What Third down success (Off − Def) is

Third downs converted minus third downs opponents converted against this defense.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2020 the Ravens led at 2.25; the league average was 0.

League snapshot — 2020

League leader

BAL · 2.25

League average

Best to worst

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BAL	2.25	16
2	LAR	1.50	16
3	MIA	1.25	16
4	KC	1.13	16
5	ATL	1.06	16
6	BUF	1.06	16
7	GB	0.94	16
8	NO	0.94	16
9	PIT	0.81	16
10	LAC	0.56	16
11	SF	0.44	16
12	WAS	0.38	16
13	TB	0.25	16
14	NE	0.06	16
15	ARI	0	16
16	CLE	0	16
17	MIN	0	16
18	PHI	0	16
19	JAX	-0.19	16
20	DEN	-0.44	16
21	IND	-0.50	16
22	CHI	-0.56	16
23	LV	-0.56	16
24	HOU	-0.69	16
25	DAL	-0.75	16
26	DET	-0.81	16
27	CIN	-0.88	16
28	NYG	-1.13	16
29	NYJ	-1.31	16
30	CAR	-1.38	16
31	TEN	-1.69	16
32	SEA	-1.75	16

At a glance — 2020

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BAL · 2.25

League laggard

SEA · -1.75

League average

Spread (max − min)

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BAL	2.25	2.25	100%
2	LAR	1.50	1.50	96.8%
3	MIA	1.25	1.25	93.5%
4	KC	1.13	1.13	90.3%
5	ATL	1.06	1.06	87.1%
6	BUF	1.06	1.06	83.9%
7	GB	0.94	0.94	80.6%
8	NO	0.94	0.94	77.4%
9	PIT	0.81	0.81	74.2%
10	LAC	0.56	0.56	71%
11	SF	0.44	0.44	67.7%
12	WAS	0.38	0.38	64.5%
13	TB	0.25	0.25	61.3%
14	NE	0.06	0.06	58.1%
15	ARI	0	0	54.8%
16	CLE	0	0	51.6%
17	MIN	0	0	48.4%
18	PHI	0	0	45.2%
19	JAX	-0.19	-0.19	41.9%
20	DEN	-0.44	-0.44	38.7%
21	IND	-0.50	-0.50	35.5%
22	CHI	-0.56	-0.56	32.3%
23	LV	-0.56	-0.56	29%
24	HOU	-0.69	-0.69	25.8%
25	DAL	-0.75	-0.75	22.6%
26	DET	-0.81	-0.81	19.4%
27	CIN	-0.88	-0.88	16.1%
28	NYG	-1.13	-1.13	12.9%
29	NYJ	-1.31	-1.31	9.7%
30	CAR	-1.38	-1.38	6.5%
31	TEN	-1.69	-1.69	3.2%
32	SEA	-1.75	-1.75	0%

Does Third down success (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 872–706–37 ATS (55.3%) across 2020–2025, #66 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (150–104, 59.1%); its worst 2021 (139–131, 51.5%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	150–104–2	59.1%
2021	272	139–131–2	51.5%
2022	271	153–111–7	58.0%
2023	272	139–119–14	53.9%
2024	272	152–111–9	57.8%
2025	272	139–130–3	51.7%

Third down success (Off − Def) in 2020 vs 2019

Ravens lead at 2.25 — they ranked #5 last year. Seahawks are last at -1.75 — #9 last year.

The league average is 0, the same as last year.

Biggest riser: Dolphins, #26 → #3. Biggest faller: Seahawks, #9 → #32.

Spread between first and last: 4; 21 teams are within 0.97 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2020 vs 2019

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

WAS · +4.19

Biggest faller

NE · −2.44

Most consistent

MIN · 0

League trend 2020 vs 2019

– 0

Rank	Team	2020	2019	Δ
1	WAS	0.38	-3.81	+4.19
2	ARI	0	-1.88	+1.88
3	MIA	1.25	-0.56	+1.81
4	LAR	1.50	-0.19	+1.69
5	PIT	0.81	-0.50	+1.31
6	BAL	2.25	1	+1.25
7	BUF	1.06	0	+1.06
8	GB	0.94	0	+0.94
9	LAC	0.56	-0.25	+0.81
10	NO	0.94	0.31	+0.63
11	CLE	0	-0.44	+0.44
12	DEN	-0.44	-0.88	+0.44
13	KC	1.13	0.75	+0.38
14	ATL	1.06	0.75	+0.31
15	HOU	-0.69	-0.94	+0.25
16	JAX	-0.19	-0.25	+0.06
17	MIN	0	0	0
18	NYJ	-1.31	-1.19	−0.13
19	CIN	-0.88	-0.63	−0.25
20	DET	-0.81	-0.25	−0.56
21	CHI	-0.56	0.13	−0.69
22	TB	0.25	0.94	−0.69
23	IND	-0.50	0.25	−0.75
24	CAR	-1.38	-0.56	−0.81
25	NYG	-1.13	-0.31	−0.81
26	LV	-0.56	0.44	−1
27	SF	0.44	1.56	−1.13
28	TEN	-1.69	-0.25	−1.44
29	PHI	0	2.06	−2.06
30	SEA	-1.75	0.50	−2.25
31	DAL	-0.75	1.69	−2.44
32	NE	0.06	2.50	−2.44

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

LAC · 0.90

Multi-year laggard

CAR · -1.12

Biggest improver

CHI · +0.57/yr

Biggest decliner

BAL · −0.49/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	LAC	0.90	+0.21	0.56	-0.47	2.24	-0.18	0.53	2.65	1
2	BUF	0.89	−0.32	1.06	2.24	1.19	1.65	-0.06	0.53	-0.40
3	TB	0.81	+0.15	0.25	1	0.18	0.35	1.76	0.94	1.20
4	KC	0.59	−0.25	1.13	1.59	0.35	0.76	1	-0.94	0.25
5	DAL	0.54	−0.06	-0.75	1.35	1	2.06	0.53	-0.41	0
6	MIN	0.43	+0.24	0	0.41	0.53	-0.47	0.24	-0.88	3.20
7	LAR	0.41	+0.02	1.50	-0.18	-0.06	0.53	-0.59	-0.35	2
8	CHI	0.39	+0.57	-0.56	-0.59	-0.47	-0.06	-0.29	1.12	3.60
9	PIT	0.34	−0.18	0.81	0.53	1.12	-0.41	1.18	-0.82	0
10	BAL	0.31	−0.49	2.25	0.65	1.06	-0.29	0.12	-0.24	-1.40
11	ARI	0.19	+0.03	0	1.29	-0.29	-0.53	-0.41	0.29	1
12	NO	0.19	+0.06	0.94	-0.59	-0.41	0.76	-0.94	0.76	0.80
13	CIN	0.18	+0.27	-0.88	-0.47	0.75	-0.35	0.76	0.47	1
14	PHI	0.15	−0.15	0	0.35	0.94	-0.12	1.59	-0.88	-0.80
15	SF	0.13	+0.03	0.44	-0.53	0.41	-0.12	-0.53	1.65	-0.40
16	NYG	0.00	+0.28	-1.13	-0.35	0.41	-0.29	-0.35	0.71	1
17	HOU	-0.06	+0.13	-0.69	0.35	-1.18	0.29	0.53	0.29	0
18	GB	-0.11	−0.44	0.94	0.06	0.41	0.71	-0.18	0.71	-3.40
19	NE	-0.20	+0.05	0.06	0.76	-1.24	-1.12	-0.94	0.47	0.60
20	DET	-0.21	−0.03	-0.81	-1.06	-0.41	1.12	2.24	0.24	-2.80
21	JAX	-0.22	+0.20	-0.19	-1.12	-0.29	0.18	-1.35	-0.18	1.40
22	IND	-0.24	+0.13	-0.50	0.06	-0.47	-0.35	-1.24	-0.59	1.40
23	MIA	-0.26	−0.23	1.25	0.06	-1.53	0.06	0.12	-0.94	-0.80
24	CLE	-0.28	−0.24	0	-0.18	0.12	0.82	-0.59	-0.12	-2
25	DEN	-0.29	−0.02	-0.44	-1	-0.41	0.76	0.12	1.12	-2.20
26	WAS	-0.38	−0.18	0.38	-1.35	0.82	-0.94	1.12	-1.06	-1.60
27	TEN	-0.41	−0.08	-1.69	1.47	0.24	-1	-0.53	-0.53	-0.80
28	ATL	-0.47	−0.16	1.06	-1.35	-1.12	0.76	-0.82	-1	-0.80
29	NYJ	-0.57	+0.33	-1.31	-1.24	-0.59	-1.65	0.06	-0.06	0.80
30	LV	-0.74	−0.03	-0.56	-0.88	-0.24	-1	-0.59	-1.94	0
31	SEA	-0.92	+0.21	-1.75	-0.88	-1.18	-1.82	-0.35	0.53	-1
32	CAR	-1.12	−0.09	-1.38	0.06	-1.76	-0.12	-2.12	-1.53	-1

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BAL	2.25	0.65	1.06	-0.29	0.12	-0.24	-1.40
LAR	1.50	-0.18	-0.06	0.53	-0.59	-0.35	2
MIA	1.25	0.06	-1.53	0.06	0.12	-0.94	-0.80
KC	1.13	1.59	0.35	0.76	1	-0.94	0.25
ATL	1.06	-1.35	-1.12	0.76	-0.82	-1	-0.80
BUF	1.06	2.24	1.19	1.65	-0.06	0.53	-0.40
GB	0.94	0.06	0.41	0.71	-0.18	0.71	-3.40
NO	0.94	-0.59	-0.41	0.76	-0.94	0.76	0.80
PIT	0.81	0.53	1.12	-0.41	1.18	-0.82	0
LAC	0.56	-0.47	2.24	-0.18	0.53	2.65	1
SF	0.44	-0.53	0.41	-0.12	-0.53	1.65	-0.40
WAS	0.38	-1.35	0.82	-0.94	1.12	-1.06	-1.60
TB	0.25	1	0.18	0.35	1.76	0.94	1.20
NE	0.06	0.76	-1.24	-1.12	-0.94	0.47	0.60
ARI	0	1.29	-0.29	-0.53	-0.41	0.29	1
CLE	0	-0.18	0.12	0.82	-0.59	-0.12	-2
MIN	0	0.41	0.53	-0.47	0.24	-0.88	3.20
PHI	0	0.35	0.94	-0.12	1.59	-0.88	-0.80
JAX	-0.19	-1.12	-0.29	0.18	-1.35	-0.18	1.40
DEN	-0.44	-1	-0.41	0.76	0.12	1.12	-2.20
IND	-0.50	0.06	-0.47	-0.35	-1.24	-0.59	1.40
CHI	-0.56	-0.59	-0.47	-0.06	-0.29	1.12	3.60
LV	-0.56	-0.88	-0.24	-1	-0.59	-1.94	0
HOU	-0.69	0.35	-1.18	0.29	0.53	0.29	0
DAL	-0.75	1.35	1	2.06	0.53	-0.41	0
DET	-0.81	-1.06	-0.41	1.12	2.24	0.24	-2.80
CIN	-0.88	-0.47	0.75	-0.35	0.76	0.47	1
NYG	-1.13	-0.35	0.41	-0.29	-0.35	0.71	1
NYJ	-1.31	-1.24	-0.59	-1.65	0.06	-0.06	0.80
CAR	-1.38	0.06	-1.76	-0.12	-2.12	-1.53	-1
TEN	-1.69	1.47	0.24	-1	-0.53	-0.53	-0.80
SEA	-1.75	-0.88	-1.18	-1.82	-0.35	0.53	-1

Third down success (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Ravens (2), 2019 Patriots (2.50), 2020 Ravens (2.25).

Ravens have led this stat 2 of 3 seasons.

The best season on record is Patriots 2019 at 2.50; the worst Commanders 2019 at -3.81.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2020.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_third_down_success
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.