NET: Turnovers (Off − Def)
What Turnovers (Off − Def) is
Turnovers given away minus turnovers taken — turnover margin, from the team's point of view. Lower is better; it is one of the biggest single swings in a game's result, and one of the least repeatable.
Lower is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
Through Week 8 of 2026, the Jaguars lead at -1; the league average is -0.09.
League snapshot — 2026
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX | -1 | 7 |
| 2 | MIN | -1 | 7 |
| 3 | WAS | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | LV | -0.88 | 8 |
| 5 | KC | -0.86 | 7 |
| 6 | DEN | -0.63 | 8 |
| 7 | GB | -0.63 | 8 |
| 8 | PIT | -0.63 | 8 |
| 9 | TB | -0.50 | 8 |
| 10 | CAR | -0.43 | 7 |
| 11 | DET | -0.43 | 7 |
| 12 | HOU | -0.43 | 7 |
| 13 | CIN | -0.29 | 7 |
| 14 | NYJ | -0.25 | 8 |
| 15 | TEN | -0.13 | 8 |
| 16 | ARI | 0 | 8 |
| 17 | BAL | 0 | 8 |
| 18 | CLE | 0 | 8 |
| 19 | DAL | 0 | 8 |
| 20 | CHI | 0.14 | 7 |
| 21 | NYG | 0.14 | 7 |
| 22 | SEA | 0.14 | 7 |
| 23 | SF | 0.14 | 7 |
| 24 | BUF | 0.29 | 7 |
| 25 | MIA | 0.43 | 7 |
| 26 | NO | 0.43 | 7 |
| 27 | LAR | 0.50 | 8 |
| 28 | PHI | 0.50 | 8 |
| 29 | ATL | 0.63 | 8 |
| 30 | LAC | 0.71 | 7 |
| 31 | NE | 0.88 | 8 |
| 32 | IND | 1.38 | 8 |
At a glance — 2026
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2026
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JAX | -1 | -0.91 | 100% |
| 2 | MIN | -1 | -0.91 | 96.8% |
| 3 | WAS | -1 | -0.91 | 93.5% |
| 4 | LV | -0.88 | -0.79 | 90.3% |
| 5 | KC | -0.86 | -0.77 | 87.1% |
| 6 | DEN | -0.63 | -0.54 | 83.9% |
| 7 | GB | -0.63 | -0.54 | 80.6% |
| 8 | PIT | -0.63 | -0.54 | 77.4% |
| 9 | TB | -0.50 | -0.41 | 74.2% |
| 10 | CAR | -0.43 | -0.34 | 71% |
| 11 | DET | -0.43 | -0.34 | 67.7% |
| 12 | HOU | -0.43 | -0.34 | 64.5% |
| 13 | CIN | -0.29 | -0.20 | 61.3% |
| 14 | NYJ | -0.25 | -0.16 | 58.1% |
| 15 | TEN | -0.13 | -0.04 | 54.8% |
| 16 | ARI | 0 | 0.09 | 51.6% |
| 17 | BAL | 0 | 0.09 | 48.4% |
| 18 | CLE | 0 | 0.09 | 45.2% |
| 19 | DAL | 0 | 0.09 | 41.9% |
| 20 | CHI | 0.14 | 0.23 | 38.7% |
| 21 | NYG | 0.14 | 0.23 | 35.5% |
| 22 | SEA | 0.14 | 0.23 | 32.3% |
| 23 | SF | 0.14 | 0.23 | 29% |
| 24 | BUF | 0.29 | 0.37 | 25.8% |
| 25 | MIA | 0.43 | 0.51 | 22.6% |
| 26 | NO | 0.43 | 0.51 | 19.4% |
| 27 | LAR | 0.50 | 0.59 | 16.1% |
| 28 | PHI | 0.50 | 0.59 | 12.9% |
| 29 | ATL | 0.63 | 0.71 | 9.7% |
| 30 | LAC | 0.71 | 0.80 | 6.5% |
| 31 | NE | 0.88 | 0.96 | 3.2% |
| 32 | IND | 1.38 | 1.46 | 0% |
Does Turnovers (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 872–706–37 ATS (55.3%) across 2020–2025, #67 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (156–108, 59.1%); its worst 2023 (128–130, 49.6%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 148–106–2 | 58.3% |
| 2021 | 272 | 153–117–2 | 56.7% |
| 2022 | 271 | 156–108–7 | 59.1% |
| 2023 | 272 | 128–130–14 | 49.6% |
| 2024 | 272 | 144–119–9 | 54.8% |
| 2025 | 272 | 143–126–3 | 53.2% |
Turnovers (Off − Def) in 2026 vs 2025
Jaguars lead at -1 — they ranked #3 last year. Colts are last at 1.38 — #14 last year.
The league average is -0.09, down 0.03 from -0.06 last year.
Biggest riser: Commanders, #31 → #3. Biggest faller: Rams, #5 → #27.
Spread between first and last: 2.38; 21 teams are within 0.59 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2026 vs 2025
| Rank | Team | 2026 | 2025 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 0.14 | -1.35 | +1.50 |
| 2 | IND | 1.38 | -0.06 | +1.43 |
| 3 | LAR | 0.50 | -0.59 | +1.09 |
| 4 | NE | 0.88 | -0.18 | +1.05 |
| 5 | ATL | 0.63 | -0.41 | +1.04 |
| 6 | PHI | 0.50 | -0.53 | +1.03 |
| 7 | LAC | 0.71 | -0.24 | +0.95 |
| 8 | HOU | -0.43 | -1.06 | +0.63 |
| 9 | BUF | 0.29 | -0.12 | +0.40 |
| 10 | MIA | 0.43 | 0.18 | +0.25 |
| 11 | NO | 0.43 | 0.18 | +0.25 |
| 12 | PIT | -0.63 | -0.76 | +0.14 |
| 13 | NYG | 0.14 | 0.06 | +0.08 |
| 14 | SEA | 0.14 | 0.06 | +0.08 |
| 15 | ARI | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | TB | -0.50 | -0.41 | −0.09 |
| 17 | BAL | 0 | 0.12 | −0.12 |
| 18 | DET | -0.43 | -0.24 | −0.19 |
| 19 | SF | 0.14 | 0.35 | −0.21 |
| 20 | JAX | -1 | -0.76 | −0.24 |
| 21 | CLE | 0 | 0.35 | −0.35 |
| 22 | TEN | -0.13 | 0.29 | −0.42 |
| 23 | CAR | -0.43 | 0 | −0.43 |
| 24 | CIN | -0.29 | 0.24 | −0.52 |
| 25 | DAL | 0 | 0.53 | −0.53 |
| 26 | GB | -0.63 | -0.06 | −0.57 |
| 27 | DEN | -0.63 | 0.06 | −0.68 |
| 28 | KC | -0.86 | 0.06 | −0.92 |
| 29 | LV | -0.88 | 0.35 | −1.23 |
| 30 | NYJ | -0.25 | 1 | −1.25 |
| 31 | MIN | -1 | 0.35 | −1.35 |
| 32 | WAS | -1 | 0.65 | −1.65 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | -0.63 | −0.06 | -0.69 | -0.18 | -0.41 | -0.71 | -1.06 | -0.76 | -0.63 |
| 2 | GB | -0.46 | +0.03 | -0.56 | -0.88 | -0.24 | -0.12 | -0.76 | -0.06 | -0.63 |
| 3 | HOU | -0.35 | −0.17 | 0.44 | -0.24 | 0 | -0.59 | -0.59 | -1.06 | -0.43 |
| 4 | BUF | -0.34 | +0.05 | -0.38 | -0.53 | -0.06 | -0.18 | -1.41 | -0.12 | 0.29 |
| 5 | TB | -0.32 | +0.03 | -0.56 | -0.59 | 0 | -0.47 | 0.29 | -0.41 | -0.50 |
| 6 | MIN | -0.23 | −0.06 | 0 | -0.65 | -0.18 | 0.65 | -0.76 | 0.35 | -1 |
| 7 | KC | -0.22 | −0.02 | -0.44 | -0.35 | -0.12 | 0.53 | -0.35 | 0.06 | -0.86 |
| 8 | DAL | -0.17 | +0.11 | 0.25 | -0.88 | -0.71 | -0.65 | 0.24 | 0.53 | 0 |
| 9 | CHI | -0.17 | −0.17 | 0.19 | 0.65 | 0 | -0.24 | -0.59 | -1.35 | 0.14 |
| 10 | CIN | -0.17 | −0.04 | 0.38 | -0.12 | -0.44 | -0.59 | -0.35 | 0.24 | -0.29 |
| 11 | DET | -0.14 | −0.13 | 0.44 | 0.24 | -0.47 | 0 | -0.53 | -0.24 | -0.43 |
| 12 | LAC | -0.14 | +0.07 | -0.25 | 0 | -0.35 | -0.06 | -0.76 | -0.24 | 0.71 |
| 13 | BAL | -0.12 | −0.01 | -0.25 | 0.59 | -0.24 | -0.71 | -0.35 | 0.12 | 0 |
| 14 | SEA | -0.11 | +0.08 | -0.25 | -0.29 | -0.24 | -0.24 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| 15 | NO | -0.10 | +0.14 | -0.63 | -0.47 | 0.59 | -0.76 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
| 16 | DEN | -0.08 | −0.16 | 0.94 | -0.18 | -0.12 | -0.35 | -0.29 | 0.06 | -0.63 |
| 17 | LAR | -0.06 | +0.01 | 0 | -0.18 | 0.06 | 0.12 | -0.35 | -0.59 | 0.50 |
| 18 | ARI | -0.05 | +0.05 | 0 | -0.76 | 0.24 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | PHI | -0.02 | −0.06 | 0.63 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.59 | -0.82 | -0.53 | 0.50 |
| 20 | NYG | -0.02 | +0.02 | -0.06 | 0.47 | -0.35 | -0.82 | 0.41 | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| 21 | SF | 0.01 | +0.03 | 0.44 | 0.06 | -0.76 | -0.59 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.14 |
| 22 | MIA | 0.03 | +0.13 | -0.56 | -0.29 | 0.41 | -0.12 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
| 23 | IND | 0.04 | +0.26 | -0.63 | -1 | 0.71 | -0.35 | 0.24 | -0.06 | 1.38 |
| 24 | JAX | 0.05 | −0.25 | 0.44 | 1.12 | -0.29 | 0.06 | 0.82 | -0.76 | -1 |
| 25 | TEN | 0.09 | +0.10 | -0.69 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.88 | 0.29 | -0.13 |
| 26 | NE | 0.12 | +0.17 | -0.19 | -0.47 | -0.47 | 0.65 | 0.65 | -0.18 | 0.88 |
| 27 | WAS | 0.13 | −0.11 | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 0.71 | -0.18 | 0.65 | -1 |
| 28 | CAR | 0.17 | −0.09 | -0.06 | 0.76 | 0.06 | 0.53 | 0.29 | 0 | -0.43 |
| 29 | ATL | 0.21 | +0.04 | -0.19 | 0.35 | 0.12 | 0.71 | 0.24 | -0.41 | 0.63 |
| 30 | CLE | 0.27 | +0.09 | -0.31 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.47 | 1.18 | 0.35 | 0 |
| 31 | LV | 0.29 | −0.15 | 0.63 | 0.53 | 0.41 | 0.06 | 0.94 | 0.35 | -0.88 |
| 32 | NYJ | 0.30 | −0.02 | 0 | 0.76 | 0.41 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 1 | -0.25 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 0.44 | 1.12 | -0.29 | 0.06 | 0.82 | -0.76 | -1 |
| MIN | 0 | -0.65 | -0.18 | 0.65 | -0.76 | 0.35 | -1 |
| WAS | 0.06 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 0.71 | -0.18 | 0.65 | -1 |
| LV | 0.63 | 0.53 | 0.41 | 0.06 | 0.94 | 0.35 | -0.88 |
| KC | -0.44 | -0.35 | -0.12 | 0.53 | -0.35 | 0.06 | -0.86 |
| DEN | 0.94 | -0.18 | -0.12 | -0.35 | -0.29 | 0.06 | -0.63 |
| GB | -0.56 | -0.88 | -0.24 | -0.12 | -0.76 | -0.06 | -0.63 |
| PIT | -0.69 | -0.18 | -0.41 | -0.71 | -1.06 | -0.76 | -0.63 |
| TB | -0.56 | -0.59 | 0 | -0.47 | 0.29 | -0.41 | -0.50 |
| CAR | -0.06 | 0.76 | 0.06 | 0.53 | 0.29 | 0 | -0.43 |
| DET | 0.44 | 0.24 | -0.47 | 0 | -0.53 | -0.24 | -0.43 |
| HOU | 0.44 | -0.24 | 0 | -0.59 | -0.59 | -1.06 | -0.43 |
| CIN | 0.38 | -0.12 | -0.44 | -0.59 | -0.35 | 0.24 | -0.29 |
| NYJ | 0 | 0.76 | 0.41 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 1 | -0.25 |
| TEN | -0.69 | 0.12 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.88 | 0.29 | -0.13 |
| ARI | 0 | -0.76 | 0.24 | 0 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| BAL | -0.25 | 0.59 | -0.24 | -0.71 | -0.35 | 0.12 | 0 |
| CLE | -0.31 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.47 | 1.18 | 0.35 | 0 |
| DAL | 0.25 | -0.88 | -0.71 | -0.65 | 0.24 | 0.53 | 0 |
| CHI | 0.19 | 0.65 | 0 | -0.24 | -0.59 | -1.35 | 0.14 |
| NYG | -0.06 | 0.47 | -0.35 | -0.82 | 0.41 | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| SF | 0.44 | 0.06 | -0.76 | -0.59 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.14 |
| SEA | -0.25 | -0.29 | -0.24 | -0.24 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.14 |
| BUF | -0.38 | -0.53 | -0.06 | -0.18 | -1.41 | -0.12 | 0.29 |
| MIA | -0.56 | -0.29 | 0.41 | -0.12 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
| NO | -0.63 | -0.47 | 0.59 | -0.76 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.43 |
| LAR | 0 | -0.18 | 0.06 | 0.12 | -0.35 | -0.59 | 0.50 |
| PHI | 0.63 | 0 | -0.53 | 0.59 | -0.82 | -0.53 | 0.50 |
| ATL | -0.19 | 0.35 | 0.12 | 0.71 | 0.24 | -0.41 | 0.63 |
| LAC | -0.25 | 0 | -0.35 | -0.06 | -0.76 | -0.24 | 0.71 |
| NE | -0.19 | -0.47 | -0.47 | 0.65 | 0.65 | -0.18 | 0.88 |
| IND | -0.63 | -1 | 0.71 | -0.35 | 0.24 | -0.06 | 1.38 |
Turnovers (Off − Def) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Seahawks (-0.94), 2019 Patriots (-1.44), 2020 Steelers (-0.69), 2021 Colts (-1), 2022 49ers (-0.76), 2023 Giants (-0.82), 2024 Bills (-1.41), 2025 Bears (-1.35), 2026 Jaguars (-1).
The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at -1.44; the worst 49ers 2018 at 1.44.
The league average has fallen from -0.06 in 2018 to -0.09 in 2026.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_turnovers
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.