NET: Pass rating (Off − Def)
What Pass rating (Off − Def) is
Passer rating minus passer rating allowed. The traditional formula on both sides of the ball, completion-weighted both ways.
Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P.
In 2018 the Bears led at 21.00; the league average was -2.44.
League snapshot — 2018
All 32 teams, higher is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 21.00 | 16 |
| 2 | KC | 19.80 | 16 |
| 3 | MIN | 14.60 | 16 |
| 4 | LAC | 14.00 | 16 |
| 5 | SEA | 13.10 | 16 |
| 6 | NE | 11.30 | 16 |
| 7 | NO | 11.00 | 16 |
| 8 | ATL | 7.70 | 16 |
| 9 | HOU | 7.10 | 16 |
| 10 | PHI | 5.60 | 16 |
| 11 | LAR | 5.40 | 16 |
| 12 | IND | 3.80 | 16 |
| 13 | CLE | 3.50 | 16 |
| 14 | BAL | 2.30 | 16 |
| 15 | NYG | 0.40 | 16 |
| 16 | PIT | -0.70 | 16 |
| 17 | TEN | -1.30 | 16 |
| 18 | DAL | -1.80 | 16 |
| 19 | MIA | -4.80 | 16 |
| 20 | JAX | -7.80 | 16 |
| 21 | CAR | -8.40 | 16 |
| 22 | LV | -9.70 | 16 |
| 23 | GB | -9.80 | 16 |
| 24 | DEN | -10.30 | 16 |
| 25 | CIN | -15.10 | 16 |
| 26 | DET | -16.20 | 16 |
| 27 | TB | -18.40 | 16 |
| 28 | WAS | -19.20 | 16 |
| 29 | SF | -20.60 | 16 |
| 30 | NYJ | -22.00 | 16 |
| 31 | BUF | -22.50 | 16 |
| 32 | ARI | -30.20 | 16 |
At a glance — 2018
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2018
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 21.00 | 23.44 | 100% |
| 2 | KC | 19.80 | 22.24 | 96.8% |
| 3 | MIN | 14.60 | 17.04 | 93.5% |
| 4 | LAC | 14.00 | 16.44 | 90.3% |
| 5 | SEA | 13.10 | 15.54 | 87.1% |
| 6 | NE | 11.30 | 13.74 | 83.9% |
| 7 | NO | 11.00 | 13.44 | 80.6% |
| 8 | ATL | 7.70 | 10.14 | 77.4% |
| 9 | HOU | 7.10 | 9.54 | 74.2% |
| 10 | PHI | 5.60 | 8.04 | 71% |
| 11 | LAR | 5.40 | 7.84 | 67.7% |
| 12 | IND | 3.80 | 6.24 | 64.5% |
| 13 | CLE | 3.50 | 5.94 | 61.3% |
| 14 | BAL | 2.30 | 4.74 | 58.1% |
| 15 | NYG | 0.40 | 2.84 | 54.8% |
| 16 | PIT | -0.70 | 1.74 | 51.6% |
| 17 | TEN | -1.30 | 1.14 | 48.4% |
| 18 | DAL | -1.80 | 0.64 | 45.2% |
| 19 | MIA | -4.80 | -2.36 | 41.9% |
| 20 | JAX | -7.80 | -5.36 | 38.7% |
| 21 | CAR | -8.40 | -5.96 | 35.5% |
| 22 | LV | -9.70 | -7.26 | 32.3% |
| 23 | GB | -9.80 | -7.36 | 29% |
| 24 | DEN | -10.30 | -7.86 | 25.8% |
| 25 | CIN | -15.10 | -12.66 | 22.6% |
| 26 | DET | -16.20 | -13.76 | 19.4% |
| 27 | TB | -18.40 | -15.96 | 16.1% |
| 28 | WAS | -19.20 | -16.76 | 12.9% |
| 29 | SF | -20.60 | -18.16 | 9.7% |
| 30 | NYJ | -22.00 | -19.56 | 6.5% |
| 31 | BUF | -22.50 | -20.06 | 3.2% |
| 32 | ARI | -30.20 | -27.76 | 0% |
Does Pass rating (Off − Def) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 948–630–37 ATS (60.1%) across 2020–2025, #9 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2024 (163–100, 62.0%); its worst 2023 (146–112, 56.6%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 155–99–2 | 61.0% |
| 2021 | 272 | 167–103–2 | 61.9% |
| 2022 | 271 | 157–107–7 | 59.5% |
| 2023 | 272 | 146–112–14 | 56.6% |
| 2024 | 272 | 163–100–9 | 62.0% |
| 2025 | 272 | 160–109–3 | 59.5% |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUF | 13.59 | −2.52 | 19.50 | 25.00 | 12.50 | 9.20 | 7.00 | 22.30 | -0.40 |
| 2 | GB | 11.14 | −2.47 | 28.90 | 19.00 | 1.60 | 0.00 | 10.20 | 7.90 | 10.40 |
| 3 | SF | 8.70 | +1.05 | -0.60 | 0.40 | 18.00 | 28.90 | -0.40 | -2.90 | 17.50 |
| 4 | SEA | 8.57 | +1.04 | 12.50 | 6.20 | 10.10 | -3.30 | -2.00 | 18.40 | 18.10 |
| 5 | BAL | 7.39 | +3.43 | 6.60 | -17.10 | -7.60 | 25.80 | 26.90 | 4.20 | 12.90 |
| 6 | KC | 6.91 | −0.90 | 16.90 | 5.20 | 8.20 | 4.80 | 0.60 | -5.50 | 18.20 |
| 7 | CIN | 6.20 | +2.16 | -12.90 | 10.80 | 19.00 | -0.90 | 14.90 | -9.90 | 22.40 |
| 8 | MIN | 6.01 | +1.51 | 5.90 | 8.80 | -0.60 | -5.00 | 17.90 | -13.90 | 29.00 |
| 9 | LAR | 5.97 | +1.32 | 6.80 | 16.00 | -11.60 | 0.30 | -3.90 | 21.00 | 13.20 |
| 10 | NO | 4.41 | −3.72 | 19.30 | 3.60 | 7.60 | 13.50 | -1.30 | -5.20 | -6.60 |
| 11 | DET | 3.33 | +6.12 | -21.20 | -14.90 | 4.00 | 5.20 | 28.80 | 11.10 | 10.30 |
| 12 | PIT | 1.50 | −0.11 | 16.00 | -4.90 | -9.90 | -2.20 | 4.50 | 0.20 | 6.80 |
| 13 | TB | 1.11 | −3.24 | 7.50 | 15.10 | -3.80 | 0.50 | 8.40 | -9.50 | -10.40 |
| 14 | LAC | 0.91 | −1.90 | 4.20 | 3.00 | 4.10 | -6.90 | 12.10 | 12.20 | -22.30 |
| 15 | NE | 0.27 | +0.58 | -10.40 | 20.30 | 2.00 | -15.50 | -14.70 | 18.20 | 2.00 |
| 16 | HOU | -0.17 | +2.24 | 0.40 | -11.40 | -8.00 | 3.30 | -0.70 | 11.80 | 3.40 |
| 17 | DAL | -0.59 | −3.48 | -12.80 | 27.10 | 1.90 | 22.00 | -17.20 | -12.80 | -12.30 |
| 18 | DEN | -0.60 | +3.63 | -21.30 | 4.70 | -4.90 | -3.80 | 6.50 | 8.10 | 6.50 |
| 19 | PHI | -1.26 | +4.30 | -32.30 | -7.80 | 15.40 | -10.20 | 17.90 | 19.30 | -11.10 |
| 20 | JAX | -6.50 | +6.51 | -23.40 | -30.30 | 3.40 | -2.20 | -22.30 | 10.80 | 18.50 |
| 21 | MIA | -7.30 | −5.66 | 2.70 | -1.90 | -2.10 | 6.80 | 3.30 | -20.20 | -39.70 |
| 22 | CLE | -8.61 | −1.65 | 0.40 | -7.20 | -2.40 | -3.10 | -29.80 | -22.60 | 4.40 |
| 23 | IND | -9.43 | −3.41 | 4.40 | 1.20 | -19.90 | -4.80 | -21.90 | 3.00 | -28.00 |
| 24 | LV | -9.56 | −2.22 | 3.90 | -4.20 | -13.90 | -11.40 | -16.20 | -18.70 | -6.40 |
| 25 | ATL | -9.60 | +1.05 | -9.50 | -12.80 | -10.30 | -11.80 | -15.20 | -3.10 | -4.50 |
| 26 | ARI | -11.09 | −3.54 | 1.30 | 4.70 | -21.20 | -22.10 | -3.20 | -7.50 | -29.60 |
| 27 | WAS | -11.50 | −0.47 | -3.60 | -17.30 | -7.90 | -27.10 | 6.50 | -20.30 | -10.80 |
| 28 | NYG | -11.53 | +1.38 | -16.10 | -20.80 | -1.00 | -4.40 | -27.40 | -8.10 | -2.90 |
| 29 | TEN | -12.43 | −5.27 | 6.90 | 1.00 | -10.60 | -17.00 | -16.80 | -32.90 | -17.60 |
| 30 | CHI | -12.76 | +2.30 | -10.20 | -31.10 | -18.30 | -8.50 | -7.50 | -1.90 | -11.80 |
| 31 | CAR | -13.30 | +3.89 | -12.80 | -28.80 | -15.80 | -17.20 | -25.10 | -2.40 | 9.00 |
| 32 | NYJ | -15.19 | +3.76 | -30.00 | -30.10 | -7.60 | -8.60 | 0.90 | -39.30 | 8.40 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 5.90 | 8.80 | -0.60 | -5.00 | 17.90 | -13.90 | 29.00 |
| CIN | -12.90 | 10.80 | 19.00 | -0.90 | 14.90 | -9.90 | 22.40 |
| JAX | -23.40 | -30.30 | 3.40 | -2.20 | -22.30 | 10.80 | 18.50 |
| KC | 16.90 | 5.20 | 8.20 | 4.80 | 0.60 | -5.50 | 18.20 |
| SEA | 12.50 | 6.20 | 10.10 | -3.30 | -2.00 | 18.40 | 18.10 |
| SF | -0.60 | 0.40 | 18.00 | 28.90 | -0.40 | -2.90 | 17.50 |
| LAR | 6.80 | 16.00 | -11.60 | 0.30 | -3.90 | 21.00 | 13.20 |
| BAL | 6.60 | -17.10 | -7.60 | 25.80 | 26.90 | 4.20 | 12.90 |
| GB | 28.90 | 19.00 | 1.60 | 0.00 | 10.20 | 7.90 | 10.40 |
| DET | -21.20 | -14.90 | 4.00 | 5.20 | 28.80 | 11.10 | 10.30 |
| CAR | -12.80 | -28.80 | -15.80 | -17.20 | -25.10 | -2.40 | 9.00 |
| NYJ | -30.00 | -30.10 | -7.60 | -8.60 | 0.90 | -39.30 | 8.40 |
| PIT | 16.00 | -4.90 | -9.90 | -2.20 | 4.50 | 0.20 | 6.80 |
| DEN | -21.30 | 4.70 | -4.90 | -3.80 | 6.50 | 8.10 | 6.50 |
| CLE | 0.40 | -7.20 | -2.40 | -3.10 | -29.80 | -22.60 | 4.40 |
| HOU | 0.40 | -11.40 | -8.00 | 3.30 | -0.70 | 11.80 | 3.40 |
| NE | -10.40 | 20.30 | 2.00 | -15.50 | -14.70 | 18.20 | 2.00 |
| BUF | 19.50 | 25.00 | 12.50 | 9.20 | 7.00 | 22.30 | -0.40 |
| NYG | -16.10 | -20.80 | -1.00 | -4.40 | -27.40 | -8.10 | -2.90 |
| ATL | -9.50 | -12.80 | -10.30 | -11.80 | -15.20 | -3.10 | -4.50 |
| LV | 3.90 | -4.20 | -13.90 | -11.40 | -16.20 | -18.70 | -6.40 |
| NO | 19.30 | 3.60 | 7.60 | 13.50 | -1.30 | -5.20 | -6.60 |
| TB | 7.50 | 15.10 | -3.80 | 0.50 | 8.40 | -9.50 | -10.40 |
| WAS | -3.60 | -17.30 | -7.90 | -27.10 | 6.50 | -20.30 | -10.80 |
| PHI | -32.30 | -7.80 | 15.40 | -10.20 | 17.90 | 19.30 | -11.10 |
| CHI | -10.20 | -31.10 | -18.30 | -8.50 | -7.50 | -1.90 | -11.80 |
| DAL | -12.80 | 27.10 | 1.90 | 22.00 | -17.20 | -12.80 | -12.30 |
| TEN | 6.90 | 1.00 | -10.60 | -17.00 | -16.80 | -32.90 | -17.60 |
| LAC | 4.20 | 3.00 | 4.10 | -6.90 | 12.10 | 12.20 | -22.30 |
| IND | 4.40 | 1.20 | -19.90 | -4.80 | -21.90 | 3.00 | -28.00 |
| ARI | 1.30 | 4.70 | -21.20 | -22.10 | -3.20 | -7.50 | -29.60 |
| MIA | 2.70 | -1.90 | -2.10 | 6.80 | 3.30 | -20.20 | -39.70 |
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- net_pass_rating
- Side
- net
- Family
- NET (Off − Def)
- Data source
- P only
- Polarity
- higher is better (or neutral)
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.