What Pass adj yds per att (Off − Def) is

Adjusted yards per attempt minus adjusted yards per attempt allowed — touchdowns and interceptions priced in on both sides, sacks not.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P.

In 2019 the Chiefs led at 2.30; the league average was -0.47.

League snapshot — 2019

League leader

KC · 2.30

League average

-0.47

Best to worst

5.30

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	KC	2.30	16
2	SF	2.10	16
3	BAL	2.10	16
4	NE	2.10	16
5	MIN	1.60	16
6	TEN	1.40	16
7	SEA	1.20	16
8	NO	1.20	16
9	DAL	1.10	16
10	BUF	0.50	16
11	GB	0.40	16
12	LAR	-0.20	16
13	LAC	-0.50	16
14	TB	-0.50	16
15	PHI	-0.80	16
16	ATL	-1.00	16
17	HOU	-1.00	16
18	PIT	-1.00	16
19	CHI	-1.10	16
20	DEN	-1.10	16
21	LV	-1.10	16
22	CLE	-1.30	16
23	JAX	-1.30	16
24	IND	-1.40	16
25	NYJ	-1.50	16
26	DET	-1.70	16
27	CAR	-2.20	16
28	WAS	-2.40	16
29	NYG	-2.40	16
30	ARI	-2.70	16
31	MIA	-2.70	16
32	CIN	-3.00	16

At a glance — 2019

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

KC · 2.30

League laggard

CIN · -3.00

League average

-0.47

Spread (max − min)

5.30

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	KC	2.30	2.77	100%
2	SF	2.10	2.57	96.8%
3	BAL	2.10	2.57	93.5%
4	NE	2.10	2.57	90.3%
5	MIN	1.60	2.07	87.1%
6	TEN	1.40	1.87	83.9%
7	SEA	1.20	1.67	80.6%
8	NO	1.20	1.67	77.4%
9	DAL	1.10	1.57	74.2%
10	BUF	0.50	0.97	71%
11	GB	0.40	0.87	67.7%
12	LAR	-0.20	0.27	64.5%
13	LAC	-0.50	-0.03	61.3%
14	TB	-0.50	-0.03	58.1%
15	PHI	-0.80	-0.33	54.8%
16	ATL	-1.00	-0.53	51.6%
17	HOU	-1.00	-0.53	48.4%
18	PIT	-1.00	-0.53	45.2%
19	CHI	-1.10	-0.63	41.9%
20	DEN	-1.10	-0.63	38.7%
21	LV	-1.10	-0.63	35.5%
22	CLE	-1.30	-0.83	32.3%
23	JAX	-1.30	-0.83	29%
24	IND	-1.40	-0.93	25.8%
25	NYJ	-1.50	-1.03	22.6%
26	DET	-1.70	-1.23	19.4%
27	CAR	-2.20	-1.73	16.1%
28	WAS	-2.40	-1.93	12.9%
29	NYG	-2.40	-1.93	9.7%
30	ARI	-2.70	-2.23	6.5%
31	MIA	-2.70	-2.23	3.2%
32	CIN	-3.00	-2.53	0%

Does Pass adj yds per att (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 924–654–37 ATS (58.6%) across 2020–2025, #15 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (153–101, 60.2%); its worst 2023 (141–117, 54.7%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	153–101–2	60.2%
2021	272	159–111–2	58.9%
2022	271	158–106–7	59.8%
2023	272	141–117–14	54.7%
2024	272	152–111–9	57.8%
2025	272	161–108–3	59.9%

Pass adj yds per att (Off − Def) in 2019 vs 2018

Chiefs lead at 2.30 — they ranked #1 last year. Bengals are last at -3.00 — #28 last year.

The league average is -0.47, up 0.06 from -0.53 last year.

Biggest riser: 49ers, #27 → #2. Biggest faller: Bears, #2 → #19.

Spread between first and last: 5.30; 18 teams are within 1.57 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2019 vs 2018

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

SF · +3.90

Biggest faller

CHI · −2.90

Most consistent

WAS · −0.20

League trend 2019 vs 2018

▲ 0.06

Rank	Team	2019	2018	Δ
1	SF	2.10	-1.80	+3.90
2	BUF	0.50	-1.70	+2.20
3	TEN	1.40	-0.50	+1.90
4	BAL	2.10	0.20	+1.90
5	GB	0.40	-1.20	+1.60
6	DAL	1.10	-0.50	+1.60
7	MIN	1.60	0.40	+1.20
8	NE	2.10	1.10	+1.00
9	NYJ	-1.50	-2.40	+0.90
10	NO	1.20	0.30	+0.90
11	LV	-1.10	-1.80	+0.70
12	TB	-0.50	-1.20	+0.70
13	SEA	1.20	0.60	+0.60
14	DET	-1.70	-2.30	+0.60
15	ARI	-2.70	-3.20	+0.50
16	DEN	-1.10	-1.50	+0.40
17	KC	2.30	1.90	+0.40
18	WAS	-2.40	-2.20	−0.20
19	JAX	-1.30	-1.10	−0.20
20	PHI	-0.80	-0.10	−0.70
21	PIT	-1.00	-0.30	−0.70
22	CAR	-2.20	-1.30	−0.90
23	LAR	-0.20	0.80	−1.00
24	CIN	-3.00	-2.00	−1.00
25	HOU	-1.00	0.40	−1.40
26	MIA	-2.70	-1.30	−1.40
27	IND	-1.40	0.10	−1.50
28	CLE	-1.30	0.30	−1.60
29	ATL	-1.00	0.70	−1.70
30	LAC	-0.50	1.30	−1.80
31	NYG	-2.40	-0.30	−2.10
32	CHI	-1.10	1.80	−2.90

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

SF · 1.49

Multi-year laggard

CHI · -1.84

Biggest improver

JAX · +0.74/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −0.61/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	SF	1.49	+0.26	0.10	0.70	1.80	3.80	0.80	-0.50	3.70
2	BUF	1.41	−0.13	1.80	1.90	1.40	1.00	1.30	1.90	0.60
3	GB	1.26	+0.10	2.20	1.70	-0.30	-0.40	1.60	1.10	2.90
4	SEA	0.87	+0.47	0.50	0.30	0.20	-0.50	-0.50	2.40	3.70
5	KC	0.76	+0.05	1.60	0.20	1.20	0.20	-0.50	-0.60	3.20
6	BAL	0.74	+0.59	0.50	-2.60	-1.00	2.60	2.70	0.00	3.00
7	LAR	0.46	+0.16	0.70	1.40	-1.70	-0.10	-0.60	2.20	1.30
8	MIN	0.13	+0.09	0.30	0.40	-0.80	-0.50	1.60	-2.00	1.90
9	PHI	-0.04	+0.32	-3.30	0.00	2.00	-1.00	1.80	1.20	-1.00
10	TB	-0.13	−0.44	1.10	1.60	-0.70	-0.40	0.20	-1.40	-1.30
11	NE	-0.17	+0.11	-1.10	1.80	-0.20	-2.10	-2.10	2.20	0.30
12	NO	-0.19	−0.47	1.30	0.00	0.50	0.60	-0.70	-0.90	-2.10
13	DET	-0.21	+0.63	-2.30	-2.40	-0.20	-0.10	2.00	0.70	0.80
14	LAC	-0.21	−0.13	0.30	0.00	-0.50	-1.40	1.50	0.60	-2.00
15	CIN	-0.24	+0.07	-1.90	1.00	0.80	-1.30	0.90	-1.80	0.60
16	HOU	-0.27	+0.32	0.00	-1.90	-1.40	0.20	-0.50	0.90	0.80
17	DEN	-0.51	+0.21	-2.10	-0.10	-0.20	-1.00	0.00	0.30	-0.50
18	PIT	-0.54	+0.04	0.50	-1.30	-1.60	-0.80	0.20	-0.60	-0.20
19	DAL	-0.60	−0.40	-1.50	1.90	-0.10	1.40	-2.10	-1.50	-2.30
20	JAX	-0.83	+0.74	-2.80	-3.10	-0.10	-0.50	-2.70	1.40	2.00
21	MIA	-0.90	−0.34	-0.80	-1.10	0.40	0.80	-0.40	-2.30	-2.90
22	ATL	-0.94	+0.11	-1.10	-1.30	-1.10	-1.20	-0.70	-0.30	-0.90
23	LV	-1.04	−0.26	0.20	-0.10	-1.30	-1.30	-1.90	-2.40	-0.50
24	CLE	-1.07	−0.25	0.00	-0.40	-0.60	-0.20	-4.00	-2.40	0.10
25	IND	-1.16	−0.41	0.30	0.10	-2.40	-0.70	-1.60	-0.10	-3.70
26	CAR	-1.29	+0.38	-1.00	-2.80	-1.20	-2.10	-2.80	-0.90	1.80
27	NYG	-1.34	+0.25	-1.70	-2.00	-0.90	-1.40	-3.20	-0.80	0.60
28	WAS	-1.56	−0.01	-0.70	-2.10	-1.30	-3.30	-0.10	-2.40	-1.00
29	TEN	-1.61	−0.61	0.80	-0.80	-1.30	-1.70	-1.60	-4.10	-2.60
30	ARI	-1.66	−0.53	-0.30	0.40	-2.40	-2.60	-0.70	-1.30	-4.70
31	NYJ	-1.70	+0.40	-3.00	-3.40	-0.50	-1.30	-0.70	-4.60	1.60
32	CHI	-1.84	+0.17	-1.80	-3.30	-2.50	-0.80	-2.00	0.20	-2.70

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	0.10	0.70	1.80	3.80	0.80	-0.50	3.70
SEA	0.50	0.30	0.20	-0.50	-0.50	2.40	3.70
KC	1.60	0.20	1.20	0.20	-0.50	-0.60	3.20
BAL	0.50	-2.60	-1.00	2.60	2.70	0.00	3.00
GB	2.20	1.70	-0.30	-0.40	1.60	1.10	2.90
JAX	-2.80	-3.10	-0.10	-0.50	-2.70	1.40	2.00
MIN	0.30	0.40	-0.80	-0.50	1.60	-2.00	1.90
CAR	-1.00	-2.80	-1.20	-2.10	-2.80	-0.90	1.80
NYJ	-3.00	-3.40	-0.50	-1.30	-0.70	-4.60	1.60
LAR	0.70	1.40	-1.70	-0.10	-0.60	2.20	1.30
DET	-2.30	-2.40	-0.20	-0.10	2.00	0.70	0.80
HOU	0.00	-1.90	-1.40	0.20	-0.50	0.90	0.80
BUF	1.80	1.90	1.40	1.00	1.30	1.90	0.60
CIN	-1.90	1.00	0.80	-1.30	0.90	-1.80	0.60
NYG	-1.70	-2.00	-0.90	-1.40	-3.20	-0.80	0.60
NE	-1.10	1.80	-0.20	-2.10	-2.10	2.20	0.30
CLE	0.00	-0.40	-0.60	-0.20	-4.00	-2.40	0.10
PIT	0.50	-1.30	-1.60	-0.80	0.20	-0.60	-0.20
LV	0.20	-0.10	-1.30	-1.30	-1.90	-2.40	-0.50
DEN	-2.10	-0.10	-0.20	-1.00	0.00	0.30	-0.50
ATL	-1.10	-1.30	-1.10	-1.20	-0.70	-0.30	-0.90
PHI	-3.30	0.00	2.00	-1.00	1.80	1.20	-1.00
WAS	-0.70	-2.10	-1.30	-3.30	-0.10	-2.40	-1.00
TB	1.10	1.60	-0.70	-0.40	0.20	-1.40	-1.30
LAC	0.30	0.00	-0.50	-1.40	1.50	0.60	-2.00
NO	1.30	0.00	0.50	0.60	-0.70	-0.90	-2.10
DAL	-1.50	1.90	-0.10	1.40	-2.10	-1.50	-2.30
TEN	0.80	-0.80	-1.30	-1.70	-1.60	-4.10	-2.60
CHI	-1.80	-3.30	-2.50	-0.80	-2.00	0.20	-2.70
MIA	-0.80	-1.10	0.40	0.80	-0.40	-2.30	-2.90
IND	0.30	0.10	-2.40	-0.70	-1.60	-0.10	-3.70
ARI	-0.30	0.40	-2.40	-2.60	-0.70	-1.30	-4.70

Pass adj yds per att (Off − Def) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Chiefs (1.90), 2019 Chiefs (2.30).

Chiefs have led this stat 2 of 2 seasons.

The best season on record is Chiefs 2019 at 2.30; the worst Cardinals 2018 at -3.20.

The league average has risen from -0.53 in 2018 to -0.47 in 2019.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2019.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_pass_adj_yds_per_att
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P only
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.