What Third down att (Off − Def) is

Third downs the offense faced minus third downs this defense forced.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the Panthers led at 2.18; the league average was 0.00.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

CAR · 2.18

League average

0.00

Best to worst

4.59

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	CAR	2.18	17
2	NYG	1.88	17
3	CLE	1.29	17
4	DET	1.12	17
5	ARI	1.06	17
6	DEN	1.06	17
7	CHI	0.88	17
8	DAL	0.88	17
9	NO	0.71	17
10	TB	0.35	17
11	BUF	0.29	17
12	HOU	0.29	17
13	LAC	0.24	17
14	ATL	0.12	17
15	CIN	0.12	17
16	JAX	0	17
17	LAR	-0.12	17
18	GB	-0.18	17
19	PIT	-0.18	17
20	KC	-0.24	17
21	NYJ	-0.24	17
22	MIN	-0.41	17
23	IND	-0.47	17
24	WAS	-0.47	17
25	NE	-0.65	17
26	PHI	-0.65	17
27	LV	-0.76	17
28	MIA	-0.88	17
29	TEN	-1.29	17
30	SEA	-1.47	17
31	SF	-2.06	17
32	BAL	-2.41	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

CAR · 2.18

League laggard

BAL · -2.41

League average

0.00

Spread (max − min)

4.59

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	CAR	2.18	2.18	100%
2	NYG	1.88	1.88	96.8%
3	CLE	1.29	1.29	93.5%
4	DET	1.12	1.12	90.3%
5	ARI	1.06	1.06	87.1%
6	DEN	1.06	1.06	83.9%
7	CHI	0.88	0.88	80.6%
8	DAL	0.88	0.88	77.4%
9	NO	0.71	0.71	74.2%
10	TB	0.35	0.35	71%
11	BUF	0.29	0.29	67.7%
12	HOU	0.29	0.29	64.5%
13	LAC	0.24	0.24	61.3%
14	ATL	0.12	0.12	58.1%
15	CIN	0.12	0.12	54.8%
16	JAX	0	0.00	51.6%
17	LAR	-0.12	-0.12	48.4%
18	GB	-0.18	-0.18	45.2%
19	PIT	-0.18	-0.18	41.9%
20	KC	-0.24	-0.24	38.7%
21	NYJ	-0.24	-0.24	35.5%
22	MIN	-0.41	-0.41	32.3%
23	IND	-0.47	-0.47	29%
24	WAS	-0.47	-0.47	25.8%
25	NE	-0.65	-0.65	22.6%
26	PHI	-0.65	-0.65	19.4%
27	LV	-0.76	-0.76	16.1%
28	MIA	-0.88	-0.88	12.9%
29	TEN	-1.29	-1.29	9.7%
30	SEA	-1.47	-1.47	6.5%
31	SF	-2.06	-2.06	3.2%
32	BAL	-2.41	-2.41	0%

Does Third down att (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 772–806–37 ATS (48.9%) across 2020–2025, #270 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (134–130, 50.8%); its worst 2024 (121–142, 46.0%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	127–127–2	50.0%
2021	272	133–137–2	49.3%
2022	271	134–130–7	50.8%
2023	272	123–135–14	47.7%
2024	272	121–142–9	46.0%
2025	272	134–135–3	49.8%

Third down att (Off − Def) in 2023 vs 2022

Panthers lead at 2.18 — they ranked #29 last year. Ravens are last at -2.41 — #9 last year.

The league average is 0.00, up 0.00 from 0.00 last year.

Biggest riser: Panthers, #29 → #1. Biggest faller: Ravens, #9 → #32.

Spread between first and last: 4.59; 22 teams are within 1.01 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

CAR · +3.65

Biggest faller

LAC · −3.06

Most consistent

HOU · 0

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▲ 0.00

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	CAR	2.18	-1.47	+3.65
2	NO	0.71	-1	+1.71
3	NYG	1.88	0.29	+1.59
4	ATL	0.12	-1.41	+1.53
5	BUF	0.29	-1.19	+1.48
6	KC	-0.24	-1.71	+1.47
7	MIA	-0.88	-2.24	+1.35
8	NE	-0.65	-1.65	+1.00
9	DAL	0.88	0	+0.88
10	DET	1.12	0.47	+0.65
11	CIN	0.12	-0.50	+0.62
12	DEN	1.06	0.65	+0.41
13	CLE	1.29	0.94	+0.35
14	JAX	0	-0.29	+0.29
15	HOU	0.29	0.29	0
16	TB	0.35	0.41	−0.06
17	NYJ	-0.24	-0.18	−0.06
18	CHI	0.88	0.94	−0.06
19	SEA	-1.47	-1.41	−0.06
20	LAR	-0.12	0.35	−0.47
21	GB	-0.18	0.41	−0.59
22	ARI	1.06	1.71	−0.65
23	PHI	-0.65	0	−0.65
24	IND	-0.47	0.29	−0.76
25	LV	-0.76	0.06	−0.82
26	TEN	-1.29	-0.41	−0.88
27	MIN	-0.41	0.59	−1
28	PIT	-0.18	1.29	−1.47
29	WAS	-0.47	1.18	−1.65
30	SF	-2.06	-0.29	−1.76
31	BAL	-2.41	0.47	−2.88
32	LAC	0.24	3.29	−3.06

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

CHI · 1.27

Multi-year laggard

SEA · -1.69

Biggest improver

CHI · +0.60/yr

Biggest decliner

BAL · −0.74/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	CHI	1.27	+0.60	-0.38	0.35	0.94	0.88	0.94	2.18	4
2	LAC	1.20	+0.02	1.25	0.24	3.29	0.24	-0.41	3	0.80
3	NYG	1.04	+0.43	-0.31	0.29	0.29	1.88	0.88	1.65	2.60
4	ARI	1.00	+0.32	-0.13	0.65	1.71	1.06	-0.82	1.35	3.20
5	DAL	0.56	+0.10	0.38	0.18	0	0.88	1.41	0.29	0.80
6	HOU	0.46	+0.00	-0.69	2	0.29	0.29	0.59	0.53	0.20
7	TB	0.35	+0.38	-1.06	-0.41	0.41	0.35	0.35	1.59	1.20
8	NO	0.23	+0.46	-0.06	-1.12	-1	0.71	-0.47	0.76	2.80
9	CLE	0.23	−0.05	-0.38	-0.35	0.94	1.29	1	0.71	-1.60
10	NYJ	0.22	+0.20	0.31	-0.47	-0.18	-0.24	-0.12	1.24	1
11	PIT	0.22	−0.19	0.25	0.47	1.29	-0.18	1.47	-1.59	-0.20
12	DET	0.19	−0.27	0.13	0.65	0.47	1.12	1.12	0.06	-2.20
13	CIN	0.16	+0.19	0.25	-0.71	-0.50	0.12	0.41	0.94	0.60
14	WAS	0.16	−0.12	0.63	-0.06	1.18	-0.47	0.65	-1.41	0.60
15	MIN	0.08	+0.05	-0.13	0.76	0.59	-0.41	-1.06	-1.82	2.60
16	CAR	-0.04	−0.15	-0.13	0.94	-1.47	2.18	-0.53	-0.29	-1
17	PHI	-0.09	−0.24	0.69	0.29	0	-0.65	1.18	-1.12	-1
18	IND	-0.13	+0.12	-0.56	0	0.29	-0.47	-0.65	-1.35	1.80
19	JAX	-0.13	−0.03	0.75	-0.53	-0.29	0	-1.12	-0.35	0.60
20	MIA	-0.14	+0.04	1.13	0.24	-2.24	-0.88	0.29	-0.88	1.40
21	TEN	-0.18	+0.16	-2	1.47	-0.41	-1.29	0.12	1.88	-1
22	LAR	-0.19	−0.08	1	-1.12	0.35	-0.12	-0.47	-2.18	1.20
23	DEN	-0.20	−0.14	-0.50	-0.47	0.65	1.06	-0.24	-0.29	-1.60
24	NE	-0.31	+0.09	0.13	-0.24	-1.65	-0.65	0.06	-0.24	0.40
25	KC	-0.33	−0.14	0.38	0.29	-1.71	-0.24	0.59	-0.35	-1.25
26	LV	-0.39	+0.10	-0.31	-1.35	0.06	-0.76	0.24	-0.82	0.20
27	ATL	-0.41	−0.38	1.69	-0.29	-1.41	0.12	-0.24	-0.71	-2
28	GB	-0.61	−0.29	-0.44	-0.18	0.41	-0.18	-0.82	-0.65	-2.40
29	BUF	-0.63	−0.25	-0.63	0.29	-1.19	0.29	-0.12	0.12	-3.20
30	BAL	-0.91	−0.74	1.06	1.35	0.47	-2.41	-2.24	-1.59	-3
31	SF	-1.07	−0.25	-0.06	-1.35	-0.29	-2.06	-1.12	1.18	-3.80
32	SEA	-1.69	+0.02	-2.25	-1.82	-1.41	-1.47	-0.88	-1.82	-2.20

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
CAR	-0.13	0.94	-1.47	2.18	-0.53	-0.29	-1
NYG	-0.31	0.29	0.29	1.88	0.88	1.65	2.60
CLE	-0.38	-0.35	0.94	1.29	1	0.71	-1.60
DET	0.13	0.65	0.47	1.12	1.12	0.06	-2.20
ARI	-0.13	0.65	1.71	1.06	-0.82	1.35	3.20
DEN	-0.50	-0.47	0.65	1.06	-0.24	-0.29	-1.60
CHI	-0.38	0.35	0.94	0.88	0.94	2.18	4
DAL	0.38	0.18	0	0.88	1.41	0.29	0.80
NO	-0.06	-1.12	-1	0.71	-0.47	0.76	2.80
TB	-1.06	-0.41	0.41	0.35	0.35	1.59	1.20
BUF	-0.63	0.29	-1.19	0.29	-0.12	0.12	-3.20
HOU	-0.69	2	0.29	0.29	0.59	0.53	0.20
LAC	1.25	0.24	3.29	0.24	-0.41	3	0.80
ATL	1.69	-0.29	-1.41	0.12	-0.24	-0.71	-2
CIN	0.25	-0.71	-0.50	0.12	0.41	0.94	0.60
JAX	0.75	-0.53	-0.29	0	-1.12	-0.35	0.60
LAR	1	-1.12	0.35	-0.12	-0.47	-2.18	1.20
GB	-0.44	-0.18	0.41	-0.18	-0.82	-0.65	-2.40
PIT	0.25	0.47	1.29	-0.18	1.47	-1.59	-0.20
KC	0.38	0.29	-1.71	-0.24	0.59	-0.35	-1.25
NYJ	0.31	-0.47	-0.18	-0.24	-0.12	1.24	1
MIN	-0.13	0.76	0.59	-0.41	-1.06	-1.82	2.60
IND	-0.56	0	0.29	-0.47	-0.65	-1.35	1.80
WAS	0.63	-0.06	1.18	-0.47	0.65	-1.41	0.60
NE	0.13	-0.24	-1.65	-0.65	0.06	-0.24	0.40
PHI	0.69	0.29	0	-0.65	1.18	-1.12	-1
LV	-0.31	-1.35	0.06	-0.76	0.24	-0.82	0.20
MIA	1.13	0.24	-2.24	-0.88	0.29	-0.88	1.40
TEN	-2	1.47	-0.41	-1.29	0.12	1.88	-1
SEA	-2.25	-1.82	-1.41	-1.47	-0.88	-1.82	-2.20
SF	-0.06	-1.35	-0.29	-2.06	-1.12	1.18	-3.80
BAL	1.06	1.35	0.47	-2.41	-2.24	-1.59	-3

Third down att (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Lions (1.31), 2019 Patriots (1.94), 2020 Falcons (1.69), 2021 Texans (2), 2022 Chargers (3.29), 2023 Panthers (2.18).

The best season on record is Chargers 2022 at 3.29; the worst Commanders 2019 at -2.94.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_third_down_att
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.