Defensive: Passing · Exp pts pass def (allowed)
Expected points given up through the air. Values each play by the situation it created, not just the yards.
P + N
About this stat ↓League snapshot — 2025
- League leaderHOU 6.44
- League average-0.58
- Best to worst14.51
All 32 teams, higher is better.
At a glance — 2025
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
League leader
HOU · 6.44
League laggard
NYJ · -8.08
League average
-0.58
Spread (max − min)
14.51
All teams — 2025
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU | 6.44 | 7.02 | 100% |
| 2 | JAX | 5.54 | 6.13 | 96.8% |
| 3 | DEN | 4.45 | 5.04 | 93.5% |
| 4 | MIN | 4.32 | 4.90 | 90.3% |
| 5 | PHI | 4.26 | 4.84 | 87.1% |
| 6 | CLE | 4.18 | 4.76 | 83.9% |
| 7 | SEA | 3.81 | 4.39 | 80.6% |
| 8 | BUF | 3.38 | 3.96 | 77.4% |
| 9 | LAC | 2.96 | 3.54 | 74.2% |
| 10 | LAR | 2.79 | 3.37 | 71% |
| 11 | NE | 1.89 | 2.47 | 67.7% |
| 12 | NO | 1.44 | 2.02 | 64.5% |
| 13 | ATL | 0.99 | 1.58 | 61.3% |
| 14 | DET | 0.23 | 0.82 | 58.1% |
| 15 | KC | 0.08 | 0.66 | 54.8% |
| 16 | NYG | -0.97 | -0.38 | 51.6% |
| 17 | CHI | -1.05 | -0.46 | 48.4% |
| 18 | PIT | -1.10 | -0.52 | 45.2% |
| 19 | IND | -1.56 | -0.97 | 41.9% |
| 20 | TB | -2.42 | -1.83 | 38.7% |
| 21 | LV | -2.54 | -1.96 | 35.5% |
| 22 | GB | -2.60 | -2.02 | 32.3% |
| 23 | BAL | -2.81 | -2.23 | 29% |
| 24 | CAR | -3.33 | -2.74 | 25.8% |
| 25 | SF | -3.98 | -3.40 | 22.6% |
| 26 | MIA | -4.10 | -3.52 | 19.4% |
| 27 | ARI | -5.26 | -4.68 | 16.1% |
| 28 | TEN | -5.49 | -4.91 | 12.9% |
| 29 | CIN | -5.53 | -4.95 | 9.7% |
| 30 | WAS | -6.89 | -6.31 | 6.5% |
| 31 | DAL | -7.69 | -7.11 | 3.2% |
| 32 | NYJ | -8.08 | -7.50 | 0% |
Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024
Biggest movers from last season.
Biggest riser
JAX · +12.70
Biggest faller
NYJ · −6.80
Most consistent
LV · −0.20
League trend 2025 vs 2024
▲ 0.26
YoY by team — 2025 vs 2024
| Rank | Team | 2025 | 2024 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX | 5.54 | -7.16 | +12.70 |
| 2 | NE | 1.89 | -4.38 | +6.27 |
| 3 | CLE | 4.18 | -1.82 | +6 |
| 4 | LAR | 2.79 | -2.60 | +5.39 |
| 5 | BUF | 3.38 | -1.82 | +5.20 |
| 6 | ATL | 0.99 | -3.59 | +4.58 |
| 7 | HOU | 6.44 | 2.20 | +4.24 |
| 8 | SEA | 3.81 | 0.18 | +3.63 |
| 9 | NYG | -0.97 | -3.39 | +2.42 |
| 10 | MIN | 4.32 | 2.15 | +2.17 |
| 11 | CAR | -3.33 | -5.28 | +1.95 |
| 12 | KC | 0.08 | -1.59 | +1.66 |
| 13 | NO | 1.44 | 0.17 | +1.27 |
| 14 | PHI | 4.26 | 3.15 | +1.11 |
| 15 | IND | -1.56 | -2.59 | +1.04 |
| 16 | LAC | 2.96 | 2.54 | +0.42 |
| 17 | LV | -2.54 | -2.34 | −0.20 |
| 18 | DEN | 4.45 | 4.83 | −0.37 |
| 19 | PIT | -1.10 | -0.56 | −0.54 |
| 20 | TB | -2.42 | -1.77 | −0.65 |
| 21 | CHI | -1.05 | -0.13 | −0.92 |
| 22 | BAL | -2.81 | 0.18 | −2.99 |
| 23 | DET | 0.23 | 3.31 | −3.08 |
| 24 | ARI | -5.26 | -2.16 | −3.10 |
| 25 | SF | -3.98 | -0.75 | −3.23 |
| 26 | MIA | -4.10 | -0.30 | −3.80 |
| 27 | CIN | -5.53 | -1.51 | −4.03 |
| 28 | TEN | -5.49 | -1.22 | −4.28 |
| 29 | GB | -2.60 | 2.18 | −4.78 |
| 30 | WAS | -6.89 | -0.76 | −6.13 |
| 31 | DAL | -7.69 | -0.99 | −6.70 |
| 32 | NYJ | -8.08 | -1.28 | −6.80 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2019–2025)
Multi-year leader
BUF · 2.50
Multi-year laggard
LV · -3.78
Biggest improver
HOU · +2.13/yr
Biggest decliner
NE · −1.25/yr
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 2.50 | −0.31 | 4.57 | -0.42 | 6.38 | 1.41 | 3.99 | -1.82 | 3.38 |
| 2 | NO | 2.27 | −0.08 | 0.79 | 2.71 | 3.57 | 2.88 | 4.36 | 0.17 | 1.44 |
| 3 | NE | 1.89 | −1.25 | 10.68 | -2.16 | 3.62 | 4.06 | -0.45 | -4.38 | 1.89 |
| 4 | SF | 1.72 | −1.08 | 6.50 | 0.79 | 0.27 | 4.65 | 4.59 | -0.75 | -3.98 |
| 5 | PIT | 1.22 | −0.96 | 4.17 | 5.83 | 0.50 | -2.56 | 2.28 | -0.56 | -1.10 |
| 6 | DEN | 1.13 | +0.92 | -0.46 | -1.60 | 0.09 | 2.42 | -1.83 | 4.83 | 4.45 |
| 7 | CLE | 1.12 | +0.94 | -0.53 | -4.28 | 0.93 | 1.11 | 8.23 | -1.82 | 4.18 |
| 8 | LAR | 0.95 | −0.46 | 0.60 | 7.41 | -0.25 | -1.66 | 0.35 | -2.60 | 2.79 |
| 9 | BAL | 0.89 | −0.49 | 5.64 | 1.53 | -6.09 | -0.58 | 8.37 | 0.18 | -2.81 |
| 10 | PHI | 0.84 | +0.94 | -1.11 | -2.11 | -1.72 | 5.39 | -2.00 | 3.15 | 4.26 |
| 11 | MIN | 0.61 | +0.59 | 2.51 | -4.94 | 2.20 | -1.21 | -0.76 | 2.15 | 4.32 |
| 12 | DAL | 0.50 | −0.83 | 0.66 | -2.67 | 5.86 | 3.84 | 4.47 | -0.99 | -7.69 |
| 13 | KC | 0.47 | +0.05 | 1.92 | -1.68 | -1.40 | 0.77 | 5.21 | -1.59 | 0.08 |
| 14 | GB | 0.27 | −0.37 | 1.83 | -0.48 | 1.53 | 0.38 | -0.91 | 2.18 | -2.60 |
| 15 | TB | 0.22 | −0.77 | 1.68 | 0.59 | 3.83 | 0.49 | -0.86 | -1.77 | -2.42 |
| 16 | LAC | -0.05 | +0.95 | -2.52 | -2.95 | -0.65 | 1.73 | -1.43 | 2.54 | 2.96 |
| 17 | IND | -1.11 | −0.05 | -2.47 | 0.35 | -1.50 | -0.11 | 0.13 | -2.59 | -1.56 |
| 18 | MIA | -1.12 | +0.23 | -8.47 | 2.95 | 1.66 | -1.16 | 1.59 | -0.30 | -4.10 |
| 19 | SEA | -1.16 | +0.96 | -1.10 | -5.00 | -3.71 | -0.34 | -1.96 | 0.18 | 3.81 |
| 20 | CHI | -1.31 | +0.04 | 0.61 | -2.70 | -1.00 | -4.87 | -0.06 | -0.13 | -1.05 |
| 21 | HOU | -1.39 | +2.13 | -4.82 | -8.74 | -4.59 | 0.49 | -0.69 | 2.20 | 6.44 |
| 22 | NYG | -1.89 | +0.67 | -6.68 | -2.69 | -1.15 | -0.26 | 1.94 | -3.39 | -0.97 |
| 23 | CAR | -1.97 | −0.43 | -0.62 | -3.58 | 0.60 | -1.60 | 0.02 | -5.28 | -3.33 |
| 24 | CIN | -2.43 | +0.22 | -6.09 | -4.48 | -0.09 | 2.26 | -1.54 | -1.51 | -5.53 |
| 25 | JAX | -2.45 | +1.30 | -3.43 | -7.73 | -6.31 | -0.03 | 2.01 | -7.16 | 5.54 |
| 26 | NYJ | -2.54 | +0.18 | -1.21 | -7.56 | -7.93 | 3.11 | 5.20 | -1.28 | -8.08 |
| 27 | WAS | -2.62 | −0.49 | -6.02 | 4.26 | -4.91 | 1.98 | -6.03 | -0.76 | -6.89 |
| 28 | TEN | -2.85 | −0.19 | -0.82 | -7.62 | 1.00 | -2.65 | -3.18 | -1.22 | -5.49 |
| 29 | DET | -2.98 | +1.82 | -5.78 | -10.89 | -5.29 | -1.65 | -0.80 | 3.31 | 0.23 |
| 30 | ARI | -3.04 | +0.00 | -8.14 | -0.81 | 1.04 | -1.17 | -4.78 | -2.16 | -5.26 |
| 31 | ATL | -3.18 | +0.96 | -4.62 | -5.98 | -4.96 | -4.53 | 0.40 | -3.59 | 0.99 |
| 32 | LV | -3.78 | +1.13 | -7.55 | -7.01 | -5.19 | -3.88 | 2.05 | -2.34 | -2.54 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | -4.82 | -8.74 | -4.59 | 0.49 | -0.69 | 2.20 | 6.44 |
| JAX | -3.43 | -7.73 | -6.31 | -0.03 | 2.01 | -7.16 | 5.54 |
| DEN | -0.46 | -1.60 | 0.09 | 2.42 | -1.83 | 4.83 | 4.45 |
| MIN | 2.51 | -4.94 | 2.20 | -1.21 | -0.76 | 2.15 | 4.32 |
| PHI | -1.11 | -2.11 | -1.72 | 5.39 | -2.00 | 3.15 | 4.26 |
| CLE | -0.53 | -4.28 | 0.93 | 1.11 | 8.23 | -1.82 | 4.18 |
| SEA | -1.10 | -5.00 | -3.71 | -0.34 | -1.96 | 0.18 | 3.81 |
| BUF | 4.57 | -0.42 | 6.38 | 1.41 | 3.99 | -1.82 | 3.38 |
| LAC | -2.52 | -2.95 | -0.65 | 1.73 | -1.43 | 2.54 | 2.96 |
| LAR | 0.60 | 7.41 | -0.25 | -1.66 | 0.35 | -2.60 | 2.79 |
| NE | 10.68 | -2.16 | 3.62 | 4.06 | -0.45 | -4.38 | 1.89 |
| NO | 0.79 | 2.71 | 3.57 | 2.88 | 4.36 | 0.17 | 1.44 |
| ATL | -4.62 | -5.98 | -4.96 | -4.53 | 0.40 | -3.59 | 0.99 |
| DET | -5.78 | -10.89 | -5.29 | -1.65 | -0.80 | 3.31 | 0.23 |
| KC | 1.92 | -1.68 | -1.40 | 0.77 | 5.21 | -1.59 | 0.08 |
| NYG | -6.68 | -2.69 | -1.15 | -0.26 | 1.94 | -3.39 | -0.97 |
| CHI | 0.61 | -2.70 | -1.00 | -4.87 | -0.06 | -0.13 | -1.05 |
| PIT | 4.17 | 5.83 | 0.50 | -2.56 | 2.28 | -0.56 | -1.10 |
| IND | -2.47 | 0.35 | -1.50 | -0.11 | 0.13 | -2.59 | -1.56 |
| TB | 1.68 | 0.59 | 3.83 | 0.49 | -0.86 | -1.77 | -2.42 |
| LV | -7.55 | -7.01 | -5.19 | -3.88 | 2.05 | -2.34 | -2.54 |
| GB | 1.83 | -0.48 | 1.53 | 0.38 | -0.91 | 2.18 | -2.60 |
| BAL | 5.64 | 1.53 | -6.09 | -0.58 | 8.37 | 0.18 | -2.81 |
| CAR | -0.62 | -3.58 | 0.60 | -1.60 | 0.02 | -5.28 | -3.33 |
| SF | 6.50 | 0.79 | 0.27 | 4.65 | 4.59 | -0.75 | -3.98 |
| MIA | -8.47 | 2.95 | 1.66 | -1.16 | 1.59 | -0.30 | -4.10 |
| ARI | -8.14 | -0.81 | 1.04 | -1.17 | -4.78 | -2.16 | -5.26 |
| TEN | -0.82 | -7.62 | 1.00 | -2.65 | -3.18 | -1.22 | -5.49 |
| CIN | -6.09 | -4.48 | -0.09 | 2.26 | -1.54 | -1.51 | -5.53 |
| WAS | -6.02 | 4.26 | -4.91 | 1.98 | -6.03 | -0.76 | -6.89 |
| DAL | 0.66 | -2.67 | 5.86 | 3.84 | 4.47 | -0.99 | -7.69 |
| NYJ | -1.21 | -7.56 | -7.93 | 3.11 | 5.20 | -1.28 | -8.08 |
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_passing_exp_pts_pass_def
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Passing
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.