What Points (Off − Def) is

Points scored minus points allowed — point differential. The single best predictor of a team's record on this site, and the number the power ratings start from.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2019 the Ravens led at 15.56; the league average was 0.

League snapshot — 2019

League leader

BAL · 15.56

League average

Best to worst

27.31

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BAL	15.56	16
2	NE	12.19	16
3	SF	10.56	16
4	KC	8.94	16
5	NO	7.31	16
6	DAL	7.06	16
7	MIN	6.50	16
8	TEN	4.44	16
9	GB	3.94	16
10	BUF	3.44	16
11	PHI	1.94	16
12	LAR	1.88	16
13	TB	0.56	16
14	SEA	0.44	16
15	HOU	-0.44	16
16	LAC	-0.50	16
17	IND	-0.75	16
18	PIT	-0.88	16
19	ATL	-1.13	16
20	CHI	-1.13	16
21	DEN	-2.13	16
22	CLE	-3.63	16
23	ARI	-5.06	16
24	DET	-5.13	16
25	NYJ	-5.19	16
26	JAX	-6.06	16
27	LV	-6.63	16
28	NYG	-6.88	16
29	CAR	-8.13	16
30	CIN	-8.81	16
31	WAS	-10.56	16
32	MIA	-11.75	16

At a glance — 2019

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BAL · 15.56

League laggard

MIA · -11.75

League average

Spread (max − min)

27.31

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BAL	15.56	15.56	100%
2	NE	12.19	12.19	96.8%
3	SF	10.56	10.56	93.5%
4	KC	8.94	8.94	90.3%
5	NO	7.31	7.31	87.1%
6	DAL	7.06	7.06	83.9%
7	MIN	6.50	6.50	80.6%
8	TEN	4.44	4.44	77.4%
9	GB	3.94	3.94	74.2%
10	BUF	3.44	3.44	71%
11	PHI	1.94	1.94	67.7%
12	LAR	1.88	1.88	64.5%
13	TB	0.56	0.56	61.3%
14	SEA	0.44	0.44	58.1%
15	HOU	-0.44	-0.44	54.8%
16	LAC	-0.50	-0.50	51.6%
17	IND	-0.75	-0.75	48.4%
18	PIT	-0.88	-0.88	45.2%
19	ATL	-1.13	-1.13	41.9%
20	CHI	-1.13	-1.13	38.7%
21	DEN	-2.13	-2.13	35.5%
22	CLE	-3.63	-3.63	32.3%
23	ARI	-5.06	-5.06	29%
24	DET	-5.13	-5.13	25.8%
25	NYJ	-5.19	-5.19	22.6%
26	JAX	-6.06	-6.06	19.4%
27	LV	-6.63	-6.63	16.1%
28	NYG	-6.88	-6.88	12.9%
29	CAR	-8.13	-8.13	9.7%
30	CIN	-8.81	-8.81	6.5%
31	WAS	-10.56	-10.56	3.2%
32	MIA	-11.75	-11.75	0%

Does Points (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 968–610–37 ATS (61.3%) across 2020–2025, #3 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (167–87, 65.7%); its worst 2023 (151–107, 58.5%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	167–87–2	65.7%
2021	272	161–109–2	59.6%
2022	271	157–107–7	59.5%
2023	272	151–107–14	58.5%
2024	272	168–95–9	63.9%
2025	272	164–105–3	61.0%

Points (Off − Def) in 2019 vs 2018

Ravens lead at 15.56 — they ranked #6 last year. Dolphins are last at -11.75 — #30 last year.

The league average is 0, the same as last year.

Biggest riser: 49ers, #27 → #3. Biggest faller: Bears, #4 → #20.

Spread between first and last: 27.31; 21 teams are within 6.63 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

SF · +16.38

Biggest faller

CHI · −9.75

Most consistent

KC · −0.06

League trend 2019 vs 2018

– 0

Rank	Team	2019	2018	Δ
1	SF	10.56	-5.81	+16.38
2	BUF	3.44	-6.56	+10
3	BAL	15.56	6.38	+9.19
4	ARI	-5.06	-12.50	+7.44
5	DAL	7.06	0.94	+6.13
6	GB	3.94	-1.50	+5.44
7	MIN	6.50	1.19	+5.31
8	NE	12.19	6.94	+5.25
9	TB	0.56	-4.25	+4.81
10	LV	-6.63	-11.06	+4.44
11	TEN	4.44	0.44	+4
12	NYJ	-5.19	-6.75	+1.56
13	PHI	1.94	1.19	+0.75
14	KC	8.94	9	−0.06
15	ATL	-1.13	-0.56	−0.56
16	DEN	-2.13	-1.25	−0.88
17	CLE	-3.63	-2.06	−1.56
18	JAX	-6.06	-4.44	−1.63
19	NO	7.31	9.44	−2.13
20	DET	-5.13	-2.25	−2.88
21	CIN	-8.81	-5.44	−3.38
22	NYG	-6.88	-2.69	−4.19
23	MIA	-11.75	-7.13	−4.63
24	SEA	0.44	5.06	−4.63
25	PIT	-0.88	4.25	−5.13
26	WAS	-10.56	-4.88	−5.69
27	HOU	-0.44	5.38	−5.81
28	IND	-0.75	5.56	−6.31
29	LAC	-0.50	6.19	−6.69
30	LAR	1.88	8.94	−7.06
31	CAR	-8.13	-0.38	−7.75
32	CHI	-1.13	8.63	−9.75

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 8.39

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · -6.79

Biggest improver

JAX · +3.46/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −2.71/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	8.39	−0.73	7.88	11.41	10.56	8.24	9.24	6.82	4.60
2	KC	5.93	−0.13	6.94	6.82	7.47	4.53	3.47	2	10.25
3	BAL	5.74	−0.14	10.31	-0.29	2.06	11.94	9.24	1.53	5.40
4	SF	5.37	+0.96	-0.88	3.65	10.18	11.35	-2.76	3.88	12.20
5	SEA	3.25	+0.71	5.50	1.71	0.35	-2.24	0.41	11.24	5.80
6	GB	3.24	−1.05	8.75	4.65	-0.06	1.94	7.18	1.82	-1.60
7	TB	2.75	−1.63	8.56	9.29	-2.65	1.35	6.88	-1.82	-2.40
8	LAR	2.26	−0.06	4.75	5.18	-4.53	1.59	-1.12	10.12	-0.20
9	DAL	2.16	−0.84	-4.88	10.12	7.35	11.41	-6.94	-2.35	0.40
10	PHI	2.13	+0.17	-5.25	3.47	7.82	0.29	9.41	3.18	-4
11	MIN	1.63	+1.53	-2.81	-0.06	-0.18	-1.06	5.88	0.65	9
12	DET	1.21	+2.59	-8.88	-8.35	1.53	3.88	13.06	4	3.20
13	NE	0.96	+0.27	-1.69	9.35	1	-7.65	-7.53	10	3.20
14	CIN	0.61	+0.35	-7.06	4.94	6	-1.06	2.24	-4.59	3.80
15	PIT	0.40	−0.23	6.50	-3.24	-2.24	-1.18	1.94	0.59	0.40
16	NO	-0.05	−2.22	9.06	1.71	-0.88	4.41	-3.53	-4.53	-6.60
17	IND	-0.17	−0.85	5.56	5.06	-8.12	-1.12	-2.94	3.18	-2.80
18	DEN	-0.75	+1.24	-7.69	0.76	-4.24	-3.29	6.71	5.29	-2.80
19	LAC	-0.83	−0.43	-2.63	0.88	0.41	-3.06	5.94	1.65	-9
20	JAX	-1.16	+3.46	-11.63	-12	3.18	0.35	-6.76	8.12	10.60
21	MIA	-1.39	−2.00	4.13	-1.88	-0.12	6.18	-1.12	-4.53	-12.40
22	CHI	-1.73	+1.15	0.13	-5.65	-8.06	-1.12	-3.53	1.53	4.60
23	HOU	-2.20	+1.95	-5	-10.12	-7.71	1.41	0	6.41	-0.40
24	ATL	-2.78	+0.44	-1.13	-8.59	-1.24	-3.06	-2	-2.82	-0.60
25	CLE	-3.04	−0.99	-0.69	-1.29	-1.18	2	-10.41	-5.88	-3.80
26	ARI	-3.37	−2.08	2.69	4.88	-6.41	-7.35	1.24	-7.82	-10.80
27	WAS	-3.53	−0.51	0.38	-5.82	-1.29	-11.12	5.53	-5.59	-6.80
28	LV	-3.69	−0.38	-2.75	-3.82	-1.35	0.06	-7.35	-11.24	0.60
29	TEN	-4.36	−2.71	3.25	3.82	-3.59	-3.65	-8.76	-11.41	-10.20
30	CAR	-4.82	+0.45	-3.25	-5.88	-1.59	-10.59	-11.35	-4.06	3
31	NYG	-4.85	+0.71	-4.81	-9.29	-0.35	-8.29	-8.35	-3.41	0.60
32	NYJ	-6.79	+1.23	-13.38	-11.41	-1.18	-5.12	-3.88	-11.94	-0.60

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	-0.88	3.65	10.18	11.35	-2.76	3.88	12.20
JAX	-11.63	-12	3.18	0.35	-6.76	8.12	10.60
KC	6.94	6.82	7.47	4.53	3.47	2	10.25
MIN	-2.81	-0.06	-0.18	-1.06	5.88	0.65	9
SEA	5.50	1.71	0.35	-2.24	0.41	11.24	5.80
BAL	10.31	-0.29	2.06	11.94	9.24	1.53	5.40
BUF	7.88	11.41	10.56	8.24	9.24	6.82	4.60
CHI	0.13	-5.65	-8.06	-1.12	-3.53	1.53	4.60
CIN	-7.06	4.94	6	-1.06	2.24	-4.59	3.80
DET	-8.88	-8.35	1.53	3.88	13.06	4	3.20
NE	-1.69	9.35	1	-7.65	-7.53	10	3.20
CAR	-3.25	-5.88	-1.59	-10.59	-11.35	-4.06	3
LV	-2.75	-3.82	-1.35	0.06	-7.35	-11.24	0.60
NYG	-4.81	-9.29	-0.35	-8.29	-8.35	-3.41	0.60
DAL	-4.88	10.12	7.35	11.41	-6.94	-2.35	0.40
PIT	6.50	-3.24	-2.24	-1.18	1.94	0.59	0.40
LAR	4.75	5.18	-4.53	1.59	-1.12	10.12	-0.20
HOU	-5	-10.12	-7.71	1.41	0	6.41	-0.40
ATL	-1.13	-8.59	-1.24	-3.06	-2	-2.82	-0.60
NYJ	-13.38	-11.41	-1.18	-5.12	-3.88	-11.94	-0.60
GB	8.75	4.65	-0.06	1.94	7.18	1.82	-1.60
TB	8.56	9.29	-2.65	1.35	6.88	-1.82	-2.40
DEN	-7.69	0.76	-4.24	-3.29	6.71	5.29	-2.80
IND	5.56	5.06	-8.12	-1.12	-2.94	3.18	-2.80
CLE	-0.69	-1.29	-1.18	2	-10.41	-5.88	-3.80
PHI	-5.25	3.47	7.82	0.29	9.41	3.18	-4
NO	9.06	1.71	-0.88	4.41	-3.53	-4.53	-6.60
WAS	0.38	-5.82	-1.29	-11.12	5.53	-5.59	-6.80
LAC	-2.63	0.88	0.41	-3.06	5.94	1.65	-9
TEN	3.25	3.82	-3.59	-3.65	-8.76	-11.41	-10.20
ARI	2.69	4.88	-6.41	-7.35	1.24	-7.82	-10.80
MIA	4.13	-1.88	-0.12	6.18	-1.12	-4.53	-12.40

Points (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Saints (9.44), 2019 Ravens (15.56).

The best season on record is Ravens 2019 at 15.56; the worst Cardinals 2018 at -12.50.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_points
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.