Buffalo Bills — Pass 1stD, 2026

Value10.60
Rank#20 of 32
League average11.34
Rank in 2025#9 of 32

Buffalo Bills — every stat for 2026, ranked →

What Pass 1stD is

Passing first downs: first downs earned on completed passes. The passing game's contribution to keeping drives alive.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 6 of 2026, the Rams lead at 16; the league average is 11.34.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

LAR · 16

League average

11.34

Best to worst

All 32 teams, higher is better.

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

LAR · 16

League laggard

MIA · 7

League average

11.34

Spread (max − min)

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	LAR	16	4.66	100%
2	CAR	15.75	4.41	96.8%
3	DET	15.20	3.86	93.5%
4	DAL	14.40	3.06	90.3%
5	CIN	14.20	2.86	87.1%
6	LV	14	2.66	83.9%
7	NO	13.60	2.26	80.6%
8	ARI	13	1.66	77.4%
9	SEA	12.40	1.06	74.2%
10	CHI	12	0.66	71%
11	GB	12	0.66	67.7%
12	HOU	12	0.66	64.5%
13	BAL	11.80	0.46	61.3%
14	SF	11.80	0.46	58.1%
15	KC	11.50	0.16	54.8%
16	NYG	11.40	0.06	51.6%
17	JAX	11.20	-0.14	48.4%
18	NE	11	-0.34	45.2%
19	PIT	10.80	-0.54	41.9%
20	BUF	10.60	-0.74	38.7%
21	IND	10	-1.34	35.5%
22	WAS	9.80	-1.54	32.3%
23	CLE	9.60	-1.74	29%
24	LAC	9.40	-1.94	25.8%
25	TB	9.40	-1.94	22.6%
26	NYJ	9.20	-2.14	19.4%
27	ATL	9	-2.34	16.1%
28	DEN	9	-2.34	12.9%
29	PHI	8.80	-2.54	9.7%
30	TEN	8.60	-2.74	6.5%
31	MIN	8.40	-2.94	3.2%
32	MIA	7	-4.34	0%

Does Pass 1stD matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 844–734–37 ATS (53.5%) across 2020–2025, #119 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2023 (144–114, 55.8%); its worst 2021 (135–135, 50.0%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	136–118–2	53.5%
2021	272	135–135–2	50.0%
2022	271	146–118–7	55.3%
2023	272	144–114–14	55.8%
2024	272	138–125–9	52.5%
2025	272	145–124–3	53.9%

Pass 1stD in 2026 vs 2025

Rams lead at 16 — they ranked #1 last year. Dolphins are last at 7 — #21 last year.

The league average is 11.34, up 0.43 from 10.91 last year.

Biggest riser: Panthers, #22 → #2. Biggest faller: Broncos, #8 → #28.

Spread between first and last: 9; 20 teams are within 2.26 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

CAR · +5.75

Biggest faller

MIA · −3.24

Most consistent

ARI · +0.12

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▲ 0.43

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	CAR	15.75	10	+5.75
2	LV	14	9.65	+4.35
3	BAL	11.80	8.35	+3.45
4	NO	13.60	10.88	+2.72
5	LAR	16	14	+2
6	NYG	11.40	9.41	+1.99
7	DET	15.20	13.24	+1.96
8	SEA	12.40	10.65	+1.75
9	CIN	14.20	12.53	+1.67
10	CLE	9.60	8.18	+1.42
11	GB	12	10.76	+1.24
12	HOU	12	10.82	+1.18
13	NYJ	9.20	8.06	+1.14
14	PIT	10.80	9.76	+1.04
15	CHI	12	11.24	+0.76
16	DAL	14.40	13.71	+0.69
17	WAS	9.80	9.53	+0.27
18	KC	11.50	11.24	+0.26
19	ARI	13	12.88	+0.12
20	JAX	11.20	11.76	−0.56
21	TEN	8.60	9.18	−0.58
22	TB	9.40	10.41	−1.01
23	PHI	8.80	9.82	−1.02
24	MIN	8.40	9.47	−1.07
25	BUF	10.60	11.76	−1.16
26	NE	11	12.24	−1.24
27	LAC	9.40	10.88	−1.48
28	IND	10	11.71	−1.71
29	ATL	9	11	−2
30	SF	11.80	13.94	−2.14
31	DEN	9	11.82	−2.82
32	MIA	7	10.24	−3.24

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

KC · 13.80

Multi-year laggard

TEN · 10.05

Biggest improver

CAR · +0.42/yr

Biggest decliner

TB · −1.05/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	KC	13.80	−0.95	16.25	15.88	16.06	12.76	12.94	11.24	11.50
2	DET	13.61	+0.30	13.81	11.53	13.53	13.59	14.35	13.24	15.20
3	DAL	13.43	−0.08	14.50	14.65	11.53	13.71	11.53	13.71	14.40
4	CIN	13.33	+0.18	12.75	12.59	14	12.35	14.88	12.53	14.20
5	LAR	13.02	+0.36	12.94	13.82	10.82	12.18	11.41	14	16
6	TB	12.80	−1.05	15.13	16.06	14.18	11.18	13.24	10.41	9.40
7	BUF	12.55	−0.77	15.13	14.29	13.50	11.88	10.71	11.76	10.60
8	SF	12.48	−0.06	13.94	11.94	11.29	12.35	12.12	13.94	11.80
9	LAC	12.27	−0.95	14.31	15.06	13.76	12.12	10.35	10.88	9.40
10	ARI	12.10	−0.02	13.38	12.71	11.18	10.18	11.41	12.88	13
11	LV	12.04	−0.09	13	12.94	11.47	10.82	12.41	9.65	14
12	GB	11.99	−0.42	13.56	13.94	11	12.41	10.24	10.76	12
13	MIN	11.91	−0.78	13.31	11.94	14.71	13.06	12.47	9.47	8.40
14	SEA	11.78	−0.07	13.63	9.94	12.18	11.18	12.47	10.65	12.40
15	MIA	11.72	−0.78	12.94	12.35	13.06	13.18	13.29	10.24	7
16	JAX	11.58	−0.20	13.06	10.65	12.35	11.76	10.24	11.76	11.20
17	HOU	11.43	−0.03	13.88	9.59	9.41	12.71	11.59	10.82	12
18	NO	11.33	+0.17	12.50	9.76	10.82	11.76	10	10.88	13.60
19	ATL	11.20	−0.64	15.44	11.71	8.82	10.76	11.65	11	9
20	IND	10.87	−0.23	12.63	10	11.53	10.65	9.59	11.71	10
21	PIT	10.77	−0.47	13.06	12.18	11.12	9	9.47	9.76	10.80
22	CAR	10.75	+0.42	12.25	10.24	8.18	8.88	9.94	10	15.75
23	WAS	10.73	−0.26	11.56	10.71	10.94	11.18	11.41	9.53	9.80
24	CHI	10.61	−0.02	13.75	10.71	6.41	10	10.18	11.24	12
25	NE	10.43	+0.22	9.81	11.06	9.82	9.06	10	12.24	11
26	BAL	10.42	+0.12	9	12.41	8.88	10.65	11.82	8.35	11.80
27	PHI	10.40	−0.31	11.19	9.82	11.59	11.65	9.94	9.82	8.80
28	CLE	10.36	−0.46	12.38	10.47	10.71	10.35	10.82	8.18	9.60
29	DEN	10.29	−0.13	11	10.94	9.76	9.24	10.29	11.82	9
30	NYG	10.13	−0.03	11.13	10.24	10.18	8.53	10.06	9.41	11.40
31	NYJ	10.07	−0.22	9.13	11.59	11.24	9.35	11.94	8.06	9.20
32	TEN	10.05	−0.60	12.69	11.65	9.18	9.41	9.65	9.18	8.60

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
LAR	12.94	13.82	10.82	12.18	11.41	14	16
CAR	12.25	10.24	8.18	8.88	9.94	10	15.75
DET	13.81	11.53	13.53	13.59	14.35	13.24	15.20
DAL	14.50	14.65	11.53	13.71	11.53	13.71	14.40
CIN	12.75	12.59	14	12.35	14.88	12.53	14.20
LV	13	12.94	11.47	10.82	12.41	9.65	14
NO	12.50	9.76	10.82	11.76	10	10.88	13.60
ARI	13.38	12.71	11.18	10.18	11.41	12.88	13
SEA	13.63	9.94	12.18	11.18	12.47	10.65	12.40
CHI	13.75	10.71	6.41	10	10.18	11.24	12
GB	13.56	13.94	11	12.41	10.24	10.76	12
HOU	13.88	9.59	9.41	12.71	11.59	10.82	12
BAL	9	12.41	8.88	10.65	11.82	8.35	11.80
SF	13.94	11.94	11.29	12.35	12.12	13.94	11.80
KC	16.25	15.88	16.06	12.76	12.94	11.24	11.50
NYG	11.13	10.24	10.18	8.53	10.06	9.41	11.40
JAX	13.06	10.65	12.35	11.76	10.24	11.76	11.20
NE	9.81	11.06	9.82	9.06	10	12.24	11
PIT	13.06	12.18	11.12	9	9.47	9.76	10.80
BUF	15.13	14.29	13.50	11.88	10.71	11.76	10.60
IND	12.63	10	11.53	10.65	9.59	11.71	10
WAS	11.56	10.71	10.94	11.18	11.41	9.53	9.80
CLE	12.38	10.47	10.71	10.35	10.82	8.18	9.60
LAC	14.31	15.06	13.76	12.12	10.35	10.88	9.40
TB	15.13	16.06	14.18	11.18	13.24	10.41	9.40
NYJ	9.13	11.59	11.24	9.35	11.94	8.06	9.20
ATL	15.44	11.71	8.82	10.76	11.65	11	9
DEN	11	10.94	9.76	9.24	10.29	11.82	9
PHI	11.19	9.82	11.59	11.65	9.94	9.82	8.80
TEN	12.69	11.65	9.18	9.41	9.65	9.18	8.60
MIN	13.31	11.94	14.71	13.06	12.47	9.47	8.40
MIA	12.94	12.35	13.06	13.18	13.29	10.24	7

Pass 1stD since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Buccaneers (16.81), 2019 Falcons (16.25), 2020 Chiefs (16.25), 2021 Buccaneers (16.06), 2022 Chiefs (16.06), 2023 Cowboys (13.71), 2024 Bengals (14.88), 2025 Rams (14), 2026 Rams (16).

Buccaneers have led this stat 2 of 9 seasons.

The best season on record is Buccaneers 2018 at 16.81; the worst Bears 2022 at 6.41.

The league average has fallen from 12.43 in 2018 to 11.34 in 2026.

Week to week — Week 4 to Week 5

Since Week 4: Giants up 7 (#22 → #15), Patriots up 7 (#24 → #17), Rams up 5 (#6 → #1); Chiefs down 11 (#14 → #25), Panthers down 6 (#2 → #8), Broncos down 5 (#22 → #27).

14 teams moved by two places or fewer.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: off_team_stats_pass_fd
Side: offensive
Family: Team Stats
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.