NET: Red zone pct (Off − Def)
What Red zone pct (Off − Def) is
Red-zone touchdown rate minus the rate allowed. Seven points against three, on both sides of the ball.
Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
In 2019 the Ravens led at -1.11; the league average was -16.95.
League snapshot — 2019
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | -1.11 | 16 |
| 2 | IND | -2.21 | 16 |
| 3 | TB | -3.90 | 16 |
| 4 | GB | -4.52 | 16 |
| 5 | MIN | -4.88 | 16 |
| 6 | SEA | -5.90 | 16 |
| 7 | DEN | -7.45 | 16 |
| 8 | DAL | -7.79 | 16 |
| 9 | NE | -9.26 | 16 |
| 10 | CHI | -9.65 | 16 |
| 11 | BUF | -11.17 | 16 |
| 12 | PHI | -12.14 | 16 |
| 13 | CAR | -15.08 | 16 |
| 14 | CLE | -15.20 | 16 |
| 15 | MIA | -16.27 | 16 |
| 16 | ATL | -17.62 | 16 |
| 17 | TEN | -17.67 | 16 |
| 18 | NYJ | -19.04 | 16 |
| 19 | ARI | -19.20 | 16 |
| 20 | LAC | -19.75 | 16 |
| 21 | CIN | -19.91 | 16 |
| 22 | KC | -20.44 | 16 |
| 23 | HOU | -21.07 | 16 |
| 24 | DET | -21.53 | 16 |
| 25 | WAS | -23.66 | 16 |
| 26 | LV | -24.13 | 16 |
| 27 | PIT | -24.55 | 16 |
| 28 | NO | -24.76 | 16 |
| 29 | NYG | -24.93 | 16 |
| 30 | SF | -26.30 | 16 |
| 31 | JAX | -30.05 | 16 |
| 32 | LAR | -61.29 | 16 |
At a glance — 2019
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2019
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | -1.11 | 15.84 | 100% |
| 2 | IND | -2.21 | 14.74 | 96.8% |
| 3 | TB | -3.90 | 13.05 | 93.5% |
| 4 | GB | -4.52 | 12.43 | 90.3% |
| 5 | MIN | -4.88 | 12.07 | 87.1% |
| 6 | SEA | -5.90 | 11.05 | 83.9% |
| 7 | DEN | -7.45 | 9.50 | 80.6% |
| 8 | DAL | -7.79 | 9.16 | 77.4% |
| 9 | NE | -9.26 | 7.69 | 74.2% |
| 10 | CHI | -9.65 | 7.30 | 71% |
| 11 | BUF | -11.17 | 5.78 | 67.7% |
| 12 | PHI | -12.14 | 4.81 | 64.5% |
| 13 | CAR | -15.08 | 1.87 | 61.3% |
| 14 | CLE | -15.20 | 1.75 | 58.1% |
| 15 | MIA | -16.27 | 0.69 | 54.8% |
| 16 | ATL | -17.62 | -0.67 | 51.6% |
| 17 | TEN | -17.67 | -0.72 | 48.4% |
| 18 | NYJ | -19.04 | -2.09 | 45.2% |
| 19 | ARI | -19.20 | -2.25 | 41.9% |
| 20 | LAC | -19.75 | -2.80 | 38.7% |
| 21 | CIN | -19.91 | -2.96 | 35.5% |
| 22 | KC | -20.44 | -3.49 | 32.3% |
| 23 | HOU | -21.07 | -4.12 | 29% |
| 24 | DET | -21.53 | -4.58 | 25.8% |
| 25 | WAS | -23.66 | -6.71 | 22.6% |
| 26 | LV | -24.13 | -7.18 | 19.4% |
| 27 | PIT | -24.55 | -7.60 | 16.1% |
| 28 | NO | -24.76 | -7.81 | 12.9% |
| 29 | NYG | -24.93 | -7.98 | 9.7% |
| 30 | SF | -26.30 | -9.35 | 6.5% |
| 31 | JAX | -30.05 | -13.10 | 3.2% |
| 32 | LAR | -61.29 | -44.34 | 0% |
Does Red zone pct (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 839–739–37 ATS (53.2%) across 2020–2025, #128 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2022 (162–102, 61.4%); its worst 2023 (129–129, 50.0%).
For picks, this is a modest signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 137–117–2 | 53.9% |
| 2021 | 272 | 137–133–2 | 50.7% |
| 2022 | 271 | 162–102–7 | 61.4% |
| 2023 | 272 | 129–129–14 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 272 | 135–128–9 | 51.3% |
| 2025 | 272 | 139–130–3 | 51.7% |
Red zone pct (Off − Def) in 2019 vs 2018
Ravens lead at -1.11 — they ranked #18 last year. Rams are last at -61.29 — #32 last year.
The league average is -16.95, up 0.40 from -17.35 last year.
Biggest riser: Buccaneers, #27 → #3. Biggest faller: Saints, #7 → #28.
Spread between first and last: 60.18; 25 teams are within 11.17 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2019 vs 2018
| Rank | Team | 2019 | 2018 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TB | -3.90 | -25.23 | +21.34 |
| 2 | BAL | -1.11 | -18.93 | +17.82 |
| 3 | GB | -4.52 | -19.63 | +15.11 |
| 4 | MIA | -16.27 | -31.06 | +14.80 |
| 5 | DEN | -7.45 | -21.42 | +13.97 |
| 6 | BUF | -11.17 | -22.14 | +10.97 |
| 7 | NE | -9.26 | -19.08 | +9.82 |
| 8 | SF | -26.30 | -35.90 | +9.60 |
| 9 | DAL | -7.79 | -16.74 | +8.95 |
| 10 | HOU | -21.07 | -29.53 | +8.47 |
| 11 | NYJ | -19.04 | -25.24 | +6.20 |
| 12 | ATL | -17.62 | -23.62 | +6.01 |
| 13 | CAR | -15.08 | -18.17 | +3.09 |
| 14 | LAR | -61.29 | -64.18 | +2.89 |
| 15 | MIN | -4.88 | -5.77 | +0.89 |
| 16 | ARI | -19.20 | -18.28 | −0.92 |
| 17 | NYG | -24.93 | -21.68 | −3.25 |
| 18 | SEA | -5.90 | -1.96 | −3.94 |
| 19 | LV | -24.13 | -20.02 | −4.11 |
| 20 | DET | -21.53 | -16.54 | −4.99 |
| 21 | JAX | -30.05 | -22.85 | −7.20 |
| 22 | TEN | -17.67 | -10.44 | −7.24 |
| 23 | WAS | -23.66 | -16.21 | −7.45 |
| 24 | CLE | -15.20 | -7.64 | −7.55 |
| 25 | KC | -20.44 | -12.62 | −7.82 |
| 26 | CHI | -9.65 | -1.28 | −8.38 |
| 27 | IND | -2.21 | 6.33 | −8.55 |
| 28 | CIN | -19.91 | -11.10 | −8.82 |
| 29 | PHI | -12.14 | -2.17 | −9.96 |
| 30 | PIT | -24.55 | -11.80 | −12.75 |
| 31 | LAC | -19.75 | -3.13 | −16.63 |
| 32 | NO | -24.76 | -7.09 | −17.67 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | -3.78 | +1.65 | -10.71 | -8.89 | -7.53 | 11.22 | -1.41 | -17.80 | 8.64 |
| 2 | SF | -4.42 | +2.08 | -1.56 | -5.31 | -18.01 | -1.60 | -18.99 | -0.28 | 14.85 |
| 3 | MIN | -5.93 | +1.85 | 0.03 | -12.24 | -7.54 | -18.42 | -17.91 | 5.82 | 8.75 |
| 4 | DEN | -6.69 | +0.21 | -4.80 | -5.68 | -5.73 | -19.63 | -3.53 | -0.40 | -7.06 |
| 5 | KC | -9.13 | +3.21 | -25.19 | -13.75 | -7.91 | -1.85 | -10.52 | -3.49 | -1.19 |
| 6 | NO | -10.44 | −1.39 | -3.83 | -1.61 | -15.49 | -9.34 | -17.16 | -24.83 | -0.81 |
| 7 | LAC | -11.75 | +2.05 | -16.64 | -9.35 | -18.04 | -16.11 | -13.82 | -9.42 | 1.14 |
| 8 | MIA | -11.80 | −1.82 | -10.80 | -4.80 | -11.24 | -14.44 | -0.75 | -18.24 | -22.36 |
| 9 | BUF | -11.81 | −1.20 | -21.62 | 2.24 | -10.97 | -9.21 | -3.91 | -16.49 | -22.71 |
| 10 | TEN | -12.47 | −2.52 | -7.69 | -4.87 | -11.88 | -2.01 | -22.81 | -21.65 | -16.35 |
| 11 | PHI | -12.81 | +2.24 | -24.37 | -16.00 | -6.68 | -19.75 | -6.11 | -7.26 | -9.46 |
| 12 | CIN | -12.98 | +1.74 | -24.51 | -21.52 | 1.13 | -5.56 | -22.68 | -9.23 | -8.49 |
| 13 | ATL | -13.37 | +2.84 | -25.35 | -15.42 | -11.95 | -11.07 | -21.93 | -6.25 | -1.60 |
| 14 | ARI | -14.06 | −2.29 | -2.19 | -12.76 | -20.29 | -13.23 | -8.85 | -15.63 | -25.44 |
| 15 | GB | -14.39 | −3.03 | 1.54 | -18.59 | -17.98 | -10.39 | -8.15 | -14.41 | -32.78 |
| 16 | TB | -14.42 | −1.48 | -12.49 | -0.75 | -23.88 | -16.90 | -3.78 | -28.98 | -14.14 |
| 17 | DET | -14.51 | +1.86 | -16.78 | -32.43 | -6.64 | -16.88 | 0.05 | -16.87 | -12.00 |
| 18 | PIT | -14.93 | −1.62 | -14.61 | -9.50 | -14.80 | -13.06 | -11.20 | -12.37 | -28.99 |
| 19 | JAX | -14.94 | +3.80 | -18.60 | -25.33 | -15.56 | -25.61 | -14.91 | -13.08 | 8.48 |
| 20 | DAL | -15.15 | +1.41 | -23.40 | -17.58 | 4.10 | -15.85 | -36.51 | -25.12 | 8.33 |
| 21 | SEA | -16.01 | −1.10 | -5.96 | -9.97 | -29.51 | -24.57 | -9.49 | -8.97 | -23.60 |
| 22 | CHI | -17.27 | −1.49 | -11.24 | -21.64 | -19.95 | -12.06 | -4.70 | -19.94 | -31.37 |
| 23 | NE | -17.47 | −2.37 | -22.03 | 6.33 | -31.09 | 1.25 | -27.26 | -24.81 | -24.71 |
| 24 | NYG | -17.48 | −1.75 | -15.62 | -16.53 | 2.06 | -26.46 | -22.22 | -26.12 | -17.43 |
| 25 | IND | -17.65 | +3.33 | -21.89 | -22.76 | -26.18 | -23.25 | -23.61 | 3.09 | -8.93 |
| 26 | CAR | -18.19 | −0.14 | -24.52 | -15.69 | -12.73 | -18.79 | -14.74 | -15.87 | -25.00 |
| 27 | WAS | -18.26 | −3.17 | -14.24 | -17.01 | -13.08 | -10.90 | -12.77 | -13.75 | -46.11 |
| 28 | CLE | -20.18 | −2.61 | -8.25 | -15.63 | -16.75 | -24.61 | -30.72 | -20.72 | -24.56 |
| 29 | HOU | -21.50 | +1.21 | -26.32 | -30.25 | -14.93 | -13.39 | -25.32 | -25.59 | -14.71 |
| 30 | NYJ | -23.39 | −0.25 | -31.81 | -18.11 | -15.58 | -27.24 | -10.99 | -36.81 | -23.22 |
| 31 | LV | -25.42 | +0.43 | -17.61 | -34.41 | -33.33 | -25.58 | -20.44 | -17.14 | -29.45 |
| 32 | LAR | -55.25 | −1.41 | -53.70 | -52.24 | -47.95 | -58.46 | -58.90 | -52.31 | -63.16 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SF | -1.56 | -5.31 | -18.01 | -1.60 | -18.99 | -0.28 | 14.85 |
| MIN | 0.03 | -12.24 | -7.54 | -18.42 | -17.91 | 5.82 | 8.75 |
| BAL | -10.71 | -8.89 | -7.53 | 11.22 | -1.41 | -17.80 | 8.64 |
| JAX | -18.60 | -25.33 | -15.56 | -25.61 | -14.91 | -13.08 | 8.48 |
| DAL | -23.40 | -17.58 | 4.10 | -15.85 | -36.51 | -25.12 | 8.33 |
| LAC | -16.64 | -9.35 | -18.04 | -16.11 | -13.82 | -9.42 | 1.14 |
| NO | -3.83 | -1.61 | -15.49 | -9.34 | -17.16 | -24.83 | -0.81 |
| KC | -25.19 | -13.75 | -7.91 | -1.85 | -10.52 | -3.49 | -1.19 |
| ATL | -25.35 | -15.42 | -11.95 | -11.07 | -21.93 | -6.25 | -1.60 |
| DEN | -4.80 | -5.68 | -5.73 | -19.63 | -3.53 | -0.40 | -7.06 |
| CIN | -24.51 | -21.52 | 1.13 | -5.56 | -22.68 | -9.23 | -8.49 |
| IND | -21.89 | -22.76 | -26.18 | -23.25 | -23.61 | 3.09 | -8.93 |
| PHI | -24.37 | -16.00 | -6.68 | -19.75 | -6.11 | -7.26 | -9.46 |
| DET | -16.78 | -32.43 | -6.64 | -16.88 | 0.05 | -16.87 | -12.00 |
| TB | -12.49 | -0.75 | -23.88 | -16.90 | -3.78 | -28.98 | -14.14 |
| HOU | -26.32 | -30.25 | -14.93 | -13.39 | -25.32 | -25.59 | -14.71 |
| TEN | -7.69 | -4.87 | -11.88 | -2.01 | -22.81 | -21.65 | -16.35 |
| NYG | -15.62 | -16.53 | 2.06 | -26.46 | -22.22 | -26.12 | -17.43 |
| MIA | -10.80 | -4.80 | -11.24 | -14.44 | -0.75 | -18.24 | -22.36 |
| BUF | -21.62 | 2.24 | -10.97 | -9.21 | -3.91 | -16.49 | -22.71 |
| NYJ | -31.81 | -18.11 | -15.58 | -27.24 | -10.99 | -36.81 | -23.22 |
| SEA | -5.96 | -9.97 | -29.51 | -24.57 | -9.49 | -8.97 | -23.60 |
| CLE | -8.25 | -15.63 | -16.75 | -24.61 | -30.72 | -20.72 | -24.56 |
| NE | -22.03 | 6.33 | -31.09 | 1.25 | -27.26 | -24.81 | -24.71 |
| CAR | -24.52 | -15.69 | -12.73 | -18.79 | -14.74 | -15.87 | -25.00 |
| ARI | -2.19 | -12.76 | -20.29 | -13.23 | -8.85 | -15.63 | -25.44 |
| PIT | -14.61 | -9.50 | -14.80 | -13.06 | -11.20 | -12.37 | -28.99 |
| LV | -17.61 | -34.41 | -33.33 | -25.58 | -20.44 | -17.14 | -29.45 |
| CHI | -11.24 | -21.64 | -19.95 | -12.06 | -4.70 | -19.94 | -31.37 |
| GB | 1.54 | -18.59 | -17.98 | -10.39 | -8.15 | -14.41 | -32.78 |
| WAS | -14.24 | -17.01 | -13.08 | -10.90 | -12.77 | -13.75 | -46.11 |
| LAR | -53.70 | -52.24 | -47.95 | -58.46 | -58.90 | -52.31 | -63.16 |
Red zone pct (Off − Def) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Colts (6.33), 2019 Ravens (-1.11).
The best season on record is Colts 2018 at 6.33; the worst Rams 2018 at -64.18.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_red_zone_pct
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.