NET: Third down att (Off − Def)
What Third down att (Off − Def) is
Third downs the offense faced minus third downs this defense forced.
Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.
In 2021 the Texans led at 2; the league average was 0.00.
League snapshot — 2021
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | TEN | 1.47 | 17 |
| 3 | BAL | 1.35 | 17 |
| 4 | CAR | 0.94 | 17 |
| 5 | MIN | 0.76 | 17 |
| 6 | ARI | 0.65 | 17 |
| 7 | DET | 0.65 | 17 |
| 8 | PIT | 0.47 | 17 |
| 9 | CHI | 0.35 | 17 |
| 10 | BUF | 0.29 | 17 |
| 11 | KC | 0.29 | 17 |
| 12 | NYG | 0.29 | 17 |
| 13 | PHI | 0.29 | 17 |
| 14 | LAC | 0.24 | 17 |
| 15 | MIA | 0.24 | 17 |
| 16 | DAL | 0.18 | 17 |
| 17 | IND | 0 | 17 |
| 18 | WAS | -0.06 | 17 |
| 19 | GB | -0.18 | 17 |
| 20 | NE | -0.24 | 17 |
| 21 | ATL | -0.29 | 17 |
| 22 | CLE | -0.35 | 17 |
| 23 | TB | -0.41 | 17 |
| 24 | DEN | -0.47 | 17 |
| 25 | NYJ | -0.47 | 17 |
| 26 | JAX | -0.53 | 17 |
| 27 | CIN | -0.71 | 17 |
| 28 | LAR | -1.12 | 17 |
| 29 | NO | -1.12 | 17 |
| 30 | LV | -1.35 | 17 |
| 31 | SF | -1.35 | 17 |
| 32 | SEA | -1.82 | 17 |
At a glance — 2021
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2021
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HOU | 2 | 2 | 100% |
| 2 | TEN | 1.47 | 1.47 | 96.8% |
| 3 | BAL | 1.35 | 1.35 | 93.5% |
| 4 | CAR | 0.94 | 0.94 | 90.3% |
| 5 | MIN | 0.76 | 0.76 | 87.1% |
| 6 | ARI | 0.65 | 0.65 | 83.9% |
| 7 | DET | 0.65 | 0.65 | 80.6% |
| 8 | PIT | 0.47 | 0.47 | 77.4% |
| 9 | CHI | 0.35 | 0.35 | 74.2% |
| 10 | BUF | 0.29 | 0.29 | 71% |
| 11 | KC | 0.29 | 0.29 | 67.7% |
| 12 | NYG | 0.29 | 0.29 | 64.5% |
| 13 | PHI | 0.29 | 0.29 | 61.3% |
| 14 | LAC | 0.24 | 0.24 | 58.1% |
| 15 | MIA | 0.24 | 0.24 | 54.8% |
| 16 | DAL | 0.18 | 0.18 | 51.6% |
| 17 | IND | 0 | 0.00 | 48.4% |
| 18 | WAS | -0.06 | -0.06 | 45.2% |
| 19 | GB | -0.18 | -0.18 | 41.9% |
| 20 | NE | -0.24 | -0.24 | 38.7% |
| 21 | ATL | -0.29 | -0.29 | 35.5% |
| 22 | CLE | -0.35 | -0.35 | 32.3% |
| 23 | TB | -0.41 | -0.41 | 29% |
| 24 | DEN | -0.47 | -0.47 | 25.8% |
| 25 | NYJ | -0.47 | -0.47 | 22.6% |
| 26 | JAX | -0.53 | -0.53 | 19.4% |
| 27 | CIN | -0.71 | -0.71 | 16.1% |
| 28 | LAR | -1.12 | -1.12 | 12.9% |
| 29 | NO | -1.12 | -1.12 | 9.7% |
| 30 | LV | -1.35 | -1.35 | 6.5% |
| 31 | SF | -1.35 | -1.35 | 3.2% |
| 32 | SEA | -1.82 | -1.82 | 0% |
Does Third down att (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 772–806–37 ATS (48.9%) across 2020–2025, #270 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (134–130, 50.8%); its worst 2024 (121–142, 46.0%).
For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 127–127–2 | 50.0% |
| 2021 | 272 | 133–137–2 | 49.3% |
| 2022 | 271 | 134–130–7 | 50.8% |
| 2023 | 272 | 123–135–14 | 47.7% |
| 2024 | 272 | 121–142–9 | 46.0% |
| 2025 | 272 | 134–135–3 | 49.8% |
Third down att (Off − Def) in 2021 vs 2020
Texans lead at 2 — they ranked #29 last year. Seahawks are last at -1.82 — #32 last year.
The league average is 0.00, the same as last year.
Biggest riser: Titans, #31 → #2. Biggest faller: Rams, #5 → #28.
Spread between first and last: 3.82; 23 teams are within 0.84 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2021 vs 2020
| Rank | Team | 2021 | 2020 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TEN | 1.47 | -2 | +3.47 |
| 2 | HOU | 2 | -0.69 | +2.69 |
| 3 | CAR | 0.94 | -0.13 | +1.07 |
| 4 | BUF | 0.29 | -0.63 | +0.92 |
| 5 | MIN | 0.76 | -0.13 | +0.89 |
| 6 | ARI | 0.65 | -0.13 | +0.77 |
| 7 | CHI | 0.35 | -0.38 | +0.73 |
| 8 | TB | -0.41 | -1.06 | +0.65 |
| 9 | NYG | 0.29 | -0.31 | +0.61 |
| 10 | IND | 0 | -0.56 | +0.56 |
| 11 | DET | 0.65 | 0.13 | +0.52 |
| 12 | SEA | -1.82 | -2.25 | +0.43 |
| 13 | BAL | 1.35 | 1.06 | +0.29 |
| 14 | GB | -0.18 | -0.44 | +0.26 |
| 15 | PIT | 0.47 | 0.25 | +0.22 |
| 16 | DEN | -0.47 | -0.50 | +0.03 |
| 17 | CLE | -0.35 | -0.38 | +0.02 |
| 18 | KC | 0.29 | 0.38 | −0.08 |
| 19 | DAL | 0.18 | 0.38 | −0.20 |
| 20 | NE | -0.24 | 0.13 | −0.36 |
| 21 | PHI | 0.29 | 0.69 | −0.39 |
| 22 | WAS | -0.06 | 0.63 | −0.68 |
| 23 | NYJ | -0.47 | 0.31 | −0.78 |
| 24 | MIA | 0.24 | 1.13 | −0.89 |
| 25 | CIN | -0.71 | 0.25 | −0.96 |
| 26 | LAC | 0.24 | 1.25 | −1.01 |
| 27 | LV | -1.35 | -0.31 | −1.04 |
| 28 | NO | -1.12 | -0.06 | −1.06 |
| 29 | JAX | -0.53 | 0.75 | −1.28 |
| 30 | SF | -1.35 | -0.06 | −1.29 |
| 31 | ATL | -0.29 | 1.69 | −1.98 |
| 32 | LAR | -1.12 | 1 | −2.12 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 1.27 | +0.60 | -0.38 | 0.35 | 0.94 | 0.88 | 0.94 | 2.18 | 4 |
| 2 | LAC | 1.20 | +0.02 | 1.25 | 0.24 | 3.29 | 0.24 | -0.41 | 3 | 0.80 |
| 3 | NYG | 1.04 | +0.43 | -0.31 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 1.88 | 0.88 | 1.65 | 2.60 |
| 4 | ARI | 1.00 | +0.32 | -0.13 | 0.65 | 1.71 | 1.06 | -0.82 | 1.35 | 3.20 |
| 5 | DAL | 0.56 | +0.10 | 0.38 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.88 | 1.41 | 0.29 | 0.80 |
| 6 | HOU | 0.46 | +0.00 | -0.69 | 2 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.20 |
| 7 | TB | 0.35 | +0.38 | -1.06 | -0.41 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 1.59 | 1.20 |
| 8 | NO | 0.23 | +0.46 | -0.06 | -1.12 | -1 | 0.71 | -0.47 | 0.76 | 2.80 |
| 9 | CLE | 0.23 | −0.05 | -0.38 | -0.35 | 0.94 | 1.29 | 1 | 0.71 | -1.60 |
| 10 | NYJ | 0.22 | +0.20 | 0.31 | -0.47 | -0.18 | -0.24 | -0.12 | 1.24 | 1 |
| 11 | PIT | 0.22 | −0.19 | 0.25 | 0.47 | 1.29 | -0.18 | 1.47 | -1.59 | -0.20 |
| 12 | DET | 0.19 | −0.27 | 0.13 | 0.65 | 0.47 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 0.06 | -2.20 |
| 13 | CIN | 0.16 | +0.19 | 0.25 | -0.71 | -0.50 | 0.12 | 0.41 | 0.94 | 0.60 |
| 14 | WAS | 0.16 | −0.12 | 0.63 | -0.06 | 1.18 | -0.47 | 0.65 | -1.41 | 0.60 |
| 15 | MIN | 0.08 | +0.05 | -0.13 | 0.76 | 0.59 | -0.41 | -1.06 | -1.82 | 2.60 |
| 16 | CAR | -0.04 | −0.15 | -0.13 | 0.94 | -1.47 | 2.18 | -0.53 | -0.29 | -1 |
| 17 | PHI | -0.09 | −0.24 | 0.69 | 0.29 | 0 | -0.65 | 1.18 | -1.12 | -1 |
| 18 | IND | -0.13 | +0.12 | -0.56 | 0 | 0.29 | -0.47 | -0.65 | -1.35 | 1.80 |
| 19 | JAX | -0.13 | −0.03 | 0.75 | -0.53 | -0.29 | 0 | -1.12 | -0.35 | 0.60 |
| 20 | MIA | -0.14 | +0.04 | 1.13 | 0.24 | -2.24 | -0.88 | 0.29 | -0.88 | 1.40 |
| 21 | TEN | -0.18 | +0.16 | -2 | 1.47 | -0.41 | -1.29 | 0.12 | 1.88 | -1 |
| 22 | LAR | -0.19 | −0.08 | 1 | -1.12 | 0.35 | -0.12 | -0.47 | -2.18 | 1.20 |
| 23 | DEN | -0.20 | −0.14 | -0.50 | -0.47 | 0.65 | 1.06 | -0.24 | -0.29 | -1.60 |
| 24 | NE | -0.31 | +0.09 | 0.13 | -0.24 | -1.65 | -0.65 | 0.06 | -0.24 | 0.40 |
| 25 | KC | -0.33 | −0.14 | 0.38 | 0.29 | -1.71 | -0.24 | 0.59 | -0.35 | -1.25 |
| 26 | LV | -0.39 | +0.10 | -0.31 | -1.35 | 0.06 | -0.76 | 0.24 | -0.82 | 0.20 |
| 27 | ATL | -0.41 | −0.38 | 1.69 | -0.29 | -1.41 | 0.12 | -0.24 | -0.71 | -2 |
| 28 | GB | -0.61 | −0.29 | -0.44 | -0.18 | 0.41 | -0.18 | -0.82 | -0.65 | -2.40 |
| 29 | BUF | -0.63 | −0.25 | -0.63 | 0.29 | -1.19 | 0.29 | -0.12 | 0.12 | -3.20 |
| 30 | BAL | -0.91 | −0.74 | 1.06 | 1.35 | 0.47 | -2.41 | -2.24 | -1.59 | -3 |
| 31 | SF | -1.07 | −0.25 | -0.06 | -1.35 | -0.29 | -2.06 | -1.12 | 1.18 | -3.80 |
| 32 | SEA | -1.69 | +0.02 | -2.25 | -1.82 | -1.41 | -1.47 | -0.88 | -1.82 | -2.20 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HOU | -0.69 | 2 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.20 |
| TEN | -2 | 1.47 | -0.41 | -1.29 | 0.12 | 1.88 | -1 |
| BAL | 1.06 | 1.35 | 0.47 | -2.41 | -2.24 | -1.59 | -3 |
| CAR | -0.13 | 0.94 | -1.47 | 2.18 | -0.53 | -0.29 | -1 |
| MIN | -0.13 | 0.76 | 0.59 | -0.41 | -1.06 | -1.82 | 2.60 |
| ARI | -0.13 | 0.65 | 1.71 | 1.06 | -0.82 | 1.35 | 3.20 |
| DET | 0.13 | 0.65 | 0.47 | 1.12 | 1.12 | 0.06 | -2.20 |
| PIT | 0.25 | 0.47 | 1.29 | -0.18 | 1.47 | -1.59 | -0.20 |
| CHI | -0.38 | 0.35 | 0.94 | 0.88 | 0.94 | 2.18 | 4 |
| BUF | -0.63 | 0.29 | -1.19 | 0.29 | -0.12 | 0.12 | -3.20 |
| KC | 0.38 | 0.29 | -1.71 | -0.24 | 0.59 | -0.35 | -1.25 |
| NYG | -0.31 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 1.88 | 0.88 | 1.65 | 2.60 |
| PHI | 0.69 | 0.29 | 0 | -0.65 | 1.18 | -1.12 | -1 |
| LAC | 1.25 | 0.24 | 3.29 | 0.24 | -0.41 | 3 | 0.80 |
| MIA | 1.13 | 0.24 | -2.24 | -0.88 | 0.29 | -0.88 | 1.40 |
| DAL | 0.38 | 0.18 | 0 | 0.88 | 1.41 | 0.29 | 0.80 |
| IND | -0.56 | 0 | 0.29 | -0.47 | -0.65 | -1.35 | 1.80 |
| WAS | 0.63 | -0.06 | 1.18 | -0.47 | 0.65 | -1.41 | 0.60 |
| GB | -0.44 | -0.18 | 0.41 | -0.18 | -0.82 | -0.65 | -2.40 |
| NE | 0.13 | -0.24 | -1.65 | -0.65 | 0.06 | -0.24 | 0.40 |
| ATL | 1.69 | -0.29 | -1.41 | 0.12 | -0.24 | -0.71 | -2 |
| CLE | -0.38 | -0.35 | 0.94 | 1.29 | 1 | 0.71 | -1.60 |
| TB | -1.06 | -0.41 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 1.59 | 1.20 |
| DEN | -0.50 | -0.47 | 0.65 | 1.06 | -0.24 | -0.29 | -1.60 |
| NYJ | 0.31 | -0.47 | -0.18 | -0.24 | -0.12 | 1.24 | 1 |
| JAX | 0.75 | -0.53 | -0.29 | 0 | -1.12 | -0.35 | 0.60 |
| CIN | 0.25 | -0.71 | -0.50 | 0.12 | 0.41 | 0.94 | 0.60 |
| LAR | 1 | -1.12 | 0.35 | -0.12 | -0.47 | -2.18 | 1.20 |
| NO | -0.06 | -1.12 | -1 | 0.71 | -0.47 | 0.76 | 2.80 |
| LV | -0.31 | -1.35 | 0.06 | -0.76 | 0.24 | -0.82 | 0.20 |
| SF | -0.06 | -1.35 | -0.29 | -2.06 | -1.12 | 1.18 | -3.80 |
| SEA | -2.25 | -1.82 | -1.41 | -1.47 | -0.88 | -1.82 | -2.20 |
Third down att (Off − Def) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Lions (1.31), 2019 Patriots (1.94), 2020 Falcons (1.69), 2021 Texans (2).
The best season on record is Texans 2021 at 2; the worst Commanders 2019 at -2.94.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_third_down_att
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- count
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.