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Denver Broncos

AFC West

Off EXP
85.81
Off EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory
#11
Def EXP
35.71
Def EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory (higher is better)
#6
Net EXP
121.52
Net EXP — 5-year weekly trajectory
Record
14-3
Pythag 11.0 (+3.0)
Power Rating
104.0
#5
SRS
+3.43
#10
SoS Rank
#31
pts: −1.9 (#31)
#31
Pts / Game
23.6
Home 25.6 · Road 21.4
Points scored — 5-year weekly trajectory
#14
Net Pts / G
+5.3
#7
Pts Allowed / G
18.3
Home 17.8 · Road 18.9
Points allowed — 5-year weekly trajectory (lower is better)
#3
Yds / Play
5.30
#16
Yds/Play Allowed
4.50
#1
3rd Down %
41.2%
#10
3rd Down % Allowed
33.8%
#2

Showing the 2025 season — the most recent with complete stats. 2026 appears here as its weeks complete.

Scoring & Efficiency

Percentile rank per metric. Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median (rank 16/32).

Scoring & Efficiency Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Outward = better than league. Inner circle = median.

Scoring Composition

Where Denver Broncos's points come from. Total = 401 points scored.

Offense

Drive Averages

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing

Rushing: Y/A × Attempts × Rush TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing

Passing efficiency: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Team Conversions

Percentile rank per metric. Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Defense

Drive Averages Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Rushing Defense

Rush defense: Y/A allowed × Attempts faced × Rush TDs allowed (dot size). 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Passing Defense

Pass defense: Y/A × Cmp% × Pass TDs allowed (dot size). All axes 0-100 percentile; outward + larger = better.

Team Conversions Defense

Percentile rank per metric (defense). Long bars = better than league. Median = 50.

Special Teams

Kicking, returns, and punting summary for DEN 2025. Click Details for full breakdown.

88.0%
#11 of 32
100.0%
#1 of 32
3 / 3
#1 of 32
Return Yards
1,972
#17 of 32

Defensive Pressure & Tackles

Pressure, tackles for loss, and forced turnover summary for DEN 2025.

164
#1 of 32
94
#3 of 32
82
#17 of 32
9
#25 of 32

EPA & Efficiency

Expected Points Added and CPOE for DEN 2025. Higher = better.

+58.8
#9 of 32
-9.3
#14 of 32
+111.5
#11 of 32
-1.33
#23 of 32

Air Yards & YAC

Pass distance breakdown for DEN 2025 — air yards (downfield) vs yards after catch.

4,488
#13 of 32
2,093
#7 of 32
4,488
#13 of 32
2,093
#7 of 32

Discipline

Penalty totals and per-game rate for DEN 2025. Lower = better; rank pills are inverted (#1 = least penalized).

124
#28 of 32
1,149
#32 of 32
Yds / Game
67.6
#32 of 32

Top 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks best in the league.

Top-ranked metrics sorted by rank strength. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's strengths.

Bottom 10 Ranks

Where this team ranks worst in the league.

Worst-ranked metrics sorted by severity. The curve shows cumulative share — where it bends reveals the 80/20 of this team's weaknesses.

Most Improved YoY

Biggest offensive gains 2025 vs 2024.

Kick Ret Yds36414911127
All Purpose Yds705380891036
Total Yards55185825307

5-Year Trajectory

DEN Off EXP, Def EXP, and Net EXP from 2021 through 2025. Trending up, down, or holding steady?

Last game — Week 18, 2025

W vs LAC · 19–3
DEN covered.

Passing Profile

Team-aggregate passing-game stats for DEN 2025.

Cmp %
63.3%
#20
Pass Yds/G
223.9
#11
Pass Rating
86.8
#20
Pass TD
25
#16
Pass Int
11
#14
Sack Rate
3.6%

Weekly Results vs Vegas

Each candle = one game. Open = Vegas predicted margin; close = actual margin. Green: team beat the spread. Red: didn't.

Betting Profile

ATS / SU / O/U splits by situation. DEN has 17 graded games this season. Situations with fewer than 5 games show a dash for the percentage to avoid small-sample noise.

W / L / Push composition per situation, each row normalized to 100% of graded games in that bucket.

Head-to-Head

Opponents faced in 2025. Avg MoV = mean margin of victory; Avg Cover = mean margin of cover (positive = team covered).

LACLos Angeles Chargers21-11-10-2+6.5+0.5
LVLas Vegas Raiders22-00-21-1+5.0-4.0
KCKansas City Chiefs22-01-10-2+5.0+0.0
TENTennessee Titans11-00-10-1+8.0-0.5
INDIndianapolis Colts10-10-11-0-1.0-3.5
CINCincinnati Bengals11-01-00-1+25.0+17.5
PHIPhiladelphia Eagles11-01-00-1+4.0+7.5
NYJNew York Jets11-00-10-1+2.0-5.5
NYGNew York Giants11-00-11-0+1.0-6.5
DALDallas Cowboys11-01-01-0+20.0+16.5
HOUHouston Texans11-01-00-1+3.0+4.5
WASWashington Commanders11-00-11-0+1.0-5.5
GBGreen Bay Packers11-01-01-0+8.0+9.5
JAXJacksonville Jaguars10-10-11-0-14.0-17.5

Data coverage: 2020+ (Results & Spread scraper).

Schedule Context

Performance sliced by when, where, and against whom.

By month

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Sep42-21-31-325%
Oct44-02-22-250%
Nov44-02-21-350%
Dec43-11-33-125%
Jan11-01-00-1100%

By day of week

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Thu22-00-20-20%
Sun1411-36-87-743%
Mon11-01-00-1100%

By season half

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
First half (W1-9)97-24-53-644%
Second half (W10+)87-13-54-438%

By surface

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Grass1413-16-86-843%
Turf31-21-21-233%

By site role

No data.

By group

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Same division65-12-41-533%
Same conference64-22-42-433%
Inter-conference55-03-24-160%

Weather

How the team performs in cold, hot, windy, and indoor conditions.

By temperature

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Cool (40-59°F)22-00-21-10%
Mild (60-74°F)87-15-34-462%
Warm (75°F+)22-01-10-250%
Indoor53-21-42-320%

By wind

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Calm (<5 mph)43-12-24-050%
Breezy (5-14 mph)88-04-41-750%
Indoor53-21-42-320%

Streaks & Trends

Current run, season records, and performance after specific game outcomes.

Current streaks

DimensionStreakLength
SUW2
ATSW1
O/UU2

Longest this season

DimensionLength
Longest SU win streak11
Longest SU loss streak2
Longest ATS cover2
Longest ATS no-cover3
Longest O streak4
Longest U streak4

Performance context

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
After a win1311-26-77-646%
After a loss32-11-20-333%
On 2+ winning streak109-14-66-440%
On 2+ losing streak11-01-00-1100%
vs winning opp.85-35-33-562%
vs losing opp.77-01-63-414%

Travel & Venue Context

Physical context — where games were played, how far the team traveled, and how much rest they had.

By environment

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Outdoor1211-16-65-750%
Dome21-10-21-10%
Retractable (closed)32-11-21-233%

By venue type

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Domestic home98-15-44-556%
Domestic road75-22-53-429%
International11-00-10-10%

By travel distance

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Home (0 mi)98-15-44-556%
Medium (500-1500)53-21-42-320%
Long (1500+)33-01-21-233%

By rest days

BucketGSUATSO/UATS%
Short week (3-4d)22-00-20-20%
Standard (5-7d)107-34-66-440%
Long week (8-10d)33-03-00-3100%
Bye+ (11+d)11-00-11-00%

Betting Profile Heatmap

ATS performance across every context. Color = ATS%; opacity = sample size.

By month
SepATS 1-34 G
OctATS 2-24 G
NovATS 2-24 G
DecATS 1-34 G
JanATS 1-01 G
By day of week
ThuATS 0-22 G
SunATS 6-814 G
MonATS 1-01 G
By season half
First half (W1-9)ATS 4-59 G
Second half (W10+)ATS 3-58 G
By surface
GrassATS 6-814 G
TurfATS 1-23 G
By site role
No data.
By group
Same divisionATS 2-46 G
Same conferenceATS 2-46 G
Inter-conferenceATS 3-25 G
By environment
OutdoorATS 6-612 G
DomeATS 0-22 G
Retractable (closed)ATS 1-23 G
By venue type
Domestic homeATS 5-49 G
Domestic roadATS 2-57 G
InternationalATS 0-11 G
By travel distance
Home (0 mi)ATS 5-49 G
Medium (500-1500)ATS 1-45 G
Long (1500+)ATS 1-23 G
By rest days
Short week (3-4d)ATS 0-22 G
Standard (5-7d)ATS 4-610 G
Long week (8-10d)ATS 3-03 G
Bye+ (11+d)ATS 0-11 G
By opponent SRS
Elite (1-8)ATS 1-12 G
Above avg (9-16)ATS 3-25 G
Below avg (17-24)ATS 3-25 G
Weak (25-32)ATS 0-55 G
ATS%:< 40%40-44%45-54%55-59%≥ 60%

Spread-Role Performance

ATS% by pre-game spread role. Tells you which roles this team handles well or folds in.

Vegas Accuracy

Vegas closing spread vs actual margin. MAE = average miss in pts; Bias = whether Vegas systematically over- or under-rated the team.

MAE 6.9 ptsBias +0.6 pts (Vegas priced this team accurately)

Stat trajectory

Multi-year history with league average. Pick a stat to compare.

Division Comparison: AFC West

This team and its three division rivals, side by side.

TeamRecordSoSPts/GPts Allowed/GOff EXPDef EXP
Denver Broncos (DEN)14-30.422 #3123.618.385.8135.71
Kansas City Chiefs (KC)6-110.514 #1321.319.386.16-19.91
Los Angeles Chargers (LAC)11-60.469 #2821.620.031.863.51
Las Vegas Raiders (LV)3-140.538 #514.225.4-119.29-81.06

Insights

A look at how the 2025 Denver Broncos ranked among the league's 32 teams in efficiency: Strengths: defensive pass yards allowed per play (1st of 32), defensive pass yards allowed per play (1st of 32), and defensive sack rate (1st of 32). Weaknesses: defensive yards before contact per carry allowed (26th of 32), defensive stuffed rate forced (25th of 32), and offensive yards after contact per carry (25th of 32).

Rivalries

  • Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs have met 16 times in the regular season. Kansas City Chiefs leads the series 12 to 4. The most lopsided meeting was a 38-point win for Denver Broncos in 2024.
  • Denver Broncos and Los Angeles Chargers have met 16 times in the regular season. Denver Broncos leads the series 9 to 7. The most lopsided meeting was a 21-point win for Los Angeles Chargers in 2021.
  • Denver Broncos and Las Vegas Raiders have met 16 times in the regular season. Las Vegas Raiders leads the series 10 to 6. The most lopsided meeting was a 25-point win for Las Vegas Raiders in 2020.