What Pass adj yds per att (Off − Def) is

Adjusted yards per attempt minus adjusted yards per attempt allowed — touchdowns and interceptions priced in on both sides, sacks not.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P.

In 2023 the 49ers led at 3.80; the league average was -0.50.

League snapshot — 2023

League leader

SF · 3.80

League average

-0.50

Best to worst

7.10

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	SF	3.80	17
2	BAL	2.60	17
3	DAL	1.40	17
4	BUF	1.00	17
5	MIA	0.80	17
6	NO	0.60	17
7	HOU	0.20	17
8	KC	0.20	17
9	DET	-0.10	17
10	LAR	-0.10	17
11	CLE	-0.20	17
12	TB	-0.40	17
13	GB	-0.40	17
14	JAX	-0.50	17
15	MIN	-0.50	17
16	SEA	-0.50	17
17	IND	-0.70	17
18	CHI	-0.80	17
19	PIT	-0.80	17
20	DEN	-1.00	17
21	PHI	-1.00	17
22	ATL	-1.20	17
23	CIN	-1.30	17
24	LV	-1.30	17
25	NYJ	-1.30	17
26	LAC	-1.40	17
27	NYG	-1.40	17
28	TEN	-1.70	17
29	CAR	-2.10	17
30	NE	-2.10	17
31	ARI	-2.60	17
32	WAS	-3.30	17

At a glance — 2023

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

SF · 3.80

League laggard

WAS · -3.30

League average

-0.50

Spread (max − min)

7.10

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	SF	3.80	4.30	100%
2	BAL	2.60	3.10	96.8%
3	DAL	1.40	1.90	93.5%
4	BUF	1.00	1.50	90.3%
5	MIA	0.80	1.30	87.1%
6	NO	0.60	1.10	83.9%
7	HOU	0.20	0.70	80.6%
8	KC	0.20	0.70	77.4%
9	DET	-0.10	0.40	74.2%
10	LAR	-0.10	0.40	71%
11	CLE	-0.20	0.30	67.7%
12	TB	-0.40	0.10	64.5%
13	GB	-0.40	0.10	61.3%
14	JAX	-0.50	0.00	58.1%
15	MIN	-0.50	0.00	54.8%
16	SEA	-0.50	0.00	51.6%
17	IND	-0.70	-0.20	48.4%
18	CHI	-0.80	-0.30	45.2%
19	PIT	-0.80	-0.30	41.9%
20	DEN	-1.00	-0.50	38.7%
21	PHI	-1.00	-0.50	35.5%
22	ATL	-1.20	-0.70	32.3%
23	CIN	-1.30	-0.80	29%
24	LV	-1.30	-0.80	25.8%
25	NYJ	-1.30	-0.80	22.6%
26	LAC	-1.40	-0.90	19.4%
27	NYG	-1.40	-0.90	16.1%
28	TEN	-1.70	-1.20	12.9%
29	CAR	-2.10	-1.60	9.7%
30	NE	-2.10	-1.60	6.5%
31	ARI	-2.60	-2.10	3.2%
32	WAS	-3.30	-2.80	0%

Does Pass adj yds per att (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 924–654–37 ATS (58.6%) across 2020–2025, #15 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (153–101, 60.2%); its worst 2023 (141–117, 54.7%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	153–101–2	60.2%
2021	272	159–111–2	58.9%
2022	271	158–106–7	59.8%
2023	272	141–117–14	54.7%
2024	272	152–111–9	57.8%
2025	272	161–108–3	59.9%

Pass adj yds per att (Off − Def) in 2023 vs 2022

49ers lead at 3.80 — they ranked #2 last year. Commanders are last at -3.30 — #26 last year.

The league average is -0.50, down 0.00 from -0.50 last year.

Biggest riser: Texans, #27 → #7. Biggest faller: Eagles, #1 → #21.

Spread between first and last: 7.10; 24 teams are within 1.39 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2023 vs 2022

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

BAL · +3.60

Biggest faller

PHI · −3.00

Most consistent

LV · 0.00

League trend 2023 vs 2022

▼ 0.00

Rank	Team	2023	2022	Δ
1	BAL	2.60	-1.00	+3.60
2	SF	3.80	1.80	+2.00
3	CHI	-0.80	-2.50	+1.70
4	IND	-0.70	-2.40	+1.70
5	HOU	0.20	-1.40	+1.60
6	LAR	-0.10	-1.70	+1.60
7	DAL	1.40	-0.10	+1.50
8	PIT	-0.80	-1.60	+0.80
9	CLE	-0.20	-0.60	+0.40
10	MIA	0.80	0.40	+0.40
11	MIN	-0.50	-0.80	+0.30
12	TB	-0.40	-0.70	+0.30
13	DET	-0.10	-0.20	+0.10
14	NO	0.60	0.50	+0.10
15	LV	-1.30	-1.30	0.00
16	ATL	-1.20	-1.10	−0.10
17	GB	-0.40	-0.30	−0.10
18	ARI	-2.60	-2.40	−0.20
19	BUF	1.00	1.40	−0.40
20	JAX	-0.50	-0.10	−0.40
21	TEN	-1.70	-1.30	−0.40
22	NYG	-1.40	-0.90	−0.50
23	SEA	-0.50	0.20	−0.70
24	DEN	-1.00	-0.20	−0.80
25	NYJ	-1.30	-0.50	−0.80
26	CAR	-2.10	-1.20	−0.90
27	LAC	-1.40	-0.50	−0.90
28	KC	0.20	1.20	−1.00
29	NE	-2.10	-0.20	−1.90
30	WAS	-3.30	-1.30	−2.00
31	CIN	-1.30	0.80	−2.10
32	PHI	-1.00	2.00	−3.00

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

SF · 1.49

Multi-year laggard

CHI · -1.84

Biggest improver

JAX · +0.74/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −0.61/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	SF	1.49	+0.26	0.10	0.70	1.80	3.80	0.80	-0.50	3.70
2	BUF	1.41	−0.13	1.80	1.90	1.40	1.00	1.30	1.90	0.60
3	GB	1.26	+0.10	2.20	1.70	-0.30	-0.40	1.60	1.10	2.90
4	SEA	0.87	+0.47	0.50	0.30	0.20	-0.50	-0.50	2.40	3.70
5	KC	0.76	+0.05	1.60	0.20	1.20	0.20	-0.50	-0.60	3.20
6	BAL	0.74	+0.59	0.50	-2.60	-1.00	2.60	2.70	0.00	3.00
7	LAR	0.46	+0.16	0.70	1.40	-1.70	-0.10	-0.60	2.20	1.30
8	MIN	0.13	+0.09	0.30	0.40	-0.80	-0.50	1.60	-2.00	1.90
9	PHI	-0.04	+0.32	-3.30	0.00	2.00	-1.00	1.80	1.20	-1.00
10	TB	-0.13	−0.44	1.10	1.60	-0.70	-0.40	0.20	-1.40	-1.30
11	NE	-0.17	+0.11	-1.10	1.80	-0.20	-2.10	-2.10	2.20	0.30
12	NO	-0.19	−0.47	1.30	0.00	0.50	0.60	-0.70	-0.90	-2.10
13	DET	-0.21	+0.63	-2.30	-2.40	-0.20	-0.10	2.00	0.70	0.80
14	LAC	-0.21	−0.13	0.30	0.00	-0.50	-1.40	1.50	0.60	-2.00
15	CIN	-0.24	+0.07	-1.90	1.00	0.80	-1.30	0.90	-1.80	0.60
16	HOU	-0.27	+0.32	0.00	-1.90	-1.40	0.20	-0.50	0.90	0.80
17	DEN	-0.51	+0.21	-2.10	-0.10	-0.20	-1.00	0.00	0.30	-0.50
18	PIT	-0.54	+0.04	0.50	-1.30	-1.60	-0.80	0.20	-0.60	-0.20
19	DAL	-0.60	−0.40	-1.50	1.90	-0.10	1.40	-2.10	-1.50	-2.30
20	JAX	-0.83	+0.74	-2.80	-3.10	-0.10	-0.50	-2.70	1.40	2.00
21	MIA	-0.90	−0.34	-0.80	-1.10	0.40	0.80	-0.40	-2.30	-2.90
22	ATL	-0.94	+0.11	-1.10	-1.30	-1.10	-1.20	-0.70	-0.30	-0.90
23	LV	-1.04	−0.26	0.20	-0.10	-1.30	-1.30	-1.90	-2.40	-0.50
24	CLE	-1.07	−0.25	0.00	-0.40	-0.60	-0.20	-4.00	-2.40	0.10
25	IND	-1.16	−0.41	0.30	0.10	-2.40	-0.70	-1.60	-0.10	-3.70
26	CAR	-1.29	+0.38	-1.00	-2.80	-1.20	-2.10	-2.80	-0.90	1.80
27	NYG	-1.34	+0.25	-1.70	-2.00	-0.90	-1.40	-3.20	-0.80	0.60
28	WAS	-1.56	−0.01	-0.70	-2.10	-1.30	-3.30	-0.10	-2.40	-1.00
29	TEN	-1.61	−0.61	0.80	-0.80	-1.30	-1.70	-1.60	-4.10	-2.60
30	ARI	-1.66	−0.53	-0.30	0.40	-2.40	-2.60	-0.70	-1.30	-4.70
31	NYJ	-1.70	+0.40	-3.00	-3.40	-0.50	-1.30	-0.70	-4.60	1.60
32	CHI	-1.84	+0.17	-1.80	-3.30	-2.50	-0.80	-2.00	0.20	-2.70

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	0.10	0.70	1.80	3.80	0.80	-0.50	3.70
BAL	0.50	-2.60	-1.00	2.60	2.70	0.00	3.00
DAL	-1.50	1.90	-0.10	1.40	-2.10	-1.50	-2.30
BUF	1.80	1.90	1.40	1.00	1.30	1.90	0.60
MIA	-0.80	-1.10	0.40	0.80	-0.40	-2.30	-2.90
NO	1.30	0.00	0.50	0.60	-0.70	-0.90	-2.10
HOU	0.00	-1.90	-1.40	0.20	-0.50	0.90	0.80
KC	1.60	0.20	1.20	0.20	-0.50	-0.60	3.20
DET	-2.30	-2.40	-0.20	-0.10	2.00	0.70	0.80
LAR	0.70	1.40	-1.70	-0.10	-0.60	2.20	1.30
CLE	0.00	-0.40	-0.60	-0.20	-4.00	-2.40	0.10
TB	1.10	1.60	-0.70	-0.40	0.20	-1.40	-1.30
GB	2.20	1.70	-0.30	-0.40	1.60	1.10	2.90
JAX	-2.80	-3.10	-0.10	-0.50	-2.70	1.40	2.00
MIN	0.30	0.40	-0.80	-0.50	1.60	-2.00	1.90
SEA	0.50	0.30	0.20	-0.50	-0.50	2.40	3.70
IND	0.30	0.10	-2.40	-0.70	-1.60	-0.10	-3.70
CHI	-1.80	-3.30	-2.50	-0.80	-2.00	0.20	-2.70
PIT	0.50	-1.30	-1.60	-0.80	0.20	-0.60	-0.20
DEN	-2.10	-0.10	-0.20	-1.00	0.00	0.30	-0.50
PHI	-3.30	0.00	2.00	-1.00	1.80	1.20	-1.00
ATL	-1.10	-1.30	-1.10	-1.20	-0.70	-0.30	-0.90
CIN	-1.90	1.00	0.80	-1.30	0.90	-1.80	0.60
LV	0.20	-0.10	-1.30	-1.30	-1.90	-2.40	-0.50
NYJ	-3.00	-3.40	-0.50	-1.30	-0.70	-4.60	1.60
LAC	0.30	0.00	-0.50	-1.40	1.50	0.60	-2.00
NYG	-1.70	-2.00	-0.90	-1.40	-3.20	-0.80	0.60
TEN	0.80	-0.80	-1.30	-1.70	-1.60	-4.10	-2.60
CAR	-1.00	-2.80	-1.20	-2.10	-2.80	-0.90	1.80
NE	-1.10	1.80	-0.20	-2.10	-2.10	2.20	0.30
ARI	-0.30	0.40	-2.40	-2.60	-0.70	-1.30	-4.70
WAS	-0.70	-2.10	-1.30	-3.30	-0.10	-2.40	-1.00

Pass adj yds per att (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (1.90), 2019 Chiefs (2.30), 2020 Packers (2.20), 2021 Bills (1.90), 2022 Eagles (2.00), 2023 49ers (3.80).

Chiefs have led this stat 2 of 6 seasons.

The best season on record is 49ers 2023 at 3.80; the worst Jets 2021 at -3.40.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2023.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_pass_adj_yds_per_att
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P only
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.