NET: Red zone pct (Off − Def)
What Red zone pct (Off − Def) is
Red-zone touchdown rate minus the rate allowed. Seven points against three, on both sides of the ball.
Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
In 2023 the Ravens led at 11.22; the league average was -15.43.
League snapshot — 2023
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 11.22 | 17 |
| 2 | NE | 1.25 | 17 |
| 3 | SF | -1.60 | 17 |
| 4 | KC | -1.85 | 17 |
| 5 | TEN | -2.01 | 17 |
| 6 | CIN | -5.56 | 17 |
| 7 | BUF | -9.21 | 17 |
| 8 | NO | -9.34 | 17 |
| 9 | GB | -10.39 | 17 |
| 10 | WAS | -10.90 | 17 |
| 11 | ATL | -11.07 | 17 |
| 12 | CHI | -12.06 | 17 |
| 13 | PIT | -13.06 | 17 |
| 14 | ARI | -13.23 | 17 |
| 15 | HOU | -13.39 | 17 |
| 16 | MIA | -14.44 | 17 |
| 17 | DAL | -15.85 | 17 |
| 18 | LAC | -16.11 | 17 |
| 19 | DET | -16.88 | 17 |
| 20 | TB | -16.90 | 17 |
| 21 | MIN | -18.42 | 17 |
| 22 | CAR | -18.79 | 17 |
| 23 | DEN | -19.63 | 17 |
| 24 | PHI | -19.75 | 17 |
| 25 | IND | -23.25 | 17 |
| 26 | SEA | -24.57 | 17 |
| 27 | CLE | -24.61 | 17 |
| 28 | LV | -25.58 | 17 |
| 29 | JAX | -25.61 | 17 |
| 30 | NYG | -26.46 | 17 |
| 31 | NYJ | -27.24 | 17 |
| 32 | LAR | -58.46 | 17 |
At a glance — 2023
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2023
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 11.22 | 26.65 | 100% |
| 2 | NE | 1.25 | 16.68 | 96.8% |
| 3 | SF | -1.60 | 13.83 | 93.5% |
| 4 | KC | -1.85 | 13.58 | 90.3% |
| 5 | TEN | -2.01 | 13.42 | 87.1% |
| 6 | CIN | -5.56 | 9.87 | 83.9% |
| 7 | BUF | -9.21 | 6.22 | 80.6% |
| 8 | NO | -9.34 | 6.09 | 77.4% |
| 9 | GB | -10.39 | 5.04 | 74.2% |
| 10 | WAS | -10.90 | 4.53 | 71% |
| 11 | ATL | -11.07 | 4.36 | 67.7% |
| 12 | CHI | -12.06 | 3.37 | 64.5% |
| 13 | PIT | -13.06 | 2.37 | 61.3% |
| 14 | ARI | -13.23 | 2.20 | 58.1% |
| 15 | HOU | -13.39 | 2.04 | 54.8% |
| 16 | MIA | -14.44 | 0.99 | 51.6% |
| 17 | DAL | -15.85 | -0.42 | 48.4% |
| 18 | LAC | -16.11 | -0.68 | 45.2% |
| 19 | DET | -16.88 | -1.45 | 41.9% |
| 20 | TB | -16.90 | -1.47 | 38.7% |
| 21 | MIN | -18.42 | -2.99 | 35.5% |
| 22 | CAR | -18.79 | -3.36 | 32.3% |
| 23 | DEN | -19.63 | -4.20 | 29% |
| 24 | PHI | -19.75 | -4.33 | 25.8% |
| 25 | IND | -23.25 | -7.82 | 22.6% |
| 26 | SEA | -24.57 | -9.14 | 19.4% |
| 27 | CLE | -24.61 | -9.18 | 16.1% |
| 28 | LV | -25.58 | -10.15 | 12.9% |
| 29 | JAX | -25.61 | -10.18 | 9.7% |
| 30 | NYG | -26.46 | -11.03 | 6.5% |
| 31 | NYJ | -27.24 | -11.81 | 3.2% |
| 32 | LAR | -58.46 | -43.03 | 0% |
Does Red zone pct (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 839–739–37 ATS (53.2%) across 2020–2025, #128 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (162–102, 61.4%); its worst 2023 (129–129, 50.0%).
For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 137–117–2 | 53.9% |
| 2021 | 272 | 137–133–2 | 50.7% |
| 2022 | 271 | 162–102–7 | 61.4% |
| 2023 | 272 | 129–129–14 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 272 | 135–128–9 | 51.3% |
| 2025 | 272 | 139–130–3 | 51.7% |
Red zone pct (Off − Def) in 2023 vs 2022
Ravens lead at 11.22 — they ranked #7 last year. Rams are last at -58.46 — #32 last year.
The league average is -15.43, down 0.25 from -15.18 last year.
Biggest riser: Patriots, #30 → #2. Biggest faller: Giants, #2 → #30.
Spread between first and last: 69.68; 25 teams are within 11.75 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2023 vs 2022
| Rank | Team | 2023 | 2022 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 1.25 | -31.09 | +32.34 |
| 2 | BAL | 11.22 | -7.53 | +18.75 |
| 3 | SF | -1.60 | -18.01 | +16.41 |
| 4 | TEN | -2.01 | -11.88 | +9.87 |
| 5 | CHI | -12.06 | -19.95 | +7.90 |
| 6 | LV | -25.58 | -33.33 | +7.76 |
| 7 | GB | -10.39 | -17.98 | +7.59 |
| 8 | ARI | -13.23 | -20.29 | +7.06 |
| 9 | TB | -16.90 | -23.88 | +6.98 |
| 10 | NO | -9.34 | -15.49 | +6.15 |
| 11 | KC | -1.85 | -7.91 | +6.05 |
| 12 | SEA | -24.57 | -29.51 | +4.94 |
| 13 | IND | -23.25 | -26.18 | +2.93 |
| 14 | WAS | -10.90 | -13.08 | +2.18 |
| 15 | LAC | -16.11 | -18.04 | +1.93 |
| 16 | BUF | -9.21 | -10.97 | +1.76 |
| 17 | PIT | -13.06 | -14.80 | +1.74 |
| 18 | HOU | -13.39 | -14.93 | +1.54 |
| 19 | ATL | -11.07 | -11.95 | +0.88 |
| 20 | MIA | -14.44 | -11.24 | −3.20 |
| 21 | CAR | -18.79 | -12.73 | −6.06 |
| 22 | CIN | -5.56 | 1.13 | −6.69 |
| 23 | CLE | -24.61 | -16.75 | −7.86 |
| 24 | JAX | -25.61 | -15.56 | −10.05 |
| 25 | DET | -16.88 | -6.64 | −10.23 |
| 26 | LAR | -58.46 | -47.95 | −10.52 |
| 27 | MIN | -18.42 | -7.54 | −10.88 |
| 28 | NYJ | -27.24 | -15.58 | −11.66 |
| 29 | PHI | -19.75 | -6.68 | −13.08 |
| 30 | DEN | -19.63 | -5.73 | −13.90 |
| 31 | DAL | -15.85 | 4.10 | −19.94 |
| 32 | NYG | -26.46 | 2.06 | −28.52 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SF | -4.11 | +2.31 | -1.56 | -5.31 | -18.01 | -1.60 | -18.99 | -0.28 | 16.97 |
| 2 | DEN | -5.58 | +1.05 | -4.80 | -5.68 | -5.73 | -19.63 | -3.53 | -0.40 | 0.72 |
| 3 | MIN | -5.61 | +2.09 | 0.03 | -12.24 | -7.54 | -18.42 | -17.91 | 5.82 | 11.00 |
| 4 | BAL | -7.02 | −0.77 | -10.71 | -8.89 | -7.53 | 11.22 | -1.41 | -17.80 | -14.01 |
| 5 | KC | -9.27 | +3.11 | -25.19 | -13.75 | -7.91 | -1.85 | -10.52 | -3.49 | -2.17 |
| 6 | NO | -9.96 | −1.04 | -3.83 | -1.61 | -15.49 | -9.34 | -17.16 | -24.83 | 2.53 |
| 7 | BUF | -10.49 | −0.21 | -21.62 | 2.24 | -10.97 | -9.21 | -3.91 | -16.49 | -13.49 |
| 8 | MIA | -11.48 | −1.58 | -10.80 | -4.80 | -11.24 | -14.44 | -0.75 | -18.24 | -20.12 |
| 9 | CIN | -11.77 | +2.65 | -24.51 | -21.52 | 1.13 | -5.56 | -22.68 | -9.23 | 0.00 |
| 10 | PHI | -11.85 | +2.96 | -24.37 | -16.00 | -6.68 | -19.75 | -6.11 | -7.26 | -2.78 |
| 11 | PIT | -11.91 | +0.65 | -14.61 | -9.50 | -14.80 | -13.06 | -11.20 | -12.37 | -7.83 |
| 12 | TEN | -12.36 | −2.44 | -7.69 | -4.87 | -11.88 | -2.01 | -22.81 | -21.65 | -15.64 |
| 13 | GB | -12.52 | −1.62 | 1.54 | -18.59 | -17.98 | -10.39 | -8.15 | -14.41 | -19.64 |
| 14 | LAC | -13.54 | +0.70 | -16.64 | -9.35 | -18.04 | -16.11 | -13.82 | -9.42 | -11.44 |
| 15 | TB | -13.95 | −1.12 | -12.49 | -0.75 | -23.88 | -16.90 | -3.78 | -28.98 | -10.83 |
| 16 | ATL | -14.39 | +2.08 | -25.35 | -15.42 | -11.95 | -11.07 | -21.93 | -6.25 | -8.75 |
| 17 | ARI | -14.56 | −2.66 | -2.19 | -12.76 | -20.29 | -13.23 | -8.85 | -15.63 | -28.94 |
| 18 | DET | -15.34 | +1.24 | -16.78 | -32.43 | -6.64 | -16.88 | 0.05 | -16.87 | -17.86 |
| 19 | JAX | -16.56 | +2.59 | -18.60 | -25.33 | -15.56 | -25.61 | -14.91 | -13.08 | -2.82 |
| 20 | DAL | -16.86 | +0.12 | -23.40 | -17.58 | 4.10 | -15.85 | -36.51 | -25.12 | -3.68 |
| 21 | WAS | -16.93 | −2.17 | -14.24 | -17.01 | -13.08 | -10.90 | -12.77 | -13.75 | -36.77 |
| 22 | CHI | -16.96 | −1.25 | -11.24 | -21.64 | -19.95 | -12.06 | -4.70 | -19.94 | -29.17 |
| 23 | NE | -17.42 | −2.34 | -22.03 | 6.33 | -31.09 | 1.25 | -27.26 | -24.81 | -24.35 |
| 24 | SEA | -17.64 | −2.33 | -5.96 | -9.97 | -29.51 | -24.57 | -9.49 | -8.97 | -35.00 |
| 25 | NYG | -18.08 | −2.20 | -15.62 | -16.53 | 2.06 | -26.46 | -22.22 | -26.12 | -21.67 |
| 26 | CAR | -18.64 | −0.47 | -24.52 | -15.69 | -12.73 | -18.79 | -14.74 | -15.87 | -28.15 |
| 27 | IND | -18.77 | +2.48 | -21.89 | -22.76 | -26.18 | -23.25 | -23.61 | 3.09 | -16.80 |
| 28 | CLE | -20.02 | −2.49 | -8.25 | -15.63 | -16.75 | -24.61 | -30.72 | -20.72 | -23.45 |
| 29 | HOU | -22.03 | +0.81 | -26.32 | -30.25 | -14.93 | -13.39 | -25.32 | -25.59 | -18.43 |
| 30 | LV | -24.79 | +0.90 | -17.61 | -34.41 | -33.33 | -25.58 | -20.44 | -17.14 | -25.00 |
| 31 | NYJ | -25.14 | −1.56 | -31.81 | -18.11 | -15.58 | -27.24 | -10.99 | -36.81 | -35.42 |
| 32 | LAR | -52.67 | +0.52 | -53.70 | -52.24 | -47.95 | -58.46 | -58.90 | -52.31 | -45.16 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL | -10.71 | -8.89 | -7.53 | 11.22 | -1.41 | -17.80 | -14.01 |
| NE | -22.03 | 6.33 | -31.09 | 1.25 | -27.26 | -24.81 | -24.35 |
| SF | -1.56 | -5.31 | -18.01 | -1.60 | -18.99 | -0.28 | 16.97 |
| KC | -25.19 | -13.75 | -7.91 | -1.85 | -10.52 | -3.49 | -2.17 |
| TEN | -7.69 | -4.87 | -11.88 | -2.01 | -22.81 | -21.65 | -15.64 |
| CIN | -24.51 | -21.52 | 1.13 | -5.56 | -22.68 | -9.23 | 0.00 |
| BUF | -21.62 | 2.24 | -10.97 | -9.21 | -3.91 | -16.49 | -13.49 |
| NO | -3.83 | -1.61 | -15.49 | -9.34 | -17.16 | -24.83 | 2.53 |
| GB | 1.54 | -18.59 | -17.98 | -10.39 | -8.15 | -14.41 | -19.64 |
| WAS | -14.24 | -17.01 | -13.08 | -10.90 | -12.77 | -13.75 | -36.77 |
| ATL | -25.35 | -15.42 | -11.95 | -11.07 | -21.93 | -6.25 | -8.75 |
| CHI | -11.24 | -21.64 | -19.95 | -12.06 | -4.70 | -19.94 | -29.17 |
| PIT | -14.61 | -9.50 | -14.80 | -13.06 | -11.20 | -12.37 | -7.83 |
| ARI | -2.19 | -12.76 | -20.29 | -13.23 | -8.85 | -15.63 | -28.94 |
| HOU | -26.32 | -30.25 | -14.93 | -13.39 | -25.32 | -25.59 | -18.43 |
| MIA | -10.80 | -4.80 | -11.24 | -14.44 | -0.75 | -18.24 | -20.12 |
| DAL | -23.40 | -17.58 | 4.10 | -15.85 | -36.51 | -25.12 | -3.68 |
| LAC | -16.64 | -9.35 | -18.04 | -16.11 | -13.82 | -9.42 | -11.44 |
| DET | -16.78 | -32.43 | -6.64 | -16.88 | 0.05 | -16.87 | -17.86 |
| TB | -12.49 | -0.75 | -23.88 | -16.90 | -3.78 | -28.98 | -10.83 |
| MIN | 0.03 | -12.24 | -7.54 | -18.42 | -17.91 | 5.82 | 11.00 |
| CAR | -24.52 | -15.69 | -12.73 | -18.79 | -14.74 | -15.87 | -28.15 |
| DEN | -4.80 | -5.68 | -5.73 | -19.63 | -3.53 | -0.40 | 0.72 |
| PHI | -24.37 | -16.00 | -6.68 | -19.75 | -6.11 | -7.26 | -2.78 |
| IND | -21.89 | -22.76 | -26.18 | -23.25 | -23.61 | 3.09 | -16.80 |
| SEA | -5.96 | -9.97 | -29.51 | -24.57 | -9.49 | -8.97 | -35.00 |
| CLE | -8.25 | -15.63 | -16.75 | -24.61 | -30.72 | -20.72 | -23.45 |
| LV | -17.61 | -34.41 | -33.33 | -25.58 | -20.44 | -17.14 | -25.00 |
| JAX | -18.60 | -25.33 | -15.56 | -25.61 | -14.91 | -13.08 | -2.82 |
| NYG | -15.62 | -16.53 | 2.06 | -26.46 | -22.22 | -26.12 | -21.67 |
| NYJ | -31.81 | -18.11 | -15.58 | -27.24 | -10.99 | -36.81 | -35.42 |
| LAR | -53.70 | -52.24 | -47.95 | -58.46 | -58.90 | -52.31 | -45.16 |
Red zone pct (Off − Def) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Colts (6.33), 2019 Ravens (-1.11), 2020 Packers (1.54), 2021 Patriots (6.33), 2022 Cowboys (4.10), 2023 Ravens (11.22).
Ravens have led this stat 2 of 6 seasons.
The best season on record is Ravens 2023 at 11.22; the worst Rams 2018 at -64.18.
The league average has risen from -17.35 in 2018 to -15.43 in 2023.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_red_zone_pct
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.