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New England Patriots

AFC East

Off EXP
195.86
Off EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory
#2
Def EXP
2.74
Def EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory (higher is better)
#10
Net EXP
198.60
Net EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory
Record
14-3
Pythag 12.5 (+1.5)
Power Rating
106.2
#3
SRS
+6.06
#5
SoS Rank
#32
pts: −3.9 (#32)
#32
Pts / Game
28.8
Home 28.2 · Road 29.5
Points scored — 5-year weekly trajectory
#2
Net Pts / G
+10.0
#3
Pts Allowed / G
18.8
Home 18.2 · Road 19.5
Points allowed — 5-year weekly trajectory (lower is better)
#4
Yds / Play
6.20
#2
Yds/Play Allowed
5.20
#12
3rd Down %
42.9%
#6
3rd Down % Allowed
38.5%
#12

Showing the 2025 season — the most recent with complete stats. 2026 appears here as its weeks complete.

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.

Scoring Composition

Where New England Patriots's points come from. Total = 490 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for NE 2025. Click Details for full breakdown.

84.0%
#19 of 32
96.0%
#17 of 32
1 / 1
#9 of 32
Return Yards
1,814
#21 of 32

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for NE 2025.

88
#23 of 32
67
#20 of 32
87
#11 of 32
10
#21 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for NE 2025. Higher = better.

+162.6
#1 of 32
-14.5
#19 of 32
+246.6
#1 of 32
+10.68
#1 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for NE 2025 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

4,612
#9 of 32
1,794
#17 of 32
4,612
#9 of 32
1,794
#17 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for NE 2025. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

99
#6 of 32
854
#17 of 32
Yds / Game
50.2
#17 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2025 vs 2024.

All Purpose Yds650286082106
Total Yards496464491485
Kickoff Yds434857631415

5-Year Trajectory

NE Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2021 through 2025. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2025

W vs MIA · 38–10
NE covered.

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for NE 2025.

Cmp %
71.9%
#1
Pass Yds/G
250.5
#4
Pass Rating
111.3
#1
Pass TD
31
#6
Pass Int
8
#5
Sack Rate
8.7%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. NE has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2025. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).

MIAMiami Dolphins22-02-02-0+17.0+10.8
BUFBuffalo Bills21-11-11-1-0.5+4.5
NYJNew York Jets22-02-01-1+22.5+10.0
LVLas Vegas Raiders10-10-10-1-7.0-9.5
PITPittsburgh Steelers10-10-10-1-7.0-5.5
CARCarolina Panthers11-01-01-0+29.0+23.5
NONew Orleans Saints11-01-00-1+6.0+2.5
TENTennessee Titans11-01-01-0+18.0+11.5
CLECleveland Browns11-01-01-0+19.0+12.0
ATLAtlanta Falcons11-00-11-0+1.0-4.5
TBTampa Bay Buccaneers11-01-01-0+5.0+7.5
CINCincinnati Bengals11-00-10-1+6.0-1.5
NYGNew York Giants11-01-01-0+18.0+11.0
BALBaltimore Ravens11-01-01-0+4.0+7.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Sep42-22-22-250%
Oct44-04-02-2100%
Nov44-02-22-250%
Dec43-13-14-075%
Jan11-01-01-0100%

By day of week

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Thu11-01-00-1100%
Sun1512-310-510-567%
Mon11-01-01-0100%

By season half

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
First half (W1-9)97-26-35-467%
Second half (W10+)87-16-26-275%

By surface

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Grass44-04-04-0100%
Turf1310-38-57-662%

By site role

No data.

By group

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Same division65-15-14-283%
Same conference64-23-33-350%
Inter-conference55-04-14-180%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Cold (<40°F)54-14-14-180%
Cool (40-59°F)44-02-23-150%
Mild (60-74°F)42-22-21-350%
Warm (75°F+)33-03-03-0100%
Indoor11-01-00-1100%

By wind

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Calm (<5 mph)54-14-13-280%
Breezy (5-14 mph)108-26-47-360%
Windy (≥15 mph)11-01-01-0100%
Indoor11-01-00-1100%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

DimensionStreakLength
SUW3
ATSW3
O/UO5

Longest this season

DimensionLength
Longest SU win streak10
Longest SU loss streak1
Longest ATS cover5
Longest ATS no-cover1
Longest O streak5
Longest U streak2

Performance context

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
After a win1311-29-48-569%
After a loss33-03-03-0100%
On 2+ winning streak109-17-37-370%
vs winning opp.32-12-12-167%
vs losing opp.1111-09-28-382%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Outdoor1613-311-511-569%
Dome11-01-00-1100%

By venue type

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Domestic home96-35-46-356%
Domestic road88-07-15-388%

By travel distance

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Home (0 mi)96-35-46-356%
Short (<500)33-03-02-1100%
Medium (500-1500)55-04-13-280%

By rest days

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Short week (3-4d)11-01-00-1100%
Standard (5-7d)1211-110-29-383%
Long week (8-10d)22-01-11-150%
Bye+ (11+d)10-10-11-00%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month
SepATS 2-24 G
OctATS 4-04 G
NovATS 2-24 G
DecATS 3-14 G
JanATS 1-01 G
By day of week
ThuATS 1-01 G
SunATS 10-515 G
MonATS 1-01 G
By season half
First half (W1-9)ATS 6-39 G
Second half (W10+)ATS 6-28 G
By surface
GrassATS 4-04 G
TurfATS 8-513 G
By site role
No data.
By group
Same divisionATS 5-16 G
Same conferenceATS 3-36 G
Inter-conferenceATS 4-15 G
By environment
OutdoorATS 11-516 G
DomeATS 1-01 G
By venue type
Domestic homeATS 5-49 G
Domestic roadATS 7-18 G
By travel distance
Home (0 mi)ATS 5-49 G
Short (<500)ATS 3-03 G
Medium (500-1500)ATS 4-15 G
By rest days
Short week (3-4d)ATS 1-01 G
Standard (5-7d)ATS 10-212 G
Long week (8-10d)ATS 1-12 G
Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G
By opponent SRS
Elite (1-8)ATS 1-12 G
Above avg (9-16)ATS 1-12 G
Below avg (17-24)ATS 3-25 G
Weak (25-32)ATS 7-18 G
ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 8.8 ptsBias +6.2 pts (Vegas under-rated this team)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Division Comparison: AFC East

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

TeamRecordSoSPts/GPts Allowed/GOff EXPDef EXP
Buffalo Bills (BUF)12-50.471 #2728.321.5186.79-33.70
Miami Dolphins (MIA)7-100.488 #2220.424.917.51-121.82
New England Patriots (NE)14-30.391 #3228.818.8195.862.74
New York Jets (NYJ)3-140.552 #317.629.6-104.52-176.95

Insights

A look at how the 2025 New England Patriots ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: offensive epa per pass play (1st of 32), offensive epa per pass play (1st of 32), and offensive pass yards per play (1st of 32). Weaknesses: offensive qb pressure rate faced (27th of 32), offensive qb pressure rate faced (27th of 32), and defensive yards after contact per carry allowed (27th of 32). Notably, offensive epa per pass play (1st) yet offensive qb pressure rate faced (27th).

Rivalries

  • Buffalo Bills and New England Patriots have met 16 times in the regular season. The series is even at 8 apiece. The most lopsided meeting was a 29-point win for Buffalo Bills in 2020.
  • Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots have met 16 times in the regular season. Miami Dolphins leads the series 10 to 6. The most lopsided meeting was a 43-point win for New England Patriots in 2019.
  • New England Patriots and New York Jets have met 16 times in the regular season. New England Patriots leads the series 14 to 2. The most lopsided meeting was a 41-point win for New England Patriots in 2021.