What Rush 1stD (Off − Def) is

Rushing first downs earned minus rushing first downs allowed.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

Through Week 8 of 2026, the Bills lead at 4.86; the league average is 0.04.

League snapshot — 2026

League leader

BUF · 4.86

League average

0.04

Best to worst

8.36

All 32 teams, higher is better.

At a glance — 2026

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BUF · 4.86

League laggard

LV · -3.50

League average

0.04

Spread (max − min)

8.36

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BUF	4.86	4.82	100%
2	TB	3.88	3.83	96.8%
3	CHI	3.86	3.82	93.5%
4	JAX	3	2.96	90.3%
5	SF	3	2.96	87.1%
6	NE	2	1.96	83.9%
7	LAR	1.88	1.83	80.6%
8	DET	1.86	1.82	77.4%
9	KC	1.57	1.53	74.2%
10	PIT	1.38	1.33	71%
11	SEA	1.29	1.24	67.7%
12	ATL	1	0.96	64.5%
13	IND	1	0.96	61.3%
14	NYG	0.86	0.82	58.1%
15	MIA	0.29	0.24	54.8%
16	BAL	-0.13	-0.17	51.6%
17	WAS	-0.14	-0.18	48.4%
18	CIN	-0.29	-0.33	45.2%
19	MIN	-0.86	-0.90	41.9%
20	NYJ	-1.25	-1.29	38.7%
21	DAL	-1.38	-1.42	35.5%
22	HOU	-1.43	-1.47	32.3%
23	CAR	-1.86	-1.90	29%
24	ARI	-2	-2.04	25.8%
25	DEN	-2	-2.04	22.6%
26	TEN	-2.25	-2.29	19.4%
27	LAC	-2.29	-2.33	16.1%
28	CLE	-2.50	-2.54	12.9%
29	PHI	-2.63	-2.67	9.7%
30	GB	-2.75	-2.79	6.5%
31	NO	-3.14	-3.18	3.2%
32	LV	-3.50	-3.54	0%

Does Rush 1stD (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 851–727–37 ATS (53.9%) across 2020–2025, #101 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (147–117, 55.7%); its worst 2021 (140–130, 51.9%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	138–116–2	54.3%
2021	272	140–130–2	51.9%
2022	271	147–117–7	55.7%
2023	272	135–123–14	52.3%
2024	272	146–117–9	55.5%
2025	272	145–124–3	53.9%

Rush 1stD (Off − Def) in 2026 vs 2025

Bills lead at 4.86 — they ranked #12 last year. Raiders are last at -3.50 — #32 last year.

The league average is 0.04, up 0.04 from 0.00 last year.

Biggest riser: Steelers, #22 → #10. Biggest faller: Broncos, #5 → #25.

Spread between first and last: 8.36; 20 teams are within 2.25 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2026 vs 2025

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

BUF · +4.09

Biggest faller

DEN · −3.53

Most consistent

NYG · −0.03

League trend 2026 vs 2025

▲ 0.04

Rank	Team	2026	2025	Δ
1	BUF	4.86	0.76	+4.09
2	SF	3	0.12	+2.88
3	CHI	3.86	1.06	+2.80
4	TB	3.88	1.65	+2.23
5	PIT	1.38	-0.71	+2.08
6	DET	1.86	0.24	+1.62
7	MIN	-0.86	-2.35	+1.50
8	CIN	-0.29	-1.76	+1.48
9	MIA	0.29	-1.12	+1.40
10	ATL	1	-0.35	+1.35
11	IND	1	-0.06	+1.06
12	LAR	1.88	1.12	+0.76
13	KC	1.57	0.94	+0.63
14	JAX	3	2.41	+0.59
15	ARI	-2	-2.53	+0.53
16	NE	2	1.47	+0.53
17	WAS	-0.14	-0.47	+0.33
18	LV	-3.50	-3.71	+0.21
19	NYG	0.86	0.88	−0.03
20	NYJ	-1.25	-1	−0.25
21	DAL	-1.38	-1	−0.38
22	TEN	-2.25	-1.41	−0.84
23	CAR	-1.86	-0.59	−1.27
24	SEA	1.29	2.76	−1.48
25	PHI	-2.63	-0.88	−1.74
26	NO	-3.14	-1.35	−1.79
27	CLE	-2.50	-0.18	−2.32
28	BAL	-0.13	2.24	−2.36
29	HOU	-1.43	1.35	−2.78
30	GB	-2.75	0.18	−2.93
31	LAC	-2.29	0.76	−3.05
32	DEN	-2	1.53	−3.53

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BAL · 3.47

Multi-year laggard

HOU · -1.97

Biggest improver

JAX · +0.96/yr

Biggest decliner

NO · −0.95/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BAL	3.47	−0.63	4.50	4.71	4.59	2.76	5.65	2.24	-0.13
2	BUF	2.02	+0.50	-0.19	1.53	1.50	3.71	1.94	0.76	4.86
3	SF	1.59	+0.09	-0.06	2	3.06	2.88	0.12	0.12	3
4	PHI	1.21	−0.59	0.75	2.71	2.71	2.35	3.47	-0.88	-2.63
5	TB	0.87	+0.59	0.38	0.65	-1.59	-1.35	2.47	1.65	3.88
6	CHI	0.71	+0.51	-0.81	0	0	2.76	-1.88	1.06	3.86
7	NE	0.64	+0.06	0.75	1.53	0.59	-0.53	-1.35	1.47	2
8	LAR	0.52	+0.18	1.88	-0.76	-1.06	0.41	0.18	1.12	1.88
9	WAS	0.51	−0.19	0.38	1.71	1.35	-1.24	2	-0.47	-0.14
10	IND	0.45	−0.26	2	3.06	-2.06	-0.76	0	-0.06	1
11	KC	0.42	+0.21	-0.06	0.24	0.24	0.12	-0.12	0.94	1.57
12	DET	0.31	+0.75	-2.13	-1.88	-1.24	1.88	3.47	0.24	1.86
13	DEN	0.31	−0.03	-0.69	1.29	-0.18	-0.12	2.35	1.53	-2
14	CLE	0.25	−0.56	1.19	1.47	0.59	1.94	-0.76	-0.18	-2.50
15	PIT	0.12	+0.37	-0.56	-3.29	1.88	1.06	1.12	-0.71	1.38
16	TEN	0.11	−0.75	1.75	2.53	0.53	0.24	-0.65	-1.41	-2.25
17	NO	-0.12	−0.95	3.75	1.65	-1.29	0.88	-1.35	-1.35	-3.14
18	SEA	-0.19	+0.29	1.06	-0.88	-1.47	-2.76	-1.35	2.76	1.29
19	ATL	-0.26	+0.38	-0.56	-3.94	1.24	0.82	0	-0.35	1
20	JAX	-0.29	+0.96	-3.81	-1.71	-0.06	-0.12	-1.76	2.41	3
21	ARI	-0.33	−0.56	1.19	1.29	-0.53	-0.71	0.94	-2.53	-2
22	MIA	-0.40	+0.09	-0.69	-0.94	-0.35	0.41	-0.41	-1.12	0.29
23	GB	-0.46	−0.12	-0.31	-0.59	-0.53	-1.18	1.94	0.18	-2.75
24	NYG	-0.62	+0.36	-1.31	-2.12	0.94	-2.12	-1.47	0.88	0.86
25	DAL	-0.82	−0.18	-1.75	0.59	0.35	0.12	-2.71	-1	-1.38
26	MIN	-0.85	−0.08	0.19	-1.53	-1.35	-1.24	1.18	-2.35	-0.86
27	LAC	-0.88	+0.01	-0.06	-2.12	-1.12	-1.29	-0.06	0.76	-2.29
28	CAR	-1.14	−0.37	-0.63	0.53	-0.18	-0.71	-4.53	-0.59	-1.86
29	CIN	-1.48	+0.02	-2.13	-0.53	-0.38	-2.29	-3	-1.76	-0.29
30	LV	-1.68	−0.63	0.19	-0.94	-0.29	-2.06	-1.47	-3.71	-3.50
31	NYJ	-1.80	+0.01	-0.50	-2.59	-2.06	-2.35	-2.82	-1	-1.25
32	HOU	-1.97	+0.69	-3.69	-3.65	-3.76	-1.53	-1.12	1.35	-1.43

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BUF	-0.19	1.53	1.50	3.71	1.94	0.76	4.86
TB	0.38	0.65	-1.59	-1.35	2.47	1.65	3.88
CHI	-0.81	0	0	2.76	-1.88	1.06	3.86
JAX	-3.81	-1.71	-0.06	-0.12	-1.76	2.41	3
SF	-0.06	2	3.06	2.88	0.12	0.12	3
NE	0.75	1.53	0.59	-0.53	-1.35	1.47	2
LAR	1.88	-0.76	-1.06	0.41	0.18	1.12	1.88
DET	-2.13	-1.88	-1.24	1.88	3.47	0.24	1.86
KC	-0.06	0.24	0.24	0.12	-0.12	0.94	1.57
PIT	-0.56	-3.29	1.88	1.06	1.12	-0.71	1.38
SEA	1.06	-0.88	-1.47	-2.76	-1.35	2.76	1.29
ATL	-0.56	-3.94	1.24	0.82	0	-0.35	1
IND	2	3.06	-2.06	-0.76	0	-0.06	1
NYG	-1.31	-2.12	0.94	-2.12	-1.47	0.88	0.86
MIA	-0.69	-0.94	-0.35	0.41	-0.41	-1.12	0.29
BAL	4.50	4.71	4.59	2.76	5.65	2.24	-0.13
WAS	0.38	1.71	1.35	-1.24	2	-0.47	-0.14
CIN	-2.13	-0.53	-0.38	-2.29	-3	-1.76	-0.29
MIN	0.19	-1.53	-1.35	-1.24	1.18	-2.35	-0.86
NYJ	-0.50	-2.59	-2.06	-2.35	-2.82	-1	-1.25
DAL	-1.75	0.59	0.35	0.12	-2.71	-1	-1.38
HOU	-3.69	-3.65	-3.76	-1.53	-1.12	1.35	-1.43
CAR	-0.63	0.53	-0.18	-0.71	-4.53	-0.59	-1.86
ARI	1.19	1.29	-0.53	-0.71	0.94	-2.53	-2
DEN	-0.69	1.29	-0.18	-0.12	2.35	1.53	-2
TEN	1.75	2.53	0.53	0.24	-0.65	-1.41	-2.25
LAC	-0.06	-2.12	-1.12	-1.29	-0.06	0.76	-2.29
CLE	1.19	1.47	0.59	1.94	-0.76	-0.18	-2.50
PHI	0.75	2.71	2.71	2.35	3.47	-0.88	-2.63
GB	-0.31	-0.59	-0.53	-1.18	1.94	0.18	-2.75
NO	3.75	1.65	-1.29	0.88	-1.35	-1.35	-3.14
LV	0.19	-0.94	-0.29	-2.06	-1.47	-3.71	-3.50

Rush 1stD (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Ravens (4.50), 2019 Ravens (7.31), 2020 Ravens (4.50), 2021 Ravens (4.71), 2022 Ravens (4.59), 2023 Bills (3.71), 2024 Ravens (5.65), 2025 Seahawks (2.76), 2026 Bills (4.86).

Ravens have led this stat 6 of 9 seasons.

The best season on record is Ravens 2019 at 7.31; the worst Panthers 2024 at -4.53.

Week to week — Week 6 to Week 7

Since Week 6: Rams up 9 (#18 → #9), Buccaneers up 6 (#9 → #3), Bengals up 4 (#21 → #17); Panthers down 8 (#13 → #21), Vikings down 5 (#10 → #15), Ravens down 4 (#8 → #12).

19 teams moved by two places or fewer.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2026.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_rush_fd
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.