What Turnover pct (Off − Def) is

Share of the offense's drives that ended in a turnover, minus the share of opponent drives this defense ended with one. Lower is better.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 7 of 2026, the Vikings lead at -10.71; the league average is -0.05.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

MIN · -10.71

League average

-0.05

Best to worst

22.93

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	MIN	-10.71	5
2	KC	-9.09	5
3	JAX	-8.74	6
4	WAS	-7.42	6
5	DET	-7.37	5
6	LV	-6.01	6
7	GB	-5.73	6
8	DEN	-5.40	6
9	CIN	-5.06	5
10	NYJ	-4.69	6
11	BAL	-4.64	6
12	HOU	-4.62	6
13	ARI	-3.22	6
14	PIT	-3.17	6
15	CAR	-2.94	5
16	CLE	-1.84	6
17	SF	-1.34	6
18	SEA	1.15	6
19	TEN	2.34	6
20	LAR	2.66	6
21	PHI	3.40	6
22	NYG	4.51	6
23	BUF	4.69	6
24	DAL	5.71	6
25	ATL	6.08	6
26	TB	6.16	6
27	CHI	6.80	6
28	LAC	7.12	6
29	NO	7.80	6
30	MIA	8.69	5
31	NE	11.11	6
32	IND	12.21	6

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

MIN · -10.71

League laggard

IND · 12.21

League average

-0.05

Spread (max − min)

22.93

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	MIN	-10.71	-10.67	100%
2	KC	-9.09	-9.04	96.8%
3	JAX	-8.74	-8.69	93.5%
4	WAS	-7.42	-7.37	90.3%
5	DET	-7.37	-7.32	87.1%
6	LV	-6.01	-5.96	83.9%
7	GB	-5.73	-5.68	80.6%
8	DEN	-5.40	-5.35	77.4%
9	CIN	-5.06	-5.01	74.2%
10	NYJ	-4.69	-4.64	71%
11	BAL	-4.64	-4.59	67.7%
12	HOU	-4.62	-4.57	64.5%
13	ARI	-3.22	-3.17	61.3%
14	PIT	-3.17	-3.13	58.1%
15	CAR	-2.94	-2.89	54.8%
16	CLE	-1.84	-1.79	51.6%
17	SF	-1.34	-1.30	48.4%
18	SEA	1.15	1.20	45.2%
19	TEN	2.34	2.39	41.9%
20	LAR	2.66	2.71	38.7%
21	PHI	3.40	3.45	35.5%
22	NYG	4.51	4.56	32.3%
23	BUF	4.69	4.74	29%
24	DAL	5.71	5.76	25.8%
25	ATL	6.08	6.13	22.6%
26	TB	6.16	6.21	19.4%
27	CHI	6.80	6.85	16.1%
28	LAC	7.12	7.16	12.9%
29	NO	7.80	7.85	9.7%
30	MIA	8.69	8.74	6.5%
31	NE	11.11	11.15	3.2%
32	IND	12.21	12.26	0%

Does Turnover pct (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 879–699–37 ATS (55.7%) across 2020–2025, #48 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (155–109, 58.7%); its worst 2023 (129–129, 50.0%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	148–106–2	58.3%
2021	272	151–119–2	55.9%
2022	271	155–109–7	58.7%
2023	272	129–129–14	50.0%
2024	272	153–110–9	58.2%
2025	272	143–126–3	53.2%

Turnover pct (Off − Def) in 2026 vs 2025

Vikings lead at -10.71 — they ranked #26 last year. Colts are last at 12.21 — #13 last year.

The league average is -0.05, down 0.27 from 0.22 last year.

Biggest riser: Commanders, #31 → #4. Biggest faller: Bears, #1 → #27.

Spread between first and last: 22.93; 21 teams are within 6.34 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

CHI · +18.09

Biggest faller

WAS · −14.17

Most consistent

DAL · −0.54

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▼ -0.27

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	CHI	6.80	-11.29	+18.09
2	IND	12.21	-0.20	+12.42
3	NE	11.11	-0.64	+11.75
4	ATL	6.08	-3.40	+9.49
5	LAR	2.66	-6.54	+9.20
6	LAC	7.12	-1.90	+9.01
7	TB	6.16	-2.66	+8.82
8	PHI	3.40	-3.64	+7.04
9	MIA	8.69	2.33	+6.36
10	BUF	4.69	0.13	+4.56
11	NO	7.80	3.38	+4.42
12	NYG	4.51	1.26	+3.25
13	HOU	-4.62	-6.52	+1.91
14	PIT	-3.17	-4.89	+1.71
15	TEN	2.34	1.41	+0.94
16	DAL	5.71	6.25	−0.54
17	SEA	1.15	2.78	−1.63
18	CIN	-5.06	-2.33	−2.74
19	JAX	-8.74	-5.73	−3.01
20	ARI	-3.22	1.79	−5.00
21	DET	-7.37	-2.03	−5.35
22	GB	-5.73	-0.19	−5.54
23	CAR	-2.94	2.62	−5.56
24	SF	-1.34	4.62	−5.97
25	DEN	-5.40	1.69	−7.10
26	BAL	-4.64	2.49	−7.13
27	CLE	-1.84	6.03	−7.87
28	LV	-6.01	2.69	−8.70
29	KC	-9.09	0.59	−9.68
30	MIN	-10.71	2.93	−13.64
31	NYJ	-4.69	9.30	−13.99
32	WAS	-7.42	6.75	−14.17

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

PIT · -4.41

Multi-year laggard

LV · 3.41

Biggest improver

JAX · −2.25/yr

Biggest decliner

IND · +2.15/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	PIT	-4.41	−0.27	-4.29	-1.72	-3.46	-5.45	-7.92	-4.89	-3.17
2	GB	-3.36	+0.07	-4.40	-5.55	-1.76	0.63	-6.50	-0.19	-5.73
3	CIN	-2.53	−0.80	2.34	-1.32	-4.27	-4.71	-2.37	-2.33	-5.06
4	DET	-2.22	−1.39	3.01	1.50	-4.28	-1.52	-4.87	-2.03	-7.37
5	HOU	-2.20	−1.42	3.90	-0.59	-0.62	-3.90	-3.04	-6.52	-4.62
6	BUF	-1.42	+0.52	-2.09	-2.65	0.58	0.28	-10.88	0.13	4.69
7	MIN	-1.38	−0.78	-0.14	-4.04	-0.82	7.97	-4.86	2.93	-10.71
8	KC	-1.16	−0.76	-2.46	-0.30	0.85	4.71	-2.42	0.59	-9.09
9	BAL	-1.12	−0.49	-1.30	4.68	-2.52	-4.55	-1.98	2.49	-4.64
10	LAR	-0.88	−0.12	1.46	-3.54	0.00	0.85	-1.03	-6.54	2.66
11	TB	-0.76	+1.54	-5.58	-4.69	0.67	-3.67	4.48	-2.66	6.16
12	LAC	-0.47	+0.40	0.13	0.49	-1.52	-0.98	-6.62	-1.90	7.12
13	CHI	-0.42	−0.92	2.45	5.82	0.07	-2.16	-4.61	-11.29	6.80
14	ARI	-0.36	+0.19	-0.07	-6.49	3.63	-0.06	1.90	1.79	-3.22
15	DEN	-0.25	−1.02	7.55	-2.52	-1.37	-2.17	0.51	1.69	-5.40
16	SEA	0.08	+0.84	-1.86	-2.48	-1.38	-0.21	2.58	2.78	1.15
17	NO	0.08	+1.54	-3.26	-4.47	4.49	-5.96	-1.39	3.38	7.80
18	PHI	0.47	−0.91	6.69	2.71	-4.56	6.03	-7.36	-3.64	3.40
19	DAL	0.67	+1.45	1.94	-4.37	-5.11	-2.76	3.04	6.25	5.71
20	SF	0.77	−0.07	3.26	3.69	-4.75	-5.39	5.30	4.62	-1.34
21	NYG	0.80	+0.34	0.96	2.56	-0.32	-4.61	1.20	1.26	4.51
22	IND	1.05	+2.15	-3.96	-7.82	5.50	-0.44	2.03	-0.20	12.21
23	TEN	1.43	+0.83	-5.12	4.07	-0.46	2.16	5.64	1.41	2.34
24	JAX	1.73	−2.25	5.19	9.36	0.16	2.70	9.15	-5.73	-8.74
25	WAS	1.77	−0.90	2.19	2.90	4.15	3.79	0.00	6.75	-7.42
26	MIA	1.92	+1.30	-4.10	1.51	4.29	0.07	0.66	2.33	8.69
27	CAR	2.41	−0.74	1.92	5.90	2.32	4.27	2.78	2.62	-2.94
28	NE	2.43	+1.84	-1.69	-4.06	0.92	4.17	7.22	-0.64	11.11
29	ATL	2.51	+0.40	-1.57	3.49	2.41	6.09	4.44	-3.40	6.08
30	NYJ	2.62	−0.38	-0.99	7.56	3.64	2.76	0.74	9.30	-4.69
31	CLE	3.05	+0.53	-2.33	2.95	2.68	3.93	9.94	6.03	-1.84
32	LV	3.41	−1.27	5.12	4.60	5.72	4.44	7.29	2.69	-6.01

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
MIN	-0.14	-4.04	-0.82	7.97	-4.86	2.93	-10.71
KC	-2.46	-0.30	0.85	4.71	-2.42	0.59	-9.09
JAX	5.19	9.36	0.16	2.70	9.15	-5.73	-8.74
WAS	2.19	2.90	4.15	3.79	0.00	6.75	-7.42
DET	3.01	1.50	-4.28	-1.52	-4.87	-2.03	-7.37
LV	5.12	4.60	5.72	4.44	7.29	2.69	-6.01
GB	-4.40	-5.55	-1.76	0.63	-6.50	-0.19	-5.73
DEN	7.55	-2.52	-1.37	-2.17	0.51	1.69	-5.40
CIN	2.34	-1.32	-4.27	-4.71	-2.37	-2.33	-5.06
NYJ	-0.99	7.56	3.64	2.76	0.74	9.30	-4.69
BAL	-1.30	4.68	-2.52	-4.55	-1.98	2.49	-4.64
HOU	3.90	-0.59	-0.62	-3.90	-3.04	-6.52	-4.62
ARI	-0.07	-6.49	3.63	-0.06	1.90	1.79	-3.22
PIT	-4.29	-1.72	-3.46	-5.45	-7.92	-4.89	-3.17
CAR	1.92	5.90	2.32	4.27	2.78	2.62	-2.94
CLE	-2.33	2.95	2.68	3.93	9.94	6.03	-1.84
SF	3.26	3.69	-4.75	-5.39	5.30	4.62	-1.34
SEA	-1.86	-2.48	-1.38	-0.21	2.58	2.78	1.15
TEN	-5.12	4.07	-0.46	2.16	5.64	1.41	2.34
LAR	1.46	-3.54	0.00	0.85	-1.03	-6.54	2.66
PHI	6.69	2.71	-4.56	6.03	-7.36	-3.64	3.40
NYG	0.96	2.56	-0.32	-4.61	1.20	1.26	4.51
BUF	-2.09	-2.65	0.58	0.28	-10.88	0.13	4.69
DAL	1.94	-4.37	-5.11	-2.76	3.04	6.25	5.71
ATL	-1.57	3.49	2.41	6.09	4.44	-3.40	6.08
TB	-5.58	-4.69	0.67	-3.67	4.48	-2.66	6.16
CHI	2.45	5.82	0.07	-2.16	-4.61	-11.29	6.80
LAC	0.13	0.49	-1.52	-0.98	-6.62	-1.90	7.12
NO	-3.26	-4.47	4.49	-5.96	-1.39	3.38	7.80
MIA	-4.10	1.51	4.29	0.07	0.66	2.33	8.69
NE	-1.69	-4.06	0.92	4.17	7.22	-0.64	11.11
IND	-3.96	-7.82	5.50	-0.44	2.03	-0.20	12.21

Turnover pct (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Seahawks (-7.10), 2019 Patriots (-8.70), 2020 Buccaneers (-5.58), 2021 Colts (-7.82), 2022 Cowboys (-5.11), 2023 Saints (-5.96), 2024 Bills (-10.88), 2025 Bears (-11.29), 2026 Vikings (-10.71).

The best season on record is Bears 2025 at -11.29; the worst Colts 2026 at 12.21.

The league average has fallen from 0.16 in 2018 to -0.05 in 2026.

Week to week — Week 5 to Week 6

Since Week 5: Broncos up 9 (#17 → #8), Titans up 5 (#24 → #19), Bills up 4 (#27 → #23); Seahawks down 6 (#12 → #18), Ravens down 5 (#6 → #11), Texans down 4 (#8 → #12).

19 teams moved by two places or fewer.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_turnover_pct
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.