What Fourth down success (Off − Def) is

Fourth downs converted minus fourth downs opponents converted against this defense.

Higher is better. It is shown per game, so a team's number does not depend on games played. Source: P + N.

In 2018 the Broncos led at 0.56; the league average was 0.

League snapshot — 2018

League leader

DEN · 0.56

League average

Best to worst

All 32 teams, higher is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	DEN	0.56	16
2	DAL	0.38	16
3	JAX	0.31	16
4	SEA	0.31	16
5	WAS	0.31	16
6	BAL	0.19	16
7	PHI	0.19	16
8	DET	0.13	16
9	MIA	0.13	16
10	NYJ	0.13	16
11	PIT	0.13	16
12	TB	0.13	16
13	BUF	0.06	16
14	NE	0.06	16
15	ATL	0	16
16	IND	0	16
17	MIN	0	16
18	CAR	-0.06	16
19	LV	-0.06	16
20	NO	-0.06	16
21	ARI	-0.13	16
22	CIN	-0.13	16
23	GB	-0.13	16
24	NYG	-0.13	16
25	LAR	-0.19	16
26	CLE	-0.25	16
27	HOU	-0.25	16
28	LAC	-0.25	16
29	TEN	-0.25	16
30	SF	-0.31	16
31	KC	-0.38	16
32	CHI	-0.44	16

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

DEN · 0.56

League laggard

CHI · -0.44

League average

Spread (max − min)

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	DEN	0.56	0.56	100%
2	DAL	0.38	0.38	96.8%
3	JAX	0.31	0.31	93.5%
4	SEA	0.31	0.31	90.3%
5	WAS	0.31	0.31	87.1%
6	BAL	0.19	0.19	83.9%
7	PHI	0.19	0.19	80.6%
8	DET	0.13	0.13	77.4%
9	MIA	0.13	0.13	74.2%
10	NYJ	0.13	0.13	71%
11	PIT	0.13	0.13	67.7%
12	TB	0.13	0.13	64.5%
13	BUF	0.06	0.06	61.3%
14	NE	0.06	0.06	58.1%
15	ATL	0	0	54.8%
16	IND	0	0	51.6%
17	MIN	0	0	48.4%
18	CAR	-0.06	-0.06	45.2%
19	LV	-0.06	-0.06	41.9%
20	NO	-0.06	-0.06	38.7%
21	ARI	-0.13	-0.13	35.5%
22	CIN	-0.13	-0.13	32.3%
23	GB	-0.13	-0.13	29%
24	NYG	-0.13	-0.13	25.8%
25	LAR	-0.19	-0.19	22.6%
26	CLE	-0.25	-0.25	19.4%
27	HOU	-0.25	-0.25	16.1%
28	LAC	-0.25	-0.25	12.9%
29	TEN	-0.25	-0.25	9.7%
30	SF	-0.31	-0.31	6.5%
31	KC	-0.38	-0.38	3.2%
32	CHI	-0.44	-0.44	0%

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 759–819–37 ATS (48.1%) across 2020–2025, #285 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2022 (137–127, 51.9%); its worst 2024 (117–146, 44.5%).

For picks, this is noise. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	130–124–2	51.2%
2021	272	122–148–2	45.2%
2022	271	137–127–7	51.9%
2023	272	133–125–14	51.6%
2024	272	117–146–9	44.5%
2025	272	120–149–3	44.6%

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

CHI · 0.43

Multi-year laggard

SEA · -0.39

Biggest improver

NO · +0.21/yr

Biggest decliner

PHI · −0.18/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	CHI	0.43	+0.13	0.25	0.18	0.12	0.18	0.82	0.24	1.20
2	CAR	0.38	−0.04	0.56	0.12	0.24	0.94	0.29	0.76	-0.25
3	CLE	0.33	+0.20	-0.88	-0.24	0.88	0.71	0.94	0.29	0.60
4	IND	0.28	−0.00	0.63	0.35	-0.06	-0.06	0.35	0.18	0.60
5	DET	0.27	−0.02	-0.06	0.71	0.29	0.35	0.59	-0.18	0.20
6	NYG	0.25	+0.08	0.19	-0.06	-0.06	0.47	0.47	0.12	0.60
7	NO	0.15	+0.21	-0.31	0.12	-0.24	-0.12	0.06	-0.24	1.80
8	ARI	0.15	−0.07	0.19	0.18	0.59	0.47	-0.35	0	0
9	WAS	0.11	−0.02	0.13	0.24	0	0.18	0.24	-0.24	0.20
10	NE	0.10	+0.17	0	-0.41	-0.29	-0.06	0.18	0.47	0.80
11	NYJ	0.08	−0.02	0.13	0.06	0	0.59	-0.35	0.12	0
12	CIN	0.07	−0.06	0.56	0.35	-0.38	0.12	-0.35	-0.24	0.40
13	LAC	0.05	−0.16	0.13	0.88	0.53	-0.24	-0.47	-0.06	-0.40
14	DAL	0.05	+0.03	0.44	-0.12	-0.12	-0.35	-0.41	0.53	0.40
15	LAR	0.03	+0.10	-0.06	-0.41	0.06	-0.18	0.41	-0.18	0.60
16	LV	0.02	+0.05	0.13	-0.53	0.12	0	0.24	0	0.20
17	JAX	-0.02	+0.01	-0.31	0.24	0.24	-0.47	0	0.35	-0.20
18	KC	-0.04	+0.19	-0.25	-0.53	-0.65	-0.18	0	1.06	0.25
19	PHI	-0.07	−0.18	0.50	-0.24	0.41	0	0	0	-1.20
20	DEN	-0.08	−0.07	-0.19	0.29	0.18	-0.18	-0.06	-0.24	-0.40
21	MIA	-0.09	−0.00	-0.25	0.12	-0.12	-0.18	0.29	-0.53	0
22	ATL	-0.10	−0.15	0.31	-0.06	0.12	-0.18	0.41	-0.29	-1
23	GB	-0.11	+0.01	-0.06	-0.12	0.06	-0.12	-0.59	-0.35	0.40
24	TEN	-0.16	+0.02	-0.31	0.06	-0.59	-0.06	-0.06	0.24	-0.40
25	HOU	-0.17	−0.01	-0.13	-0.12	0	-0.47	-0.35	0.06	-0.20
26	MIN	-0.18	+0.00	-0.25	-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	-0.41	-0.06	-0.20
27	TB	-0.23	−0.01	-0.38	-0.24	0.06	0	-0.59	-0.06	-0.40
28	PIT	-0.25	−0.14	0.31	-0.18	-0.12	0.06	-0.47	-0.94	-0.40
29	BUF	-0.26	−0.00	-0.19	-0.29	-0.75	-0.06	-0.06	0.53	-1
30	BAL	-0.26	−0.09	-0.25	0.41	-0.41	-0.29	-0.24	-0.47	-0.60
31	SF	-0.34	−0.04	-0.44	-0.06	-0.18	-0.41	-0.53	0.06	-0.80
32	SEA	-0.39	−0.10	-0.13	-0.53	0.06	-0.41	0	-0.94	-0.80

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

How the 32 teams cluster for 2018.

About this stat

Stat ID: net_fourth_down_success
Side: net
Family: NET (Off − Def)
Data source: P + N
Polarity: higher is better (or neutral)
Display grain: count
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.