NET: Third down att (Off − Def)
What Third down att (Off − Def) is
Third downs the offense faced minus third downs this defense forced.
Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2018 the Lions led at 1.31; the league average was 0.
League snapshot — 2018
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | 1.31 | 16 |
| 2 | SEA | 1.25 | 16 |
| 3 | JAX | 1.13 | 16 |
| 4 | BAL | 0.94 | 16 |
| 5 | DAL | 0.94 | 16 |
| 6 | BUF | 0.81 | 16 |
| 7 | MIN | 0.69 | 16 |
| 8 | WAS | 0.69 | 16 |
| 9 | IND | 0.56 | 16 |
| 10 | TB | 0.56 | 16 |
| 11 | ATL | 0.50 | 16 |
| 12 | PIT | 0.19 | 16 |
| 13 | LAR | 0.13 | 16 |
| 14 | NYG | 0.13 | 16 |
| 15 | NYJ | 0.13 | 16 |
| 16 | PHI | 0.13 | 16 |
| 17 | CAR | 0.06 | 16 |
| 18 | NE | 0.06 | 16 |
| 19 | TEN | 0 | 16 |
| 20 | CLE | -0.19 | 16 |
| 21 | ARI | -0.31 | 16 |
| 22 | DEN | -0.31 | 16 |
| 23 | GB | -0.31 | 16 |
| 24 | LV | -0.31 | 16 |
| 25 | MIA | -0.44 | 16 |
| 26 | NO | -0.44 | 16 |
| 27 | HOU | -1 | 16 |
| 28 | CHI | -1.06 | 16 |
| 29 | KC | -1.06 | 16 |
| 30 | SF | -1.31 | 16 |
| 31 | LAC | -1.69 | 16 |
| 32 | CIN | -1.75 | 16 |
At a glance — 2018
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2018
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DET | 1.31 | 1.31 | 100% |
| 2 | SEA | 1.25 | 1.25 | 96.8% |
| 3 | JAX | 1.13 | 1.13 | 93.5% |
| 4 | BAL | 0.94 | 0.94 | 90.3% |
| 5 | DAL | 0.94 | 0.94 | 87.1% |
| 6 | BUF | 0.81 | 0.81 | 83.9% |
| 7 | MIN | 0.69 | 0.69 | 80.6% |
| 8 | WAS | 0.69 | 0.69 | 77.4% |
| 9 | IND | 0.56 | 0.56 | 74.2% |
| 10 | TB | 0.56 | 0.56 | 71% |
| 11 | ATL | 0.50 | 0.50 | 67.7% |
| 12 | PIT | 0.19 | 0.19 | 64.5% |
| 13 | LAR | 0.13 | 0.13 | 61.3% |
| 14 | NYG | 0.13 | 0.13 | 58.1% |
| 15 | NYJ | 0.13 | 0.13 | 54.8% |
| 16 | PHI | 0.13 | 0.13 | 51.6% |
| 17 | CAR | 0.06 | 0.06 | 48.4% |
| 18 | NE | 0.06 | 0.06 | 45.2% |
| 19 | TEN | 0 | 0 | 41.9% |
| 20 | CLE | -0.19 | -0.19 | 38.7% |
| 21 | ARI | -0.31 | -0.31 | 35.5% |
| 22 | DEN | -0.31 | -0.31 | 32.3% |
| 23 | GB | -0.31 | -0.31 | 29% |
| 24 | LV | -0.31 | -0.31 | 25.8% |
| 25 | MIA | -0.44 | -0.44 | 22.6% |
| 26 | NO | -0.44 | -0.44 | 19.4% |
| 27 | HOU | -1 | -1 | 16.1% |
| 28 | CHI | -1.06 | -1.06 | 12.9% |
| 29 | KC | -1.06 | -1.06 | 9.7% |
| 30 | SF | -1.31 | -1.31 | 6.5% |
| 31 | LAC | -1.69 | -1.69 | 3.2% |
| 32 | CIN | -1.75 | -1.75 | 0% |
Does Third down att (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 772–806–37 ATS (48.9%) across 2020–2025, #270 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (134–130, 50.8%); its worst 2024 (121–142, 46.0%).
For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 127–127–2 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 272 | 133–137–2 | 49.3% |
| 2022 | 271 | 134–130–7 | 50.8% |
| 2023 | 272 | 123–135–14 | 47.7% |
| 2024 | 272 | 121–142–9 | 46.0% |
| 2025 | 272 | 134–135–3 | 49.8% |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 1.27 | +0.60 | -0.38 | 0.35 | 0.94 | 0.88 | 0.94 | 2.18 | 4 |
| 2 | LAC | 1.20 | +0.02 | 1.25 | 0.24 | 3.29 | 0.24 | -0.41 | 3 | 0.80 |
| 3 | NYG | 1.04 | +0.43 | -0.31 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 1.88 | 0.88 | 1.65 | 2.60 |
| 4 | ARI | 1.00 | +0.32 | -0.13 | 0.65 | 1.71 | 1.06 | -0.82 | 1.35 | 3.20 |
| 5 | DAL | 0.56 | +0.10 | 0.38 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.88 | 1.41 | 0.29 | 0.80 |
| 6 | HOU | 0.46 | +0.00 | -0.69 | 2 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.20 |
| 7 | TB | 0.35 | +0.38 | -1.06 | -0.41 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 1.59 | 1.20 |
| 8 | NO | 0.23 | +0.46 | -0.06 | -1.12 | -1 | 0.71 | -0.47 | 0.76 | 2.80 |
| 9 | CLE | 0.23 | −0.05 | -0.38 | -0.35 | 0.94 | 1.29 | 1 | 0.71 | -1.60 |
| 10 | NYJ | 0.22 | +0.20 | 0.31 | -0.47 | -0.18 | -0.24 | -0.12 | 1.24 | 1 |
| 11 | PIT | 0.22 | −0.19 | 0.25 | 0.47 | 1.29 | -0.18 | 1.47 | -1.59 | -0.20 |
| 12 | DET | 0.19 | −0.27 | 0.13 | 0.65 | 0.47 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 0.06 | -2.20 |
| 13 | CIN | 0.16 | +0.19 | 0.25 | -0.71 | -0.50 | 0.12 | 0.41 | 0.94 | 0.60 |
| 14 | WAS | 0.16 | −0.12 | 0.63 | -0.06 | 1.18 | -0.47 | 0.65 | -1.41 | 0.60 |
| 15 | MIN | 0.08 | +0.05 | -0.13 | 0.76 | 0.59 | -0.41 | -1.06 | -1.82 | 2.60 |
| 16 | CAR | -0.04 | −0.15 | -0.13 | 0.94 | -1.47 | 2.18 | -0.53 | -0.29 | -1 |
| 17 | PHI | -0.09 | −0.24 | 0.69 | 0.29 | 0 | -0.65 | 1.18 | -1.12 | -1 |
| 18 | IND | -0.13 | +0.12 | -0.56 | 0 | 0.29 | -0.47 | -0.65 | -1.35 | 1.80 |
| 19 | JAX | -0.13 | −0.03 | 0.75 | -0.53 | -0.29 | 0 | -1.12 | -0.35 | 0.60 |
| 20 | MIA | -0.14 | +0.04 | 1.13 | 0.24 | -2.24 | -0.88 | 0.29 | -0.88 | 1.40 |
| 21 | TEN | -0.18 | +0.16 | -2 | 1.47 | -0.41 | -1.29 | 0.12 | 1.88 | -1 |
| 22 | LAR | -0.19 | −0.08 | 1 | -1.12 | 0.35 | -0.12 | -0.47 | -2.18 | 1.20 |
| 23 | DEN | -0.20 | −0.14 | -0.50 | -0.47 | 0.65 | 1.06 | -0.24 | -0.29 | -1.60 |
| 24 | NE | -0.31 | +0.09 | 0.13 | -0.24 | -1.65 | -0.65 | 0.06 | -0.24 | 0.40 |
| 25 | KC | -0.33 | −0.14 | 0.38 | 0.29 | -1.71 | -0.24 | 0.59 | -0.35 | -1.25 |
| 26 | LV | -0.39 | +0.10 | -0.31 | -1.35 | 0.06 | -0.76 | 0.24 | -0.82 | 0.20 |
| 27 | ATL | -0.41 | −0.38 | 1.69 | -0.29 | -1.41 | 0.12 | -0.24 | -0.71 | -2 |
| 28 | GB | -0.61 | −0.29 | -0.44 | -0.18 | 0.41 | -0.18 | -0.82 | -0.65 | -2.40 |
| 29 | BUF | -0.63 | −0.25 | -0.63 | 0.29 | -1.19 | 0.29 | -0.12 | 0.12 | -3.20 |
| 30 | BAL | -0.91 | −0.74 | 1.06 | 1.35 | 0.47 | -2.41 | -2.24 | -1.59 | -3 |
| 31 | SF | -1.07 | −0.25 | -0.06 | -1.35 | -0.29 | -2.06 | -1.12 | 1.18 | -3.80 |
| 32 | SEA | -1.69 | +0.02 | -2.25 | -1.82 | -1.41 | -1.47 | -0.88 | -1.82 | -2.20 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | -0.38 | 0.35 | 0.94 | 0.88 | 0.94 | 2.18 | 4 |
| ARI | -0.13 | 0.65 | 1.71 | 1.06 | -0.82 | 1.35 | 3.20 |
| NO | -0.06 | -1.12 | -1 | 0.71 | -0.47 | 0.76 | 2.80 |
| MIN | -0.13 | 0.76 | 0.59 | -0.41 | -1.06 | -1.82 | 2.60 |
| NYG | -0.31 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 1.88 | 0.88 | 1.65 | 2.60 |
| IND | -0.56 | 0 | 0.29 | -0.47 | -0.65 | -1.35 | 1.80 |
| MIA | 1.13 | 0.24 | -2.24 | -0.88 | 0.29 | -0.88 | 1.40 |
| LAR | 1 | -1.12 | 0.35 | -0.12 | -0.47 | -2.18 | 1.20 |
| TB | -1.06 | -0.41 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 1.59 | 1.20 |
| NYJ | 0.31 | -0.47 | -0.18 | -0.24 | -0.12 | 1.24 | 1 |
| DAL | 0.38 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.88 | 1.41 | 0.29 | 0.80 |
| LAC | 1.25 | 0.24 | 3.29 | 0.24 | -0.41 | 3 | 0.80 |
| CIN | 0.25 | -0.71 | -0.50 | 0.12 | 0.41 | 0.94 | 0.60 |
| JAX | 0.75 | -0.53 | -0.29 | 0 | -1.12 | -0.35 | 0.60 |
| WAS | 0.63 | -0.06 | 1.18 | -0.47 | 0.65 | -1.41 | 0.60 |
| NE | 0.13 | -0.24 | -1.65 | -0.65 | 0.06 | -0.24 | 0.40 |
| HOU | -0.69 | 2 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.20 |
| LV | -0.31 | -1.35 | 0.06 | -0.76 | 0.24 | -0.82 | 0.20 |
| PIT | 0.25 | 0.47 | 1.29 | -0.18 | 1.47 | -1.59 | -0.20 |
| CAR | -0.13 | 0.94 | -1.47 | 2.18 | -0.53 | -0.29 | -1 |
| PHI | 0.69 | 0.29 | 0 | -0.65 | 1.18 | -1.12 | -1 |
| TEN | -2 | 1.47 | -0.41 | -1.29 | 0.12 | 1.88 | -1 |
| KC | 0.38 | 0.29 | -1.71 | -0.24 | 0.59 | -0.35 | -1.25 |
| CLE | -0.38 | -0.35 | 0.94 | 1.29 | 1 | 0.71 | -1.60 |
| DEN | -0.50 | -0.47 | 0.65 | 1.06 | -0.24 | -0.29 | -1.60 |
| ATL | 1.69 | -0.29 | -1.41 | 0.12 | -0.24 | -0.71 | -2 |
| DET | 0.13 | 0.65 | 0.47 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 0.06 | -2.20 |
| SEA | -2.25 | -1.82 | -1.41 | -1.47 | -0.88 | -1.82 | -2.20 |
| GB | -0.44 | -0.18 | 0.41 | -0.18 | -0.82 | -0.65 | -2.40 |
| BAL | 1.06 | 1.35 | 0.47 | -2.41 | -2.24 | -1.59 | -3 |
| BUF | -0.63 | 0.29 | -1.19 | 0.29 | -0.12 | 0.12 | -3.20 |
| SF | -0.06 | -1.35 | -0.29 | -2.06 | -1.12 | 1.18 | -3.80 |
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_third_down_att
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.