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Houston Texans

AFC South

Off EXP
42.13
Off EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory
#21
Def EXP
65.87
Def EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory (higher is better)
#2
Net EXP
108
Net EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory
Record
12-5
Pythag 11.5 (+0.5)
Power Rating
102.9
#8
SRS
+7.67
#3
SoS Rank
#10
pts: +1.3 (#4)
#10
Pts / Game
23.8
Home 27.3 · Road 19.8
Points scored — 5-year weekly trajectory
#13
Net Pts / G
+6.4
#6
Pts Allowed / G
17.4
Home 19.1 · Road 15.4
Points allowed — 5-year weekly trajectory (lower is better)
#2
Yds / Play
5.10
#23
Yds/Play Allowed
4.80
#5
3rd Down %
37.2%
#23
3rd Down % Allowed
36.2%
#6

Showing the 2025 season — the most recent with complete stats. 2026 appears here as its weeks complete.

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.

Scoring Composition

Where Houston Texans's points come from. Total = 404 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for HOU 2025. Click Details for full breakdown.

92.0%
#6 of 32
100.0%
#1 of 32
1 / 1
#9 of 32
Return Yards
1,767
#25 of 32

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for HOU 2025.

95
#17 of 32
90
#5 of 32
91
#5 of 32
14
#5 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for HOU 2025. Higher = better.

+30.9
#14 of 32
-44.9
#30 of 32
+99.7
#15 of 32
-1.56
#24 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for HOU 2025 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

4,765
#6 of 32
1,634
#25 of 32
4,765
#6 of 32
1,634
#25 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for HOU 2025. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

118
#24 of 32
989
#26 of 32
Yds / Game
58.2
#26 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2025 vs 2024.

Kick Ret Yds7221407685
Kickoff Yds54266015589
All Purpose Yds72607750490

5-Year Trajectory

HOU Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2021 through 2025. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2025

W vs IND · 38–30
HOU failed to cover.

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for HOU 2025.

Cmp %
62.5%
#22
Pass Yds/G
218.1
#14
Pass Rating
88.0
#17
Pass TD
24
#20
Pass Int
9
#10
Sack Rate
5.1%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. HOU has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2025. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).

JAXJacksonville Jaguars21-11-11-1+0.0+1.5
TENTennessee Titans22-01-10-2+14.5+8.0
INDIndianapolis Colts22-01-11-1+6.0+2.8
LARLos Angeles Rams10-10-10-1-5.0-1.5
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers10-10-10-1-1.0-3.5
BALBaltimore Ravens11-01-01-0+34.0+31.5
SEASeattle Seahawks10-10-11-0-8.0-5.0
SFSan Francisco 49ers11-01-00-1+11.0+8.5
DENDenver Broncos10-10-10-1-3.0-4.5
BUFBuffalo Bills11-01-00-1+4.0+9.5
KCKansas City Chiefs11-01-00-1+10.0+14.5
ARIArizona Cardinals11-01-01-0+20.0+9.5
LVLas Vegas Raiders11-00-11-0+2.0-12.5
LACLos Angeles Chargers11-01-00-1+4.0+5.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Sep41-31-30-425%
Oct32-12-12-167%
Nov54-13-21-460%
Dec44-03-12-275%
Jan11-00-11-00%

By day of week

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Thu11-01-00-1100%
Sat11-01-00-1100%
Sun1310-37-65-854%
Mon20-20-21-10%

By season half

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
First half (W1-9)83-53-52-638%
Second half (W10+)99-06-34-567%

By surface

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Grass43-12-21-350%
Turf139-47-65-854%

By site role

No data.

By group

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Same division65-13-32-450%
Same conference65-14-22-467%
Inter-conference52-32-32-340%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Cold (<40°F)11-01-00-1100%
Cool (40-59°F)10-10-11-00%
Mild (60-74°F)11-00-10-10%
Warm (75°F+)21-11-11-150%
Indoor129-37-54-858%

By wind

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Calm (<5 mph)11-01-01-0100%
Breezy (5-14 mph)42-21-31-325%
Indoor129-37-54-858%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

DimensionStreakLength
SUW9
ATSL1
O/UO1

Longest this season

DimensionLength
Longest SU win streak9
Longest SU loss streak3
Longest ATS cover4
Longest ATS no-cover3
Longest O streak2
Longest U streak4

Performance context

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
After a win119-26-55-655%
After a loss53-23-21-460%
On 2+ winning streak87-15-34-462%
On 2+ losing streak21-11-10-250%
vs winning opp.85-35-32-662%
vs losing opp.55-03-23-260%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Outdoor53-22-32-340%
Dome21-11-10-250%
Retractable (closed)108-26-44-660%

By venue type

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Domestic home97-25-44-556%
Domestic road85-34-42-650%

By travel distance

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Home (0 mi)97-25-44-556%
Medium (500-1500)75-24-31-657%
Long (1500+)10-10-11-00%

By rest days

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Short week (3-4d)11-01-00-1100%
Standard (5-7d)119-27-44-764%
Long week (8-10d)32-11-21-233%
Bye+ (11+d)10-10-11-00%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month
SepATS 1-34 G
OctATS 2-13 G
NovATS 3-25 G
DecATS 3-14 G
JanATS 0-11 G
By day of week
ThuATS 1-01 G
SatATS 1-01 G
SunATS 7-613 G
MonATS 0-22 G
By season half
First half (W1-9)ATS 3-58 G
Second half (W10+)ATS 6-39 G
By surface
GrassATS 2-24 G
TurfATS 7-613 G
By site role
No data.
By group
Same divisionATS 3-36 G
Same conferenceATS 4-26 G
Inter-conferenceATS 2-35 G
By environment
OutdoorATS 2-35 G
DomeATS 1-12 G
Retractable (closed)ATS 6-410 G
By venue type
Domestic homeATS 5-49 G
Domestic roadATS 4-48 G
By travel distance
Home (0 mi)ATS 5-49 G
Medium (500-1500)ATS 4-37 G
Long (1500+)ATS 0-11 G
By rest days
Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G
Standard (5-7d)ATS 7-411 G
Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-23 G
Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G
By opponent SRS
Elite (1-8)ATS 3-36 G
Above avg (9-16)ATS 3-25 G
Below avg (17-24)ATS 1-12 G
Weak (25-32)ATS 2-24 G
ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 8.8 ptsBias +4.5 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Division Comparison: AFC South

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

TeamRecordSoSPts/GPts Allowed/GOff EXPDef EXP
Houston Texans (HOU)12-50.522 #1023.817.442.1365.87
Indianapolis Colts (IND)8-90.540 #427.424.2135.41-95.15
Jacksonville Jaguars (JAX)13-40.478 #2527.919.874.2142.74
Tennessee Titans (TEN)3-140.574 #116.728.1-113.92-125.45

Insights

A look at how the 2025 Houston Texans ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive epa per pass play allowed (1st of 32), defensive epa per pass play allowed (1st of 32), and defensive epa per play allowed (1st of 32). Weaknesses: defensive yards before contact per carry allowed (32nd of 32), offensive rush success rate (31st of 32), and offensive epa per rush (29th of 32).

Rivalries

  • Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts have met 16 times in the regular season. Houston Texans leads the series 8 to 7, with 1 tie. The most lopsided meeting was a 31-point win for Indianapolis Colts in 2021.
  • Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars have met 16 times in the regular season. Houston Texans leads the series 13 to 3. The most lopsided meeting was a 28-point win for Jacksonville Jaguars in 2022.
  • Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans have met 16 times in the regular season. Houston Texans leads the series 9 to 7. The most lopsided meeting was a 26-point win for Houston Texans in 2025.