Defensive: Passing · Exp pts pass def (allowed)
Expected points given up through the air. Values each play by the situation it created, not just the yards.
P + N
About this stat ↓League snapshot — 2021
- League leaderBUF 6.38
- League average-0.74
- Best to worst14.31
All 32 teams, higher is better.
At a glance — 2021
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
League leader
BUF · 6.38
League laggard
NYJ · -7.93
League average
-0.74
Spread (max − min)
14.31
All teams — 2021
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 6.38 | 7.12 | 100% |
| 2 | DAL | 5.86 | 6.60 | 96.8% |
| 3 | TB | 3.83 | 4.57 | 93.5% |
| 4 | NE | 3.62 | 4.36 | 90.3% |
| 5 | NO | 3.57 | 4.31 | 87.1% |
| 6 | MIN | 2.20 | 2.94 | 83.9% |
| 7 | MIA | 1.66 | 2.40 | 80.6% |
| 8 | GB | 1.53 | 2.27 | 77.4% |
| 9 | ARI | 1.04 | 1.78 | 74.2% |
| 10 | TEN | 1.00 | 1.74 | 71% |
| 11 | CLE | 0.93 | 1.67 | 67.7% |
| 12 | CAR | 0.60 | 1.34 | 64.5% |
| 13 | PIT | 0.50 | 1.24 | 61.3% |
| 14 | SF | 0.27 | 1.01 | 58.1% |
| 15 | DEN | 0.09 | 0.83 | 54.8% |
| 16 | CIN | -0.09 | 0.65 | 51.6% |
| 17 | LAR | -0.25 | 0.49 | 48.4% |
| 18 | LAC | -0.65 | 0.09 | 45.2% |
| 19 | CHI | -1.00 | -0.26 | 41.9% |
| 20 | NYG | -1.15 | -0.41 | 38.7% |
| 21 | KC | -1.40 | -0.66 | 35.5% |
| 22 | IND | -1.50 | -0.76 | 32.3% |
| 23 | PHI | -1.72 | -0.98 | 29% |
| 24 | SEA | -3.71 | -2.97 | 25.8% |
| 25 | HOU | -4.59 | -3.85 | 22.6% |
| 26 | WAS | -4.91 | -4.17 | 19.4% |
| 27 | ATL | -4.96 | -4.22 | 16.1% |
| 28 | LV | -5.19 | -4.45 | 12.9% |
| 29 | DET | -5.29 | -4.55 | 9.7% |
| 30 | BAL | -6.09 | -5.35 | 6.5% |
| 31 | JAX | -6.31 | -5.57 | 3.2% |
| 32 | NYJ | -7.93 | -7.19 | 0% |
Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020
Biggest movers from last season.
Biggest riser
TEN · +8.62
Biggest faller
WAS · −9.17
Most consistent
KC · +0.28
League trend 2021 vs 2020
▲ 1.50
YoY by team — 2021 vs 2020
| Rank | Team | 2021 | 2020 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEN | 1.00 | -7.62 | +8.62 |
| 2 | DAL | 5.86 | -2.67 | +8.53 |
| 3 | MIN | 2.20 | -4.94 | +7.14 |
| 4 | BUF | 6.38 | -0.42 | +6.79 |
| 5 | NE | 3.62 | -2.16 | +5.78 |
| 6 | DET | -5.29 | -10.89 | +5.60 |
| 7 | CLE | 0.93 | -4.28 | +5.21 |
| 8 | CIN | -0.09 | -4.48 | +4.38 |
| 9 | CAR | 0.60 | -3.58 | +4.17 |
| 10 | HOU | -4.59 | -8.74 | +4.15 |
| 11 | TB | 3.83 | 0.59 | +3.24 |
| 12 | LAC | -0.65 | -2.95 | +2.30 |
| 13 | GB | 1.53 | -0.48 | +2.01 |
| 14 | ARI | 1.04 | -0.81 | +1.84 |
| 15 | LV | -5.19 | -7.01 | +1.81 |
| 16 | CHI | -1.00 | -2.70 | +1.70 |
| 17 | DEN | 0.09 | -1.60 | +1.69 |
| 18 | NYG | -1.15 | -2.69 | +1.54 |
| 19 | JAX | -6.31 | -7.73 | +1.42 |
| 20 | SEA | -3.71 | -5.00 | +1.29 |
| 21 | ATL | -4.96 | -5.98 | +1.02 |
| 22 | NO | 3.57 | 2.71 | +0.86 |
| 23 | PHI | -1.72 | -2.11 | +0.39 |
| 24 | KC | -1.40 | -1.68 | +0.28 |
| 25 | NYJ | -7.93 | -7.56 | −0.37 |
| 26 | SF | 0.27 | 0.79 | −0.52 |
| 27 | MIA | 1.66 | 2.95 | −1.29 |
| 28 | IND | -1.50 | 0.35 | −1.85 |
| 29 | PIT | 0.50 | 5.83 | −5.32 |
| 30 | BAL | -6.09 | 1.53 | −7.62 |
| 31 | LAR | -0.25 | 7.41 | −7.66 |
| 32 | WAS | -4.91 | 4.26 | −9.17 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2019–2025)
Multi-year leader
BUF · 2.50
Multi-year laggard
LV · -3.78
Biggest improver
HOU · +2.13/yr
Biggest decliner
NE · −1.25/yr
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 2.50 | −0.31 | 4.57 | -0.42 | 6.38 | 1.41 | 3.99 | -1.82 | 3.38 |
| 2 | NO | 2.27 | −0.08 | 0.79 | 2.71 | 3.57 | 2.88 | 4.36 | 0.17 | 1.44 |
| 3 | NE | 1.89 | −1.25 | 10.68 | -2.16 | 3.62 | 4.06 | -0.45 | -4.38 | 1.89 |
| 4 | SF | 1.72 | −1.08 | 6.50 | 0.79 | 0.27 | 4.65 | 4.59 | -0.75 | -3.98 |
| 5 | PIT | 1.22 | −0.96 | 4.17 | 5.83 | 0.50 | -2.56 | 2.28 | -0.56 | -1.10 |
| 6 | DEN | 1.13 | +0.92 | -0.46 | -1.60 | 0.09 | 2.42 | -1.83 | 4.83 | 4.45 |
| 7 | CLE | 1.12 | +0.94 | -0.53 | -4.28 | 0.93 | 1.11 | 8.23 | -1.82 | 4.18 |
| 8 | LAR | 0.95 | −0.46 | 0.60 | 7.41 | -0.25 | -1.66 | 0.35 | -2.60 | 2.79 |
| 9 | BAL | 0.89 | −0.49 | 5.64 | 1.53 | -6.09 | -0.58 | 8.37 | 0.18 | -2.81 |
| 10 | PHI | 0.84 | +0.94 | -1.11 | -2.11 | -1.72 | 5.39 | -2.00 | 3.15 | 4.26 |
| 11 | MIN | 0.61 | +0.59 | 2.51 | -4.94 | 2.20 | -1.21 | -0.76 | 2.15 | 4.32 |
| 12 | DAL | 0.50 | −0.83 | 0.66 | -2.67 | 5.86 | 3.84 | 4.47 | -0.99 | -7.69 |
| 13 | KC | 0.47 | +0.05 | 1.92 | -1.68 | -1.40 | 0.77 | 5.21 | -1.59 | 0.08 |
| 14 | GB | 0.27 | −0.37 | 1.83 | -0.48 | 1.53 | 0.38 | -0.91 | 2.18 | -2.60 |
| 15 | TB | 0.22 | −0.77 | 1.68 | 0.59 | 3.83 | 0.49 | -0.86 | -1.77 | -2.42 |
| 16 | LAC | -0.05 | +0.95 | -2.52 | -2.95 | -0.65 | 1.73 | -1.43 | 2.54 | 2.96 |
| 17 | IND | -1.11 | −0.05 | -2.47 | 0.35 | -1.50 | -0.11 | 0.13 | -2.59 | -1.56 |
| 18 | MIA | -1.12 | +0.23 | -8.47 | 2.95 | 1.66 | -1.16 | 1.59 | -0.30 | -4.10 |
| 19 | SEA | -1.16 | +0.96 | -1.10 | -5.00 | -3.71 | -0.34 | -1.96 | 0.18 | 3.81 |
| 20 | CHI | -1.31 | +0.04 | 0.61 | -2.70 | -1.00 | -4.87 | -0.06 | -0.13 | -1.05 |
| 21 | HOU | -1.39 | +2.13 | -4.82 | -8.74 | -4.59 | 0.49 | -0.69 | 2.20 | 6.44 |
| 22 | NYG | -1.89 | +0.67 | -6.68 | -2.69 | -1.15 | -0.26 | 1.94 | -3.39 | -0.97 |
| 23 | CAR | -1.97 | −0.43 | -0.62 | -3.58 | 0.60 | -1.60 | 0.02 | -5.28 | -3.33 |
| 24 | CIN | -2.43 | +0.22 | -6.09 | -4.48 | -0.09 | 2.26 | -1.54 | -1.51 | -5.53 |
| 25 | JAX | -2.45 | +1.30 | -3.43 | -7.73 | -6.31 | -0.03 | 2.01 | -7.16 | 5.54 |
| 26 | NYJ | -2.54 | +0.18 | -1.21 | -7.56 | -7.93 | 3.11 | 5.20 | -1.28 | -8.08 |
| 27 | WAS | -2.62 | −0.49 | -6.02 | 4.26 | -4.91 | 1.98 | -6.03 | -0.76 | -6.89 |
| 28 | TEN | -2.85 | −0.19 | -0.82 | -7.62 | 1.00 | -2.65 | -3.18 | -1.22 | -5.49 |
| 29 | DET | -2.98 | +1.82 | -5.78 | -10.89 | -5.29 | -1.65 | -0.80 | 3.31 | 0.23 |
| 30 | ARI | -3.04 | +0.00 | -8.14 | -0.81 | 1.04 | -1.17 | -4.78 | -2.16 | -5.26 |
| 31 | ATL | -3.18 | +0.96 | -4.62 | -5.98 | -4.96 | -4.53 | 0.40 | -3.59 | 0.99 |
| 32 | LV | -3.78 | +1.13 | -7.55 | -7.01 | -5.19 | -3.88 | 2.05 | -2.34 | -2.54 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 4.57 | -0.42 | 6.38 | 1.41 | 3.99 | -1.82 | 3.38 |
| DAL | 0.66 | -2.67 | 5.86 | 3.84 | 4.47 | -0.99 | -7.69 |
| TB | 1.68 | 0.59 | 3.83 | 0.49 | -0.86 | -1.77 | -2.42 |
| NE | 10.68 | -2.16 | 3.62 | 4.06 | -0.45 | -4.38 | 1.89 |
| NO | 0.79 | 2.71 | 3.57 | 2.88 | 4.36 | 0.17 | 1.44 |
| MIN | 2.51 | -4.94 | 2.20 | -1.21 | -0.76 | 2.15 | 4.32 |
| MIA | -8.47 | 2.95 | 1.66 | -1.16 | 1.59 | -0.30 | -4.10 |
| GB | 1.83 | -0.48 | 1.53 | 0.38 | -0.91 | 2.18 | -2.60 |
| ARI | -8.14 | -0.81 | 1.04 | -1.17 | -4.78 | -2.16 | -5.26 |
| TEN | -0.82 | -7.62 | 1.00 | -2.65 | -3.18 | -1.22 | -5.49 |
| CLE | -0.53 | -4.28 | 0.93 | 1.11 | 8.23 | -1.82 | 4.18 |
| CAR | -0.62 | -3.58 | 0.60 | -1.60 | 0.02 | -5.28 | -3.33 |
| PIT | 4.17 | 5.83 | 0.50 | -2.56 | 2.28 | -0.56 | -1.10 |
| SF | 6.50 | 0.79 | 0.27 | 4.65 | 4.59 | -0.75 | -3.98 |
| DEN | -0.46 | -1.60 | 0.09 | 2.42 | -1.83 | 4.83 | 4.45 |
| CIN | -6.09 | -4.48 | -0.09 | 2.26 | -1.54 | -1.51 | -5.53 |
| LAR | 0.60 | 7.41 | -0.25 | -1.66 | 0.35 | -2.60 | 2.79 |
| LAC | -2.52 | -2.95 | -0.65 | 1.73 | -1.43 | 2.54 | 2.96 |
| CHI | 0.61 | -2.70 | -1.00 | -4.87 | -0.06 | -0.13 | -1.05 |
| NYG | -6.68 | -2.69 | -1.15 | -0.26 | 1.94 | -3.39 | -0.97 |
| KC | 1.92 | -1.68 | -1.40 | 0.77 | 5.21 | -1.59 | 0.08 |
| IND | -2.47 | 0.35 | -1.50 | -0.11 | 0.13 | -2.59 | -1.56 |
| PHI | -1.11 | -2.11 | -1.72 | 5.39 | -2.00 | 3.15 | 4.26 |
| SEA | -1.10 | -5.00 | -3.71 | -0.34 | -1.96 | 0.18 | 3.81 |
| HOU | -4.82 | -8.74 | -4.59 | 0.49 | -0.69 | 2.20 | 6.44 |
| WAS | -6.02 | 4.26 | -4.91 | 1.98 | -6.03 | -0.76 | -6.89 |
| ATL | -4.62 | -5.98 | -4.96 | -4.53 | 0.40 | -3.59 | 0.99 |
| LV | -7.55 | -7.01 | -5.19 | -3.88 | 2.05 | -2.34 | -2.54 |
| DET | -5.78 | -10.89 | -5.29 | -1.65 | -0.80 | 3.31 | 0.23 |
| BAL | 5.64 | 1.53 | -6.09 | -0.58 | 8.37 | 0.18 | -2.81 |
| JAX | -3.43 | -7.73 | -6.31 | -0.03 | 2.01 | -7.16 | 5.54 |
| NYJ | -1.21 | -7.56 | -7.93 | 3.11 | 5.20 | -1.28 | -8.08 |
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_passing_exp_pts_pass_def
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Passing
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.