NET: Red zone pct (Off − Def)
P + N
About this stat ↓What Red zone pct (Off − Def) is
Red-zone touchdown rate minus the rate allowed. Seven points against three, on both sides of the ball.
Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
In 2021 the Patriots led at 6.33; the league average was -15.06.
League snapshot — 2021
League leader
NE · 6.33
League average
-15.06
Best to worst
58.57
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 6.33 | 17 |
| 2 | BUF | 2.24 | 17 |
| 3 | TB | -0.75 | 17 |
| 4 | NO | -1.61 | 17 |
| 5 | MIA | -4.80 | 17 |
| 6 | TEN | -4.87 | 17 |
| 7 | SF | -5.31 | 17 |
| 8 | DEN | -5.68 | 17 |
| 9 | BAL | -8.89 | 17 |
| 10 | LAC | -9.35 | 17 |
| 11 | PIT | -9.50 | 17 |
| 12 | SEA | -9.97 | 17 |
| 13 | MIN | -12.24 | 17 |
| 14 | ARI | -12.76 | 17 |
| 15 | KC | -13.75 | 17 |
| 16 | ATL | -15.42 | 17 |
| 17 | CLE | -15.63 | 17 |
| 18 | CAR | -15.69 | 17 |
| 19 | PHI | -16.00 | 17 |
| 20 | NYG | -16.53 | 17 |
| 21 | WAS | -17.01 | 17 |
| 22 | DAL | -17.58 | 17 |
| 23 | NYJ | -18.11 | 17 |
| 24 | GB | -18.59 | 17 |
| 25 | CIN | -21.52 | 17 |
| 26 | CHI | -21.64 | 17 |
| 27 | IND | -22.76 | 17 |
| 28 | JAX | -25.33 | 17 |
| 29 | HOU | -30.25 | 17 |
| 30 | DET | -32.43 | 17 |
| 31 | LV | -34.41 | 17 |
| 32 | LAR | -52.24 | 17 |
At a glance — 2021
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
League leader
NE · 6.33
League laggard
LAR · -52.24
League average
-15.06
Spread (max − min)
58.57
All teams — 2021
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 6.33 | 21.40 | 100% |
| 2 | BUF | 2.24 | 17.31 | 96.8% |
| 3 | TB | -0.75 | 14.31 | 93.5% |
| 4 | NO | -1.61 | 13.45 | 90.3% |
| 5 | MIA | -4.80 | 10.27 | 87.1% |
| 6 | TEN | -4.87 | 10.19 | 83.9% |
| 7 | SF | -5.31 | 9.75 | 80.6% |
| 8 | DEN | -5.68 | 9.38 | 77.4% |
| 9 | BAL | -8.89 | 6.17 | 74.2% |
| 10 | LAC | -9.35 | 5.72 | 71% |
| 11 | PIT | -9.50 | 5.56 | 67.7% |
| 12 | SEA | -9.97 | 5.10 | 64.5% |
| 13 | MIN | -12.24 | 2.83 | 61.3% |
| 14 | ARI | -12.76 | 2.31 | 58.1% |
| 15 | KC | -13.75 | 1.31 | 54.8% |
| 16 | ATL | -15.42 | -0.36 | 51.6% |
| 17 | CLE | -15.63 | -0.56 | 48.4% |
| 18 | CAR | -15.69 | -0.63 | 45.2% |
| 19 | PHI | -16.00 | -0.94 | 41.9% |
| 20 | NYG | -16.53 | -1.46 | 38.7% |
| 21 | WAS | -17.01 | -1.95 | 35.5% |
| 22 | DAL | -17.58 | -2.52 | 32.3% |
| 23 | NYJ | -18.11 | -3.04 | 29% |
| 24 | GB | -18.59 | -3.52 | 25.8% |
| 25 | CIN | -21.52 | -6.45 | 22.6% |
| 26 | CHI | -21.64 | -6.58 | 19.4% |
| 27 | IND | -22.76 | -7.70 | 16.1% |
| 28 | JAX | -25.33 | -10.27 | 12.9% |
| 29 | HOU | -30.25 | -15.19 | 9.7% |
| 30 | DET | -32.43 | -17.36 | 6.5% |
| 31 | LV | -34.41 | -19.35 | 3.2% |
| 32 | LAR | -52.24 | -37.17 | 0% |
Does Red zone pct (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 839–739–37 ATS (53.2%) across 2020–2025, #128 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (162–102, 61.4%); its worst 2023 (129–129, 50.0%).
For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 137–117–2 | 53.9% |
| 2021 | 272 | 137–133–2 | 50.7% |
| 2022 | 271 | 162–102–7 | 61.4% |
| 2023 | 272 | 129–129–14 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 272 | 135–128–9 | 51.3% |
| 2025 | 272 | 139–130–3 | 51.7% |
Red zone pct (Off − Def) in 2021 vs 2020
Patriots lead at 6.33 — they ranked #23 last year. Rams are last at -52.24 — #32 last year.
The league average is -15.06, up 1.09 from -16.15 last year.
Biggest riser: Patriots, #23 → #1. Biggest faller: Packers, #1 → #24.
Spread between first and last: 58.57; 24 teams are within 11.53 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2021 vs 2020
Biggest movers from last season.
Biggest riser
NE · +28.37
Biggest faller
GB · −20.13
Most consistent
IND · −0.87
League trend 2021 vs 2020
▲ 1.09
YoY by team — 2021 vs 2020
| Rank | Team | 2021 | 2020 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NE | 6.33 | -22.03 | +28.37 |
| 2 | BUF | 2.24 | -21.62 | +23.87 |
| 3 | NYJ | -18.11 | -31.81 | +13.70 |
| 4 | TB | -0.75 | -12.49 | +11.74 |
| 5 | KC | -13.75 | -25.19 | +11.43 |
| 6 | ATL | -15.42 | -25.35 | +9.93 |
| 7 | CAR | -15.69 | -24.52 | +8.82 |
| 8 | PHI | -16.00 | -24.37 | +8.37 |
| 9 | LAC | -9.35 | -16.64 | +7.29 |
| 10 | MIA | -4.80 | -10.80 | +6.01 |
| 11 | DAL | -17.58 | -23.40 | +5.82 |
| 12 | PIT | -9.50 | -14.61 | +5.11 |
| 13 | CIN | -21.52 | -24.51 | +2.99 |
| 14 | TEN | -4.87 | -7.69 | +2.82 |
| 15 | NO | -1.61 | -3.83 | +2.21 |
| 16 | BAL | -8.89 | -10.71 | +1.83 |
| 17 | LAR | -52.24 | -53.70 | +1.46 |
| 18 | IND | -22.76 | -21.89 | −0.87 |
| 19 | DEN | -5.68 | -4.80 | −0.89 |
| 20 | NYG | -16.53 | -15.62 | −0.90 |
| 21 | WAS | -17.01 | -14.24 | −2.77 |
| 22 | SF | -5.31 | -1.56 | −3.75 |
| 23 | HOU | -30.25 | -26.32 | −3.93 |
| 24 | SEA | -9.97 | -5.96 | −4.01 |
| 25 | JAX | -25.33 | -18.60 | −6.73 |
| 26 | CLE | -15.63 | -8.25 | −7.38 |
| 27 | CHI | -21.64 | -11.24 | −10.40 |
| 28 | ARI | -12.76 | -2.19 | −10.56 |
| 29 | MIN | -12.24 | 0.03 | −12.27 |
| 30 | DET | -32.43 | -16.78 | −15.64 |
| 31 | LV | -34.41 | -17.61 | −16.80 |
| 32 | GB | -18.59 | 1.54 | −20.13 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year leader
BAL · -3.78
Multi-year laggard
LAR · -55.25
Biggest improver
JAX · +3.80/yr
Biggest decliner
WAS · −3.17/yr
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | -3.78 | +1.65 | -10.71 | -8.89 | -7.53 | 11.22 | -1.41 | -17.80 | 8.64 |
| 2 | SF | -4.42 | +2.08 | -1.56 | -5.31 | -18.01 | -1.60 | -18.99 | -0.28 | 14.85 |
| 3 | MIN | -5.93 | +1.85 | 0.03 | -12.24 | -7.54 | -18.42 | -17.91 | 5.82 | 8.75 |
| 4 | DEN | -6.69 | +0.21 | -4.80 | -5.68 | -5.73 | -19.63 | -3.53 | -0.40 | -7.06 |
| 5 | KC | -9.13 | +3.21 | -25.19 | -13.75 | -7.91 | -1.85 | -10.52 | -3.49 | -1.19 |
| 6 | NO | -10.44 | −1.39 | -3.83 | -1.61 | -15.49 | -9.34 | -17.16 | -24.83 | -0.81 |
| 7 | LAC | -11.75 | +2.05 | -16.64 | -9.35 | -18.04 | -16.11 | -13.82 | -9.42 | 1.14 |
| 8 | MIA | -11.80 | −1.82 | -10.80 | -4.80 | -11.24 | -14.44 | -0.75 | -18.24 | -22.36 |
| 9 | BUF | -11.81 | −1.20 | -21.62 | 2.24 | -10.97 | -9.21 | -3.91 | -16.49 | -22.71 |
| 10 | TEN | -12.47 | −2.52 | -7.69 | -4.87 | -11.88 | -2.01 | -22.81 | -21.65 | -16.35 |
| 11 | PHI | -12.81 | +2.24 | -24.37 | -16.00 | -6.68 | -19.75 | -6.11 | -7.26 | -9.46 |
| 12 | CIN | -12.98 | +1.74 | -24.51 | -21.52 | 1.13 | -5.56 | -22.68 | -9.23 | -8.49 |
| 13 | ATL | -13.37 | +2.84 | -25.35 | -15.42 | -11.95 | -11.07 | -21.93 | -6.25 | -1.60 |
| 14 | ARI | -14.06 | −2.29 | -2.19 | -12.76 | -20.29 | -13.23 | -8.85 | -15.63 | -25.44 |
| 15 | GB | -14.39 | −3.03 | 1.54 | -18.59 | -17.98 | -10.39 | -8.15 | -14.41 | -32.78 |
| 16 | TB | -14.42 | −1.48 | -12.49 | -0.75 | -23.88 | -16.90 | -3.78 | -28.98 | -14.14 |
| 17 | DET | -14.51 | +1.86 | -16.78 | -32.43 | -6.64 | -16.88 | 0.05 | -16.87 | -12.00 |
| 18 | PIT | -14.93 | −1.62 | -14.61 | -9.50 | -14.80 | -13.06 | -11.20 | -12.37 | -28.99 |
| 19 | JAX | -14.94 | +3.80 | -18.60 | -25.33 | -15.56 | -25.61 | -14.91 | -13.08 | 8.48 |
| 20 | DAL | -15.15 | +1.41 | -23.40 | -17.58 | 4.10 | -15.85 | -36.51 | -25.12 | 8.33 |
| 21 | SEA | -16.01 | −1.10 | -5.96 | -9.97 | -29.51 | -24.57 | -9.49 | -8.97 | -23.60 |
| 22 | CHI | -17.27 | −1.49 | -11.24 | -21.64 | -19.95 | -12.06 | -4.70 | -19.94 | -31.37 |
| 23 | NE | -17.47 | −2.37 | -22.03 | 6.33 | -31.09 | 1.25 | -27.26 | -24.81 | -24.71 |
| 24 | NYG | -17.48 | −1.75 | -15.62 | -16.53 | 2.06 | -26.46 | -22.22 | -26.12 | -17.43 |
| 25 | IND | -17.65 | +3.33 | -21.89 | -22.76 | -26.18 | -23.25 | -23.61 | 3.09 | -8.93 |
| 26 | CAR | -18.19 | −0.14 | -24.52 | -15.69 | -12.73 | -18.79 | -14.74 | -15.87 | -25.00 |
| 27 | WAS | -18.26 | −3.17 | -14.24 | -17.01 | -13.08 | -10.90 | -12.77 | -13.75 | -46.11 |
| 28 | CLE | -20.18 | −2.61 | -8.25 | -15.63 | -16.75 | -24.61 | -30.72 | -20.72 | -24.56 |
| 29 | HOU | -21.50 | +1.21 | -26.32 | -30.25 | -14.93 | -13.39 | -25.32 | -25.59 | -14.71 |
| 30 | NYJ | -23.39 | −0.25 | -31.81 | -18.11 | -15.58 | -27.24 | -10.99 | -36.81 | -23.22 |
| 31 | LV | -25.42 | +0.43 | -17.61 | -34.41 | -33.33 | -25.58 | -20.44 | -17.14 | -29.45 |
| 32 | LAR | -55.25 | −1.41 | -53.70 | -52.24 | -47.95 | -58.46 | -58.90 | -52.31 | -63.16 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | -22.03 | 6.33 | -31.09 | 1.25 | -27.26 | -24.81 | -24.71 |
| BUF | -21.62 | 2.24 | -10.97 | -9.21 | -3.91 | -16.49 | -22.71 |
| TB | -12.49 | -0.75 | -23.88 | -16.90 | -3.78 | -28.98 | -14.14 |
| NO | -3.83 | -1.61 | -15.49 | -9.34 | -17.16 | -24.83 | -0.81 |
| MIA | -10.80 | -4.80 | -11.24 | -14.44 | -0.75 | -18.24 | -22.36 |
| TEN | -7.69 | -4.87 | -11.88 | -2.01 | -22.81 | -21.65 | -16.35 |
| SF | -1.56 | -5.31 | -18.01 | -1.60 | -18.99 | -0.28 | 14.85 |
| DEN | -4.80 | -5.68 | -5.73 | -19.63 | -3.53 | -0.40 | -7.06 |
| BAL | -10.71 | -8.89 | -7.53 | 11.22 | -1.41 | -17.80 | 8.64 |
| LAC | -16.64 | -9.35 | -18.04 | -16.11 | -13.82 | -9.42 | 1.14 |
| PIT | -14.61 | -9.50 | -14.80 | -13.06 | -11.20 | -12.37 | -28.99 |
| SEA | -5.96 | -9.97 | -29.51 | -24.57 | -9.49 | -8.97 | -23.60 |
| MIN | 0.03 | -12.24 | -7.54 | -18.42 | -17.91 | 5.82 | 8.75 |
| ARI | -2.19 | -12.76 | -20.29 | -13.23 | -8.85 | -15.63 | -25.44 |
| KC | -25.19 | -13.75 | -7.91 | -1.85 | -10.52 | -3.49 | -1.19 |
| ATL | -25.35 | -15.42 | -11.95 | -11.07 | -21.93 | -6.25 | -1.60 |
| CLE | -8.25 | -15.63 | -16.75 | -24.61 | -30.72 | -20.72 | -24.56 |
| CAR | -24.52 | -15.69 | -12.73 | -18.79 | -14.74 | -15.87 | -25.00 |
| PHI | -24.37 | -16.00 | -6.68 | -19.75 | -6.11 | -7.26 | -9.46 |
| NYG | -15.62 | -16.53 | 2.06 | -26.46 | -22.22 | -26.12 | -17.43 |
| WAS | -14.24 | -17.01 | -13.08 | -10.90 | -12.77 | -13.75 | -46.11 |
| DAL | -23.40 | -17.58 | 4.10 | -15.85 | -36.51 | -25.12 | 8.33 |
| NYJ | -31.81 | -18.11 | -15.58 | -27.24 | -10.99 | -36.81 | -23.22 |
| GB | 1.54 | -18.59 | -17.98 | -10.39 | -8.15 | -14.41 | -32.78 |
| CIN | -24.51 | -21.52 | 1.13 | -5.56 | -22.68 | -9.23 | -8.49 |
| CHI | -11.24 | -21.64 | -19.95 | -12.06 | -4.70 | -19.94 | -31.37 |
| IND | -21.89 | -22.76 | -26.18 | -23.25 | -23.61 | 3.09 | -8.93 |
| JAX | -18.60 | -25.33 | -15.56 | -25.61 | -14.91 | -13.08 | 8.48 |
| HOU | -26.32 | -30.25 | -14.93 | -13.39 | -25.32 | -25.59 | -14.71 |
| DET | -16.78 | -32.43 | -6.64 | -16.88 | 0.05 | -16.87 | -12.00 |
| LV | -17.61 | -34.41 | -33.33 | -25.58 | -20.44 | -17.14 | -29.45 |
| LAR | -53.70 | -52.24 | -47.95 | -58.46 | -58.90 | -52.31 | -63.16 |
Red zone pct (Off − Def) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Colts (6.33), 2019 Ravens (-1.11), 2020 Packers (1.54), 2021 Patriots (6.33).
The best season on record is Patriots 2021 at 6.33; the worst Rams 2018 at -64.18.
The league average has risen from -17.35 in 2018 to -15.06 in 2021.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2021.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_red_zone_pct
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.