Defensive: Passing · Pass td perc (allowed)
What Pass td perc (allowed) is
Touchdown rate allowed: passing touchdowns allowed divided by opponent attempts, as a percentage. The share of throws against this defense that scored.
Lower is better. It is a rate, so a team's number does not grow with games played. Source: P + N.
In 2025 the Eagles led at 2.56; the league average was 4.63.
League snapshot — 2025
All 32 teams, lower is better.
| Rank | Team | Value | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 2.56 | 17 |
| 2 | DEN | 3.03 | 17 |
| 3 | LAC | 3.16 | 17 |
| 4 | SEA | 3.31 | 17 |
| 5 | MIN | 3.35 | 17 |
| 6 | KC | 3.52 | 17 |
| 7 | BAL | 3.65 | 17 |
| 8 | HOU | 3.68 | 17 |
| 9 | IND | 3.81 | 17 |
| 10 | JAX | 3.91 | 17 |
| 11 | CAR | 3.94 | 17 |
| 12 | BUF | 4.05 | 17 |
| 13 | GB | 4.35 | 17 |
| 14 | LV | 4.35 | 17 |
| 15 | LAR | 4.38 | 17 |
| 16 | NYG | 4.51 | 17 |
| 17 | NE | 4.72 | 17 |
| 18 | PIT | 4.85 | 17 |
| 19 | SF | 4.94 | 17 |
| 20 | ATL | 5.06 | 17 |
| 21 | NO | 5.08 | 17 |
| 22 | CLE | 5.11 | 17 |
| 23 | TB | 5.24 | 17 |
| 24 | ARI | 5.41 | 17 |
| 25 | DET | 5.53 | 17 |
| 26 | MIA | 5.61 | 17 |
| 27 | TEN | 5.81 | 17 |
| 28 | CHI | 5.95 | 17 |
| 29 | WAS | 6.09 | 17 |
| 30 | CIN | 6.13 | 17 |
| 31 | DAL | 6.24 | 17 |
| 32 | NYJ | 6.96 | 17 |
At a glance — 2025
Where the 32 teams sit on this stat this season.
All teams — 2025
| Rank | Team | Value | Δ vs avg | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PHI | 2.56 | -2.07 | 100% |
| 2 | DEN | 3.03 | -1.61 | 96.8% |
| 3 | LAC | 3.16 | -1.48 | 93.5% |
| 4 | SEA | 3.31 | -1.32 | 90.3% |
| 5 | MIN | 3.35 | -1.29 | 87.1% |
| 6 | KC | 3.52 | -1.12 | 83.9% |
| 7 | BAL | 3.65 | -0.98 | 80.6% |
| 8 | HOU | 3.68 | -0.95 | 77.4% |
| 9 | IND | 3.81 | -0.82 | 74.2% |
| 10 | JAX | 3.91 | -0.73 | 71% |
| 11 | CAR | 3.94 | -0.69 | 67.7% |
| 12 | BUF | 4.05 | -0.58 | 64.5% |
| 13 | GB | 4.35 | -0.29 | 61.3% |
| 14 | LV | 4.35 | -0.29 | 58.1% |
| 15 | LAR | 4.38 | -0.25 | 54.8% |
| 16 | NYG | 4.51 | -0.12 | 51.6% |
| 17 | NE | 4.72 | 0.08 | 48.4% |
| 18 | PIT | 4.85 | 0.22 | 45.2% |
| 19 | SF | 4.94 | 0.31 | 41.9% |
| 20 | ATL | 5.06 | 0.42 | 38.7% |
| 21 | NO | 5.08 | 0.45 | 35.5% |
| 22 | CLE | 5.11 | 0.48 | 32.3% |
| 23 | TB | 5.24 | 0.61 | 29% |
| 24 | ARI | 5.41 | 0.78 | 25.8% |
| 25 | DET | 5.53 | 0.89 | 22.6% |
| 26 | MIA | 5.61 | 0.98 | 19.4% |
| 27 | TEN | 5.81 | 1.18 | 16.1% |
| 28 | CHI | 5.95 | 1.31 | 12.9% |
| 29 | WAS | 6.09 | 1.45 | 9.7% |
| 30 | CIN | 6.13 | 1.50 | 6.5% |
| 31 | DAL | 6.24 | 1.60 | 3.2% |
| 32 | NYJ | 6.96 | 2.33 | 0% |
Does Pass td perc (allowed) matter against the spread?
Run as a one-stat algorithm against the closing line, this stat went 855–723–37 ATS (54.2%) across 2020–2025, #92 of 296 ranked.
Its best season was 2020 (153–101, 60.2%); its worst 2021 (133–137, 49.3%).
For picks, this is a strong signal. One stat is not a recipe — the algorithms combine many.
| Season | Games | ATS record | ATS % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 256 | 153–101–2 | 60.2% |
| 2021 | 272 | 133–137–2 | 49.3% |
| 2022 | 271 | 144–120–7 | 54.5% |
| 2023 | 272 | 129–129–14 | 50.0% |
| 2024 | 272 | 150–113–9 | 57.0% |
| 2025 | 272 | 146–123–3 | 54.3% |
Pass td perc (allowed) in 2025 vs 2024
Eagles lead at 2.56 — they ranked #10 last year. Jets are last at 6.96 — #4 last year.
The league average is 4.63, up 0.10 from 4.54 last year.
Biggest riser: Texans, #29 → #8. Biggest faller: Jets, #4 → #32.
Spread between first and last: 4.40; 20 teams are within 1.07 of the average.
Year-over-year — 2025 vs 2024
Biggest movers from last season.
YoY by team — 2025 vs 2024
| Rank | Team | 2025 | 2024 | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NYJ | 6.96 | 3.42 | +3.54 |
| 2 | DET | 5.53 | 2.93 | +2.59 |
| 3 | CHI | 5.95 | 3.36 | +2.59 |
| 4 | NO | 5.08 | 3.19 | +1.89 |
| 5 | MIA | 5.61 | 3.83 | +1.78 |
| 6 | ARI | 5.41 | 3.70 | +1.71 |
| 7 | WAS | 6.09 | 4.96 | +1.13 |
| 8 | TB | 5.24 | 4.28 | +0.97 |
| 9 | PIT | 4.85 | 3.90 | +0.95 |
| 10 | CIN | 6.13 | 5.22 | +0.92 |
| 11 | DAL | 6.24 | 5.44 | +0.80 |
| 12 | GB | 4.35 | 4.05 | +0.30 |
| 13 | SF | 4.94 | 4.81 | +0.13 |
| 14 | TEN | 5.81 | 5.68 | +0.13 |
| 15 | CLE | 5.11 | 5.08 | +0.03 |
| 16 | NYG | 4.51 | 4.55 | −0.04 |
| 17 | NE | 4.72 | 5.04 | −0.32 |
| 18 | MIN | 3.35 | 3.73 | −0.38 |
| 19 | DEN | 3.03 | 3.61 | −0.59 |
| 20 | BAL | 3.65 | 4.27 | −0.62 |
| 21 | KC | 3.52 | 4.21 | −0.69 |
| 22 | BUF | 4.05 | 4.81 | −0.76 |
| 23 | LV | 4.35 | 5.13 | −0.78 |
| 24 | ATL | 5.06 | 5.86 | −0.81 |
| 25 | LAR | 4.38 | 5.33 | −0.95 |
| 26 | JAX | 3.91 | 4.97 | −1.06 |
| 27 | LAC | 3.16 | 4.23 | −1.07 |
| 28 | IND | 3.81 | 4.93 | −1.12 |
| 29 | SEA | 3.31 | 4.55 | −1.24 |
| 30 | PHI | 2.56 | 4.01 | −1.45 |
| 31 | HOU | 3.68 | 5.57 | −1.88 |
| 32 | CAR | 3.94 | 6.57 | −2.62 |
Multi-year context
7-year window (2020–2026)
Multi-year averages
| Rank | Team | Avg | Slope/yr | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BAL | 3.66 | −0.14 | 3.67 | 4.94 | 3.36 | 2.81 | 4.27 | 3.65 | 2.89 |
| 2 | MIN | 3.80 | −0.47 | 5.49 | 4.59 | 3.69 | 3.80 | 3.73 | 3.35 | 1.92 |
| 3 | DEN | 3.83 | +0.01 | 3.69 | 3.89 | 3.29 | 5.04 | 3.61 | 3.03 | 4.24 |
| 4 | SEA | 3.98 | +0.18 | 3.39 | 3.63 | 4.19 | 3.58 | 4.55 | 3.31 | 5.19 |
| 5 | SF | 4.05 | −0.11 | 4.64 | 4.55 | 3.36 | 3.19 | 4.81 | 4.94 | 2.87 |
| 6 | BUF | 4.06 | +0.43 | 3.97 | 2.25 | 3.66 | 3.24 | 4.81 | 4.05 | 6.40 |
| 7 | KC | 4.10 | −0.37 | 5.17 | 4.40 | 5.31 | 3.42 | 4.21 | 3.52 | 2.68 |
| 8 | NO | 4.12 | +0.14 | 4.98 | 3.37 | 3.15 | 3.91 | 3.19 | 5.08 | 5.16 |
| 9 | HOU | 4.13 | −0.22 | 5.49 | 4.92 | 2.87 | 2.98 | 5.57 | 3.68 | 3.37 |
| 10 | LAR | 4.14 | +0.41 | 3.10 | 2.71 | 4.13 | 3.93 | 5.33 | 4.38 | 5.37 |
| 11 | PHI | 4.14 | −0.34 | 5.08 | 4.72 | 3.93 | 5.34 | 4.01 | 2.56 | 3.35 |
| 12 | PIT | 4.24 | −0.11 | 4.16 | 4.25 | 5.33 | 3.99 | 3.90 | 4.85 | 3.16 |
| 13 | NE | 4.25 | −0.01 | 4.44 | 3.89 | 4.67 | 3.28 | 5.04 | 4.72 | 3.68 |
| 14 | NYG | 4.30 | +0.23 | 3.80 | 4.41 | 3.69 | 3.61 | 4.55 | 4.51 | 5.56 |
| 15 | GB | 4.31 | −0.13 | 4.28 | 5.10 | 4.59 | 4.00 | 4.05 | 4.35 | 3.77 |
| 16 | JAX | 4.34 | −0.45 | 6.37 | 4.41 | 4.12 | 4.36 | 4.97 | 3.91 | 2.23 |
| 17 | NYJ | 4.40 | −0.01 | 5.61 | 4.74 | 2.69 | 3.63 | 3.42 | 6.96 | 3.75 |
| 18 | TB | 4.43 | +0.02 | 4.68 | 3.82 | 5.04 | 3.73 | 4.28 | 5.24 | 4.19 |
| 19 | CIN | 4.49 | −0.09 | 5.88 | 4.12 | 3.03 | 4.13 | 5.22 | 6.13 | 2.94 |
| 20 | LAC | 4.50 | −0.17 | 5.30 | 4.79 | 4.73 | 4.34 | 4.23 | 3.16 | 4.96 |
| 21 | CAR | 4.56 | −0.14 | 4.76 | 4.98 | 4.29 | 3.93 | 6.57 | 3.94 | 3.42 |
| 22 | IND | 4.57 | +0.02 | 4.27 | 5.32 | 4.60 | 3.70 | 4.93 | 3.81 | 5.39 |
| 23 | TEN | 4.59 | −0.05 | 5.66 | 3.79 | 4.29 | 3.49 | 5.68 | 5.81 | 3.42 |
| 24 | MIA | 4.81 | +0.51 | 3.85 | 3.78 | 4.31 | 4.74 | 3.83 | 5.61 | 7.59 |
| 25 | LV | 4.82 | +0.22 | 4.79 | 4.75 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 5.13 | 4.35 | 6.83 |
| 26 | CLE | 4.89 | +0.10 | 5.26 | 4.98 | 3.84 | 4.28 | 5.08 | 5.11 | 5.68 |
| 27 | ATL | 4.98 | −0.10 | 5.41 | 5.32 | 4.62 | 4.36 | 5.86 | 5.06 | 4.27 |
| 28 | CHI | 5.00 | −0.14 | 5.11 | 6.46 | 4.54 | 4.99 | 3.36 | 5.95 | 4.58 |
| 29 | DET | 5.24 | −0.10 | 6.79 | 5.66 | 4.59 | 4.74 | 2.93 | 5.53 | 6.48 |
| 30 | DAL | 5.36 | +0.28 | 6.55 | 3.89 | 4.15 | 4.09 | 5.44 | 6.24 | 7.14 |
| 31 | WAS | 5.65 | +0.39 | 3.95 | 5.65 | 5.05 | 6.49 | 4.96 | 6.09 | 7.37 |
| 32 | ARI | 5.74 | +0.55 | 4.55 | 5.31 | 4.87 | 6.30 | 3.70 | 5.41 | 10.00 |
Multi-year heatmap
32 teams across 7 seasons. Cells colored by quintile within each season; click a column header to jump to that year.
| Team | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 5.08 | 4.72 | 3.93 | 5.34 | 4.01 | 2.56 | 3.35 |
| DEN | 3.69 | 3.89 | 3.29 | 5.04 | 3.61 | 3.03 | 4.24 |
| LAC | 5.30 | 4.79 | 4.73 | 4.34 | 4.23 | 3.16 | 4.96 |
| SEA | 3.39 | 3.63 | 4.19 | 3.58 | 4.55 | 3.31 | 5.19 |
| MIN | 5.49 | 4.59 | 3.69 | 3.80 | 3.73 | 3.35 | 1.92 |
| KC | 5.17 | 4.40 | 5.31 | 3.42 | 4.21 | 3.52 | 2.68 |
| BAL | 3.67 | 4.94 | 3.36 | 2.81 | 4.27 | 3.65 | 2.89 |
| HOU | 5.49 | 4.92 | 2.87 | 2.98 | 5.57 | 3.68 | 3.37 |
| IND | 4.27 | 5.32 | 4.60 | 3.70 | 4.93 | 3.81 | 5.39 |
| JAX | 6.37 | 4.41 | 4.12 | 4.36 | 4.97 | 3.91 | 2.23 |
| CAR | 4.76 | 4.98 | 4.29 | 3.93 | 6.57 | 3.94 | 3.42 |
| BUF | 3.97 | 2.25 | 3.66 | 3.24 | 4.81 | 4.05 | 6.40 |
| GB | 4.28 | 5.10 | 4.59 | 4.00 | 4.05 | 4.35 | 3.77 |
| LV | 4.79 | 4.75 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 5.13 | 4.35 | 6.83 |
| LAR | 3.10 | 2.71 | 4.13 | 3.93 | 5.33 | 4.38 | 5.37 |
| NYG | 3.80 | 4.41 | 3.69 | 3.61 | 4.55 | 4.51 | 5.56 |
| NE | 4.44 | 3.89 | 4.67 | 3.28 | 5.04 | 4.72 | 3.68 |
| PIT | 4.16 | 4.25 | 5.33 | 3.99 | 3.90 | 4.85 | 3.16 |
| SF | 4.64 | 4.55 | 3.36 | 3.19 | 4.81 | 4.94 | 2.87 |
| ATL | 5.41 | 5.32 | 4.62 | 4.36 | 5.86 | 5.06 | 4.27 |
| NO | 4.98 | 3.37 | 3.15 | 3.91 | 3.19 | 5.08 | 5.16 |
| CLE | 5.26 | 4.98 | 3.84 | 4.28 | 5.08 | 5.11 | 5.68 |
| TB | 4.68 | 3.82 | 5.04 | 3.73 | 4.28 | 5.24 | 4.19 |
| ARI | 4.55 | 5.31 | 4.87 | 6.30 | 3.70 | 5.41 | 10.00 |
| DET | 6.79 | 5.66 | 4.59 | 4.74 | 2.93 | 5.53 | 6.48 |
| MIA | 3.85 | 3.78 | 4.31 | 4.74 | 3.83 | 5.61 | 7.59 |
| TEN | 5.66 | 3.79 | 4.29 | 3.49 | 5.68 | 5.81 | 3.42 |
| CHI | 5.11 | 6.46 | 4.54 | 4.99 | 3.36 | 5.95 | 4.58 |
| WAS | 3.95 | 5.65 | 5.05 | 6.49 | 4.96 | 6.09 | 7.37 |
| CIN | 5.88 | 4.12 | 3.03 | 4.13 | 5.22 | 6.13 | 2.94 |
| DAL | 6.55 | 3.89 | 4.15 | 4.09 | 5.44 | 6.24 | 7.14 |
| NYJ | 5.61 | 4.74 | 2.69 | 3.63 | 3.42 | 6.96 | 3.75 |
Pass td perc (allowed) since 2018
Leaders since 2018: 2018 Vikings (2.96), 2019 Patriots (2.43), 2020 Rams (3.10), 2021 Bills (2.25), 2022 Jets (2.69), 2023 Ravens (2.81), 2024 Lions (2.93), 2025 Eagles (2.56).
The best season on record is Bills 2021 at 2.25; the worst Raiders 2018 at 7.47.
Distribution
How the 32 teams cluster for 2025.
About this stat
- Stat ID
- def_passing_pass_td_perc
- Side
- defensive
- Family
- Passing
- Data source
- P + N
- Polarity
- lower is better
- Display grain
- rate
- Algorithm eligibility
- Algorithm-eligible: this stat can be picked in the Algorithm Builder.