NFL 2024 – Week 3 Pick Results & Spread Data

NFL 2024 – Week 3 Pick Results & Spread Data

Against The Spread 8 – 8

Season 27 – 20 – 1

The Algorithm stumbled it’s way to an 8 – 8 week needing to win both Monday night games to get there.  Weeks 3 – 6 are the most unpredictable weeks for the Algorithm as it removes all the 2023 data and start relying solely on 2024 stats.  Since the stats are quite volatile early in the season, it makes the power ratings and algorithm spreads volatile as well.  Half a team’s power rating came for 2024 last week, 75% in week 4, and 100% from week 5 onward.

Thus, please use a bit more caution and verify Algorithm selections with other handicapping sources.  As always, remember the Algorithm bases everything on statistics.  It cannot see or take into account injuries, weather, and non numeric factors.

Pick of the Week – Minnesota +3 vs Houston

I could have picked the Washington selection against Cincinnati given the Commanders were getting 8 points and won outright, but the Vikings pick was better.  The Algorithm said that Minnesota should be -5 point favorites at home against Houston while Vegas had it at Houston -3.  Final score Vikings 34 Texans 7.

When the Algorithm has the nuts to say Vegas is that wrong on a pick, and then produces a gimme win like that, you get Pick of the Week.

Punk of the Week – Las Vegas – 5.5 vs Carolina

Executed by the Red Rifle.  Andy Dalton crawls off the bench for the first time in a year and looks like Joe Montana.  Carolina comes into the Black Hole and sucked the life out of the Raiders.  I am sure some handicappers saw value in the line with Dalton coming in, but I am not sure anyone had 36 – 22 predicted.

NFL Week 3 vs. Spread

Favorites 9 – 7
Season 23- 24 – 1

Home 7 – 9
Season 19 – 28 – 1

NFL Week 3 Straight Up

Favorites 9 – 7
Season 28 – 19 – 1

Home 7 – 9
Season 22 – 25 – 1

NFL 2024 Week 1 Pick Results & Spread Data
NFL 2024 – Week 2 Pick Results & Spread Data

NFL Week 3 Spread Data