Offensive: Rushing · Rush Y/A
What Rush Y/A is
Yards per carry: rushing yards divided by rush attempts. The standard read of running efficiency, with the caveat that a couple of long runs move it a lot — a 4.5 built on breakaways is a different offense from a 4.5 built on steady gains.
Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
In 2018 the Panthers led at 5.12; the league average was 4.40.
League snapshot — 2018
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 5.12 | 16 |
| 2 | GB | 4.99 | 16 |
| 3 | DEN | 4.83 | 16 |
| 4 | LAR | 4.82 | 16 |
| 5 | SEA | 4.79 | 16 |
| 6 | KC | 4.78 | 16 |
| 7 | CIN | 4.69 | 16 |
| 8 | MIA | 4.68 | 16 |
| 9 | LAC | 4.68 | 16 |
| 10 | NYG | 4.63 | 16 |
| 11 | CLE | 4.58 | 16 |
| 12 | ATL | 4.48 | 16 |
| 13 | SF | 4.48 | 16 |
| 14 | DAL | 4.46 | 16 |
| 15 | TEN | 4.46 | 16 |
| 16 | BAL | 4.45 | 16 |
| 17 | WAS | 4.29 | 16 |
| 18 | HOU | 4.28 | 16 |
| 19 | NO | 4.26 | 16 |
| 20 | NE | 4.26 | 16 |
| 21 | BUF | 4.24 | 16 |
| 22 | LV | 4.20 | 16 |
| 23 | IND | 4.19 | 16 |
| 24 | PIT | 4.19 | 16 |
| 25 | MIN | 4.18 | 16 |
| 26 | JAX | 4.14 | 16 |
| 27 | CHI | 4.14 | 16 |
| 28 | DET | 4.10 | 16 |
| 29 | NYJ | 3.96 | 16 |
| 30 | PHI | 3.91 | 16 |
| 31 | TB | 3.91 | 16 |
| 32 | ARI | 3.77 | 16 |
At a glance — 2018
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2018
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 5.12 | 0.72 | 100% |
| 2 | GB | 4.99 | 0.59 | 96.8% |
| 3 | DEN | 4.83 | 0.42 | 93.5% |
| 4 | LAR | 4.82 | 0.41 | 90.3% |
| 5 | SEA | 4.79 | 0.39 | 87.1% |
| 6 | KC | 4.78 | 0.38 | 83.9% |
| 7 | CIN | 4.69 | 0.28 | 80.6% |
| 8 | MIA | 4.68 | 0.28 | 77.4% |
| 9 | LAC | 4.68 | 0.28 | 74.2% |
| 10 | NYG | 4.63 | 0.23 | 71% |
| 11 | CLE | 4.58 | 0.18 | 67.7% |
| 12 | ATL | 4.48 | 0.08 | 64.5% |
| 13 | SF | 4.48 | 0.07 | 61.3% |
| 14 | DAL | 4.46 | 0.06 | 58.1% |
| 15 | TEN | 4.46 | 0.05 | 54.8% |
| 16 | BAL | 4.45 | 0.04 | 51.6% |
| 17 | WAS | 4.29 | -0.12 | 48.4% |
| 18 | HOU | 4.28 | -0.12 | 45.2% |
| 19 | NO | 4.26 | -0.14 | 41.9% |
| 20 | NE | 4.26 | -0.14 | 38.7% |
| 21 | BUF | 4.24 | -0.16 | 35.5% |
| 22 | LV | 4.20 | -0.21 | 32.3% |
| 23 | IND | 4.19 | -0.21 | 29% |
| 24 | PIT | 4.19 | -0.22 | 25.8% |
| 25 | MIN | 4.18 | -0.22 | 22.6% |
| 26 | JAX | 4.14 | -0.26 | 19.4% |
| 27 | CHI | 4.14 | -0.26 | 16.1% |
| 28 | DET | 4.10 | -0.31 | 12.9% |
| 29 | NYJ | 3.96 | -0.45 | 9.7% |
| 30 | PHI | 3.91 | -0.50 | 6.5% |
| 31 | TB | 3.91 | -0.50 | 3.2% |
| 32 | ARI | 3.77 | -0.63 | 0% |
Does Rush Y/A matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 803–775–37 ATS (50.9%) across 2020–2025, #226 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (134–120, 52.8%); its worst 2021 (127–143, 47.0%).
For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 134–120–2 | 52.8% |
| 2021 | 272 | 127–143–2 | 47.0% |
| 2022 | 271 | 136–128–7 | 51.5% |
| 2023 | 272 | 132–126–14 | 51.2% |
| 2024 | 272 | 135–128–9 | 51.3% |
| 2025 | 272 | 139–130–3 | 51.7% |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 5.20 | +0.00 | 5.52 | 4.79 | 5.16 | 4.91 | 5.75 | 5.25 | 5.04 |
| 2 | BUF | 4.76 | +0.12 | 4.19 | 4.77 | 5.17 | 4.32 | 4.54 | 4.96 | 5.37 |
| 3 | CHI | 4.56 | +0.05 | 4.18 | 4.25 | 5.40 | 4.48 | 4.02 | 4.83 | 4.73 |
| 4 | KC | 4.52 | +0.06 | 4.46 | 4.53 | 4.70 | 4.27 | 3.98 | 4.21 | 5.50 |
| 5 | PHI | 4.50 | −0.17 | 4.92 | 4.92 | 4.59 | 4.29 | 4.87 | 4.15 | 3.79 |
| 6 | ARI | 4.49 | −0.05 | 4.66 | 4.19 | 4.30 | 4.96 | 5.24 | 4.31 | 3.75 |
| 7 | DET | 4.47 | +0.05 | 4.08 | 4.42 | 4.50 | 4.61 | 4.65 | 4.61 | 4.39 |
| 8 | SF | 4.46 | −0.01 | 4.32 | 4.33 | 4.68 | 4.79 | 4.72 | 3.78 | 4.63 |
| 9 | WAS | 4.44 | +0.14 | 4.01 | 4.28 | 3.98 | 4.41 | 4.96 | 4.70 | 4.72 |
| 10 | SEA | 4.42 | −0.19 | 4.80 | 5.02 | 4.80 | 4.14 | 4.25 | 4.13 | 3.81 |
| 11 | IND | 4.40 | −0.09 | 4.32 | 5.08 | 4.24 | 4.30 | 4.67 | 4.53 | 3.68 |
| 12 | MIA | 4.35 | +0.17 | 3.93 | 3.55 | 4.32 | 5.06 | 4.01 | 4.73 | 4.87 |
| 13 | ATL | 4.34 | +0.18 | 3.75 | 3.68 | 4.85 | 4.13 | 4.46 | 4.47 | 5.05 |
| 14 | NE | 4.32 | −0.04 | 4.65 | 4.38 | 4.26 | 3.91 | 4.41 | 4.42 | 4.21 |
| 15 | TEN | 4.31 | −0.16 | 5.12 | 4.36 | 4.38 | 4.16 | 4.11 | 4.20 | 3.82 |
| 16 | CLE | 4.30 | −0.22 | 4.79 | 5.08 | 4.67 | 3.84 | 4.11 | 3.90 | 3.74 |
| 17 | CAR | 4.27 | +0.04 | 4.19 | 4.04 | 4.55 | 3.96 | 4.57 | 4.27 | 4.35 |
| 18 | GB | 4.26 | −0.19 | 4.75 | 4.25 | 4.63 | 4.30 | 4.73 | 4.14 | 3.05 |
| 19 | LAR | 4.24 | +0.07 | 4.27 | 4.01 | 4.04 | 4.28 | 3.91 | 4.63 | 4.56 |
| 20 | NYG | 4.22 | −0.08 | 4.43 | 4.00 | 4.83 | 4.12 | 4.20 | 4.29 | 3.68 |
| 21 | JAX | 4.22 | −0.10 | 4.49 | 4.47 | 4.71 | 3.62 | 4.18 | 3.98 | 4.08 |
| 22 | MIN | 4.22 | −0.09 | 4.84 | 4.26 | 4.11 | 3.95 | 4.06 | 4.49 | 3.82 |
| 23 | TB | 4.21 | +0.13 | 4.12 | 4.32 | 3.38 | 3.44 | 5.25 | 4.11 | 4.89 |
| 24 | DAL | 4.19 | −0.03 | 4.12 | 4.43 | 4.32 | 4.09 | 3.97 | 4.59 | 3.81 |
| 25 | NYJ | 4.18 | −0.04 | 4.15 | 4.34 | 4.16 | 4.22 | 4.27 | 4.57 | 3.59 |
| 26 | DEN | 4.18 | −0.09 | 4.34 | 4.45 | 4.35 | 3.98 | 4.14 | 4.42 | 3.59 |
| 27 | PIT | 4.11 | +0.14 | 3.62 | 3.85 | 4.15 | 4.12 | 4.06 | 4.31 | 4.64 |
| 28 | LAC | 4.08 | +0.08 | 3.81 | 4.31 | 3.77 | 3.81 | 4.05 | 4.43 | 4.36 |
| 29 | NO | 3.99 | −0.13 | 4.59 | 3.90 | 4.24 | 3.61 | 4.40 | 3.67 | 3.50 |
| 30 | CIN | 3.97 | −0.02 | 4.06 | 3.98 | 3.82 | 3.99 | 4.13 | 4.16 | 3.63 |
| 31 | LV | 3.82 | −0.20 | 4.19 | 3.91 | 4.80 | 3.72 | 3.55 | 3.56 | 2.99 |
| 32 | HOU | 3.81 | −0.03 | 4.26 | 3.38 | 3.70 | 3.69 | 4.38 | 3.89 | 3.38 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 4.46 | 4.53 | 4.70 | 4.27 | 3.98 | 4.21 | 5.50 |
| BUF | 4.19 | 4.77 | 5.17 | 4.32 | 4.54 | 4.96 | 5.37 |
| ATL | 3.75 | 3.68 | 4.85 | 4.13 | 4.46 | 4.47 | 5.05 |
| BAL | 5.52 | 4.79 | 5.16 | 4.91 | 5.75 | 5.25 | 5.04 |
| TB | 4.12 | 4.32 | 3.38 | 3.44 | 5.25 | 4.11 | 4.89 |
| MIA | 3.93 | 3.55 | 4.32 | 5.06 | 4.01 | 4.73 | 4.87 |
| CHI | 4.18 | 4.25 | 5.40 | 4.48 | 4.02 | 4.83 | 4.73 |
| WAS | 4.01 | 4.28 | 3.98 | 4.41 | 4.96 | 4.70 | 4.72 |
| PIT | 3.62 | 3.85 | 4.15 | 4.12 | 4.06 | 4.31 | 4.64 |
| SF | 4.32 | 4.33 | 4.68 | 4.79 | 4.72 | 3.78 | 4.63 |
| LAR | 4.27 | 4.01 | 4.04 | 4.28 | 3.91 | 4.63 | 4.56 |
| DET | 4.08 | 4.42 | 4.50 | 4.61 | 4.65 | 4.61 | 4.39 |
| LAC | 3.81 | 4.31 | 3.77 | 3.81 | 4.05 | 4.43 | 4.36 |
| CAR | 4.19 | 4.04 | 4.55 | 3.96 | 4.57 | 4.27 | 4.35 |
| NE | 4.65 | 4.38 | 4.26 | 3.91 | 4.41 | 4.42 | 4.21 |
| JAX | 4.49 | 4.47 | 4.71 | 3.62 | 4.18 | 3.98 | 4.08 |
| TEN | 5.12 | 4.36 | 4.38 | 4.16 | 4.11 | 4.20 | 3.82 |
| MIN | 4.84 | 4.26 | 4.11 | 3.95 | 4.06 | 4.49 | 3.82 |
| DAL | 4.12 | 4.43 | 4.32 | 4.09 | 3.97 | 4.59 | 3.81 |
| SEA | 4.80 | 5.02 | 4.80 | 4.14 | 4.25 | 4.13 | 3.81 |
| PHI | 4.92 | 4.92 | 4.59 | 4.29 | 4.87 | 4.15 | 3.79 |
| ARI | 4.66 | 4.19 | 4.30 | 4.96 | 5.24 | 4.31 | 3.75 |
| CLE | 4.79 | 5.08 | 4.67 | 3.84 | 4.11 | 3.90 | 3.74 |
| NYG | 4.43 | 4.00 | 4.83 | 4.12 | 4.20 | 4.29 | 3.68 |
| IND | 4.32 | 5.08 | 4.24 | 4.30 | 4.67 | 4.53 | 3.68 |
| CIN | 4.06 | 3.98 | 3.82 | 3.99 | 4.13 | 4.16 | 3.63 |
| DEN | 4.34 | 4.45 | 4.35 | 3.98 | 4.14 | 4.42 | 3.59 |
| NYJ | 4.15 | 4.34 | 4.16 | 4.22 | 4.27 | 4.57 | 3.59 |
| NO | 4.59 | 3.90 | 4.24 | 3.61 | 4.40 | 3.67 | 3.50 |
| HOU | 4.26 | 3.38 | 3.70 | 3.69 | 4.38 | 3.89 | 3.38 |
| GB | 4.75 | 4.25 | 4.63 | 4.30 | 4.73 | 4.14 | 3.05 |
| LV | 4.19 | 3.91 | 4.80 | 3.72 | 3.55 | 3.56 | 2.99 |
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- off_rushing_rush_yds_per_att
- Side
- offensive
- Family
- Rushing
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.