.34 | 1.52 | 0.70 | 0.60 | -1.87 | -0.79 |
| WAS | -1.31 | -1.86 | -0.77 | -2.73 | 0.52 | -2.07 | -2.49 |
| CLE | 0.12 | -0.97 | -0.33 | -0.44 | -2.24 | -2.26 | -1.02 |
| TEN | 1.10 | 0.31 | -0.79 | -0.66 | -1.56 | -3.18 | -1.50 |
| NYJ | -2.42 | -1.45 | -0.30 | -1.80 | 1.64 | -3.96 | 0.28 |
Pass td perc (Off − Def) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (3.87), 2019 Ravens (5.66), 2020 Packers (4.85), 2021 Rams (4.01), 2022 Bengals (2.66), 2023 49ers (3.53), 2024 Ravens (4.29), 2025 Rams (3.31).
Ravens have led this stat 2 of 8 seasons.
The best season on record is Ravens 2019 at 5.66; the worst Raiders 2018 at -4.06.
The league average has risen from -0.03 in 2018 to -0.01 in 2025.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_pass_td_perc
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.