What Points avg (Off − Def) is

Points per drive minus points allowed per opponent drive. Point differential with pace removed — each side measured per possession.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2019 the Ravens led at 1.49; the league average was 0.04.

League snapshot — 2019

League leader

BAL · 1.49

League average

0.04

Best to worst

2.45

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BAL	1.49	16
2	NE	1.06	16
3	SF	0.89	16
4	KC	0.86	16
5	DAL	0.66	16
6	NO	0.61	16
7	MIN	0.60	16
8	TEN	0.44	16
9	GB	0.36	16
10	BUF	0.28	16
11	LAR	0.21	16
12	PHI	0.18	16
13	TB	0.12	16
14	LAC	0.04	16
15	HOU	0.01	16
16	SEA	0.00	16
17	IND	-0.01	16
18	CHI	-0.04	16
19	PIT	-0.04	16
20	ATL	-0.06	16
21	DEN	-0.19	16
22	CLE	-0.31	16
23	NYJ	-0.38	16
24	DET	-0.38	16
25	ARI	-0.43	16
26	NYG	-0.50	16
27	JAX	-0.52	16
28	CAR	-0.58	16
29	LV	-0.61	16
30	CIN	-0.68	16
31	MIA	-0.95	16
32	WAS	-0.96	16

At a glance — 2019

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BAL · 1.49

League laggard

WAS · -0.96

League average

0.04

Spread (max − min)

2.45

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BAL	1.49	1.45	100%
2	NE	1.06	1.03	96.8%
3	SF	0.89	0.85	93.5%
4	KC	0.86	0.82	90.3%
5	DAL	0.66	0.62	87.1%
6	NO	0.61	0.57	83.9%
7	MIN	0.60	0.56	80.6%
8	TEN	0.44	0.40	77.4%
9	GB	0.36	0.33	74.2%
10	BUF	0.28	0.24	71%
11	LAR	0.21	0.18	67.7%
12	PHI	0.18	0.15	64.5%
13	TB	0.12	0.09	61.3%
14	LAC	0.04	0.00	58.1%
15	HOU	0.01	-0.03	54.8%
16	SEA	0.00	-0.03	51.6%
17	IND	-0.01	-0.04	48.4%
18	CHI	-0.04	-0.07	45.2%
19	PIT	-0.04	-0.08	41.9%
20	ATL	-0.06	-0.10	38.7%
21	DEN	-0.19	-0.23	35.5%
22	CLE	-0.31	-0.34	32.3%
23	NYJ	-0.38	-0.41	29%
24	DET	-0.38	-0.42	25.8%
25	ARI	-0.43	-0.46	22.6%
26	NYG	-0.50	-0.54	19.4%
27	JAX	-0.52	-0.56	16.1%
28	CAR	-0.58	-0.62	12.9%
29	LV	-0.61	-0.64	9.7%
30	CIN	-0.68	-0.72	6.5%
31	MIA	-0.95	-0.98	3.2%
32	WAS	-0.96	-1.00	0%

Does Points avg (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 970–608–37 ATS (61.5%) across 2020–2025, #2 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (166–88, 65.4%); its worst 2021 (158–112, 58.5%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	166–88–2	65.4%
2021	272	158–112–2	58.5%
2022	271	159–105–7	60.2%
2023	272	152–106–14	58.9%
2024	272	168–95–9	63.9%
2025	272	167–102–3	62.1%

Points avg (Off − Def) in 2019 vs 2018

Ravens lead at 1.49 — they ranked #7 last year. Commanders are last at -0.96 — #26 last year.

The league average is 0.04, up 0.00 from 0.04 last year.

Biggest riser: 49ers, #28 → #3. Biggest faller: Bears, #3 → #18.

Spread between first and last: 2.45; 22 teams are within 0.58 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

SF · +1.36

Biggest faller

CHI · −0.84

Most consistent

KC · −0.06

League trend 2019 vs 2018

▲ 0.00

Rank	Team	2019	2018	Δ
1	SF	0.89	-0.47	+1.36
2	BAL	1.49	0.62	+0.87
3	BUF	0.28	-0.52	+0.80
4	ARI	-0.43	-1.03	+0.60
5	DAL	0.66	0.09	+0.57
6	MIN	0.60	0.12	+0.48
7	TB	0.12	-0.34	+0.46
8	NE	1.06	0.62	+0.44
9	GB	0.36	-0.07	+0.44
10	LV	-0.61	-0.97	+0.36
11	TEN	0.44	0.14	+0.30
12	NYJ	-0.38	-0.47	+0.09
13	PHI	0.18	0.12	+0.07
14	KC	0.86	0.93	−0.06
15	ATL	-0.06	0.06	−0.12
16	DEN	-0.19	-0.07	−0.13
17	CLE	-0.31	-0.16	−0.14
18	DET	-0.38	-0.18	−0.20
19	JAX	-0.52	-0.32	−0.20
20	NO	0.61	0.87	−0.26
21	CIN	-0.68	-0.38	−0.31
22	NYG	-0.50	-0.19	−0.31
23	MIA	-0.95	-0.59	−0.35
24	IND	-0.01	0.41	−0.42
25	HOU	0.01	0.43	−0.42
26	SEA	0.00	0.46	−0.45
27	PIT	-0.04	0.42	−0.46
28	LAR	0.21	0.72	−0.50
29	WAS	-0.96	-0.44	−0.52
30	CAR	-0.58	-0.06	−0.52
31	LAC	0.04	0.63	−0.59
32	CHI	-0.04	0.80	−0.84

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 0.79

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · -0.58

Biggest improver

JAX · +0.31/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −0.25/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	0.79	−0.05	0.67	1.03	0.98	0.80	0.92	0.69	0.43
2	KC	0.59	−0.04	0.76	0.72	0.76	0.47	0.34	0.20	0.89
3	SF	0.53	+0.09	0.01	0.32	0.94	1.04	-0.21	0.37	1.23
4	BAL	0.52	−0.01	0.93	-0.01	0.15	1.03	0.90	0.20	0.44
5	GB	0.31	−0.10	0.82	0.48	-0.02	0.20	0.68	0.13	-0.11
6	SEA	0.31	+0.06	0.45	0.18	0.07	-0.14	0.12	1.09	0.41
7	DAL	0.30	−0.06	-0.37	1.02	0.69	1.21	-0.53	-0.21	0.28
8	TB	0.26	−0.14	0.74	0.80	-0.20	0.14	0.66	-0.16	-0.18
9	PHI	0.24	+0.01	-0.36	0.43	0.68	0.00	0.85	0.34	-0.26
10	LAR	0.22	−0.01	0.46	0.51	-0.44	0.21	-0.09	0.96	-0.09
11	MIN	0.15	+0.14	-0.28	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	0.50	0.09	0.80
12	DET	0.15	+0.24	-0.79	-0.71	0.19	0.36	1.23	0.39	0.35
13	NE	0.14	+0.02	-0.14	1.00	0.13	-0.59	-0.73	0.96	0.33
14	CIN	0.11	+0.05	-0.60	0.48	0.57	-0.08	0.27	-0.36	0.52
15	IND	0.06	−0.07	0.53	0.53	-0.64	0.00	-0.18	0.38	-0.21
16	NO	0.04	−0.18	0.82	0.15	-0.04	0.40	-0.28	-0.34	-0.42
17	PIT	0.01	−0.02	0.54	-0.31	-0.23	-0.14	0.11	0.08	0.00
18	DEN	-0.01	+0.12	-0.63	0.14	-0.34	-0.31	0.67	0.50	-0.12
19	LAC	-0.02	−0.03	-0.21	0.18	0.05	-0.26	0.54	0.21	-0.68
20	JAX	-0.07	+0.31	-0.92	-1.16	0.32	0.05	-0.60	0.74	1.05
21	MIA	-0.11	−0.21	0.39	-0.11	0.08	0.64	-0.08	-0.42	-1.26
22	CHI	-0.14	+0.09	0.06	-0.49	-0.74	-0.04	-0.28	0.14	0.36
23	HOU	-0.18	+0.16	-0.39	-0.91	-0.61	0.16	0.01	0.53	-0.07
24	CLE	-0.22	−0.09	-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	0.19	-0.75	-0.44	-0.41
25	ATL	-0.24	+0.04	-0.08	-0.79	-0.11	-0.26	-0.11	-0.28	-0.05
26	ARI	-0.29	−0.19	0.23	0.48	-0.50	-0.70	0.15	-0.61	-1.07
27	WAS	-0.29	−0.05	0.11	-0.52	-0.09	-1.00	0.53	-0.51	-0.58
28	LV	-0.33	−0.04	-0.29	-0.38	0.01	0.08	-0.67	-1.06	0.01
29	TEN	-0.37	−0.25	0.36	0.40	-0.31	-0.35	-0.78	-0.98	-0.91
30	CAR	-0.38	+0.05	-0.30	-0.46	-0.09	-0.90	-1.00	-0.37	0.45
31	NYG	-0.40	+0.08	-0.49	-0.84	0.02	-0.66	-0.74	-0.17	0.09
32	NYJ	-0.58	+0.11	-1.17	-0.99	-0.09	-0.37	-0.34	-1.06	-0.06

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	0.01	0.32	0.94	1.04	-0.21	0.37	1.23
JAX	-0.92	-1.16	0.32	0.05	-0.60	0.74	1.05
KC	0.76	0.72	0.76	0.47	0.34	0.20	0.89
MIN	-0.28	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	0.50	0.09	0.80
CIN	-0.60	0.48	0.57	-0.08	0.27	-0.36	0.52
CAR	-0.30	-0.46	-0.09	-0.90	-1.00	-0.37	0.45
BAL	0.93	-0.01	0.15	1.03	0.90	0.20	0.44
BUF	0.67	1.03	0.98	0.80	0.92	0.69	0.43
SEA	0.45	0.18	0.07	-0.14	0.12	1.09	0.41
CHI	0.06	-0.49	-0.74	-0.04	-0.28	0.14	0.36
DET	-0.79	-0.71	0.19	0.36	1.23	0.39	0.35
NE	-0.14	1.00	0.13	-0.59	-0.73	0.96	0.33
DAL	-0.37	1.02	0.69	1.21	-0.53	-0.21	0.28
NYG	-0.49	-0.84	0.02	-0.66	-0.74	-0.17	0.09
LV	-0.29	-0.38	0.01	0.08	-0.67	-1.06	0.01
PIT	0.54	-0.31	-0.23	-0.14	0.11	0.08	0.00
ATL	-0.08	-0.79	-0.11	-0.26	-0.11	-0.28	-0.05
NYJ	-1.17	-0.99	-0.09	-0.37	-0.34	-1.06	-0.06
HOU	-0.39	-0.91	-0.61	0.16	0.01	0.53	-0.07
LAR	0.46	0.51	-0.44	0.21	-0.09	0.96	-0.09
GB	0.82	0.48	-0.02	0.20	0.68	0.13	-0.11
DEN	-0.63	0.14	-0.34	-0.31	0.67	0.50	-0.12
TB	0.74	0.80	-0.20	0.14	0.66	-0.16	-0.18
IND	0.53	0.53	-0.64	0.00	-0.18	0.38	-0.21
PHI	-0.36	0.43	0.68	0.00	0.85	0.34	-0.26
CLE	-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	0.19	-0.75	-0.44	-0.41
NO	0.82	0.15	-0.04	0.40	-0.28	-0.34	-0.42
WAS	0.11	-0.52	-0.09	-1.00	0.53	-0.51	-0.58
LAC	-0.21	0.18	0.05	-0.26	0.54	0.21	-0.68
TEN	0.36	0.40	-0.31	-0.35	-0.78	-0.98	-0.91
ARI	0.23	0.48	-0.50	-0.70	0.15	-0.61	-1.07
MIA	0.39	-0.11	0.08	0.64	-0.08	-0.42	-1.26

Points avg (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (0.93), 2019 Ravens (1.49).

The best season on record is Ravens 2019 at 1.49; the worst Cardinals 2018 at -1.03.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_points_avg
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.