What Third down success (Off − Def) is

Third downs converted minus third downs opponents converted against this defense.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2019 the Patriots led at 2.50; the league average was 0.

League snapshot — 2019

League leader

NE · 2.50

League average

Best to worst

6.31

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	NE	2.50	16
2	PHI	2.06	16
3	DAL	1.69	16
4	SF	1.56	16
5	BAL	1	16
6	TB	0.94	16
7	ATL	0.75	16
8	KC	0.75	16
9	SEA	0.50	16
10	LV	0.44	16
11	NO	0.31	16
12	IND	0.25	16
13	CHI	0.13	16
14	BUF	0	16
15	GB	0	16
16	MIN	0	16
17	LAR	-0.19	16
18	DET	-0.25	16
19	JAX	-0.25	16
20	LAC	-0.25	16
21	TEN	-0.25	16
22	NYG	-0.31	16
23	CLE	-0.44	16
24	PIT	-0.50	16
25	CAR	-0.56	16
26	MIA	-0.56	16
27	CIN	-0.63	16
28	DEN	-0.88	16
29	HOU	-0.94	16
30	NYJ	-1.19	16
31	ARI	-1.88	16
32	WAS	-3.81	16

At a glance — 2019

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

NE · 2.50

League laggard

WAS · -3.81

League average

Spread (max − min)

6.31

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	NE	2.50	2.50	100%
2	PHI	2.06	2.06	96.8%
3	DAL	1.69	1.69	93.5%
4	SF	1.56	1.56	90.3%
5	BAL	1	1	87.1%
6	TB	0.94	0.94	83.9%
7	ATL	0.75	0.75	80.6%
8	KC	0.75	0.75	77.4%
9	SEA	0.50	0.50	74.2%
10	LV	0.44	0.44	71%
11	NO	0.31	0.31	67.7%
12	IND	0.25	0.25	64.5%
13	CHI	0.13	0.13	61.3%
14	BUF	0	0	58.1%
15	GB	0	0	54.8%
16	MIN	0	0	51.6%
17	LAR	-0.19	-0.19	48.4%
18	DET	-0.25	-0.25	45.2%
19	JAX	-0.25	-0.25	41.9%
20	LAC	-0.25	-0.25	38.7%
21	TEN	-0.25	-0.25	35.5%
22	NYG	-0.31	-0.31	32.3%
23	CLE	-0.44	-0.44	29%
24	PIT	-0.50	-0.50	25.8%
25	CAR	-0.56	-0.56	22.6%
26	MIA	-0.56	-0.56	19.4%
27	CIN	-0.63	-0.63	16.1%
28	DEN	-0.88	-0.88	12.9%
29	HOU	-0.94	-0.94	9.7%
30	NYJ	-1.19	-1.19	6.5%
31	ARI	-1.88	-1.88	3.2%
32	WAS	-3.81	-3.81	0%

Does Third down success (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 872–706–37 ATS (55.3%) across 2020–2025, #66 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (150–104, 59.1%); its worst 2021 (139–131, 51.5%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	150–104–2	59.1%
2021	272	139–131–2	51.5%
2022	271	153–111–7	58.0%
2023	272	139–119–14	53.9%
2024	272	152–111–9	57.8%
2025	272	139–130–3	51.7%

Third down success (Off − Def) in 2019 vs 2018

Patriots lead at 2.50 — they ranked #14 last year. Commanders are last at -3.81 — #27 last year.

The league average is 0, the same as last year.

Biggest riser: 49ers, #28 → #4. Biggest faller: Steelers, #5 → #24.

Spread between first and last: 6.31; 25 teams are within 1.15 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

SF · +2.44

Biggest faller

WAS · −3

Most consistent

DEN · −0.06

League trend 2019 vs 2018

– 0

Rank	Team	2019	2018	Δ
1	SF	1.56	-0.88	+2.44
2	NE	2.50	0.31	+2.19
3	CIN	-0.63	-2.50	+1.88
4	LV	0.44	-1.25	+1.69
5	DAL	1.69	0.19	+1.50
6	MIA	-0.56	-1.88	+1.31
7	PHI	2.06	0.81	+1.25
8	ATL	0.75	-0.19	+0.94
9	KC	0.75	0.06	+0.69
10	GB	0	-0.38	+0.38
11	LAC	-0.25	-0.63	+0.38
12	NYG	-0.31	-0.63	+0.31
13	BUF	0	-0.25	+0.25
14	TB	0.94	0.81	+0.13
15	DEN	-0.88	-0.81	−0.06
16	NO	0.31	0.38	−0.06
17	HOU	-0.94	-0.81	−0.13
18	CHI	0.13	0.31	−0.19
19	CLE	-0.44	0	−0.44
20	ARI	-1.88	-1.25	−0.63
21	DET	-0.25	0.38	−0.63
22	SEA	0.50	1.19	−0.69
23	TEN	-0.25	0.50	−0.75
24	CAR	-0.56	0.25	−0.81
25	BAL	1	2	−1
26	LAR	-0.19	0.88	−1.06
27	MIN	0	1.06	−1.06
28	NYJ	-1.19	-0.13	−1.06
29	IND	0.25	1.38	−1.13
30	JAX	-0.25	0.88	−1.13
31	PIT	-0.50	1	−1.50
32	WAS	-3.81	-0.81	−3

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

LAC · 0.90

Multi-year laggard

CAR · -1.12

Biggest improver

CHI · +0.57/yr

Biggest decliner

BAL · −0.49/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	LAC	0.90	+0.21	0.56	-0.47	2.24	-0.18	0.53	2.65	1
2	BUF	0.89	−0.32	1.06	2.24	1.19	1.65	-0.06	0.53	-0.40
3	TB	0.81	+0.15	0.25	1	0.18	0.35	1.76	0.94	1.20
4	KC	0.59	−0.25	1.13	1.59	0.35	0.76	1	-0.94	0.25
5	DAL	0.54	−0.06	-0.75	1.35	1	2.06	0.53	-0.41	0
6	MIN	0.43	+0.24	0	0.41	0.53	-0.47	0.24	-0.88	3.20
7	LAR	0.41	+0.02	1.50	-0.18	-0.06	0.53	-0.59	-0.35	2
8	CHI	0.39	+0.57	-0.56	-0.59	-0.47	-0.06	-0.29	1.12	3.60
9	PIT	0.34	−0.18	0.81	0.53	1.12	-0.41	1.18	-0.82	0
10	BAL	0.31	−0.49	2.25	0.65	1.06	-0.29	0.12	-0.24	-1.40
11	ARI	0.19	+0.03	0	1.29	-0.29	-0.53	-0.41	0.29	1
12	NO	0.19	+0.06	0.94	-0.59	-0.41	0.76	-0.94	0.76	0.80
13	CIN	0.18	+0.27	-0.88	-0.47	0.75	-0.35	0.76	0.47	1
14	PHI	0.15	−0.15	0	0.35	0.94	-0.12	1.59	-0.88	-0.80
15	SF	0.13	+0.03	0.44	-0.53	0.41	-0.12	-0.53	1.65	-0.40
16	NYG	0.00	+0.28	-1.13	-0.35	0.41	-0.29	-0.35	0.71	1
17	HOU	-0.06	+0.13	-0.69	0.35	-1.18	0.29	0.53	0.29	0
18	GB	-0.11	−0.44	0.94	0.06	0.41	0.71	-0.18	0.71	-3.40
19	NE	-0.20	+0.05	0.06	0.76	-1.24	-1.12	-0.94	0.47	0.60
20	DET	-0.21	−0.03	-0.81	-1.06	-0.41	1.12	2.24	0.24	-2.80
21	JAX	-0.22	+0.20	-0.19	-1.12	-0.29	0.18	-1.35	-0.18	1.40
22	IND	-0.24	+0.13	-0.50	0.06	-0.47	-0.35	-1.24	-0.59	1.40
23	MIA	-0.26	−0.23	1.25	0.06	-1.53	0.06	0.12	-0.94	-0.80
24	CLE	-0.28	−0.24	0	-0.18	0.12	0.82	-0.59	-0.12	-2
25	DEN	-0.29	−0.02	-0.44	-1	-0.41	0.76	0.12	1.12	-2.20
26	WAS	-0.38	−0.18	0.38	-1.35	0.82	-0.94	1.12	-1.06	-1.60
27	TEN	-0.41	−0.08	-1.69	1.47	0.24	-1	-0.53	-0.53	-0.80
28	ATL	-0.47	−0.16	1.06	-1.35	-1.12	0.76	-0.82	-1	-0.80
29	NYJ	-0.57	+0.33	-1.31	-1.24	-0.59	-1.65	0.06	-0.06	0.80
30	LV	-0.74	−0.03	-0.56	-0.88	-0.24	-1	-0.59	-1.94	0
31	SEA	-0.92	+0.21	-1.75	-0.88	-1.18	-1.82	-0.35	0.53	-1
32	CAR	-1.12	−0.09	-1.38	0.06	-1.76	-0.12	-2.12	-1.53	-1

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
CHI	-0.56	-0.59	-0.47	-0.06	-0.29	1.12	3.60
MIN	0	0.41	0.53	-0.47	0.24	-0.88	3.20
LAR	1.50	-0.18	-0.06	0.53	-0.59	-0.35	2
IND	-0.50	0.06	-0.47	-0.35	-1.24	-0.59	1.40
JAX	-0.19	-1.12	-0.29	0.18	-1.35	-0.18	1.40
TB	0.25	1	0.18	0.35	1.76	0.94	1.20
ARI	0	1.29	-0.29	-0.53	-0.41	0.29	1
CIN	-0.88	-0.47	0.75	-0.35	0.76	0.47	1
LAC	0.56	-0.47	2.24	-0.18	0.53	2.65	1
NYG	-1.13	-0.35	0.41	-0.29	-0.35	0.71	1
NO	0.94	-0.59	-0.41	0.76	-0.94	0.76	0.80
NYJ	-1.31	-1.24	-0.59	-1.65	0.06	-0.06	0.80
NE	0.06	0.76	-1.24	-1.12	-0.94	0.47	0.60
KC	1.13	1.59	0.35	0.76	1	-0.94	0.25
DAL	-0.75	1.35	1	2.06	0.53	-0.41	0
HOU	-0.69	0.35	-1.18	0.29	0.53	0.29	0
LV	-0.56	-0.88	-0.24	-1	-0.59	-1.94	0
PIT	0.81	0.53	1.12	-0.41	1.18	-0.82	0
BUF	1.06	2.24	1.19	1.65	-0.06	0.53	-0.40
SF	0.44	-0.53	0.41	-0.12	-0.53	1.65	-0.40
ATL	1.06	-1.35	-1.12	0.76	-0.82	-1	-0.80
MIA	1.25	0.06	-1.53	0.06	0.12	-0.94	-0.80
PHI	0	0.35	0.94	-0.12	1.59	-0.88	-0.80
TEN	-1.69	1.47	0.24	-1	-0.53	-0.53	-0.80
CAR	-1.38	0.06	-1.76	-0.12	-2.12	-1.53	-1
SEA	-1.75	-0.88	-1.18	-1.82	-0.35	0.53	-1
BAL	2.25	0.65	1.06	-0.29	0.12	-0.24	-1.40
WAS	0.38	-1.35	0.82	-0.94	1.12	-1.06	-1.60
CLE	0	-0.18	0.12	0.82	-0.59	-0.12	-2
DEN	-0.44	-1	-0.41	0.76	0.12	1.12	-2.20
DET	-0.81	-1.06	-0.41	1.12	2.24	0.24	-2.80
GB	0.94	0.06	0.41	0.71	-0.18	0.71	-3.40

Third down success (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Ravens (2), 2019 Patriots (2.50).

The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 2.50; the worst Commanders 2019 at -3.81.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_third_down_success
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.