What Pass rating (Off − Def) is

Passer rating minus passer rating allowed. The traditional formula on both sides of the ball, completion-weighted both ways.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P.

In 2025 the Bills led at 22.30; the league average was -2.13.

League snapshot — 2025

League leader

BUF · 22.30

League average

-2.13

Best to worst

61.60

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	BUF	22.30	17
2	LAR	21.00	17
3	PHI	19.30	17
4	SEA	18.40	17
5	NE	18.20	17
6	LAC	12.20	17
7	HOU	11.80	17
8	DET	11.10	17
9	JAX	10.80	17
10	DEN	8.10	17
11	GB	7.90	17
12	BAL	4.20	17
13	IND	3.00	17
14	PIT	0.20	17
15	CHI	-1.90	17
16	CAR	-2.40	17
17	SF	-2.90	17
18	ATL	-3.10	17
19	NO	-5.20	17
20	KC	-5.50	17
21	ARI	-7.50	17
22	NYG	-8.10	17
23	TB	-9.50	17
24	CIN	-9.90	17
25	DAL	-12.80	17
26	MIN	-13.90	17
27	LV	-18.70	17
28	MIA	-20.20	17
29	WAS	-20.30	17
30	CLE	-22.60	17
31	TEN	-32.90	17
32	NYJ	-39.30	17

At a glance — 2025

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

BUF · 22.30

League laggard

NYJ · -39.30

League average

-2.13

Spread (max − min)

61.60

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	BUF	22.30	24.43	100%
2	LAR	21.00	23.13	96.8%
3	PHI	19.30	21.43	93.5%
4	SEA	18.40	20.53	90.3%
5	NE	18.20	20.33	87.1%
6	LAC	12.20	14.33	83.9%
7	HOU	11.80	13.93	80.6%
8	DET	11.10	13.23	77.4%
9	JAX	10.80	12.93	74.2%
10	DEN	8.10	10.23	71%
11	GB	7.90	10.03	67.7%
12	BAL	4.20	6.33	64.5%
13	IND	3.00	5.13	61.3%
14	PIT	0.20	2.33	58.1%
15	CHI	-1.90	0.23	54.8%
16	CAR	-2.40	-0.27	51.6%
17	SF	-2.90	-0.77	48.4%
18	ATL	-3.10	-0.97	45.2%
19	NO	-5.20	-3.07	41.9%
20	KC	-5.50	-3.37	38.7%
21	ARI	-7.50	-5.37	35.5%
22	NYG	-8.10	-5.97	32.3%
23	TB	-9.50	-7.37	29%
24	CIN	-9.90	-7.77	25.8%
25	DAL	-12.80	-10.67	22.6%
26	MIN	-13.90	-11.77	19.4%
27	LV	-18.70	-16.57	16.1%
28	MIA	-20.20	-18.07	12.9%
29	WAS	-20.30	-18.17	9.7%
30	CLE	-22.60	-20.47	6.5%
31	TEN	-32.90	-30.77	3.2%
32	NYJ	-39.30	-37.17	0%

Does Pass rating (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 948–630–37 ATS (60.1%) across 2020–2025, #9 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2024 (163–100, 62.0%); its worst 2023 (146–112, 56.6%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	155–99–2	61.0%
2021	272	167–103–2	61.9%
2022	271	157–107–7	59.5%
2023	272	146–112–14	56.6%
2024	272	163–100–9	62.0%
2025	272	160–109–3	59.5%

Pass rating (Off − Def) in 2025 vs 2024

Bills lead at 22.30 — they ranked #9 last year. Jets are last at -39.30 — #14 last year.

The league average is -2.13, down 0.28 from -1.85 last year.

Biggest riser: Jaguars, #29 → #9. Biggest faller: Vikings, #4 → #26.

Spread between first and last: 61.60; 21 teams are within 15.39 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

JAX · +33.10

Biggest faller

NYJ · −40.20

Most consistent

LAC · +0.10

League trend 2025 vs 2024

▼ -0.28

Rank	Team	2025	2024	Δ
1	JAX	10.80	-22.30	+33.10
2	NE	18.20	-14.70	+32.90
3	LAR	21.00	-3.90	+24.90
4	IND	3.00	-21.90	+24.90
5	CAR	-2.40	-25.10	+22.70
6	SEA	18.40	-2.00	+20.40
7	NYG	-8.10	-27.40	+19.30
8	BUF	22.30	7.00	+15.30
9	HOU	11.80	-0.70	+12.50
10	ATL	-3.10	-15.20	+12.10
11	CLE	-22.60	-29.80	+7.20
12	CHI	-1.90	-7.50	+5.60
13	DAL	-12.80	-17.20	+4.40
14	DEN	8.10	6.50	+1.60
15	PHI	19.30	17.90	+1.40
16	LAC	12.20	12.10	+0.10
17	GB	7.90	10.20	−2.30
18	LV	-18.70	-16.20	−2.50
19	SF	-2.90	-0.40	−2.50
20	NO	-5.20	-1.30	−3.90
21	PIT	0.20	4.50	−4.30
22	ARI	-7.50	-3.20	−4.30
23	KC	-5.50	0.60	−6.10
24	TEN	-32.90	-16.80	−16.10
25	DET	11.10	28.80	−17.70
26	TB	-9.50	8.40	−17.90
27	BAL	4.20	26.90	−22.70
28	MIA	-20.20	3.30	−23.50
29	CIN	-9.90	14.90	−24.80
30	WAS	-20.30	6.50	−26.80
31	MIN	-13.90	17.90	−31.80
32	NYJ	-39.30	0.90	−40.20

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BUF · 12.77

Multi-year laggard

NYJ · -14.29

Biggest improver

JAX · +7.15/yr

Biggest decliner

MIA · −6.40/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BUF	12.77	−3.13	19.50	25.00	12.50	9.20	7.00	22.30	-6.10
2	GB	12.33	−1.58	28.90	19.00	1.60	0.00	10.20	7.90	18.70
3	SF	11.33	+3.02	-0.60	0.40	18.00	28.90	-0.40	-2.90	35.90
4	SEA	9.80	+1.96	12.50	6.20	10.10	-3.30	-2.00	18.40	26.70
5	BAL	9.64	+5.12	6.60	-17.10	-7.60	25.80	26.90	4.20	28.70
6	KC	8.51	+0.30	16.90	5.20	8.20	4.80	0.60	-5.50	29.40
7	MIN	5.84	+1.39	5.90	8.80	-0.60	-5.00	17.90	-13.90	27.80
8	LAR	5.53	+0.99	6.80	16.00	-11.60	0.30	-3.90	21.00	10.10
9	CIN	5.49	+1.62	-12.90	10.80	19.00	-0.90	14.90	-9.90	17.40
10	NO	2.77	−4.95	19.30	3.60	7.60	13.50	-1.30	-5.20	-18.10
11	DET	2.57	+5.55	-21.20	-14.90	4.00	5.20	28.80	11.10	5.00
12	TB	1.13	−3.23	7.50	15.10	-3.80	0.50	8.40	-9.50	-10.30
13	LAC	1.07	−1.78	4.20	3.00	4.10	-6.90	12.10	12.20	-21.20
14	PIT	0.71	−0.70	16.00	-4.90	-9.90	-2.20	4.50	0.20	1.30
15	NE	-0.21	+0.22	-10.40	20.30	2.00	-15.50	-14.70	18.20	-1.40
16	HOU	-0.27	+2.16	0.40	-11.40	-8.00	3.30	-0.70	11.80	2.70
17	PHI	-0.50	+4.86	-32.30	-7.80	15.40	-10.20	17.90	19.30	-5.80
18	DEN	-1.33	+3.08	-21.30	4.70	-4.90	-3.80	6.50	8.10	1.40
19	DAL	-2.16	−4.66	-12.80	27.10	1.90	22.00	-17.20	-12.80	-23.30
20	JAX	-5.64	+7.15	-23.40	-30.30	3.40	-2.20	-22.30	10.80	24.50
21	MIA	-8.29	−6.40	2.70	-1.90	-2.10	6.80	3.30	-20.20	-46.60
22	LV	-8.56	−1.47	3.90	-4.20	-13.90	-11.40	-16.20	-18.70	0.60
23	CLE	-8.61	−1.65	0.40	-7.20	-2.40	-3.10	-29.80	-22.60	4.40
24	IND	-9.69	−3.61	4.40	1.20	-19.90	-4.80	-21.90	3.00	-29.80
25	NYG	-10.60	+2.07	-16.10	-20.80	-1.00	-4.40	-27.40	-8.10	3.60
26	ATL	-11.33	−0.24	-9.50	-12.80	-10.30	-11.80	-15.20	-3.10	-16.60
27	ARI	-11.41	−3.79	1.30	4.70	-21.20	-22.10	-3.20	-7.50	-31.90
28	WAS	-11.91	−0.78	-3.60	-17.30	-7.90	-27.10	6.50	-20.30	-13.70
29	CAR	-12.39	+4.58	-12.80	-28.80	-15.80	-17.20	-25.10	-2.40	15.40
30	TEN	-13.47	−6.05	6.90	1.00	-10.60	-17.00	-16.80	-32.90	-24.90
31	CHI	-13.49	+1.75	-10.20	-31.10	-18.30	-8.50	-7.50	-1.90	-16.90
32	NYJ	-14.29	+4.44	-30.00	-30.10	-7.60	-8.60	0.90	-39.30	14.70

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
BUF	19.50	25.00	12.50	9.20	7.00	22.30	-6.10
LAR	6.80	16.00	-11.60	0.30	-3.90	21.00	10.10
PHI	-32.30	-7.80	15.40	-10.20	17.90	19.30	-5.80
SEA	12.50	6.20	10.10	-3.30	-2.00	18.40	26.70
NE	-10.40	20.30	2.00	-15.50	-14.70	18.20	-1.40
LAC	4.20	3.00	4.10	-6.90	12.10	12.20	-21.20
HOU	0.40	-11.40	-8.00	3.30	-0.70	11.80	2.70
DET	-21.20	-14.90	4.00	5.20	28.80	11.10	5.00
JAX	-23.40	-30.30	3.40	-2.20	-22.30	10.80	24.50
DEN	-21.30	4.70	-4.90	-3.80	6.50	8.10	1.40
GB	28.90	19.00	1.60	0.00	10.20	7.90	18.70
BAL	6.60	-17.10	-7.60	25.80	26.90	4.20	28.70
IND	4.40	1.20	-19.90	-4.80	-21.90	3.00	-29.80
PIT	16.00	-4.90	-9.90	-2.20	4.50	0.20	1.30
CHI	-10.20	-31.10	-18.30	-8.50	-7.50	-1.90	-16.90
CAR	-12.80	-28.80	-15.80	-17.20	-25.10	-2.40	15.40
SF	-0.60	0.40	18.00	28.90	-0.40	-2.90	35.90
ATL	-9.50	-12.80	-10.30	-11.80	-15.20	-3.10	-16.60
NO	19.30	3.60	7.60	13.50	-1.30	-5.20	-18.10
KC	16.90	5.20	8.20	4.80	0.60	-5.50	29.40
ARI	1.30	4.70	-21.20	-22.10	-3.20	-7.50	-31.90
NYG	-16.10	-20.80	-1.00	-4.40	-27.40	-8.10	3.60
TB	7.50	15.10	-3.80	0.50	8.40	-9.50	-10.30
CIN	-12.90	10.80	19.00	-0.90	14.90	-9.90	17.40
DAL	-12.80	27.10	1.90	22.00	-17.20	-12.80	-23.30
MIN	5.90	8.80	-0.60	-5.00	17.90	-13.90	27.80
LV	3.90	-4.20	-13.90	-11.40	-16.20	-18.70	0.60
MIA	2.70	-1.90	-2.10	6.80	3.30	-20.20	-46.60
WAS	-3.60	-17.30	-7.90	-27.10	6.50	-20.30	-13.70
CLE	0.40	-7.20	-2.40	-3.10	-29.80	-22.60	4.40
TEN	6.90	1.00	-10.60	-17.00	-16.80	-32.90	-24.90
NYJ	-30.00	-30.10	-7.60	-8.60	0.90	-39.30	14.70

Pass rating (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Bears (21.00), 2019 Ravens (30.30), 2020 Packers (28.90), 2021 Cowboys (27.10), 2022 Bengals (19.00), 2023 49ers (28.90), 2024 Lions (28.80), 2025 Bills (22.30).

The best season on record is Ravens 2019 at 30.30; the worst Jets 2025 at -39.30.

The league average has risen from -2.44 in 2018 to -2.13 in 2025.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_pass_rating
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P only
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.