What NET EPA (Off + Def) is

Net EPA: the expected points this team's offense added plus the expected points its defense took away from opponents — the two sides of the ball valued play by play, in one number. The situation-aware summary of a whole team; a strong positive number is a team that wins the down-and-distance battle on both sides.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: N.

In 2025 the Seahawks led at 13.58; the league average was 0.00.

League snapshot — 2025

League leader

SEA · 13.58

League average

0.00

Best to worst

27.79

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	SEA	13.58	17
2	LAR	11.94	17
3	NE	11.34	17
4	JAX	9.39	17
5	HOU	8.20	17
6	BUF	7.93	17
7	DEN	5.54	17
8	SF	4.99	17
9	DET	4.38	17
10	IND	4.07	17
11	PHI	3.93	17
12	GB	2.55	17
13	KC	2.20	17
14	CHI	2.20	17
15	LAC	1.77	17
16	BAL	1.22	17
17	PIT	0.72	17
18	MIN	0.57	17
19	TB	-1.75	17
20	DAL	-2.67	17
21	ATL	-3.27	17
22	NYG	-3.48	17
23	MIA	-4.93	17
24	CAR	-4.95	17
25	CIN	-5.26	17
26	NO	-5.73	17
27	WAS	-6.97	17
28	CLE	-7.05	17
29	ARI	-9.26	17
30	LV	-13.44	17
31	TEN	-13.54	17
32	NYJ	-14.22	17

At a glance — 2025

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

SEA · 13.58

League laggard

NYJ · -14.22

League average

0.00

Spread (max − min)

27.79

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	SEA	13.58	13.58	100%
2	LAR	11.94	11.94	96.8%
3	NE	11.34	11.34	93.5%
4	JAX	9.39	9.39	90.3%
5	HOU	8.20	8.20	87.1%
6	BUF	7.93	7.93	83.9%
7	DEN	5.54	5.54	80.6%
8	SF	4.99	4.99	77.4%
9	DET	4.38	4.38	74.2%
10	IND	4.07	4.07	71%
11	PHI	3.93	3.93	67.7%
12	GB	2.55	2.55	64.5%
13	KC	2.20	2.20	61.3%
14	CHI	2.20	2.20	58.1%
15	LAC	1.77	1.77	54.8%
16	BAL	1.22	1.22	51.6%
17	PIT	0.72	0.72	48.4%
18	MIN	0.57	0.57	45.2%
19	TB	-1.75	-1.75	41.9%
20	DAL	-2.67	-2.67	38.7%
21	ATL	-3.27	-3.27	35.5%
22	NYG	-3.48	-3.48	32.3%
23	MIA	-4.93	-4.93	29%
24	CAR	-4.95	-4.95	25.8%
25	CIN	-5.26	-5.26	22.6%
26	NO	-5.73	-5.73	19.4%
27	WAS	-6.97	-6.97	16.1%
28	CLE	-7.05	-7.05	12.9%
29	ARI	-9.26	-9.26	9.7%
30	LV	-13.44	-13.44	6.5%
31	TEN	-13.54	-13.54	3.2%
32	NYJ	-14.22	-14.22	0%

Does NET EPA (Off + Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 974–604–37 ATS (61.7%) across 2020–2025, #1 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (168–86, 66.1%); its worst 2022 (154–110, 58.3%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	168–86–2	66.1%
2021	272	161–109–2	59.6%
2022	271	154–110–7	58.3%
2023	272	155–103–14	60.1%
2024	272	170–93–9	64.6%
2025	272	166–103–3	61.7%

NET EPA (Off + Def) in 2025 vs 2024

Seahawks lead at 13.58 — they ranked #16 last year. Jets are last at -14.22 — #22 last year.

The league average is 0.00, the same as last year.

Biggest riser: Patriots, #28 → #3. Biggest faller: Commanders, #10 → #27.

Spread between first and last: 27.79; 22 teams are within 7.28 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

NE · +20.58

Biggest faller

WAS · −13.49

Most consistent

ATL · −0.61

League trend 2025 vs 2024

▼ 0.00

Rank	Team	2025	2024	Δ
1	NE	11.34	-9.24	+20.58
2	JAX	9.39	-7.94	+17.32
3	SEA	13.58	0.06	+13.52
4	LAR	11.94	-1.53	+13.47
5	CAR	-4.95	-13.71	+8.75
6	SF	4.99	-3.17	+8.17
7	HOU	8.20	0.33	+7.87
8	IND	4.07	-3.63	+7.70
9	CHI	2.20	-5.14	+7.34
10	NYG	-3.48	-10.09	+6.62
11	DAL	-2.67	-8.09	+5.42
12	CLE	-7.05	-12.11	+5.06
13	ATL	-3.27	-2.66	−0.61
14	NO	-5.73	-4.59	−1.14
15	PIT	0.72	2.56	−1.84
16	KC	2.20	4.38	−2.17
17	DEN	5.54	8.23	−2.69
18	BUF	7.93	11.20	−3.27
19	TEN	-13.54	-10.23	−3.31
20	MIA	-4.93	-1.01	−3.92
21	LV	-13.44	-8.67	−4.77
22	LAC	1.77	7.23	−5.46
23	GB	2.55	8.94	−6.39
24	PHI	3.93	11.18	−7.26
25	MIN	0.57	7.99	−7.42
26	CIN	-5.26	2.82	−8.08
27	BAL	1.22	10.73	−9.51
28	NYJ	-14.22	-4.34	−9.88
29	TB	-1.75	8.14	−9.90
30	DET	4.38	14.73	−10.35
31	ARI	-9.26	1.10	−10.36
32	WAS	-6.97	6.52	−13.49

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 9.80

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · -8.08

Biggest improver

JAX · +4.03/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −3.18/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	9.80	−0.86	9.37	13.40	12.18	9.27	11.20	7.93	5.29
2	KC	6.95	−0.30	8.08	8.38	9.29	5.32	4.38	2.20	11.04
3	BAL	6.62	−0.31	12.46	-0.81	3.29	13.74	10.73	1.22	5.70
4	SF	6.18	+1.03	-1.17	4.34	12.08	13.15	-3.17	4.99	13.05
5	GB	4.16	−1.14	10.36	6.08	-0.30	2.51	8.94	2.55	-1.04
6	SEA	3.90	+0.96	6.12	1.60	0.83	-2.23	0.06	13.58	7.34
7	TB	3.27	−1.91	10.10	11.06	-3.36	1.71	8.14	-1.75	-3.00
8	LAR	2.70	−0.20	6.28	6.51	-5.64	1.87	-1.53	11.94	-0.55
9	DAL	2.62	−0.98	-5.77	11.89	8.61	14.04	-8.09	-2.67	0.34
10	PHI	2.47	+0.24	-6.65	4.11	8.98	0.78	11.18	3.93	-5.03
11	MIN	1.94	+1.97	-4.06	0.62	-1.51	-1.21	7.99	0.57	11.16
12	DET	1.16	+3.13	-10.86	-10.00	1.38	4.17	14.73	4.38	4.31
13	NE	1.08	+0.30	-1.81	10.64	1.77	-9.31	-9.24	11.34	4.16
14	CIN	0.79	+0.48	-8.42	5.52	7.26	-1.13	2.82	-5.26	4.75
15	PIT	0.38	−0.54	7.66	-3.09	-2.38	-1.27	2.56	0.72	-1.55
16	IND	0.19	−0.86	7.24	5.75	-8.90	-1.75	-3.63	4.07	-1.46
17	NO	-0.50	−2.70	9.99	1.93	-1.23	5.15	-4.59	-5.73	-8.99
18	DEN	-0.90	+1.44	-8.61	0.74	-5.31	-3.98	8.23	5.54	-2.93
19	LAC	-1.13	−0.44	-3.40	0.77	-0.21	-3.41	7.23	1.77	-10.63
20	JAX	-1.34	+4.03	-13.55	-14.39	4.15	0.66	-7.94	9.39	12.27
21	MIA	-1.40	−2.39	5.20	-2.23	0.53	7.37	-1.01	-4.93	-14.76
22	CHI	-2.11	+1.32	-0.28	-6.65	-9.18	-0.58	-5.14	2.20	4.83
23	HOU	-2.54	+2.18	-5.62	-11.94	-8.59	1.47	0.33	8.20	-1.65
24	ATL	-3.08	+0.55	-0.59	-10.04	-1.74	-3.59	-2.66	-3.27	0.34
25	CLE	-3.49	−1.02	-1.05	-2.18	-1.16	2.75	-12.11	-7.05	-3.66
26	ARI	-3.78	−2.44	3.35	6.44	-7.72	-8.54	1.10	-9.26	-11.87
27	WAS	-4.24	−0.53	-0.11	-6.80	-1.51	-13.19	6.52	-6.97	-7.61
28	LV	-4.26	−0.35	-3.29	-4.46	-1.38	-0.42	-8.67	-13.44	1.87
29	TEN	-5.58	−3.18	3.32	3.81	-4.34	-5.23	-10.23	-13.54	-12.83
30	CAR	-5.59	+0.48	-3.73	-6.76	-1.39	-12.18	-13.71	-4.95	3.62
31	NYG	-5.60	+0.79	-5.17	-10.26	-1.13	-9.68	-10.09	-3.48	0.64
32	NYJ	-8.08	+1.53	-15.39	-13.99	-2.18	-6.26	-4.34	-14.22	-0.20

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SEA	6.12	1.60	0.83	-2.23	0.06	13.58	7.34
LAR	6.28	6.51	-5.64	1.87	-1.53	11.94	-0.55
NE	-1.81	10.64	1.77	-9.31	-9.24	11.34	4.16
JAX	-13.55	-14.39	4.15	0.66	-7.94	9.39	12.27
HOU	-5.62	-11.94	-8.59	1.47	0.33	8.20	-1.65
BUF	9.37	13.40	12.18	9.27	11.20	7.93	5.29
DEN	-8.61	0.74	-5.31	-3.98	8.23	5.54	-2.93
SF	-1.17	4.34	12.08	13.15	-3.17	4.99	13.05
DET	-10.86	-10.00	1.38	4.17	14.73	4.38	4.31
IND	7.24	5.75	-8.90	-1.75	-3.63	4.07	-1.46
PHI	-6.65	4.11	8.98	0.78	11.18	3.93	-5.03
GB	10.36	6.08	-0.30	2.51	8.94	2.55	-1.04
KC	8.08	8.38	9.29	5.32	4.38	2.20	11.04
CHI	-0.28	-6.65	-9.18	-0.58	-5.14	2.20	4.83
LAC	-3.40	0.77	-0.21	-3.41	7.23	1.77	-10.63
BAL	12.46	-0.81	3.29	13.74	10.73	1.22	5.70
PIT	7.66	-3.09	-2.38	-1.27	2.56	0.72	-1.55
MIN	-4.06	0.62	-1.51	-1.21	7.99	0.57	11.16
TB	10.10	11.06	-3.36	1.71	8.14	-1.75	-3.00
DAL	-5.77	11.89	8.61	14.04	-8.09	-2.67	0.34
ATL	-0.59	-10.04	-1.74	-3.59	-2.66	-3.27	0.34
NYG	-5.17	-10.26	-1.13	-9.68	-10.09	-3.48	0.64
MIA	5.20	-2.23	0.53	7.37	-1.01	-4.93	-14.76
CAR	-3.73	-6.76	-1.39	-12.18	-13.71	-4.95	3.62
CIN	-8.42	5.52	7.26	-1.13	2.82	-5.26	4.75
NO	9.99	1.93	-1.23	5.15	-4.59	-5.73	-8.99
WAS	-0.11	-6.80	-1.51	-13.19	6.52	-6.97	-7.61
CLE	-1.05	-2.18	-1.16	2.75	-12.11	-7.05	-3.66
ARI	3.35	6.44	-7.72	-8.54	1.10	-9.26	-11.87
LV	-3.29	-4.46	-1.38	-0.42	-8.67	-13.44	1.87
TEN	3.32	3.81	-4.34	-5.23	-10.23	-13.54	-12.83
NYJ	-15.39	-13.99	-2.18	-6.26	-4.34	-14.22	-0.20

NET EPA (Off + Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (11.33), 2019 Ravens (17.93), 2020 Ravens (12.46), 2021 Bills (13.40), 2022 Bills (12.18), 2023 Cowboys (14.04), 2024 Lions (14.73), 2025 Seahawks (13.58).

Ravens have led this stat 2 of 8 seasons.

The best season on record is Ravens 2019 at 17.93; the worst Jets 2020 at -15.39.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_epa
Side: net_epa
Family: NET (Off + Def)
Data source: N only
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.