What Pass td perc (allowed) is

Touchdown rate allowed: passing touchdowns allowed divided by opponent attempts, as a percentage. The share of throws against this defense that scored.

Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.

In 2024 the Lions led at 2.93; the league average was 4.54.

League snapshot — 2024

League leader

DET · 2.93

League average

4.54

Best to worst

3.64

All 32 teams, lower is better.

Rank	Team	Value	Games
1	DET	2.93	17
2	NO	3.19	17
3	CHI	3.36	17
4	NYJ	3.42	17
5	DEN	3.61	17
6	ARI	3.70	17
7	MIN	3.73	17
8	MIA	3.83	17
9	PIT	3.90	17
10	PHI	4.01	17
11	GB	4.05	17
12	KC	4.21	17
13	LAC	4.23	17
14	BAL	4.27	17
15	TB	4.28	17
16	SEA	4.55	17
17	NYG	4.55	17
18	SF	4.81	17
19	BUF	4.81	17
20	IND	4.93	17
21	WAS	4.96	17
22	JAX	4.97	17
23	NE	5.04	17
24	CLE	5.08	17
25	LV	5.13	17
26	CIN	5.22	17
27	LAR	5.33	17
28	DAL	5.44	17
29	HOU	5.57	17
30	TEN	5.68	17
31	ATL	5.86	17
32	CAR	6.57	17

At a glance — 2024

Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.

League leader

DET · 2.93

League laggard

CAR · 6.57

League average

4.54

Spread (max − min)

3.64

Rank	Team	Value	Δ vs avg	Percentile
1	DET	2.93	-1.61	100%
2	NO	3.19	-1.35	96.8%
3	CHI	3.36	-1.18	93.5%
4	NYJ	3.42	-1.12	90.3%
5	DEN	3.61	-0.93	87.1%
6	ARI	3.70	-0.83	83.9%
7	MIN	3.73	-0.81	80.6%
8	MIA	3.83	-0.71	77.4%
9	PIT	3.90	-0.63	74.2%
10	PHI	4.01	-0.52	71%
11	GB	4.05	-0.49	67.7%
12	KC	4.21	-0.33	64.5%
13	LAC	4.23	-0.31	61.3%
14	BAL	4.27	-0.27	58.1%
15	TB	4.28	-0.26	54.8%
16	SEA	4.55	0.01	51.6%
17	NYG	4.55	0.02	48.4%
18	SF	4.81	0.27	45.2%
19	BUF	4.81	0.27	41.9%
20	IND	4.93	0.39	38.7%
21	WAS	4.96	0.42	35.5%
22	JAX	4.97	0.43	32.3%
23	NE	5.04	0.50	29%
24	CLE	5.08	0.54	25.8%
25	LV	5.13	0.59	22.6%
26	CIN	5.22	0.68	19.4%
27	LAR	5.33	0.79	16.1%
28	DAL	5.44	0.90	12.9%
29	HOU	5.57	1.03	9.7%
30	TEN	5.68	1.15	6.5%
31	ATL	5.86	1.32	3.2%
32	CAR	6.57	2.03	0%

Does Pass td perc (allowed) matter against the spread?

Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 855–723–37 ATS (54.2%) across 2020–2025, #92 of 296 ranked.

Its best season was 2020 (153–101, 60.2%); its worst 2021 (133–137, 49.3%).

For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.

Season	Games	ATS record	ATS %
2020	256	153–101–2	60.2%
2021	272	133–137–2	49.3%
2022	271	144–120–7	54.5%
2023	272	129–129–14	50.0%
2024	272	150–113–9	57.0%
2025	272	146–123–3	54.3%

Pass td perc (allowed) in 2024 vs 2023

Lions lead at 2.93 — they ranked #27 last year. Panthers are last at 6.57 — #16 last year.

The league average is 4.54, up 0.44 from 4.10 last year.

Biggest riser: Lions, #27 → #1. Biggest faller: Texans, #2 → #29.

Spread between first and last: 3.64; 22 teams are within 0.84 of the average.

Year-over-year — 2024 vs 2023

Biggest movers from last season.

Biggest riser

CAR · +2.63

Biggest faller

ARI · −2.60

Most consistent

GB · +0.05

League trend 2024 vs 2023

▲ 0.44

Rank	Team	2024	2023	Δ
1	CAR	6.57	3.93	+2.63
2	HOU	5.57	2.98	+2.59
3	TEN	5.68	3.49	+2.19
4	NE	5.04	3.28	+1.76
5	SF	4.81	3.19	+1.61
6	BUF	4.81	3.24	+1.57
7	ATL	5.86	4.36	+1.51
8	BAL	4.27	2.81	+1.46
9	LV	5.13	3.72	+1.42
10	LAR	5.33	3.93	+1.40
11	DAL	5.44	4.09	+1.35
12	IND	4.93	3.70	+1.23
13	CIN	5.22	4.13	+1.09
14	SEA	4.55	3.58	+0.97
15	NYG	4.55	3.61	+0.95
16	CLE	5.08	4.28	+0.80
17	KC	4.21	3.42	+0.79
18	JAX	4.97	4.36	+0.60
19	TB	4.28	3.73	+0.55
20	GB	4.05	4.00	+0.05
21	MIN	3.73	3.80	−0.06
22	PIT	3.90	3.99	−0.09
23	LAC	4.23	4.34	−0.12
24	NYJ	3.42	3.63	−0.20
25	NO	3.19	3.91	−0.72
26	MIA	3.83	4.74	−0.90
27	PHI	4.01	5.34	−1.32
28	DEN	3.61	5.04	−1.43
29	WAS	4.96	6.49	−1.53
30	CHI	3.36	4.99	−1.63
31	DET	2.93	4.74	−1.81
32	ARI	3.70	6.30	−2.60

Multi-year context

7-year window (2020–2026)

Multi-year leader

BAL · 3.66

Multi-year laggard

ARI · 5.74

Biggest improver

MIN · −0.47/yr

Biggest decliner

ARI · +0.55/yr

Rank	Team	Avg	Slope/yr	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
1	BAL	3.66	−0.14	3.67	4.94	3.36	2.81	4.27	3.65	2.89
2	MIN	3.80	−0.47	5.49	4.59	3.69	3.80	3.73	3.35	1.92
3	DEN	3.83	+0.01	3.69	3.89	3.29	5.04	3.61	3.03	4.24
4	SEA	3.98	+0.18	3.39	3.63	4.19	3.58	4.55	3.31	5.19
5	SF	4.05	−0.11	4.64	4.55	3.36	3.19	4.81	4.94	2.87
6	BUF	4.06	+0.43	3.97	2.25	3.66	3.24	4.81	4.05	6.40
7	KC	4.10	−0.37	5.17	4.40	5.31	3.42	4.21	3.52	2.68
8	NO	4.12	+0.14	4.98	3.37	3.15	3.91	3.19	5.08	5.16
9	HOU	4.13	−0.22	5.49	4.92	2.87	2.98	5.57	3.68	3.37
10	LAR	4.14	+0.41	3.10	2.71	4.13	3.93	5.33	4.38	5.37
11	PHI	4.14	−0.34	5.08	4.72	3.93	5.34	4.01	2.56	3.35
12	PIT	4.24	−0.11	4.16	4.25	5.33	3.99	3.90	4.85	3.16
13	NE	4.25	−0.01	4.44	3.89	4.67	3.28	5.04	4.72	3.68
14	NYG	4.30	+0.23	3.80	4.41	3.69	3.61	4.55	4.51	5.56
15	GB	4.31	−0.13	4.28	5.10	4.59	4.00	4.05	4.35	3.77
16	JAX	4.34	−0.45	6.37	4.41	4.12	4.36	4.97	3.91	2.23
17	NYJ	4.40	−0.01	5.61	4.74	2.69	3.63	3.42	6.96	3.75
18	TB	4.43	+0.02	4.68	3.82	5.04	3.73	4.28	5.24	4.19
19	CIN	4.49	−0.09	5.88	4.12	3.03	4.13	5.22	6.13	2.94
20	LAC	4.50	−0.17	5.30	4.79	4.73	4.34	4.23	3.16	4.96
21	CAR	4.56	−0.14	4.76	4.98	4.29	3.93	6.57	3.94	3.42
22	IND	4.57	+0.02	4.27	5.32	4.60	3.70	4.93	3.81	5.39
23	TEN	4.59	−0.05	5.66	3.79	4.29	3.49	5.68	5.81	3.42
24	MIA	4.81	+0.51	3.85	3.78	4.31	4.74	3.83	5.61	7.59
25	LV	4.82	+0.22	4.79	4.75	4.20	3.72	5.13	4.35	6.83
26	CLE	4.89	+0.10	5.26	4.98	3.84	4.28	5.08	5.11	5.68
27	ATL	4.98	−0.10	5.41	5.32	4.62	4.36	5.86	5.06	4.27
28	CHI	5.00	−0.14	5.11	6.46	4.54	4.99	3.36	5.95	4.58
29	DET	5.24	−0.10	6.79	5.66	4.59	4.74	2.93	5.53	6.48
30	DAL	5.36	+0.28	6.55	3.89	4.15	4.09	5.44	6.24	7.14
31	WAS	5.65	+0.39	3.95	5.65	5.05	6.49	4.96	6.09	7.37
32	ARI	5.74	+0.55	4.55	5.31	4.87	6.30	3.70	5.41	10.00

Multi-year heatmap

32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.

Team	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026
DET	6.79	5.66	4.59	4.74	2.93	5.53	6.48
NO	4.98	3.37	3.15	3.91	3.19	5.08	5.16
CHI	5.11	6.46	4.54	4.99	3.36	5.95	4.58
NYJ	5.61	4.74	2.69	3.63	3.42	6.96	3.75
DEN	3.69	3.89	3.29	5.04	3.61	3.03	4.24
ARI	4.55	5.31	4.87	6.30	3.70	5.41	10.00
MIN	5.49	4.59	3.69	3.80	3.73	3.35	1.92
MIA	3.85	3.78	4.31	4.74	3.83	5.61	7.59
PIT	4.16	4.25	5.33	3.99	3.90	4.85	3.16
PHI	5.08	4.72	3.93	5.34	4.01	2.56	3.35
GB	4.28	5.10	4.59	4.00	4.05	4.35	3.77
KC	5.17	4.40	5.31	3.42	4.21	3.52	2.68
LAC	5.30	4.79	4.73	4.34	4.23	3.16	4.96
BAL	3.67	4.94	3.36	2.81	4.27	3.65	2.89
TB	4.68	3.82	5.04	3.73	4.28	5.24	4.19
SEA	3.39	3.63	4.19	3.58	4.55	3.31	5.19
NYG	3.80	4.41	3.69	3.61	4.55	4.51	5.56
SF	4.64	4.55	3.36	3.19	4.81	4.94	2.87
BUF	3.97	2.25	3.66	3.24	4.81	4.05	6.40
IND	4.27	5.32	4.60	3.70	4.93	3.81	5.39
WAS	3.95	5.65	5.05	6.49	4.96	6.09	7.37
JAX	6.37	4.41	4.12	4.36	4.97	3.91	2.23
NE	4.44	3.89	4.67	3.28	5.04	4.72	3.68
CLE	5.26	4.98	3.84	4.28	5.08	5.11	5.68
LV	4.79	4.75	4.20	3.72	5.13	4.35	6.83
CIN	5.88	4.12	3.03	4.13	5.22	6.13	2.94
LAR	3.10	2.71	4.13	3.93	5.33	4.38	5.37
DAL	6.55	3.89	4.15	4.09	5.44	6.24	7.14
HOU	5.49	4.92	2.87	2.98	5.57	3.68	3.37
TEN	5.66	3.79	4.29	3.49	5.68	5.81	3.42
ATL	5.41	5.32	4.62	4.36	5.86	5.06	4.27
CAR	4.76	4.98	4.29	3.93	6.57	3.94	3.42

Pass td perc (allowed) since 2018

Leaders since 2018: 2018 Vikings (2.96), 2019 Patriots (2.43), 2020 Rams (3.10), 2021 Bills (2.25), 2022 Jets (2.69), 2023 Ravens (2.81), 2024 Lions (2.93).

The best season on record is Bills 2021 at 2.25; the worst Raiders 2018 at 7.47.

The league average has fallen from 4.79 in 2018 to 4.54 in 2024.

Distribution

How the 32 teams cluster for 2024.

About this stat

Stat ID: def_passing_pass_td_perc
Side: defensive
Family: Passing
Data source: P + N
Polarity: lower is better
Display grain: rate
Algorithm eligibility: Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.