What Rush 1stD (Off − Def) is

Rushing first downs earned minus rushing first downs allowed.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the Bills led at 3.71; the league average was 0.00.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

BUF · 3.71

League average

0.00

Best to worst

6.47

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BUF	3.71	17
2	SF	2.88	17
3	BAL	2.76	17
4	CHI	2.76	17
5	PHI	2.35	17
6	CLE	1.94	17
7	DET	1.88	17
8	PIT	1.06	17
9	NO	0.88	17
10	ATL	0.82	17
11	LAR	0.41	17
12	MIA	0.41	17
13	TEN	0.24	17
14	DAL	0.12	17
15	KC	0.12	17
16	DEN	-0.12	17
17	JAX	-0.12	17
18	NE	-0.53	17
19	ARI	-0.71	17
20	CAR	-0.71	17
21	IND	-0.76	17
22	GB	-1.18	17
23	MIN	-1.24	17
24	WAS	-1.24	17
25	LAC	-1.29	17
26	TB	-1.35	17
27	HOU	-1.53	17
28	LV	-2.06	17
29	NYG	-2.12	17
30	CIN	-2.29	17
31	NYJ	-2.35	17
32	SEA	-2.76	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BUF · 3.71

League laggard

SEA · -2.76

League average

0.00

Spread (max − min)

6.47

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BUF	3.71	3.71	100%
2	SF	2.88	2.88	96.8%
3	BAL	2.76	2.76	93.5%
4	CHI	2.76	2.76	90.3%
5	PHI	2.35	2.35	87.1%
6	CLE	1.94	1.94	83.9%
7	DET	1.88	1.88	80.6%
8	PIT	1.06	1.06	77.4%
9	NO	0.88	0.88	74.2%
10	ATL	0.82	0.82	71%
11	LAR	0.41	0.41	67.7%
12	MIA	0.41	0.41	64.5%
13	TEN	0.24	0.24	61.3%
14	DAL	0.12	0.12	58.1%
15	KC	0.12	0.12	54.8%
16	DEN	-0.12	-0.12	51.6%
17	JAX	-0.12	-0.12	48.4%
18	NE	-0.53	-0.53	45.2%
19	ARI	-0.71	-0.71	41.9%
20	CAR	-0.71	-0.71	38.7%
21	IND	-0.76	-0.76	35.5%
22	GB	-1.18	-1.18	32.3%
23	MIN	-1.24	-1.24	29%
24	WAS	-1.24	-1.24	25.8%
25	LAC	-1.29	-1.29	22.6%
26	TB	-1.35	-1.35	19.4%
27	HOU	-1.53	-1.53	16.1%
28	LV	-2.06	-2.06	12.9%
29	NYG	-2.12	-2.12	9.7%
30	CIN	-2.29	-2.29	6.5%
31	NYJ	-2.35	-2.35	3.2%
32	SEA	-2.76	-2.76	0%

Does Rush 1stD (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 851–727–37 ATS (53.9%) across 2020–2025, #101 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (147–117, 55.7%); its worst 2021 (140–130, 51.9%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	138–116–2	54.3%
2021	272	140–130–2	51.9%
2022	271	147–117–7	55.7%
2023	272	135–123–14	52.3%
2024	272	146–117–9	55.5%
2025	272	145–124–3	53.9%

Rush 1stD (Off − Def) in 2023 vs 2022

Bills lead at 3.71 — they ranked #5 last year. Seahawks are last at -2.76 — #28 last year.

The league average is 0.00, down 0.00 from 0.00 last year.

Biggest riser: Lions, #25 → #7. Biggest faller: Giants, #8 → #29.

Spread between first and last: 6.47; 20 teams are within 1.70 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

DET · +3.12

Biggest faller

NYG · −3.06

Most consistent

JAX · −0.06

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▼ 0.00

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	DET	1.88	-1.24	+3.12
2	CHI	2.76	0	+2.76
3	HOU	-1.53	-3.76	+2.24
4	BUF	3.71	1.50	+2.21
5	NO	0.88	-1.29	+2.18
6	LAR	0.41	-1.06	+1.47
7	CLE	1.94	0.59	+1.35
8	IND	-0.76	-2.06	+1.29
9	MIA	0.41	-0.35	+0.76
10	TB	-1.35	-1.59	+0.24
11	MIN	-1.24	-1.35	+0.12
12	DEN	-0.12	-0.18	+0.06
13	JAX	-0.12	-0.06	−0.06
14	KC	0.12	0.24	−0.12
15	SF	2.88	3.06	−0.18
16	ARI	-0.71	-0.53	−0.18
17	LAC	-1.29	-1.12	−0.18
18	DAL	0.12	0.35	−0.24
19	TEN	0.24	0.53	−0.29
20	NYJ	-2.35	-2.06	−0.29
21	PHI	2.35	2.71	−0.35
22	ATL	0.82	1.24	−0.41
23	CAR	-0.71	-0.18	−0.53
24	GB	-1.18	-0.53	−0.65
25	PIT	1.06	1.88	−0.82
26	NE	-0.53	0.59	−1.12
27	SEA	-2.76	-1.47	−1.29
28	LV	-2.06	-0.29	−1.76
29	BAL	2.76	4.59	−1.82
30	CIN	-2.29	-0.38	−1.92
31	WAS	-1.24	1.35	−2.59
32	NYG	-2.12	0.94	−3.06

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BAL · 3.83

Multi-year laggard

HOU · -1.77

Biggest improver

JAX · +1.01/yr

Biggest decliner

NO · −1.03/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BAL	3.83	−0.36	4.50	4.71	4.59	2.76	5.65	2.24	2.40
2	BUF	1.95	+0.45	-0.19	1.53	1.50	3.71	1.94	0.76	4.40
3	SF	1.47	+0.00	-0.06	2	3.06	2.88	0.12	0.12	2.20
4	PHI	1.21	−0.59	0.75	2.71	2.71	2.35	3.47	-0.88	-2.60
5	WAS	0.79	+0.02	0.38	1.71	1.35	-1.24	2	-0.47	1.80
6	NE	0.72	+0.12	0.75	1.53	0.59	-0.53	-1.35	1.47	2.60
7	CHI	0.70	+0.50	-0.81	0	0	2.76	-1.88	1.06	3.80
8	TB	0.57	+0.37	0.38	0.65	-1.59	-1.35	2.47	1.65	1.80
9	KC	0.55	+0.31	-0.06	0.24	0.24	0.12	-0.12	0.94	2.50
10	IND	0.40	−0.30	2	3.06	-2.06	-0.76	0	-0.06	0.60
11	ATL	0.31	+0.81	-0.56	-3.94	1.24	0.82	0	-0.35	5
12	CLE	0.26	−0.55	1.19	1.47	0.59	1.94	-0.76	-0.18	-2.40
13	DEN	0.20	−0.12	-0.69	1.29	-0.18	-0.12	2.35	1.53	-2.80
14	LAR	0.11	−0.13	1.88	-0.76	-1.06	0.41	0.18	1.12	-1
15	TEN	0.06	−0.79	1.75	2.53	0.53	0.24	-0.65	-1.41	-2.60
16	DET	0.02	+0.53	-2.13	-1.88	-1.24	1.88	3.47	0.24	-0.20
17	NO	-0.22	−1.03	3.75	1.65	-1.29	0.88	-1.35	-1.35	-3.80
18	JAX	-0.24	+1.01	-3.81	-1.71	-0.06	-0.12	-1.76	2.41	3.40
19	PIT	-0.30	+0.05	-0.56	-3.29	1.88	1.06	1.12	-0.71	-1.60
20	ARI	-0.36	−0.58	1.19	1.29	-0.53	-0.71	0.94	-2.53	-2.20
21	SEA	-0.41	+0.13	1.06	-0.88	-1.47	-2.76	-1.35	2.76	-0.20
22	MIA	-0.47	+0.04	-0.69	-0.94	-0.35	0.41	-0.41	-1.12	-0.20
23	MIN	-0.50	+0.18	0.19	-1.53	-1.35	-1.24	1.18	-2.35	1.60
24	LAC	-0.64	+0.19	-0.06	-2.12	-1.12	-1.29	-0.06	0.76	-0.60
25	NYG	-0.66	+0.33	-1.31	-2.12	0.94	-2.12	-1.47	0.88	0.60
26	GB	-0.70	−0.30	-0.31	-0.59	-0.53	-1.18	1.94	0.18	-4.40
27	CAR	-1.01	−0.28	-0.63	0.53	-0.18	-0.71	-4.53	-0.59	-1
28	DAL	-1.06	−0.36	-1.75	0.59	0.35	0.12	-2.71	-1	-3
29	LV	-1.55	−0.54	0.19	-0.94	-0.29	-2.06	-1.47	-3.71	-2.60
30	CIN	-1.56	−0.04	-2.13	-0.53	-0.38	-2.29	-3	-1.76	-0.80
31	NYJ	-1.67	+0.10	-0.50	-2.59	-2.06	-2.35	-2.82	-1	-0.40
32	HOU	-1.77	+0.85	-3.69	-3.65	-3.76	-1.53	-1.12	1.35	0

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BUF	-0.19	1.53	1.50	3.71	1.94	0.76	4.40
SF	-0.06	2	3.06	2.88	0.12	0.12	2.20
BAL	4.50	4.71	4.59	2.76	5.65	2.24	2.40
CHI	-0.81	0	0	2.76	-1.88	1.06	3.80
PHI	0.75	2.71	2.71	2.35	3.47	-0.88	-2.60
CLE	1.19	1.47	0.59	1.94	-0.76	-0.18	-2.40
DET	-2.13	-1.88	-1.24	1.88	3.47	0.24	-0.20
PIT	-0.56	-3.29	1.88	1.06	1.12	-0.71	-1.60
NO	3.75	1.65	-1.29	0.88	-1.35	-1.35	-3.80
ATL	-0.56	-3.94	1.24	0.82	0	-0.35	5
LAR	1.88	-0.76	-1.06	0.41	0.18	1.12	-1
MIA	-0.69	-0.94	-0.35	0.41	-0.41	-1.12	-0.20
TEN	1.75	2.53	0.53	0.24	-0.65	-1.41	-2.60
DAL	-1.75	0.59	0.35	0.12	-2.71	-1	-3
KC	-0.06	0.24	0.24	0.12	-0.12	0.94	2.50
DEN	-0.69	1.29	-0.18	-0.12	2.35	1.53	-2.80
JAX	-3.81	-1.71	-0.06	-0.12	-1.76	2.41	3.40
NE	0.75	1.53	0.59	-0.53	-1.35	1.47	2.60
ARI	1.19	1.29	-0.53	-0.71	0.94	-2.53	-2.20
CAR	-0.63	0.53	-0.18	-0.71	-4.53	-0.59	-1
IND	2	3.06	-2.06	-0.76	0	-0.06	0.60
GB	-0.31	-0.59	-0.53	-1.18	1.94	0.18	-4.40
MIN	0.19	-1.53	-1.35	-1.24	1.18	-2.35	1.60
WAS	0.38	1.71	1.35	-1.24	2	-0.47	1.80
LAC	-0.06	-2.12	-1.12	-1.29	-0.06	0.76	-0.60
TB	0.38	0.65	-1.59	-1.35	2.47	1.65	1.80
HOU	-3.69	-3.65	-3.76	-1.53	-1.12	1.35	0
LV	0.19	-0.94	-0.29	-2.06	-1.47	-3.71	-2.60
NYG	-1.31	-2.12	0.94	-2.12	-1.47	0.88	0.60
CIN	-2.13	-0.53	-0.38	-2.29	-3	-1.76	-0.80
NYJ	-0.50	-2.59	-2.06	-2.35	-2.82	-1	-0.40
SEA	1.06	-0.88	-1.47	-2.76	-1.35	2.76	-0.20

Rush 1stD (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Ravens (4.50), 2019 Ravens (7.31), 2020 Ravens (4.50), 2021 Ravens (4.71), 2022 Ravens (4.59), 2023 Bills (3.71).

Ravens have led this stat 5 of 6 seasons.

The best season on record is Ravens 2019 at 7.31; the worst Cardinals 2018 at -4.19.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_rush_fd
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.