NET: Red zone pct (Off − Def)

NET · NET (Off − Def)P + N
About this stat ↓

What Red zone pct (Off − Def) is

Red-zone touchdown rate minus the rate allowed. Seven points against three, on both sides of the ball.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2023 the Ravens led at 11.22; the league average was -15.43.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader
BAL · 11.22
League average
-15.43
Best to worst
69.68

All 32 teams, higher is better.

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader
BAL · 11.22
League laggard
LAR · -58.46
League average
-15.43
Spread (max − min)
69.68

Does Red zone pct (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 839–739–37 ATS (53.2%) across 2020–2025, #128 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (162–102, 61.4%); its worst 2023 (129–129, 50.0%).

For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

SeasonGamesATS recordATS %
2020256137–117–253.9%
2021272137–133–250.7%
2022271162–102–761.4%
2023272129–129–1450.0%
2024272135–128–951.3%
2025272139–130–351.7%

Red zone pct (Off − Def) in 2023 vs 2022

Ravens lead at 11.22 — they ranked #7 last year. Rams are last at -58.46 — #32 last year.

The league average is -15.43, down 0.25 from -15.18 last year.

Biggest riser: Patriots, #30 → #2. Biggest faller: Giants, #2 → #30.

Spread between first and last: 69.68; 25 teams are within 11.75 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser
NE · +32.34
Biggest faller
NYG · −28.52
Most consistent
ATL · +0.88
League trend 2023 vs 2022
▼ -0.25

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader
BAL · -3.78
Multi-year laggard
LAR · -55.25
Biggest improver
JAX · +3.80/yr
Biggest decliner
WAS · −3.17/yr

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team2020202120222023202420252026
BAL-10.71-8.89-7.5311.22-1.41-17.808.64
NE-22.036.33-31.091.25-27.26-24.81-24.71
SF-1.56-5.31-18.01-1.60-18.99-0.2814.85
KC-25.19-13.75-7.91-1.85-10.52-3.49-1.19
TEN-7.69-4.87-11.88-2.01-22.81-21.65-16.35
CIN-24.51-21.521.13-5.56-22.68-9.23-8.49
BUF-21.622.24-10.97-9.21-3.91-16.49-22.71
NO-3.83-1.61-15.49-9.34-17.16-24.83-0.81
GB1.54-18.59-17.98-10.39-8.15-14.41-32.78
WAS-14.24-17.01-13.08-10.90-12.77-13.75-46.11
ATL-25.35-15.42-11.95-11.07-21.93-6.25-1.60
CHI-11.24-21.64-19.95-12.06-4.70-19.94-31.37
PIT-14.61-9.50-14.80-13.06-11.20-12.37-28.99
ARI-2.19-12.76-20.29-13.23-8.85-15.63-25.44
HOU-26.32-30.25-14.93-13.39-25.32-25.59-14.71
MIA-10.80-4.80-11.24-14.44-0.75-18.24-22.36
DAL-23.40-17.584.10-15.85-36.51-25.128.33
LAC-16.64-9.35-18.04-16.11-13.82-9.421.14
DET-16.78-32.43-6.64-16.880.05-16.87-12.00
TB-12.49-0.75-23.88-16.90-3.78-28.98-14.14
MIN0.03-12.24-7.54-18.42-17.915.828.75
CAR-24.52-15.69-12.73-18.79-14.74-15.87-25.00
DEN-4.80-5.68-5.73-19.63-3.53-0.40-7.06
PHI-24.37-16.00-6.68-19.75-6.11-7.26-9.46
IND-21.89-22.76-26.18-23.25-23.613.09-8.93
SEA-5.96-9.97-29.51-24.57-9.49-8.97-23.60
CLE-8.25-15.63-16.75-24.61-30.72-20.72-24.56
LV-17.61-34.41-33.33-25.58-20.44-17.14-29.45
JAX-18.60-25.33-15.56-25.61-14.91-13.088.48
NYG-15.62-16.532.06-26.46-22.22-26.12-17.43
NYJ-31.81-18.11-15.58-27.24-10.99-36.81-23.22
LAR-53.70-52.24-47.95-58.46-58.90-52.31-63.16

Red zone pct (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Colts (6.33), 2019 Ravens (-1.11), 2020 Packers (1.54), 2021 Patriots (6.33), 2022 Cowboys (4.10), 2023 Ravens (11.22).

Ravens have led this stat 2 of 6 seasons.

The best season on record is Ravens 2023 at 11.22; the worst Rams 2018 at -64.18.

The league average has risen from -17.35 in 2018 to -15.43 in 2023.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat
Stat ID
net_red_zone_pct
Side
net
Family
NET (Off − Def)
Data source
P + N
Polarity
higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain
rate
Algorithm eligibility
Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.