What Turnovers (Off − Def) is

Turnovers given away minus turnovers taken — turnover margin, from the team's point of view. Lower is better; it is one of the biggest single swings in a game's result, and one of the least repeatable.

Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2019 the Patriots led at -1.44; the league average was -0.08.

League snapshot — 2019

League leader

NE · -1.44

League average

-0.08

Best to worst

2.44

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	NE	-1.44	16
2	NO	-1	16
3	MIN	-0.88	16
4	SEA	-0.81	16
5	GB	-0.75	16
6	BAL	-0.69	16
7	KC	-0.63	16
8	PIT	-0.63	16
9	TEN	-0.44	16
10	SF	-0.38	16
11	BUF	-0.25	16
12	IND	-0.25	16
13	CHI	-0.13	16
14	HOU	-0.06	16
15	JAX	-0.06	16
16	WAS	-0.06	16
17	DEN	0	16
18	LAR	0	16
19	NYJ	0	16
20	PHI	0	16
21	ARI	0.06	16
22	DAL	0.06	16
23	LV	0.06	16
24	ATL	0.19	16
25	DET	0.25	16
26	CLE	0.44	16
27	MIA	0.56	16
28	CAR	0.69	16
29	CIN	0.75	16
30	TB	0.75	16
31	LAC	0.94	16
32	NYG	1	16

At a glance — 2019

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

NE · -1.44

League laggard

NYG · 1

League average

-0.08

Spread (max − min)

2.44

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	NE	-1.44	-1.35	100%
2	NO	-1	-0.92	96.8%
3	MIN	-0.88	-0.79	93.5%
4	SEA	-0.81	-0.73	90.3%
5	GB	-0.75	-0.67	87.1%
6	BAL	-0.69	-0.60	83.9%
7	KC	-0.63	-0.54	80.6%
8	PIT	-0.63	-0.54	77.4%
9	TEN	-0.44	-0.35	74.2%
10	SF	-0.38	-0.29	71%
11	BUF	-0.25	-0.17	67.7%
12	IND	-0.25	-0.17	64.5%
13	CHI	-0.13	-0.04	61.3%
14	HOU	-0.06	0.02	58.1%
15	JAX	-0.06	0.02	54.8%
16	WAS	-0.06	0.02	51.6%
17	DEN	0	0.08	48.4%
18	LAR	0	0.08	45.2%
19	NYJ	0	0.08	41.9%
20	PHI	0	0.08	38.7%
21	ARI	0.06	0.15	35.5%
22	DAL	0.06	0.15	32.3%
23	LV	0.06	0.15	29%
24	ATL	0.19	0.27	25.8%
25	DET	0.25	0.33	22.6%
26	CLE	0.44	0.52	19.4%
27	MIA	0.56	0.65	16.1%
28	CAR	0.69	0.77	12.9%
29	CIN	0.75	0.83	9.7%
30	TB	0.75	0.83	6.5%
31	LAC	0.94	1.02	3.2%
32	NYG	1	1.08	0%

Does Turnovers (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 872–706–37 ATS (55.3%) across 2020–2025, #67 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (156–108, 59.1%); its worst 2023 (128–130, 49.6%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	148–106–2	58.3%
2021	272	153–117–2	56.7%
2022	271	156–108–7	59.1%
2023	272	128–130–14	49.6%
2024	272	144–119–9	54.8%
2025	272	143–126–3	53.2%

Turnovers (Off − Def) in 2019 vs 2018

Patriots lead at -1.44 — they ranked #5 last year. Giants are last at 1 — #13 last year.

The league average is -0.08, down 0.02 from -0.06 last year.

Biggest riser: 49ers, #32 → #10. Biggest faller: Browns, #7 → #26.

Spread between first and last: 2.44; 20 teams are within 0.58 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

NYG · +1.25

Biggest faller

SF · −1.81

Most consistent

DET · 0

League trend 2019 vs 2018

▼ -0.02

Rank	Team	2019	2018	Δ
1	NYG	1	-0.25	+1.25
2	LAC	0.94	-0.19	+1.13
3	CIN	0.75	-0.19	+0.94
4	CLE	0.44	-0.50	+0.94
5	MIA	0.56	-0.38	+0.94
6	CAR	0.69	-0.13	+0.81
7	HOU	-0.06	-0.88	+0.81
8	LAR	0	-0.75	+0.75
9	CHI	-0.13	-0.75	+0.63
10	DEN	0	-0.44	+0.44
11	WAS	-0.06	-0.44	+0.38
12	ATL	0.19	-0.13	+0.31
13	DAL	0.06	-0.19	+0.25
14	SEA	-0.81	-0.94	+0.13
15	DET	0.25	0.25	0
16	IND	-0.25	-0.19	−0.06
17	KC	-0.63	-0.56	−0.06
18	PHI	0	0.25	−0.25
19	LV	0.06	0.44	−0.38
20	TB	0.75	1.13	−0.38
21	BUF	-0.25	0.19	−0.44
22	GB	-0.75	-0.31	−0.44
23	TEN	-0.44	0	−0.44
24	NO	-1	-0.50	−0.50
25	NYJ	0	0.50	−0.50
26	ARI	0.06	0.75	−0.69
27	JAX	-0.06	0.63	−0.69
28	NE	-1.44	-0.75	−0.69
29	BAL	-0.69	0.13	−0.81
30	MIN	-0.88	0	−0.88
31	PIT	-0.63	0.69	−1.31
32	SF	-0.38	1.44	−1.81

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

PIT · -0.60

Multi-year laggard

LV · 0.27

Biggest improver

JAX · −0.25/yr

Biggest decliner

IND · +0.25/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	PIT	-0.60	−0.03	-0.69	-0.18	-0.41	-0.71	-1.06	-0.76	-0.40
2	GB	-0.46	+0.04	-0.56	-0.88	-0.24	-0.12	-0.76	-0.06	-0.60
3	HOU	-0.38	−0.19	0.44	-0.24	0	-0.59	-0.59	-1.06	-0.60
4	KC	-0.27	−0.07	-0.44	-0.35	-0.12	0.53	-0.35	0.06	-1.25
5	BUF	-0.27	+0.11	-0.38	-0.53	-0.06	-0.18	-1.41	-0.12	0.80
6	MIN	-0.26	−0.08	0	-0.65	-0.18	0.65	-0.76	0.35	-1.20
7	CIN	-0.21	−0.08	0.38	-0.12	-0.44	-0.59	-0.35	0.24	-0.60
8	BAL	-0.21	−0.08	-0.25	0.59	-0.24	-0.71	-0.35	0.12	-0.60
9	DET	-0.19	−0.17	0.44	0.24	-0.47	0	-0.53	-0.24	-0.80
10	TB	-0.19	+0.13	-0.56	-0.59	0	-0.47	0.29	-0.41	0.40
11	SEA	-0.19	+0.02	-0.25	-0.29	-0.24	-0.24	0.06	0.06	-0.40
12	SF	-0.13	−0.07	0.44	0.06	-0.76	-0.59	0.41	0.35	-0.80
13	LAC	-0.12	+0.08	-0.25	0	-0.35	-0.06	-0.76	-0.24	0.80
14	DAL	-0.12	+0.15	0.25	-0.88	-0.71	-0.65	0.24	0.53	0.40
15	ARI	-0.11	+0.01	0	-0.76	0.24	0	0.18	0	-0.40
16	CHI	-0.08	−0.10	0.19	0.65	0	-0.24	-0.59	-1.35	0.80
17	NYG	-0.07	−0.02	-0.06	0.47	-0.35	-0.82	0.41	0.06	-0.20
18	DEN	-0.05	−0.13	0.94	-0.18	-0.12	-0.35	-0.29	0.06	-0.40
19	LAR	-0.05	+0.02	0	-0.18	0.06	0.12	-0.35	-0.59	0.60
20	PHI	-0.04	−0.07	0.63	0	-0.53	0.59	-0.82	-0.53	0.40
21	NO	-0.01	+0.20	-0.63	-0.47	0.59	-0.76	0	0.18	1
22	IND	0.01	+0.25	-0.63	-1	0.71	-0.35	0.24	-0.06	1.20
23	JAX	0.05	−0.25	0.44	1.12	-0.29	0.06	0.82	-0.76	-1
24	CAR	0.08	−0.15	-0.06	0.76	0.06	0.53	0.29	0	-1
25	MIA	0.08	+0.17	-0.56	-0.29	0.41	-0.12	0.18	0.18	0.80
26	WAS	0.13	−0.11	0.06	0.35	0.29	0.71	-0.18	0.65	-1
27	NE	0.14	+0.19	-0.19	-0.47	-0.47	0.65	0.65	-0.18	1
28	TEN	0.20	+0.18	-0.69	0.12	0	0.18	0.88	0.29	0.60
29	NYJ	0.25	−0.06	0	0.76	0.41	0.12	0.06	1	-0.60
30	ATL	0.26	+0.08	-0.19	0.35	0.12	0.71	0.24	-0.41	1
31	CLE	0.27	+0.09	-0.31	0.18	0	0.47	1.18	0.35	0
32	LV	0.27	−0.17	0.63	0.53	0.41	0.06	0.94	0.35	-1

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
KC	-0.44	-0.35	-0.12	0.53	-0.35	0.06	-1.25
MIN	0	-0.65	-0.18	0.65	-0.76	0.35	-1.20
CAR	-0.06	0.76	0.06	0.53	0.29	0	-1
JAX	0.44	1.12	-0.29	0.06	0.82	-0.76	-1
LV	0.63	0.53	0.41	0.06	0.94	0.35	-1
WAS	0.06	0.35	0.29	0.71	-0.18	0.65	-1
DET	0.44	0.24	-0.47	0	-0.53	-0.24	-0.80
SF	0.44	0.06	-0.76	-0.59	0.41	0.35	-0.80
BAL	-0.25	0.59	-0.24	-0.71	-0.35	0.12	-0.60
CIN	0.38	-0.12	-0.44	-0.59	-0.35	0.24	-0.60
GB	-0.56	-0.88	-0.24	-0.12	-0.76	-0.06	-0.60
HOU	0.44	-0.24	0	-0.59	-0.59	-1.06	-0.60
NYJ	0	0.76	0.41	0.12	0.06	1	-0.60
ARI	0	-0.76	0.24	0	0.18	0	-0.40
DEN	0.94	-0.18	-0.12	-0.35	-0.29	0.06	-0.40
PIT	-0.69	-0.18	-0.41	-0.71	-1.06	-0.76	-0.40
SEA	-0.25	-0.29	-0.24	-0.24	0.06	0.06	-0.40
NYG	-0.06	0.47	-0.35	-0.82	0.41	0.06	-0.20
CLE	-0.31	0.18	0	0.47	1.18	0.35	0
DAL	0.25	-0.88	-0.71	-0.65	0.24	0.53	0.40
PHI	0.63	0	-0.53	0.59	-0.82	-0.53	0.40
TB	-0.56	-0.59	0	-0.47	0.29	-0.41	0.40
LAR	0	-0.18	0.06	0.12	-0.35	-0.59	0.60
TEN	-0.69	0.12	0	0.18	0.88	0.29	0.60
BUF	-0.38	-0.53	-0.06	-0.18	-1.41	-0.12	0.80
CHI	0.19	0.65	0	-0.24	-0.59	-1.35	0.80
LAC	-0.25	0	-0.35	-0.06	-0.76	-0.24	0.80
MIA	-0.56	-0.29	0.41	-0.12	0.18	0.18	0.80
ATL	-0.19	0.35	0.12	0.71	0.24	-0.41	1
NE	-0.19	-0.47	-0.47	0.65	0.65	-0.18	1
NO	-0.63	-0.47	0.59	-0.76	0	0.18	1
IND	-0.63	-1	0.71	-0.35	0.24	-0.06	1.20

Turnovers (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Seahawks (-0.94), 2019 Patriots (-1.44).

The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at -1.44; the worst 49ers 2018 at 1.44.

The league average has fallen from -0.06 in 2018 to -0.08 in 2019.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_turnovers
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.