NET: Turnover pct (Off − Def)
Minnesota Vikings — NET: Turnover pct (Off − Def), 2026
- Value-10.71
- Rank#1 of 32
- League average0.08
- Rank in 2025#26 of 32
What Turnover pct (Off − Def) is
Share of the offense's drives that ended in a turnover, minus the share of opponent drives this defense ended with one. Lower is better.
Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
Through Week 6 of 2026, the Vikings lead at -10.71; the league average is 0.08.
League snapshot — 2026
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | -10.71 | 5 |
| 2 | JAX | -10.54 | 5 |
| 3 | KC | -9.41 | 4 |
| 4 | LV | -8.77 | 5 |
| 5 | DET | -7.37 | 5 |
| 6 | BAL | -7.37 | 5 |
| 7 | WAS | -6.78 | 5 |
| 8 | HOU | -5.62 | 5 |
| 9 | CIN | -5.06 | 5 |
| 10 | GB | -4.99 | 5 |
| 11 | ARI | -4.03 | 5 |
| 12 | SEA | -3.82 | 5 |
| 13 | NYJ | -3.77 | 5 |
| 14 | SF | -3.70 | 5 |
| 15 | CAR | -3.30 | 4 |
| 16 | PIT | -2.01 | 5 |
| 17 | DEN | -0.96 | 5 |
| 18 | CLE | -0.53 | 5 |
| 19 | NYG | 2.13 | 5 |
| 20 | LAR | 3.13 | 5 |
| 21 | PHI | 4.08 | 5 |
| 22 | DAL | 4.70 | 5 |
| 23 | TB | 5.71 | 5 |
| 24 | TEN | 6.36 | 5 |
| 25 | ATL | 7.02 | 5 |
| 26 | LAC | 7.10 | 5 |
| 27 | BUF | 7.41 | 5 |
| 28 | MIA | 8.69 | 5 |
| 29 | CHI | 8.90 | 5 |
| 30 | IND | 10.97 | 5 |
| 31 | NE | 11.53 | 5 |
| 32 | NO | 13.74 | 5 |
At a glance — 2026
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2026
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | -10.71 | -10.80 | 100% |
| 2 | JAX | -10.54 | -10.63 | 96.8% |
| 3 | KC | -9.41 | -9.49 | 93.5% |
| 4 | LV | -8.77 | -8.85 | 90.3% |
| 5 | DET | -7.37 | -7.46 | 87.1% |
| 6 | BAL | -7.37 | -7.45 | 83.9% |
| 7 | WAS | -6.78 | -6.86 | 80.6% |
| 8 | HOU | -5.62 | -5.71 | 77.4% |
| 9 | CIN | -5.06 | -5.15 | 74.2% |
| 10 | GB | -4.99 | -5.08 | 71% |
| 11 | ARI | -4.03 | -4.12 | 67.7% |
| 12 | SEA | -3.82 | -3.90 | 64.5% |
| 13 | NYJ | -3.77 | -3.86 | 61.3% |
| 14 | SF | -3.70 | -3.78 | 58.1% |
| 15 | CAR | -3.30 | -3.39 | 54.8% |
| 16 | PIT | -2.01 | -2.09 | 51.6% |
| 17 | DEN | -0.96 | -1.04 | 48.4% |
| 18 | CLE | -0.53 | -0.61 | 45.2% |
| 19 | NYG | 2.13 | 2.05 | 41.9% |
| 20 | LAR | 3.13 | 3.04 | 38.7% |
| 21 | PHI | 4.08 | 3.99 | 35.5% |
| 22 | DAL | 4.70 | 4.61 | 32.3% |
| 23 | TB | 5.71 | 5.63 | 29% |
| 24 | TEN | 6.36 | 6.27 | 25.8% |
| 25 | ATL | 7.02 | 6.93 | 22.6% |
| 26 | LAC | 7.10 | 7.01 | 19.4% |
| 27 | BUF | 7.41 | 7.32 | 16.1% |
| 28 | MIA | 8.69 | 8.60 | 12.9% |
| 29 | CHI | 8.90 | 8.82 | 9.7% |
| 30 | IND | 10.97 | 10.89 | 6.5% |
| 31 | NE | 11.53 | 11.45 | 3.2% |
| 32 | NO | 13.74 | 13.65 | 0% |
Does Turnover pct (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 879–699–37 ATS (55.7%) across 2020–2025, #48 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (155–109, 58.7%); its worst 2023 (129–129, 50.0%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 148–106–2 | 58.3% |
| 2021 | 272 | 151–119–2 | 55.9% |
| 2022 | 271 | 155–109–7 | 58.7% |
| 2023 | 272 | 129–129–14 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 272 | 153–110–9 | 58.2% |
| 2025 | 272 | 143–126–3 | 53.2% |
Turnover pct (Off − Def) in 2026 vs 2025
Vikings lead at -10.71 — they ranked #26 last year. Saints are last at 13.74 — #27 last year.
The league average is 0.08, down 0.14 from 0.22 last year.
Biggest riser: Vikings, #26 → #1. Biggest faller: Bears, #1 → #29.
Spread between first and last: 24.45; 20 teams are within 7.03 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2026 vs 2025
| Rank | Team | 2026 | 2025 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 8.90 | -11.29 | +20.19 |
| 2 | NE | 11.53 | -0.64 | +12.17 |
| 3 | IND | 10.97 | -0.20 | +11.18 |
| 4 | ATL | 7.02 | -3.40 | +10.42 |
| 5 | NO | 13.74 | 3.38 | +10.35 |
| 6 | LAR | 3.13 | -6.54 | +9.66 |
| 7 | LAC | 7.10 | -1.90 | +8.99 |
| 8 | TB | 5.71 | -2.66 | +8.37 |
| 9 | PHI | 4.08 | -3.64 | +7.72 |
| 10 | BUF | 7.41 | 0.13 | +7.28 |
| 11 | MIA | 8.69 | 2.33 | +6.36 |
| 12 | TEN | 6.36 | 1.41 | +4.95 |
| 13 | PIT | -2.01 | -4.89 | +2.88 |
| 14 | HOU | -5.62 | -6.52 | +0.90 |
| 15 | NYG | 2.13 | 1.26 | +0.87 |
| 16 | DAL | 4.70 | 6.25 | −1.56 |
| 17 | DEN | -0.96 | 1.69 | −2.65 |
| 18 | CIN | -5.06 | -2.33 | −2.74 |
| 19 | GB | -4.99 | -0.19 | −4.80 |
| 20 | JAX | -10.54 | -5.73 | −4.82 |
| 21 | DET | -7.37 | -2.03 | −5.35 |
| 22 | ARI | -4.03 | 1.79 | −5.82 |
| 23 | CAR | -3.30 | 2.62 | −5.92 |
| 24 | CLE | -0.53 | 6.03 | −6.55 |
| 25 | SEA | -3.82 | 2.78 | −6.59 |
| 26 | SF | -3.70 | 4.62 | −8.32 |
| 27 | BAL | -7.37 | 2.49 | −9.86 |
| 28 | KC | -9.41 | 0.59 | −10.00 |
| 29 | LV | -8.77 | 2.69 | −11.46 |
| 30 | NYJ | -3.77 | 9.30 | −13.07 |
| 31 | WAS | -6.78 | 6.75 | −13.53 |
| 32 | MIN | -10.71 | 2.93 | −13.64 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PIT | -4.25 | −0.14 | -4.29 | -1.72 | -3.46 | -5.45 | -7.92 | -4.89 | -2.01 |
| 2 | GB | -3.25 | +0.15 | -4.40 | -5.55 | -1.76 | 0.63 | -6.50 | -0.19 | -4.99 |
| 3 | CIN | -2.53 | −0.80 | 2.34 | -1.32 | -4.27 | -4.71 | -2.37 | -2.33 | -5.06 |
| 4 | HOU | -2.34 | −1.53 | 3.90 | -0.59 | -0.62 | -3.90 | -3.04 | -6.52 | -5.62 |
| 5 | DET | -2.22 | −1.39 | 3.01 | 1.50 | -4.28 | -1.52 | -4.87 | -2.03 | -7.37 |
| 6 | BAL | -1.51 | −0.79 | -1.30 | 4.68 | -2.52 | -4.55 | -1.98 | 2.49 | -7.37 |
| 7 | MIN | -1.38 | −0.78 | -0.14 | -4.04 | -0.82 | 7.97 | -4.86 | 2.93 | -10.71 |
| 8 | KC | -1.21 | −0.80 | -2.46 | -0.30 | 0.85 | 4.71 | -2.42 | 0.59 | -9.41 |
| 9 | BUF | -1.03 | +0.81 | -2.09 | -2.65 | 0.58 | 0.28 | -10.88 | 0.13 | 7.41 |
| 10 | TB | -0.82 | +1.49 | -5.58 | -4.69 | 0.67 | -3.67 | 4.48 | -2.66 | 5.71 |
| 11 | LAR | -0.81 | −0.07 | 1.46 | -3.54 | 0.00 | 0.85 | -1.03 | -6.54 | 3.13 |
| 12 | SEA | -0.63 | +0.31 | -1.86 | -2.48 | -1.38 | -0.21 | 2.58 | 2.78 | -3.82 |
| 13 | ARI | -0.47 | +0.10 | -0.07 | -6.49 | 3.63 | -0.06 | 1.90 | 1.79 | -4.03 |
| 14 | LAC | -0.47 | +0.39 | 0.13 | 0.49 | -1.52 | -0.98 | -6.62 | -1.90 | 7.10 |
| 15 | CHI | -0.12 | −0.70 | 2.45 | 5.82 | 0.07 | -2.16 | -4.61 | -11.29 | 8.90 |
| 16 | DEN | 0.39 | −0.54 | 7.55 | -2.52 | -1.37 | -2.17 | 0.51 | 1.69 | -0.96 |
| 17 | SF | 0.43 | −0.32 | 3.26 | 3.69 | -4.75 | -5.39 | 5.30 | 4.62 | -3.70 |
| 18 | NYG | 0.46 | +0.09 | 0.96 | 2.56 | -0.32 | -4.61 | 1.20 | 1.26 | 2.13 |
| 19 | DAL | 0.53 | +1.34 | 1.94 | -4.37 | -5.11 | -2.76 | 3.04 | 6.25 | 4.70 |
| 20 | PHI | 0.56 | −0.83 | 6.69 | 2.71 | -4.56 | 6.03 | -7.36 | -3.64 | 4.08 |
| 21 | IND | 0.87 | +2.02 | -3.96 | -7.82 | 5.50 | -0.44 | 2.03 | -0.20 | 10.97 |
| 22 | NO | 0.93 | +2.17 | -3.26 | -4.47 | 4.49 | -5.96 | -1.39 | 3.38 | 13.74 |
| 23 | JAX | 1.47 | −2.44 | 5.19 | 9.36 | 0.16 | 2.70 | 9.15 | -5.73 | -10.54 |
| 24 | WAS | 1.86 | −0.83 | 2.19 | 2.90 | 4.15 | 3.79 | 0.00 | 6.75 | -6.78 |
| 25 | MIA | 1.92 | +1.30 | -4.10 | 1.51 | 4.29 | 0.07 | 0.66 | 2.33 | 8.69 |
| 26 | TEN | 2.01 | +1.26 | -5.12 | 4.07 | -0.46 | 2.16 | 5.64 | 1.41 | 6.36 |
| 27 | CAR | 2.36 | −0.78 | 1.92 | 5.90 | 2.32 | 4.27 | 2.78 | 2.62 | -3.30 |
| 28 | NE | 2.49 | +1.89 | -1.69 | -4.06 | 0.92 | 4.17 | 7.22 | -0.64 | 11.53 |
| 29 | ATL | 2.64 | +0.50 | -1.57 | 3.49 | 2.41 | 6.09 | 4.44 | -3.40 | 7.02 |
| 30 | NYJ | 2.75 | −0.28 | -0.99 | 7.56 | 3.64 | 2.76 | 0.74 | 9.30 | -3.77 |
| 31 | LV | 3.01 | −1.57 | 5.12 | 4.60 | 5.72 | 4.44 | 7.29 | 2.69 | -8.77 |
| 32 | CLE | 3.24 | +0.67 | -2.33 | 2.95 | 2.68 | 3.93 | 9.94 | 6.03 | -0.53 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | -0.14 | -4.04 | -0.82 | 7.97 | -4.86 | 2.93 | -10.71 |
| JAX | 5.19 | 9.36 | 0.16 | 2.70 | 9.15 | -5.73 | -10.54 |
| KC | -2.46 | -0.30 | 0.85 | 4.71 | -2.42 | 0.59 | -9.41 |
| LV | 5.12 | 4.60 | 5.72 | 4.44 | 7.29 | 2.69 | -8.77 |
| DET | 3.01 | 1.50 | -4.28 | -1.52 | -4.87 | -2.03 | -7.37 |
| BAL | -1.30 | 4.68 | -2.52 | -4.55 | -1.98 | 2.49 | -7.37 |
| WAS | 2.19 | 2.90 | 4.15 | 3.79 | 0.00 | 6.75 | -6.78 |
| HOU | 3.90 | -0.59 | -0.62 | -3.90 | -3.04 | -6.52 | -5.62 |
| CIN | 2.34 | -1.32 | -4.27 | -4.71 | -2.37 | -2.33 | -5.06 |
| GB | -4.40 | -5.55 | -1.76 | 0.63 | -6.50 | -0.19 | -4.99 |
| ARI | -0.07 | -6.49 | 3.63 | -0.06 | 1.90 | 1.79 | -4.03 |
| SEA | -1.86 | -2.48 | -1.38 | -0.21 | 2.58 | 2.78 | -3.82 |
| NYJ | -0.99 | 7.56 | 3.64 | 2.76 | 0.74 | 9.30 | -3.77 |
| SF | 3.26 | 3.69 | -4.75 | -5.39 | 5.30 | 4.62 | -3.70 |
| CAR | 1.92 | 5.90 | 2.32 | 4.27 | 2.78 | 2.62 | -3.30 |
| PIT | -4.29 | -1.72 | -3.46 | -5.45 | -7.92 | -4.89 | -2.01 |
| DEN | 7.55 | -2.52 | -1.37 | -2.17 | 0.51 | 1.69 | -0.96 |
| CLE | -2.33 | 2.95 | 2.68 | 3.93 | 9.94 | 6.03 | -0.53 |
| NYG | 0.96 | 2.56 | -0.32 | -4.61 | 1.20 | 1.26 | 2.13 |
| LAR | 1.46 | -3.54 | 0.00 | 0.85 | -1.03 | -6.54 | 3.13 |
| PHI | 6.69 | 2.71 | -4.56 | 6.03 | -7.36 | -3.64 | 4.08 |
| DAL | 1.94 | -4.37 | -5.11 | -2.76 | 3.04 | 6.25 | 4.70 |
| TB | -5.58 | -4.69 | 0.67 | -3.67 | 4.48 | -2.66 | 5.71 |
| TEN | -5.12 | 4.07 | -0.46 | 2.16 | 5.64 | 1.41 | 6.36 |
| ATL | -1.57 | 3.49 | 2.41 | 6.09 | 4.44 | -3.40 | 7.02 |
| LAC | 0.13 | 0.49 | -1.52 | -0.98 | -6.62 | -1.90 | 7.10 |
| BUF | -2.09 | -2.65 | 0.58 | 0.28 | -10.88 | 0.13 | 7.41 |
| MIA | -4.10 | 1.51 | 4.29 | 0.07 | 0.66 | 2.33 | 8.69 |
| CHI | 2.45 | 5.82 | 0.07 | -2.16 | -4.61 | -11.29 | 8.90 |
| IND | -3.96 | -7.82 | 5.50 | -0.44 | 2.03 | -0.20 | 10.97 |
| NE | -1.69 | -4.06 | 0.92 | 4.17 | 7.22 | -0.64 | 11.53 |
| NO | -3.26 | -4.47 | 4.49 | -5.96 | -1.39 | 3.38 | 13.74 |
Turnover pct (Off − Def) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Seahawks (-7.10), 2019 Patriots (-8.70), 2020 Buccaneers (-5.58), 2021 Colts (-7.82), 2022 Cowboys (-5.11), 2023 Saints (-5.96), 2024 Bills (-10.88), 2025 Bears (-11.29), 2026 Vikings (-10.71).
The best season on record is Bears 2025 at -11.29; the worst Saints 2026 at 13.74.
The league average has fallen from 0.16 in 2018 to 0.08 in 2026.
Week to week — Week 4 to Week 5
Since Week 4: Packers up 14 (#24 → #10), Rams up 8 (#28 → #20), Bengals up 7 (#16 → #9); Bears down 12 (#17 → #29), Cardinals down 6 (#5 → #11), Bills down 5 (#22 → #27).
12 teams moved by two places or fewer.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_turnover_pct
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.