What Fourth down success (Off − Def) is

Fourth downs converted minus fourth downs opponents converted against this defense.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2018 the Broncos led at 0.56; the league average was 0.

League snapshot — 2018

League leader

DEN · 0.56

League average

Best to worst

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	DEN	0.56	16
2	DAL	0.38	16
3	JAX	0.31	16
4	SEA	0.31	16
5	WAS	0.31	16
6	BAL	0.19	16
7	PHI	0.19	16
8	DET	0.13	16
9	MIA	0.13	16
10	NYJ	0.13	16
11	PIT	0.13	16
12	TB	0.13	16
13	BUF	0.06	16
14	NE	0.06	16
15	ATL	0	16
16	IND	0	16
17	MIN	0	16
18	CAR	-0.06	16
19	LV	-0.06	16
20	NO	-0.06	16
21	ARI	-0.13	16
22	CIN	-0.13	16
23	GB	-0.13	16
24	NYG	-0.13	16
25	LAR	-0.19	16
26	CLE	-0.25	16
27	HOU	-0.25	16
28	LAC	-0.25	16
29	TEN	-0.25	16
30	SF	-0.31	16
31	KC	-0.38	16
32	CHI	-0.44	16

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

DEN · 0.56

League laggard

CHI · -0.44

League average

Spread (max − min)

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	DEN	0.56	0.56	100%
2	DAL	0.38	0.38	96.8%
3	JAX	0.31	0.31	93.5%
4	SEA	0.31	0.31	90.3%
5	WAS	0.31	0.31	87.1%
6	BAL	0.19	0.19	83.9%
7	PHI	0.19	0.19	80.6%
8	DET	0.13	0.13	77.4%
9	MIA	0.13	0.13	74.2%
10	NYJ	0.13	0.13	71%
11	PIT	0.13	0.13	67.7%
12	TB	0.13	0.13	64.5%
13	BUF	0.06	0.06	61.3%
14	NE	0.06	0.06	58.1%
15	ATL	0	0	54.8%
16	IND	0	0	51.6%
17	MIN	0	0	48.4%
18	CAR	-0.06	-0.06	45.2%
19	LV	-0.06	-0.06	41.9%
20	NO	-0.06	-0.06	38.7%
21	ARI	-0.13	-0.13	35.5%
22	CIN	-0.13	-0.13	32.3%
23	GB	-0.13	-0.13	29%
24	NYG	-0.13	-0.13	25.8%
25	LAR	-0.19	-0.19	22.6%
26	CLE	-0.25	-0.25	19.4%
27	HOU	-0.25	-0.25	16.1%
28	LAC	-0.25	-0.25	12.9%
29	TEN	-0.25	-0.25	9.7%
30	SF	-0.31	-0.31	6.5%
31	KC	-0.38	-0.38	3.2%
32	CHI	-0.44	-0.44	0%

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 759–819–37 ATS (48.1%) across 2020–2025, #285 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (137–127, 51.9%); its worst 2024 (117–146, 44.5%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	130–124–2	51.2%
2021	272	122–148–2	45.2%
2022	271	137–127–7	51.9%
2023	272	133–125–14	51.6%
2024	272	117–146–9	44.5%
2025	272	120–149–3	44.6%

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

CAR · 0.46

Multi-year laggard

SEA · -0.38

Biggest improver

NO · +0.19/yr

Biggest decliner

PIT · −0.17/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	CAR	0.46	+0.02	0.56	0.12	0.24	0.94	0.29	0.76	0.29
2	CHI	0.42	+0.13	0.25	0.18	0.12	0.18	0.82	0.24	1.14
3	CLE	0.28	+0.16	-0.88	-0.24	0.88	0.71	0.94	0.29	0.25
4	IND	0.27	−0.01	0.63	0.35	-0.06	-0.06	0.35	0.18	0.50
5	NYG	0.24	+0.07	0.19	-0.06	-0.06	0.47	0.47	0.12	0.57
6	DET	0.20	−0.08	-0.06	0.71	0.29	0.35	0.59	-0.18	-0.29
7	ARI	0.19	−0.04	0.19	0.18	0.59	0.47	-0.35	0	0.25
8	NO	0.12	+0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.24	-0.12	0.06	-0.24	1.57
9	NE	0.07	+0.15	0	-0.41	-0.29	-0.06	0.18	0.47	0.63
10	LAC	0.07	−0.15	0.13	0.88	0.53	-0.24	-0.47	-0.06	-0.29
11	NYJ	0.06	−0.04	0.13	0.06	0	0.59	-0.35	0.12	-0.13
12	WAS	0.06	−0.05	0.13	0.24	0	0.18	0.24	-0.24	-0.14
13	DAL	0.03	+0.02	0.44	-0.12	-0.12	-0.35	-0.41	0.53	0.25
14	CIN	0.03	−0.09	0.56	0.35	-0.38	0.12	-0.35	-0.24	0.14
15	LV	0.03	+0.06	0.13	-0.53	0.12	0	0.24	0	0.25
16	PHI	0.01	−0.12	0.50	-0.24	0.41	0	0	0	-0.63
17	JAX	-0.01	+0.02	-0.31	0.24	0.24	-0.47	0	0.35	-0.14
18	LAR	-0.02	+0.06	-0.06	-0.41	0.06	-0.18	0.41	-0.18	0.25
19	ATL	-0.04	−0.11	0.31	-0.06	0.12	-0.18	0.41	-0.29	-0.63
20	DEN	-0.06	−0.05	-0.19	0.29	0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.24	-0.25
21	KC	-0.10	+0.15	-0.25	-0.53	-0.65	-0.18	0	1.06	-0.14
22	MIA	-0.11	−0.02	-0.25	0.12	-0.12	-0.18	0.29	-0.53	-0.14
23	TEN	-0.12	+0.05	-0.31	0.06	-0.59	-0.06	-0.06	0.24	-0.13
24	GB	-0.13	−0.01	-0.06	-0.12	0.06	-0.12	-0.59	-0.35	0.25
25	BUF	-0.14	+0.09	-0.19	-0.29	-0.75	-0.06	-0.06	0.53	-0.14
26	MIN	-0.17	+0.01	-0.25	-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.41	-0.06	-0.14
27	HOU	-0.18	−0.02	-0.13	-0.12	0	-0.47	-0.35	0.06	-0.29
28	SF	-0.22	+0.04	-0.44	-0.06	-0.18	-0.41	-0.53	0.06	0
29	TB	-0.24	−0.02	-0.38	-0.24	0.06	0	-0.59	-0.06	-0.50
30	PIT	-0.28	−0.17	0.31	-0.18	-0.12	0.06	-0.47	-0.94	-0.63
31	BAL	-0.30	−0.12	-0.25	0.41	-0.41	-0.29	-0.24	-0.47	-0.88
32	SEA	-0.38	−0.09	-0.13	-0.53	0.06	-0.41	0	-0.94	-0.71

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_fourth_down_success
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.