What Pass adj yds per att (Off − Def) is

Adjusted yards per attempt minus adjusted yards per attempt allowed — touchdowns and interceptions priced in on both sides, sacks not.

Higher is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P.

In 2018 the Chiefs led at 1.90; the league average was -0.53.

League snapshot — 2018

League leader

KC · 1.90

League average

-0.53

Best to worst

5.10

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	KC	1.90	16
2	CHI	1.80	16
3	LAC	1.30	16
4	NE	1.10	16
5	LAR	0.80	16
6	ATL	0.70	16
7	SEA	0.60	16
8	HOU	0.40	16
9	MIN	0.40	16
10	NO	0.30	16
11	CLE	0.30	16
12	BAL	0.20	16
13	IND	0.10	16
14	PHI	-0.10	16
15	NYG	-0.30	16
16	PIT	-0.30	16
17	DAL	-0.50	16
18	TEN	-0.50	16
19	JAX	-1.10	16
20	TB	-1.20	16
21	GB	-1.20	16
22	CAR	-1.30	16
23	MIA	-1.30	16
24	DEN	-1.50	16
25	BUF	-1.70	16
26	LV	-1.80	16
27	SF	-1.80	16
28	CIN	-2.00	16
29	WAS	-2.20	16
30	DET	-2.30	16
31	NYJ	-2.40	16
32	ARI	-3.20	16

At a glance — 2018

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

KC · 1.90

League laggard

ARI · -3.20

League average

-0.53

Spread (max − min)

5.10

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	KC	1.90	2.43	100%
2	CHI	1.80	2.33	96.8%
3	LAC	1.30	1.83	93.5%
4	NE	1.10	1.63	90.3%
5	LAR	0.80	1.33	87.1%
6	ATL	0.70	1.23	83.9%
7	SEA	0.60	1.13	80.6%
8	HOU	0.40	0.93	77.4%
9	MIN	0.40	0.93	74.2%
10	NO	0.30	0.83	71%
11	CLE	0.30	0.83	67.7%
12	BAL	0.20	0.73	64.5%
13	IND	0.10	0.63	61.3%
14	PHI	-0.10	0.43	58.1%
15	NYG	-0.30	0.23	54.8%
16	PIT	-0.30	0.23	51.6%
17	DAL	-0.50	0.03	48.4%
18	TEN	-0.50	0.03	45.2%
19	JAX	-1.10	-0.58	41.9%
20	TB	-1.20	-0.67	38.7%
21	GB	-1.20	-0.68	35.5%
22	CAR	-1.30	-0.78	32.3%
23	MIA	-1.30	-0.78	29%
24	DEN	-1.50	-0.98	25.8%
25	BUF	-1.70	-1.18	22.6%
26	LV	-1.80	-1.28	19.4%
27	SF	-1.80	-1.28	16.1%
28	CIN	-2.00	-1.48	12.9%
29	WAS	-2.20	-1.68	9.7%
30	DET	-2.30	-1.78	6.5%
31	NYJ	-2.40	-1.88	3.2%
32	ARI	-3.20	-2.68	0%

Does Pass adj yds per att (Off − Def) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 924–654–37 ATS (58.6%) across 2020–2025, #15 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (153–101, 60.2%); its worst 2023 (141–117, 54.7%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	153–101–2	60.2%
2021	272	159–111–2	58.9%
2022	271	158–106–7	59.8%
2023	272	141–117–14	54.7%
2024	272	152–111–9	57.8%
2025	272	161–108–3	59.9%

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

SF · 1.49

Multi-year laggard

CHI · -1.84

Biggest improver

JAX · +0.74/yr

Biggest decliner

TEN · −0.61/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	SF	1.49	+0.26	0.10	0.70	1.80	3.80	0.80	-0.50	3.70
2	BUF	1.41	−0.13	1.80	1.90	1.40	1.00	1.30	1.90	0.60
3	GB	1.26	+0.10	2.20	1.70	-0.30	-0.40	1.60	1.10	2.90
4	SEA	0.87	+0.47	0.50	0.30	0.20	-0.50	-0.50	2.40	3.70
5	KC	0.76	+0.05	1.60	0.20	1.20	0.20	-0.50	-0.60	3.20
6	BAL	0.74	+0.59	0.50	-2.60	-1.00	2.60	2.70	0.00	3.00
7	LAR	0.46	+0.16	0.70	1.40	-1.70	-0.10	-0.60	2.20	1.30
8	MIN	0.13	+0.09	0.30	0.40	-0.80	-0.50	1.60	-2.00	1.90
9	PHI	-0.04	+0.32	-3.30	0.00	2.00	-1.00	1.80	1.20	-1.00
10	TB	-0.13	−0.44	1.10	1.60	-0.70	-0.40	0.20	-1.40	-1.30
11	NE	-0.17	+0.11	-1.10	1.80	-0.20	-2.10	-2.10	2.20	0.30
12	NO	-0.19	−0.47	1.30	0.00	0.50	0.60	-0.70	-0.90	-2.10
13	DET	-0.21	+0.63	-2.30	-2.40	-0.20	-0.10	2.00	0.70	0.80
14	LAC	-0.21	−0.13	0.30	0.00	-0.50	-1.40	1.50	0.60	-2.00
15	CIN	-0.24	+0.07	-1.90	1.00	0.80	-1.30	0.90	-1.80	0.60
16	HOU	-0.27	+0.32	0.00	-1.90	-1.40	0.20	-0.50	0.90	0.80
17	DEN	-0.51	+0.21	-2.10	-0.10	-0.20	-1.00	0.00	0.30	-0.50
18	PIT	-0.54	+0.04	0.50	-1.30	-1.60	-0.80	0.20	-0.60	-0.20
19	DAL	-0.60	−0.40	-1.50	1.90	-0.10	1.40	-2.10	-1.50	-2.30
20	JAX	-0.83	+0.74	-2.80	-3.10	-0.10	-0.50	-2.70	1.40	2.00
21	MIA	-0.90	−0.34	-0.80	-1.10	0.40	0.80	-0.40	-2.30	-2.90
22	ATL	-0.94	+0.11	-1.10	-1.30	-1.10	-1.20	-0.70	-0.30	-0.90
23	LV	-1.04	−0.26	0.20	-0.10	-1.30	-1.30	-1.90	-2.40	-0.50
24	CLE	-1.07	−0.25	0.00	-0.40	-0.60	-0.20	-4.00	-2.40	0.10
25	IND	-1.16	−0.41	0.30	0.10	-2.40	-0.70	-1.60	-0.10	-3.70
26	CAR	-1.29	+0.38	-1.00	-2.80	-1.20	-2.10	-2.80	-0.90	1.80
27	NYG	-1.34	+0.25	-1.70	-2.00	-0.90	-1.40	-3.20	-0.80	0.60
28	WAS	-1.56	−0.01	-0.70	-2.10	-1.30	-3.30	-0.10	-2.40	-1.00
29	TEN	-1.61	−0.61	0.80	-0.80	-1.30	-1.70	-1.60	-4.10	-2.60
30	ARI	-1.66	−0.53	-0.30	0.40	-2.40	-2.60	-0.70	-1.30	-4.70
31	NYJ	-1.70	+0.40	-3.00	-3.40	-0.50	-1.30	-0.70	-4.60	1.60
32	CHI	-1.84	+0.17	-1.80	-3.30	-2.50	-0.80	-2.00	0.20	-2.70

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
SF	0.10	0.70	1.80	3.80	0.80	-0.50	3.70
SEA	0.50	0.30	0.20	-0.50	-0.50	2.40	3.70
KC	1.60	0.20	1.20	0.20	-0.50	-0.60	3.20
BAL	0.50	-2.60	-1.00	2.60	2.70	0.00	3.00
GB	2.20	1.70	-0.30	-0.40	1.60	1.10	2.90
JAX	-2.80	-3.10	-0.10	-0.50	-2.70	1.40	2.00
MIN	0.30	0.40	-0.80	-0.50	1.60	-2.00	1.90
CAR	-1.00	-2.80	-1.20	-2.10	-2.80	-0.90	1.80
NYJ	-3.00	-3.40	-0.50	-1.30	-0.70	-4.60	1.60
LAR	0.70	1.40	-1.70	-0.10	-0.60	2.20	1.30
DET	-2.30	-2.40	-0.20	-0.10	2.00	0.70	0.80
HOU	0.00	-1.90	-1.40	0.20	-0.50	0.90	0.80
BUF	1.80	1.90	1.40	1.00	1.30	1.90	0.60
CIN	-1.90	1.00	0.80	-1.30	0.90	-1.80	0.60
NYG	-1.70	-2.00	-0.90	-1.40	-3.20	-0.80	0.60
NE	-1.10	1.80	-0.20	-2.10	-2.10	2.20	0.30
CLE	0.00	-0.40	-0.60	-0.20	-4.00	-2.40	0.10
PIT	0.50	-1.30	-1.60	-0.80	0.20	-0.60	-0.20
LV	0.20	-0.10	-1.30	-1.30	-1.90	-2.40	-0.50
DEN	-2.10	-0.10	-0.20	-1.00	0.00	0.30	-0.50
ATL	-1.10	-1.30	-1.10	-1.20	-0.70	-0.30	-0.90
PHI	-3.30	0.00	2.00	-1.00	1.80	1.20	-1.00
WAS	-0.70	-2.10	-1.30	-3.30	-0.10	-2.40	-1.00
TB	1.10	1.60	-0.70	-0.40	0.20	-1.40	-1.30
LAC	0.30	0.00	-0.50	-1.40	1.50	0.60	-2.00
NO	1.30	0.00	0.50	0.60	-0.70	-0.90	-2.10
DAL	-1.50	1.90	-0.10	1.40	-2.10	-1.50	-2.30
TEN	0.80	-0.80	-1.30	-1.70	-1.60	-4.10	-2.60
CHI	-1.80	-3.30	-2.50	-0.80	-2.00	0.20	-2.70
MIA	-0.80	-1.10	0.40	0.80	-0.40	-2.30	-2.90
IND	0.30	0.10	-2.40	-0.70	-1.60	-0.10	-3.70
ARI	-0.30	0.40	-2.40	-2.60	-0.70	-1.30	-4.70

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_pass_adj_yds_per_att
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P only
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.